• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제31권6D호
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• pp.771-778
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• 2011

근래 양산시와 부산시간의 활발한 이동량에 따라 최근 도시철도 1호선 양산선(노포~북정)의 예비타당성조사가 완료되어 타당성이 있는 것으로 결론되어 짐에 따라 도시철도 서비스가 취약한 웅상지역의 교통문제를 개선하고 광역도시간의 균형발전을 도모할 수 있도록 부울경을 연계하는 광역도시철도망 구축 필요성이 요구되고 있다. 또한 광역도시철도망 구축의 필요성을 강조하기 위해 대상지역 수단별 통행량과 해당지역 도로통행배정을 조사하였고, 노선대안별 수송수요를 예측하여 수단별 통행량과 통행배정 결과에 따라 개략적인 경제적 분석을 위해 설정된 노선대안별 건설비와 편익을 산정하였다. 본 과업의 3개의 대상 노선안 중 효율적인 노선으로 선정된 노선 1안의 건설에 필요한 총 사업비는 7,943.2억원으로 산출되었으며, 사업비중 순공사비가 가장 많은 비용을 차지하고 있으며 다음으로 예비비, 차량구입비, 부대비 순으로 나타났으며 단, 용지보상비는 계상되지 않았다. 특히 노선 1안은 건설시 경제성 분석결과 편익/비용비가(B/C)가 0.584, 순현재가치(NPV)가 -2,174.7억원, 내부수익율(IRR)이 0.604%로 분석되어 현 단계에서는 경제성이 다소 없는 것으로 나타났으나, 장기적으로 노선 3안인 월평~용당의 양산구간만을 건설시 편익/비용비가(B/C)가 0.737로 나타나고 있다. 따라서 도시철도 서비스가 취약한 웅상지역 주민의 편의를 도모하기 위해 부산 도시철도 기본계획 재정비시 기존 신정선을 연장하여 도시철도 관련 상위계획에 본 과업노선을 포함시켜 장래 노선 2안인 부산~양산~울산으로 이어지는 광역도시철도망 체계 구축이 반드시 필요할 것으로 판단되고 있다.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제97권1호
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• pp.77-82
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• 2008

우리나라의 산림자원은 그 양적인 증대에도 불구하고, 임업의 낮은 채산성으로 인해 아직까지 경제적인 자산으로서의 가치를 충분히 인정받지 못하고 있으며, 임가경제통계나 국부통계 등 국가통계에서도 입목자산과 관련해서는 통계자료가 명확하게 제시되지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구는 우리나라 입목자산가치를 올바르게 평가하기 위한 방법 및 국가통계 산출 시스템을 구현하는데 최종적인 목적이 있으며, 이를 위하여 기존의 입목자산 관련 국내외 평가 사례 및 문헌 조사를 통해 다양한 평가방법들의 이론과 적용상의 현실적인 문제점들에 대해서 분석하였으며, 분석된 결과를 토대로 평가 대안들을 도출하고 그 타당성을 검토하였다. 본 연구 결과, 임가경제조사를 통한 우리나라 임가의 입목자산가치 평가를 위해서는 벌기령 미만의 산림은 내부투자수익율법으로, 벌기령 이상의 산림은 시장가역산법을 적용하여 평가하는 방법이 가장 합리적인 대안으로 제시되었다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제47권6호
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• pp.781-787
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• 2009

석탄액화(Coal to Liquid, CTL) 공정은 직접액화(Direct Coal Liquefaction, DCL) 공정과 간접액화(Indirect Coal Liquefaction, ICL) 공정으로 대분되며, 각 공정의 경제성을 분석하기 위하여 주요 제품(디젤, 납사) 생산량이 50,000 barrel per day(BPD)의 직 간접석탄액화공정을 선정하고 공정에 적합한 검토기준을 세워 건설비용 및 매출액 등을 산정하였다. 또한 석탄액화공정에 대한 중요 변수들의 가격 변동에 따른 민감도 분석을 실시하였다. 생산량을 기준으로 선정된 원료탄(Illinois #6 유연탄)을 사용하였을 때, 총 투자액은 각각 DCL $3,994,858,000, ICL $4,962,263,000로 나타났다. 경제성 분석결과 내부수익률(internal rate of return, IRR)은 기본조건에서 각각 13.27%(DCL), 12.68%(ICL)로 나타났으며, 두 공정 모두 원료석탄 가격과 생산 제품 판매가에 가장 크게 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 원금상환 기간은 DCL이 6.6년, ICL이 6.8년으로 나타났으며, 민감도 분석 결과 제품가격, 원료석탄가격, 건설비의 변동률 순서로 수익률에 변화를 주는 것으로 나타났다.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.39-44
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• 2010

