• Title/Summary/Keyword: intercomparison

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Interdecadal Variability and Future Change in Spring Precipitation over South Korea (한반도 봄철 강수량의 장기변동과 미래변화)

  • Kim, Go-Un;Ok, Jung;Seo, Kyong-Hwan;Han, Sang-Dae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.449-454
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    • 2012
  • This study presents the long-term variability of spring precipitation over the Korean peninsula. It is found that the significant interdecadal change in the spring precipitation has occurred around year 1991. Over the Korean peninsula the precipitation for the post-1991 period increased by about 30 mm per year in CMAP and station-measured data compared to the precipitation prior to year 1991. Due to an increased baroclinicity during the later period, the low-level negative pressure anomaly has developed with its center over northern Japan. Korea is situated at the western end of the negative pressure anomaly, receiving moisture from westerly winds and producing more precipitation. Also, we estimate the change in the near future (years 2020~2040) spring precipitation using six best performing Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 3 (CMIP3) models. These best model ensemble mean shows that spring precipitation is anticipated to increase by about 4% due to the strengthened westerlies accompanied by the northwestern enhancement of the North Pacific subtropical high.

Intercomparison of Number Concentrations by CPCs using Generated Particles in Chamber (챔버 내 발생 입자를 이용한 CPC 수농도 비교 평가)

  • Bae, Min-Suk;Park, Da-Jeong;Park, Seung-Shik;Chen, Wei-Nai
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.619-630
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    • 2014
  • Two butanol-based Condensation Particle Counters (CPC 3022, CPC 3025), three water-based CPCs (CPC3781, CPC3785${\times}$2), a Gardner Counter, a Fast Mobility Particle Sizer (FMPS), and an Aerosol Electrometer (AE) were deployed to measure the number concentrations from atomized aerosol under six different conditions. Comparisons of particle number concentrations measured by the CPCs, FMPS, and AE were conducted to evaluate the performance of the each CPCs using laboratory generated artificial particles such as NaCl, succinic acid ($C_4H_6O_4$), and particles generated by propane torch & heat gun in the chamber. Good correlation between the CPC3025 and FMPS was observed for the total particle number concentrations in the size range 15 nm to 90 nm. In addition, this paper suggests that photometric mode in water-based CPC3785 could not be used as quantitative of number concentrations for CPC3785.

Intercomparison of Light Oil Flow Standard System for the Reliability of Measurement Accuracy (경질유 유량표준장치의 신뢰도 검증을 위한 측정정확도 비교)

  • Lim, Ki-Won
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.32 no.9
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    • pp.712-719
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    • 2008
  • Light Oil Flow Standard System(LOFSS), as a national oil flow standard system, in Korea Research Institute of Standards and Science(KRISS) was developed for oil flowmeter calibration, and the expanded uncertainty of flow quantity determination was estimated within 0.04 %. In order to improve the reliability of the LOFSS measurement, a proficiency test was carried out in the flow range of 20 and $240\;m^3/h$ (Reynolds number $20,000{\sim}900,000$). A turbine flowmeter was used as a transfer package in round robin test. The water flow standard system of KRISS, the pipe prover of the national calibration and test organization and the master meter calibrator of the turbine flowmeter supplier, which used the different working fluid respectively, were compared with the turbine flowmeter measurement. The maximum difference of measurement was 0.15 % between the LOFSS and the pipe prover. The En numbers of the each system measurement were evaluated at the same Reynolds number. It was found that the En numbers were less than 1 in the comparison, which means the procedures of the uncertainty estimation of the each calibrators were reasonable and reliable.

Current Status of Internal Dosimetry Methods and Radiological Regulations in Korea, Ukraine and European Community

  • Lee, Tae-Young;Lee, Jong-Il;Berkovski, Vladimir
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2003
  • The paper discusses results of recent international intercomparison exercises on internal dose assessments, status of up to date internal dosimetry methods and the radiological legislation developed and implemented in Korea, European Union and Ukraine. The system of radiation protection in Korea is based on the Korean Atomic Energy Regulatory Enforcement on Safety Standards (Ministry Notice No. 2001-2). The notice is based on the recommendations in ICRP Publication 60 (1990) and IAEA Basic Safety Standards (1996). But the full implementation of the notice by the end of the year 2002 is not required because of the socio-economic situation and inexperience in internal radiation dosimetry Regulatory framework for internal radiation dosimetry is under development toward the full implementation of the notice from January 1, 2003. The system of radiation protection in Ukraine is based on the National radiation protection regulatory code NRBU-97. The code was developed and adopted in 1998 and replaced the Regulations of Former Soviet Union. The document is based on the ICRP Publication 60, Euratom Directive 96/29 and IAEA Basic Safety Standards (1996). The transitional period of 5 years (effected till January 2003) is established for implementation of all requirements of this new regulation. The system of radiation protection in the European Community is based on the Council Directive 96/29/Euratom, adopted in 1996 and enforced from 13 May 2000. Directive 96/29/Euratom has the status of the European law.

