• 제목/요약/키워드: kolmogorov-smirnov test

검색결과 209건 처리시간 0.031초

연초과치 계열의 홍수빈도 분석에 관한 연구 -금강유역을 중심으로- (Study on the flood frequency analysis for the annual exceedance series -Centering along the Geum River basin-)

  • 박영근;이순혁
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1982
  • This study was attempted to find best fitted distribution and the equations for probable maximum flow with the evaluation of parameters by the method of moment for the rat- ional design of hydraulic structures in the annual exceedance series. Six subwatersheds were selected as studying basins along Geum River basin. The results obtained through this study were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Fitted probability distribution was showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognorm al, Type 1 Extremal, Exponential, Pearson Type III, and Log Pearson Type I distribu- tion as the results of x$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test showed in the order of Three Parameter Lognormal, Exp- onential' Pearson Type III, Log Pearson Type III and Type 1 Extremal distribution for the fitted probability distribution. 3. It can be concluded that Three parameter Lognormal distribution is a best fitted one among some other distributions out of respect for each both tests. An Exponential distribution was proposed as a suitable one by Chow, V.T. showeci lower fittness than that of Three Parameter Lognormal in Geum River basin. 5. Probable flood flow equations followins the return periods for each station were obt- ained by Three Parameter Lognormal distribution. 6. It is urgently essential that best fitted probability distribution should be established for the annual exceedance series in the main river systems of Korea.

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기상예보를 고려한 관개용 저수지의 최적 조작 모형(I) -일강수량.일증발량 자료발생- (Optimal Reservoir Operation Models for Paddy Rice Irrigation with Weather Forecasts (I) - Generating Daily Rainfall and Evaporation Data-)

  • 김병진;박승우
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 1994
  • The objective of the study is to develop weather generators for daily rainfall and small pan evaporation and to test the applicability with recorded data. Daily rainfall forecasting model(DRFM) was developed that uses a first order Markov chain to describe rainfall seque- nces and applies an incomplete Gamma function to predict the amount of precipitation. Daily evaporation forecasting model(DEFM) that adopts a normal distribution function to generate the evaporation for dry and wet days was also formulated. DRFM and DEFM were tested with twenty year weather data from eleven stations using Chi-square and Kolmogorov and Smirnov goodness of fit tests. The test results showed that the generated sequences of rainfall occurrence, amount of rainfall, and pan evaporation were statistically fit to recorded data from eleven, seven, and seven stations at the 5% level of significance. Generated rainfall data from DRFM were very close in frequency distri- bution patterns to records for stations all over the country. Pan evaporation for rainy days generated were less accurate than that for dry days. And the proposed models may be used as tools to provide many mathematical models with long-term daily rainfall and small pan evaporation data. An example is an irrigation scheduling model, which will be further detailed in the paper.

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Survey of the use of statistical methods in Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons

  • Choi, Yong-Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.25-28
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: This study aimed to describe recent patterns in the types of statistical test used in original articles that were published in Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons. Materials and Methods: Thirty-six original articles published in the Journal in 2015 and 2016 were ascertained. The type of statistical test was identified by one researcher. Descriptive statistics, such as frequency, rank, and proportion, were calculated. Graphical statistics, such as a histogram, were constructed to reveal the overall utilization pattern of statistical test types. Results: Twenty-two types of statistical test were used. Statistical test type was not reported in four original articles and classified as unclear in 5%. The four most frequently used statistical tests constituted 47% of the total tests and these were the chi-square test, Student's t-test, Fisher's exact test, and Mann-Whitney test in descending order. Regression models, such as the Cox proportional hazard model and multiple logistic regression to adjust for potential confounding variables, were used in only 6% of the studies. Normality tests, including the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, Levene test, Shapiro-Wilk test, and $Scheff{\acute{e}}^{\prime}s$ test, were used diversely but in only 10% of the studies. Conclusion: A total of 22 statistical tests were identified, with four tests occupying almost half of the results. Adoption of a nonparametric test is recommended when the status of normality is vague. Adjustment for confounding variables should be pursued using a multiple regression model when the number of potential confounding variables is numerous.