순환유동층 연소로에서 폐목질계 바이오매스를 이용한 5 MWe 규모의 발전시설에 대한 경제적 타당성에 대하여 고찰하였다. 초기투자비, 폐목재의 가격, 탄소배출권, 계통한계가격과 같은 주요 변수들이 사업의 경제성에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 폐목재를 무상으로 공급하고, 기반투자비용 106.5억원, 계통한계가격 99원/kWh의 기준에서 사업의 내부수익률은 16.67%로 계산되어 사업성이 비교적 높은 것으로 예상되었다. 사업의 수익에 영향을 크게 미치는 인자는 계통한계가격, 가동율, 초기투자비, 폐목가격, 탄소배출권의 순으로 나타났다. 또한 사업 위험도를 관리하기 위하여 판매처를 다양화할 수 있는 방안의 하나로 열판매가 가능한 열병합발전을 고려할 필요가 있는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.118-127
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• 2011

An IGCC was evaluated as one of the next generation technologies that would be able to substitute for coal-fired power plants. According to "The 4th Basic Plan of Long-term Electricity Supply & Demand" which is developed by the Electricity Business Acts, the first IGCC will be operated at 2015. Like other new and renewable energy such as solar PV, Fuel cell, The IGCC is considered as non-competitive generation technology because it is not maturity technology. Before the commercial operation of an IGCC in our electricity market, its economic feasibility under the Korean electricity market, which is cost-based trading system, is studied to find out institutional support system. The results of feasibility summarized that under the current electricity trading system, if the IGCC is considered like a conventional plant such as nuclear or coal-fired power plants, it will not be expected that its investment will be recouped within life-time. The reason is that the availability of an IGCC will plummet since 2016 when several nuclear and coal-fired power plants will be constructed additionally. To ensure the reasonable return on investment (NPV>0 IRR>Discount rate), the availability of IGCC should be higher than 77%. To do so, the current electricity trading system is amended that the IGCC generator must be considered as renewable generators to set up Price Setting Schedule and it should be considered as pick load generators, not Genco's coal fired-generators, in the Settlement Payment.

• 농업과학연구
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.158-175
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• 2000

Up to date, the economic feasibility analysis on land consolidation and on-farm development projects were mainly depended upon the direct benefits from market value of project outputs. Therefore the projects were neglected in allocation of the government's financial funds and loans on account of undervaluation of the project benefits including socio-economic and environmental values of the projects. Accordingly the Extended Benefit Cost Analysis Method should be adapted to cover not only the benefits such as non-market values of environmental functions of the projects and but also the economic market values of the project outputs. The main objectives of this study is (1) to provision of the guideline for economic feasibility analysis based on the IBRD and ADB guidelines, (2) to estimate the benefits such as Productivity increase effect, labor saving effect, off-farm income increase effect during off-farm season, saving of O&M cost of farm mechanization, enhance of farmer's public health, increase of environmental public function of paddy fields, effect of food security and establishment of peaceful and uncontroversial rural society by implementing the land consolidation and on-farm development, (3) to introduce the newly adapted analytical method as the extended benefit cost analysis which could make possible the analysis of non-market goods such as the food security value and the environmental public value of paddy fields. To carry out the study, the publication on the guideline for economic analysis of agricultural projects were reviewed and consulted and for the post evaluation of the land consolidation and on-farm development project, field survey in Jeongja area were made for the feasibility study of the project by new method. According to the initial project plan, Jeongja land consolidation and on-farm development project has 96ha of benefit area and the project was started in 1989 and completed in the spring, 1990. The total project costs were amounted to 1,052 million won and the annual project benefits were estimated at 135.4 million in 1989 constant market prices. On the other hand, the newly estimated project benefits as a part of post evaluation of the project were amounted to 602.1 million won including all the benefits from the market and non-market commodities of the project as mentioned above column. The original IRP(Internal rate of return) of the project was estimated at 15.81%. On the other hand, the IRR of the post evaluation of the project was amounted to 16.83%. In case of including the benefit from the environment public function of paddy field, the SRR(Social Rate of Return) was reached to 38.81% and when we added the benefit from food security of the project, the SRR showed very high rate as 46.41%. In conclusion, the project were verified socio-economically feasible and environmentally sustainable considering the above decision making criteria.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.21-29
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• 2012

