• 제목/요약/키워드: index of industrial production

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저성장기의 TPM 활동 방향 전환 -COST 절감을 위한 생산혁신 활동 방향- (Rectified TPM Activities in the Depression Period)

  • 유정상;최진욱
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제21권46호
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1998
  • A great number of firms have used overall equipments effectiveness index to evaluate the effect of TPM activities. Overall equipments effectiveness is very useful index to emphasize the need of decreasing equipments loss time when TPM system is first implemented. And it is powerful to evaluate prductivity growth rate according to TPM activities when GNP growth rate is high level. However, during the depression period, the increase of overall equipments effectiveness does not contribute fully to the cost down, the reason is that demand is falling. In this paper, we present the rectified TPM activities which can be applied to the depression period, and analysis the improvement activities of production part how to contribute to the cost down,

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전력소비를 이용한 실물경기지수 개발에 관한 연구 (Electricity Consumption as an Indicator of Real Economic Status)

  • 오승환;김태중;곽동철
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - A variety of indicators are used for the diagnosis of economic situation. However, most indicators explain the past economic situation because of the time difference between the measurement and announcement. This study aims to argue for the resurrection of an idea: electricity demand can be used as an indicator of economic activity. In addition, this study made an endeavor to develop a new Real Business Index(RBI) which could quickly represent the real economic condition based on the sales statistics of industrial and public electricity. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study monthly sales of industrial and public electricity from 2000 to 2015 was investigated to analyze the relationship between the economic condition and the amount of electricity consumption and to develop a new Real Business Index. To formulate the Index, this study followed next three steps. First, we decided the explanatory variables, period, and collected data. Second, after calculating the monthly changes for each variable, standardization and estimating the weighted value were conducted. Third, the computation of RBI finalized the development of empirical model. The principal component analysis was used to evaluate the weighted contribution ratio among 3 sectors and 17 data. Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis was used to verify the robustness of out model. Results - The empirical results are as follows. First, compatibility of the predictability between the new RBI and the existing monthly cycle of coincident composite index was extremely high. Second, two indexes had a high correlation of 0.7156. In addition, Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis demonstrated that two indexed also had accompany relationship. Third, when the changes of two indexes were compared, they were found that the times when the highest and the lowest point happened were similar, which suggested that it is possible to use the new RBI index as a complementing indicator in a sense that the RBI can explain the economic condition almost in real time. Conclusion - A new economic index which can explain the economic condition needs to be developed well and rapidly in a sense that it is useful to determine accurately the current economic condition to establish economic policy and corporate strategy. The salse of electricity has a close relationship with economic conditions because electricity is utilized as a main resource of industrial production. Furthermore, the result of the sales of electricity can be gathered almost in real time. This study applied the econometrics model to the statistics of the sales of industrial and public electricity. In conclusion, the new RBI index was highly related with the existing monthly economic indexes. In addition, the comparison between the RBI index and other indexes demonstrated that the direction of the economic change and the times when the highest and lowest points had happened were almost the same. Therefore, this RBI index can become the supplementary indicator of the official indicators published by Korean Bank or the statistics Korea.

융복합 농산업화 모델 유형별 잠재가능성 분석 - 밭작물 주산단지를 중심으로 - (Assessing the Potential of Fusion and Convergence in Industrial Agricultures - Focusing on Main Production Areas of Upland Crops -)

  • 이상현;김윤형;배승종;서동욱;오윤경
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to assess the potential for fusion and convergence in industrial agriculture. First, we analyzed the types of industrial agriculture and applied the agri-business and ICT agriculture. After then, we analyzed the Project Potential Index (PPI) of the agri-business and ICT agriculture using the agricultural enterprise database provided from Rural Research Institute in Korea. The results revealed that Haenam have a high potential for agri-business project because of large number of farmers and annual sales. Wanju was considered as the suitable place for ICT agriculture project because of large area of greenhouse. This study was applied only 7 study area but the methodology suggested in this study could be widely used for assessing potential project various types of industrial agriculture.

품질을 고려한 작업투입에 관한 연구 (Study on Dispatching with Quality Assurance)

  • 고효헌;김지현;백준걸;김성식
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.108-121
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    • 2008
  • Dispatching rule for parallel machines with multi product is proposed in this paper, In current market,customer's request for higher quality is increasing, In accordance with such demand, manufacturers are focusingon improving the quality of the products. Such shift in production objective is risky. The possibility ofneglecting another important factor in customer satisfaction increases, namely due dates. From the aspect ofimproving quality, frequency of product assignment to limited number of high performance machines willincrease. This will lead to increased waiting time which can incur delays, In the case of due date orientedproduct dispatch, Products are assigned to machines without consideration for quality. Overall deterioration ofproduct quality is inevitable, In addition, Poor products will undergo rework process which can increase delays.The objective of this research is dispatching products to minimize due date delays while improving overallquality. Quality index is introduced to provide means of standardizing product quality. The index is used toassure predetermined quality level while minimizing product delays when dispatching products. Qualitystandardization method and dispatching algorithm is presented. And performance evaluation is performed withcomparison to various dispatching methods.