Analysis of Trace Elements in Mud Flat with Neutron Activation Analysis (NAA) and Atomic Spectroscopy (중성자 방사화 분석법과 원자 분광법을 이용한 갯벌 시료 중 미량원소 분석법에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Sang-Ho;Kim, Min-Jae;Chung, Yong-Sam;Kim, Sun-Ha
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.521-528
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    • 2002
  • Neutron Activation Analysis (NAA) and Inductively Coupled Plasma Atomic Emission Spectrometry (ICP-AES) have been applied for the determination of inorganic elements in mud flat of south seaside in Korea. The analytical results of Al, Ca, Fe, Mg, K and Na by NAA were compared with those by ICP-AES. The results show that NAA is superior to ICP-AES for the determination of minor elements in sediment. Accordingly, NAA will play an important role in the analysis of environment samples such as mud flat and sediment having complex matrix.

A Comparative Study of Algorithms for Estimating Land Surface Temperature from MODIS Data

  • Suh, Myoung-Seok;Kim, So-Hee;Kang, Jeon-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.65-78
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    • 2008
  • This study compares the relative accuracy and consistency of four split-window land surface temperature (LST) algorithms (Becker and Li, Kerr et ai., Price, Ulivieri et al.) using 24 sets of Terra (Aqua)/Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, observed ground grass temperature and air temperature over South Korea. The effective spectral emissivities of two thermal infrared bands have been retrieved by vegetation coverage method using the normalized difference vegetation index. The intercomparison results among the four LST algorithms show that the three algorithms (Becker-Li, Price, and Ulivieri et al.) show very similar performances. The LST estimated by the Becker and Li's algorithm is the highest, whereas that by the Kerr et al.'s algorithm is the lowest without regard to the geographic locations and seasons. The performance of four LST algorithms is significantly better during cold season (night) than warm season (day). And the LST derived from Terra/MODIS is closer to the observed LST than that of Aqua/MODIS. In general, the performances of Becker-Li and Ulivieri et al algorithms are systematically better than the others without regard to the day/night, seasons, and satellites. And the root mean square error and bias of Ulivieri et al. algorithm are consistently less than that of Becker-Li for the four seasons.

Future Changes in Atmosphere Teleconnection over East Asia and North Pacific associated with ENSO in CMIP5 Models (CMIP5 모형에서 나타난 겨울철 동아시아와 북태평양 지역의 엘니뇨 원격상관의 미래변화)

  • Kim, Sunyong;Kug, Jong-Seong
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.389-397
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    • 2015
  • The changes in the teleconnection associated with El Nin?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the East Asia and North Pacific under greenhouse warming are analyzed herein by comparing the Historical run (1970/1971~1999/2000) and the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 run with 31 climate models, participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). It is found that CMIP5 models have diverse systematic errors in simulating the ENSO teleconnection pattern from model to model. Therefore, we select 21 models based on the models' performance in simulating teleconnection pattern in the present climate. It is shown that CMIP5 models tend to project an overall weaker teleconnection pattern associated with ENSO over East Asia in the future climate than that in the present climate. It can be also noted that the cyclonic flow over the North Pacific is weakened and shifted eastward. However, uncertainties for the ENSO teleconnection changes still exist, suggesting that much consistent agreements on this future teleconnections associated with ENSO should be taken in a further study.