The extensible supply of New & Renewable energy resources desperately needs to counter the high dependence on imported energy, recent high oil prices and the Climate Change Conference, and the government has operated the 'Renewable Portfolio Standard' (RPS) as one of the renewable energy policy from 2012. By analyzing the operation case of combined heat and power plant using the woodchip biomass, we drew the price of wood chip fuel, plant capacity factor, electricity selling price, heat selling price and LCOE value. After analyzing the economic feasibility of 3MWe combined heat and power plant based on the operating performance, the minimum of economic feasibility has appeared to be secured according to the internal rate of return (IRR) is 6.34% and the net present value (NPV) is 3.6 billion won as of 20 years life time after installation, and after analyzing the cases of the economic feasibility of the price of wood chip, plant capacity factor, electricity and heat selling price are changed, the economic feasibility is valuable when the price of wood chip is over 64,000 won/ton, NPV is minus, and the capacity factor is above 46.9%, the electricity selling price is 116 won/kWh and the heat selling price is above 75,600 won/Gcal. When going over the new installation hereafter, we need the detailed review of the woodchip storage and woodchip feeding system rather than the steam-turbine and boiler which have been inspected many times, the reason why is it's hard to secure the suitable quality (constant size) of woodchip by the lack of understanding about it as a fuel because of the domestic poor condition and the calorific value of woodchip is seriously volatile compared with other fuels.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.272-275
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• 2009

Carbon finance is the investment in Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction projects in developing countries and countries with economies in transition within the framework of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) or Joint Implementation (JI) and with creation of financial instruments, i.e., carbon credits, which are tradable in carbon market. The additional revenue generated from carbon credits will increase the bankability of projects by reducing the risks of commercial lending or grant finance. Meantime, it has also demonstrated numerous opportunities for collaborating across sectors, and has served as a catalyst in bringing climate issues to bear in projects relating to rural electrification, renewable energy, energy efficiency, urban infrastructure, waste management, pollution abatement, forestry, and water resource management. Establishing additionality is essential for successful CDM project development. One of the key steps is the investment analysis. As guided by UNFCCC, financial indicators such as IRR, NPV, DSCR etc are most commonly used in both Option II & Option III. However, economic indicator such as Economic Internal Rate of Return(EIRR) are often overlooked in Option III even it might be more suitable for the project. This could be due to the difficulties in economic analysis. Although Asian Development Bank(ADB) has given guidelines in evaluating EIRR, there are still large amount of works have to be carried out in estimating the economic, financial, social and environmental benefits in the host country. This paper will present a case study of a CDM development of a 18 MW hydro power plant with carbon finance option in central Vietnam. The estimation of respective factors in EIRR, such as Willingness to Pay(WTP), shadow price etc, will be addressed with the adjustment to Vietnam local provincial factors. The significance of carbon finance to Vietnam renewable energy development will also be addressed.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제19권9호
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• pp.212-220
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• 2019

본 연구는 정부의 금융지원 정책인 영상전문투자조합이 한국영화 제작자본 조달에 기여한 정도를 평가하였다. 영상전문투자조합 정책은 1999년 중소기업청과 2000년 영화진흥위원회의 출자로 시작되었고, 이후 한국영화 제작비뿐만 아니라 문화산업 분야의 창업 초기기업과 프로젝트의 중요한 자본조달 구조로 발전하였다. 하지만 한국 영화산업의 관점에서 영상전문투자조합의 정책성과를 평가할 수 있는 기초자료가 기관별, 시기별로 산개해 있어서 일관적인 지표를 산출하기 어려웠다. 이에 본 연구는 해당 기관들의 자료를 재구성하여 1999~2017년까지 공적 출자를 통해 결성된 영상전문투자조합의 신규 결성규모, 공공 출자비율, 한국영화 투자편수 및 투자금액, 공공 출자금 및 결성액 대비 투자승수, 청산조합 수익률 등의 지표를 산출하였다. 이를 통해 영상전문투자조합 정책이 한국 영화산업의 성장에 기여한 성과를 평가할 수 있는 기초적인 토대를 제공하고자 한다.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.257-277
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• 2000

The objectives of this study are to investigate the relationship between the growth of the horticultural sector and horticultural research and extension and to examine the socioeconomic returns to investment on research and extension in Korean horticulture. Data for horticultural production values, producer price indices and research and extension budgets for horticultural sector from 1965 to 1998 are collected from various sources. Multi-variate time series analysis technique with vector auto-regression model and Akino-Hayami Formula were employed for the analysis. This study finds (1) horticultural production responds about seven years later to the horticultural research investment shock. the magnitude of the impacts increases to a peak in seventeen years from the initial expenditures and then declines slowly thereafter until twenty years. and this peak gives a tip that horticultural research impact lasts much longer than grain's or agriculture's: (2) the social surplus from research investment benefits more to the consumer rather than to the horticultural producer: (3) B/C ratios in horticultural research are quite high with the range of 9 to 55 from 1965 to 1998. but these have been decreased since the early 1990s: (4) the socioeconomic returns to horticultural research is quite high with 56 percents of internal rate of return. It remains to be analyzed returns to investment on extension in horticulture because of no statistic significance in this study.