베이지안분석을 이용한 철도건널목 Accident Modification Factors (AMF)에 관한 연구 (Analysis of Accident Modification Factors (AMF) for Roadway-Rail Grade Crossing Accidents with Baysian Method)

  • 오주택;최재원;박동주
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2004
  • 본 논문에서는 철도건널목에서 일어나는 사고를 줄이기 위해 새롭게 시도되는 개선대안(Countermeasure)들의 안전성 및 효율성을 베이지안 분석방법론을 이용하여 안전전문가들의 평가결과를 정량화 시키는 방법론을 제시하였다. 이를 위해 전문가 개개인의 사전지식에 논리에 기초한 정보를 제공할 수 있는 개선대안 분석방법론을 개발하였다. 분석방법론은 우선적으로 철도건널목 안전성을 향상 시킬 수 있는 개선대안 선정, 개선대안을 평가 할 전문가 선정, 그리고 개선대안의 AMF를 평가하기 위한 건널목 사고를 선정하였다. 다음 단계로 안전전문가가 공학적인 개선대안 평가를 수행할 수 있도록 사고이력매뉴얼과 개선대안 평가매뉴얼을 개발하였다. 마지막 단계로, 평가된 개선대안의 통계적 검정을 통해 합리적 AMF를 추출함에 따른 정량화된 안전도를 나타내었다. 개선대안의 통계적 검정은 비모수통계분석의 일종인 Kolmogorov-Smirnov(K-S)동질성 검정을 적용하였으며, 그 결과 안전전문가 개인간의 분포는 동일한 분포를 나타내지 않는 경우가 많이 발생하였다. 반면 개인과 그룹의 분포는 대부분 동일한 분포를 하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 철도건널목 개선대안의 AMF값은 전문가 개개인이 평가한 값을 전체적으로 평균한 값을 사용함이 타당한 것으로 연구되었다. 본 논문에서 보여주는 AMF의 정량화과정은 철도건널목에서 뿐만 아니라, 교차로 및 도로구간에서 추후 시도되고자 하는 개선대안들의 안전성 평가에도 사용 가능하리라 판단된다.

Effects of therapeutic horse-riding program on the walking ability of students with intellectual disabilities

  • Kang, Ok-Deuk
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권2호
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    • pp.440-452
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to determine if an 8-week therapeutic riding (TR) program was effective in improving the walking ability of students with intellectual disabilities. Thirteen students diagnosed with intellectual disabilities participated in the TR program. TR sessions were conducted twice a week (30 min per session), with a total of 16 rides taking place over an 8-week period. A gait measurement analyzer was used to measure progress based on a turn test (6-m walking and turning test), walk test (10-m walking), and timed up and go (TUG) test. Measurements were made three times: before horse-riding (P0), after 4 weeks (8 rides) of horse-riding (P1), and after 8 weeks (16 rides) of horse-riding (P2). Data analysis was conducted using SPSS software (ver. 22.0). Descriptive statistics were generated on the general characteristics of the subjects, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to verify the normality of the data. Because of the lack of normality, the data were analyzed using a nonparametric method and the significance level was set to 0.05. Measurements of the duration of the forward gait cycle (s) in the turn test and the forward gait speed (m/s) in the walk test indicated improved walking ability after the TR program (p < 0.001); the stride length (% height) also increased significantly (p < 0.05). The walk test revealed a significant effect of the program on the duration of the forward gait cycle (p < 0.05), while there were significant improvements on the left and right of the elaborated strides (p < 0.001). No significant improvement in TUG test performance was observed after the TR program. In this study, an 8-week TR program had positive results on gait. Therefore, further research is merited, where TR programs are likely to improve the walking ability of individuals with intellectual disabilities.

폴리아세탈 소재의 확률론적 변형률-수명선도 평가 (An Evaluation of Probabilistic Strain-Life Curve in Polyacetal)

  • 장천수;김철수;박범규;김정규
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제30권11호
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    • pp.1417-1424
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    • 2006
  • In order to evaluate variation of fatigue life of mechanical components including engineering plastics, it is important to estimate probabilistic strain-life curves to accurately define the variation of fatigue characteristics. This paper intends to provide new assessment of P-$\varepsilon$-N (probabilistic strain-life curves) for considering the variation of fatigue characteristics in polyacetal. The fatigue strain controlled tests were conducted under constant 50% humidity and room temperature condition by a universal testing machine at strain ratio, R=0. A practical procedure is introduced to evaluate probabilistic strain-life curves. Three probabilistic distributions were used for generating P-$\varepsilon$-N curves such as normal, 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull. In this study, 3-parameter Weibull distribution was found to be most appropriate among assumed distributions when the probability distributions of the fatigue characteristic were examined using chi-square and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The more appropriate P-$\varepsilon$-N curves for these materials are generated by the proposed method considering 3-parameter Weibull distribution.