국제유가의 변동성이 한국 거시경제에 미치는 영향 분석 : EGARCH 및 VECM 모형의 응용 (A Study on the Impact of Oil Price Volatility on Korean Macro Economic Activities : An EGARCH and VECM Approach)

  • 김상수
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제11권10호
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2013
  • Purpose - This study examines the impact of oil price volatility on economic activities in Korea. The new millennium has seen a deregulation in the crude oil market, which invited immense capital inflow into Korea. It has also raised oil price levels and volatility. Drawing on the recent theoretical literature that emphasizes the role of volatility, this paper attends to the asymmetric changes in economic growth in response to the oil price movement. This study further examines several key macroeconomic variables, such as interest rate, production, and inflation. We come to the conclusion that oil price volatility can, in some part, explain the structural changes. Research design, data, and methodology - We use two methodological frameworks in this study. First, in regards to the oil price uncertainty, we use an Exponential-GARCH (Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity: EGARCH) model estimate to elucidate the asymmetric effect of oil price shock on the conditional oil price volatility. Second, along with the estimation of the conditional volatility by the EGARCH model, we use the estimates in a VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The study thus examines the dynamic impacts of oil price volatility on industrial production, price levels, and monetary policy responses. We also approximate the monetary policy function by the yield of monetary stabilization bond. The data collected for the study ranges from 1990: M1 to 2013: M7. In the VECM analysis section, the time span is split into two sub-periods; one from 1990 to 1999, and another from 2000 to 2013, due to the U.S. CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) deregulation on the crude oil futures that became effective in 2000. This paper intends to probe the relationship between oil price uncertainty and macroeconomic variables since the structural change in the oil market became effective. Results and Conclusions - The dynamic impulse response functions obtained from the VECM show a prolonged dampening effect of oil price volatility shock on the industrial production across all sub-periods. We also find that inflation measured by CPI rises by one standard deviation shock in response to oil price uncertainty, and lasts for the ensuing period. In addition, the impulse response functions allude that South Korea practices an expansionary monetary policy in response to oil price shocks, which stems from oil price uncertainty. Moreover, a comparison of the results of the dynamic impulse response functions from the two sub-periods suggests that the dynamic relationships have strengthened since 2000. Specifically, the results are most drastic in terms of industrial production; the impact of oil price volatility shocks has more than doubled from the year 2000 onwards. These results again indicate that the relationships between crude oil price uncertainty and Korean macroeconomic activities have been strengthened since the year2000, which resulted in a structural change in the crude oil market due to the deregulation of the crude oil futures.

시설오이 재배농가의 생산효율성 분석 (A Production Efficiency Analysis of Cucumber Farms in South Korea)

  • 김혜민;장민기;이향미
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권10호
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    • pp.6823-6831
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    • 2015
  • 이 연구는 주요 시설채소 작목인 오이(반촉성) 농가의 경영현황을 진단하고 개별 오이농가의 생산효율성 증대를 위해 필요한 요인을 도출하고 있다. 주요 경영지표 검토 및 세부 경영효율성 분석 결과 오이농가에는 향후 규모화보다는 기술효율성 증대를 통한 생산효율성 증대 가능성이 더 높은 것으로 나타났다. 생산량은 순수기술효율성과 양의 상관관계를 가지지만 그 정도가 미미해, 일정한 조건 하에서는 순수기술효율성 증대를 위해 투입요소의 절감이 더 시급한 것으로 도출되었다.

주택유통산업에서의 주택가격과 기대주택가격간의 관계분석 (Relationship Between Housing Prices and Expected Housing Prices in the Real Estate Industry)