Correlation Analysis Between the Variation of Net Surface Heat Flux Around the East Asian Seas and the Air T emperature and Precipitation Over the Korean Peninsula (동아시아 해역의 표층 순열속 변동과 한반도 기온 및 강수량 변동의 상관성 분석)

  • Lee, Seok-Joon;Chang, You-Soon
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2021
  • In this study, using 16 ORA-IP (Ocean Reanalysis Intercomparison Project) data, we investigated spatial and temporal changes of net surface heat flux in the East Asian seas and presented a new ensemble net surface heat flux index. The ensemble net surface heat flux index is produced considering the data distribution and the standard deviation of each ORA-IP. From the correlation analysis with air temperature averaged over the Korean Peninsula, ensemble net heat flux around the Korea Strait shows the highest correlation (0.731) with a 3 month time lag. For the correlation study regarding precipitation over the Korean Peninsula, it also shows significant correlation especially in winter and spring seasons. Similar results are also found in comparison with climate indices (AO, PDO, and NINO3.4), but ensemble net surface heat flux data in winter season reveals the strongest correlation patterns especially with winter temperature and spring precipitation.

Assessing the future extreme dry and wet conditions in East Asia using CMIP6-BGC (CMIP6-BGC 기반 동아시아 지역 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태 평가)

  • Jaehyeong Lee;Yeonjoo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.411-411
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    • 2023
  • 미래 대기 이산화탄소 농도가 증가함에 따라 강수 등 기후의 변화하고, 이는 유출량을 포함한 수문 순환 뿐 아니라 지면 식생 생장에 영향을 줄 것으로 예상된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 미래 CO2 증가에 따른 식생의 변화와 이로 인한 지표 유출량의 변화에 대해 이해하고자 한다. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 6차 평가보고서에서 제시한 표준 온실가스 경로 중 탄소 모듈이 포함된 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 biogeochemistry (CMIP6-BGC) 모델과 탄소 모듈이 포함안된 CMIP6 모델 결과를 활용하였다. 공통 사회경제경로 시나리오(Shared Socio-economic Pathway; SSP) 중 고탄소 시나리오인 SSP585에 따른 모델 결과물을 활용하였다. 표면 유출량 자료에 과거 기간 임계수준 방법을 (Threshold Level Method) 적용하여 동아시아 지역 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태의 빈도와 강도를 CMIP6-BGC와 CMIP6에 대해 평가하였다. CMIP6-BGC 경우, 건조 및 습윤 상태의 빈도는 각각 6.17%, 5.03% , CMIP6 경우 각각 9.29%, 6.70% 으로 예측되어, CMIP6-BGC가 CMIP6 보다 극한 상태를 과소평가하는 경향을 보였다. 또한, 잎 면적 지수(Leaf Area Index; LAI), 증산량 등의 변수를 분석하여, 기 도출된 CMIP6-BGC와 CMIP6 간의 극한 건조 및 습윤 상태 예측의 차이가 발생한 메카니즘을 이해하고자 하였다.

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Projected changes in drought characteristics based on SSP Scenarios using multiple drought indices (SSP 시나리오 기반 다종 가뭄지수를 이용한 미래 가뭄 전망)

  • Song-Hyun Kim;Won-Ho Nam;Min-Gi Jeon;Mi-Hye Yang;Young-Sik Mun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2023
  • 가뭄은 발생 시점과 종점을 정확히 파악하기 어려우며, 피해 면적이 광범위하기 때문에 수자원시스템 전반을 비롯한 사회, 경제적 측면에서 심각한 영향을 줄 수 있다. 우리나라의 가뭄 발생경향은 2000년 이후로 급증하고 있으며, 2022년 전라남도 지역의 경우, 평년 대비 강수량이 60%에 그쳐 50년 관측 사상에서 가장 낮은 수준으로 나타나면서 극심한 가뭄이 발생하여 현재까지도 지속되고 있다. 미래에도 기후변화로 인한 가뭄의 강도와 빈도가 증가될 것으로 예측됨에 따라 가뭄을 예방하기 위한 미래 가뭄 상황의 예측에 대한 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 따라서 다양한 기후모델 및 미래 기후변화 시나리오를 활용해 미래 가뭄에 대한 전망을 분석하고 적응 전략을 수립해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6)에서 제공하는 18개의 전 지구적 기후모델별로 산출한 SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오를 기반으로 기상학적 가뭄지수인 표준강수지수 (Standardized Precipitation Index, SPI), 유효가뭄지수(Effectvie Drought Index, EDI)와 강수량 및 기온의 변화에 따른 증발산량을 고려하여 가뭄을 판단하는 표준강수증발지수 (Standardized Precipitation Evaportranspiration Index, SPEI), 증발수요 가뭄지수 (Evaporative Demand Drought Index, EDDI)를 적용하여 미래 가뭄지수별 가뭄 예측 및 변동성을 분석하였다.

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