Individual-Based Models Applied to Species Abundance Patterns in Benthic Macroinvertebrate Communities in Streams in Response to Pollution

  • Cho, Woon-Seok;Nguyen, Tuyen Van;Chon, Tae-Soo
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.420-443
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    • 2012
  • An Individual-Based Model (IBM) was developed by employing natural and toxic survival rates of individuals to elucidate the community responses of benthic macroin-vertebrates to anthropogenic disturbance in the streams. Experimental models (dose-response and relative sensitivity) and mathematical models (power law and negative exponential distribution) were applied to determinate the individual survival rates due to acute toxicity in stressful conditions. A power law was additionally used to present the natural survival rate. Life events, covering movement, exposure to contaminants, death and reproduction, were simulated in the IBM at the individual level in small (1 m) and short (1 week) scales to produce species abundance distributions (SADs) at the community level in large (5 km) and long (1~2 years) scales. Consequently, the SADs, such as geometric series, log-series, and log-normal distribution, were accordingly observed at severely (Biological Monitoring Working Party (BMWP<10), intermediately (BMWP<40) and weakly (BMWP${\geq}50$) polluted sites. The results from a power law and negative exponential distribution were suitably fitted to the field data across the different levels of pollution, according to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. The IBMs incorporating natural and toxic survival rates in individuals were useful for presenting community responses to disturbances and could be utilized as an integrative tool to elucidate community establishment processes in benthic macroin-vertebrates in the streams.

콤바인 수확기(收穫機)의 고장특성(故障特性) 및 신뢰성(信賴性) 예측(豫測)에 관(關)한 연구(硏究) (A Study on Failure Characteristics and Reliability Prediction of the Rice Combine Harvester)

  • 김학규;정창주
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1986
  • This study was intended to examine the failure characteristics and breakdowns of the head-fed type combines generally used on farms. The failure distribution was assumed to follow Weibull distribution function and the Weibull parameters of the major parts, units and combine as whole were estimated by using the data collected in a survey. A computer program for the estimation of the Weibull parameter was developed. Monte Carlo method was used in predicting the time between failures. The results of study may be summarized as follows: 1. The number of failures per combine was 4.83 times per year and 0.3 times per hectare of combines of different ages. 2. According to the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test method, it was proved that the Weibull distribution function is well fitted to the characteristics of the failure and breakdowns of combines. 3. Weibull parameters of failure distribution of the combine as a whole were estimated to give the shape parameter ${\beta}$=1.3089 and the scale parameter ${\alpha}$=105.2409. The combining area with 80% reliability was 1.1 ha, and the probability of operating the combine without any failure for a year, was $2.76{\times}10^{-4}$. 4. The mean time between failures (MTBF) of the combines was predicted to be 3.2 ha of operation, which corresponds to 32 hours of operation.

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Racial and Socioeconomic Disparities in Malignant Carcinoid Cancer Cause Specific Survival: Analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results National Cancer Registry

  • Cheung, Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제14권12호
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    • pp.7117-7120
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    • 2013
  • Background: This study hypothesized living in a poor neighborhood decreased the cause specific survival in individuals suffering from carcinoid carcinomas. Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) carcinoid carcinoma data were used to identify potential socioeconomic disparities in outcome. Materials and Methods: This study analyzed socioeconomic, staging and treatment factors available in the SEER database for carcinoid carcinomas. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze time to events and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test to compare survival curves. The Cox proportional hazard method was employed for multivariate analysis. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) were computed to screen the predictors for further analysis. Results: There were 38,546 patients diagnosed from 1973 to 2009 included in this study. The mean follow up time (S.D.) was 68.1 (70.7) months. SEER stage was the most predictive factor of outcome (ROC area of 0.79). 16.4% of patients were un-staged. Race/ethnicity, rural urban residence and county level family income were significant predictors of cause specific survival on multivariate analysis, these accounting for about 5% of the difference in actuarial cause specific survival at 20 years of follow up. Conclusions: This study found poorer cause specific survival of carcinoid carcinomas of individuals living in poor and rural neighborhoods.

지역화빈도분석에 의한 설계강우량 추정 - L-모맨트법을 중심으로 - (Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis - On the method of L-moments -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;전택기;신용희
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 2001년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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    • pp.319-323
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value distribution among apt]lied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the Generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the method of L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error(RRMSE), relative bias(RBIAS) and relative reduction(RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.

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