  • 최차순
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - In Korea, there has been a recent trend that shows housing prices have risen rapidly following the International Monetary Fund crisis. The rapid rise in housing prices is spreading recognition of this as a factor in housing price volatility. In addition, this raises the expectations of housing prices in the future. These expectations are based on the assumption that a relationship exists between the current housing prices and expected housing prices in the real estate industry. By performing an empirical analysis on the validity of the claim that an increase in current housing prices can be correlated with expected housing prices, this study examines whether a long-term equilibrium relationship exists between expected housing prices and existing housing prices. If such a relationship exists, the recovery of equilibrium from disequilibrium is analyzed to derive related implications. Research design, data, and methodology - The relationship between current housing prices and expected housing prices was analyzed empirically using the Vector Error Correction Model. This model was applied to the co-integration test, the long-term equilibrium equation among variables, and the causality test. The housing prices used in the analysis were based on the National Housing Price Trend Survey released by Kookmin Bank. Additionally, the Index of Industrial Product and the Consumer Price Index were also used and were obtained from the Bank of Korea ECOS. The monthly data analyzed were from January 1987 to May 2015. Results - First, a long-term equilibrium relationship was established as one co-integration between current housing price distribution and expected housing prices. Second, the sign of the long-term equilibrium relationship variable was consistent with the theoretical sign, with the elasticity of housing price distribution to expected housing price, the industrial production, and the consumer price volatility revealed as 1.600, 0.104,and 0.092, respectively. This implies that the long-term effect of expected housing price volatility on housing price distribution is more significant than that of the industrial production and consumer price volatility. Third, the sign of the coefficient of the error correction term coincided with the theoretical sign. The absolute value of the coefficient of the correction term in the industrial production equation was 0.006, significantly larger than the coefficients for the expected housing price and the consumer price equation. In case of divergence from the long-term equilibrium relationship, the state of equilibrium will be restored through changes in the interest rate. Fourth, housing-price volatility was found to be causal to expected housing price, and was shown to be bi-directionally causal to industrial production. Conclusions - Based on the finding of this study, it is required to relieve the association between current housing price distribution and expected housing price by using property taxes and the loan-to-value policy to stabilize the housing market. Further, the relationship between housing price distribution and expected housing price can be examined and tested using a sophisticated methodology and policy variables.

Simplified Machine Diagnosis Techniques Using ARMA Model of Absolute Deterioration Factor with Weight

  • Takeyasu, Kazuhiro;Ishii, Yasuo
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2009
  • In mass production industries such as steel making that have large equipment, sudden stops of production process due to machine failure can cause severe problems. To prevent such situations, machine diagnosis techniques play important roles. Many methods have been developed focusing on this subject. In this paper, we propose a method for the early detection of the failure on rotating machine, which is the most common theme in the machine failure detection field. A simplified method of calculating autocorrelation function is introduced and is utilized for ARMA model identification. Furthermore, an absolute deterioration factor such as Bicoherence is introduced. Machine diagnosis can be executed by this simplified calculation method of system parameter distance with weight. Proposed method proved to be a practical index for machine diagnosis by numerical examples.

진해만의 수산생산성지표의 경년변화 (Annual Variations in Fisheries Productivity Index in Jinhae Bay)

  • 강민희;이인철
    • 한국수산과학회지
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.547-550
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    • 2010
  • Jinhae Bay is a typical aquaculture farm with active fisheries. However, it has been contaminated by the development of a major city and industrial area, and has therefore diminished in value as a fishing ground. To preserve the continuing productivity of the ocean, we have to estimate fisheries resources. To analyze the fisheries resources in Jinhae Bay, we evaluated the Fisheries Productivity Index (FPI). The FPI is composed of the Total production ($T_p$), Total amount ($T_a$), and Production of edible protein ($E_p$), nitrogen ($N_p$) and phosphorous ($P_p$). To calculate the FPI, we used Annual statistics on cooperative sales of fishery products data from 1979 to 2004 and the Food composition table. The results of the FPI were as follows. $T_p$ ranged from 70,235 tons to 113,556 tons and $T_a$ ranged from 107,004 million won to 373,776 million won. $E_p$ ranged from 8,124 tons to 13,357 tons, $N_p$ ranged from 1,965 tons to 3,273 tons, and $P_p$ ranged from 168 tons to 276 tons. According to the FPI, maximum fisheries productivity occurred in 1994, when $T_a$, $E_p$, $N_p$ and $P_p$ were at their highest values.

산업연관분석을 통한 공간정보산업의 특징 및 정책방향성에 대한 연구 (A Study on Strategy Direction for Promoting the Geo-spatial Information Industry by Input-Output Analysis)

  • 임시영;안종욱;이미숙
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 산업연관분석을 통해 공간정보산업의 특징을 도출하였다. 이를 위하여 공간정보산업을 재분류하고 이에 맞게 산업연관표를 수정하여 공간정보산업을 분석하였으며 생산유발계수, 영향력계수, 감응력계수를 도출하였다. 그 결과 공간정보산업은 생산유발효과는 작으나 전방연쇄효과가 매우 큰 산업으로 확인되었다. 이를 기반으로 공간정보산업 육성을 위한 정책의 방향성을 '산업생태계 조성, 고도화와 활용도 향상 병행, 장기적 관점 수립'으로 제시하였다.