• Title/Summary/Keyword: independent rainfall event

Search Result 17, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Comparison of Annual Maximum Rainfall Series and Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Event Series (연최대치 계열과 연최대치 독립 호우사상 계열의 비교)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Cheol-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.5
    • /
    • pp.431-444
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study investigated the differences between annual maximum series and annual maximum independent rainfall event series with relatively short and long rainfall durations. Annual maximum independent rainfall events were selected by applying various IETDs and thresholds to the hourly rainfall data in Seoul for the duration from 1961 to 2010. Annual maximum independent rainfall event series decided were then compared with the conventional annual maximum series. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the effect of IETD and threshold was not beyond the expected level. For example, as the IETD increases, the frequencies of independent rainfall events decreased similarly in their rate for both with short and long durations. However, as the threshold increases, the frequency of those with rather long durations decreased much higher. Second, The mean rainfall intensity of the independent rainfall events was found to remain constant regardless of their duration. This indicates that the annual maximum rainfall intensity could be found in a rainfall event with longer durations. Lastly, the difference between the annual maximum rainfall series and the annual maximum independent rainfall event series with rather short rainfall durations was found significantly large, which decreases with longer durations. This result indicates that the conventional data analysis method, especially for small basins with short concentration time, could lead an unrealistic design rainfall with little possibility of occurrence.

Analysis on the Characteristics about Representative Temporal-distribution of Rainfall in the Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Events at Seoul using Beta Distribution (베타분포를 이용한 서울 지점 연 최대치 독립 호우사상의 대표 시간분포 특성 분석)

  • Jun, Chang Hyun;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.46 no.4
    • /
    • pp.361-372
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study used the beta distribution to analyze the independent annual maximum rainfall events from 1961 to 2010 and decided the representative rainfall event for Seoul. In detail, the annual maximum rainfall events were divided into two groups, the upper 50% and the lower 50%. For each group, a beta distribution was derived to pass the mean location of the rainfall peaks. Finally, the representative rainfall event was decided as the rainfall histogram of the arithmetic average of the two beta distributions derived. The representative rainfall event derived has a realistic shape very similar to those observed annual maximum rainfall events, especially with the higher rainfall peak compared to that of the Huff distribution. Comparison with other rainfall distribution models shows that the temporal distribution of the representative rainfall event derived in this study is most similar to the Keifer & Chu model.

Comparison of Chukwooki and Modern data Using Annual Maximum Rainfall Event Series (연최대 호우사상 계열을 이용한 측우기자료 및 현대자료의 비교)

  • Park, Minkyu;Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Hyeon Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.2B
    • /
    • pp.137-147
    • /
    • 2010
  • In this study, Chukwooki and modern data were compared using annual maximum rainfall event series. Annual maximum series for specified rainfall duration in modern frequency analysis can not be constructed from Chukwooki data, so the concept of independent rainfall event is introduced to compare Chukwooki and modern data. Annual maximum rainfall event is determined by applying the bivariate exponential distribution and the parameters estimated annually are selected. The results using the annual parameter show that the hydrological meaning of the parameters is related to the variation of annual total rainfall amounts. For the whole independent rainfall events, the total rainfall and the rainfall intensity of Chukwooki data are greater than those of modern data, and rainfall duration of the two periods is similar. However modern annual maximum rainfall events show different characteristics that rainfall duration is much longer, rainfall intensity is similar and the total rainfall is greater than those of Chukwooki period. The increasing trend of rainfall duration and total rainfall of the modern annual rainfall events may be regarded as the one of components of the long-term cycle.

Application of the Beta Distribution for the Temporal Quantification of Storm Events (호우사상의 시간적 정량화를 위한 베타분포의 적용)

  • Jun, Chang-Hyun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.6
    • /
    • pp.531-544
    • /
    • 2012
  • This study suggested the parameter estimation method for given rainfall events to be properly expressed by the beta distribution. For this purpose, this study compared the characteristics of probability density function with the parameter proposed considering the cases with and without addition to the rainfall peak, and the cases of using the real hyetograph and the rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak. As an example, this study analyzed the independent rainfall events at Seoul in 2010 and the annual maximum independent rainfall events from 1961 to 2010. The results derived are as follows. First, this study confirmed the necessity of additional consideration on rainfall peak to mimic the real hyetograph of rainfall events by the beta distribution. Second, this study confirmed the case of using rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak derived a better beta distribution to well mimic the characteristics of real rainfall than the case using the real hyetograph.

A study on the rainfall management target considering inter-event time definition (IETD) (무강우 지속시간(IETD)을 고려한 빗물관리 목표량 설정 방안 연구)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Jaemoon;Park, Jaerock;Lim, Kyoungmo;Shin, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.8
    • /
    • pp.603-611
    • /
    • 2022
  • In urban areas, the impermeable area continues to increase due to urbanization, which interferes with the surface penetrating and infiltrating of rainwater, causing most rainwater runoff to the surface, deepening the distortion of water circulation. Distortion of water circulation affects not only flood disasters caused by rainfall and runoff, but also various aspects such as dry stream phenomenon, deterioration of water quality, and destruction of ecosystem balance, and the Ministry of Environment strongly recommends the use of Low Impact development (LID) techniques. In order to apply the LID technique, it is necessary to set a rainwater management target to handle the increase in outflow after the development of the target site, and the current standard sets the rainwater management target using the 10-year daily rainfall. In this study, the difference from the current standards was analyzed through statistical analysis and classification of independent rainfall ideas using inter-event time definition (IETD) in setting the target amount of rainwater management to improve water circulation. Using 30-year rainfall data from 1991 to 2020, methods such as autocorrelation coefficient (AC) analysis, variation coefficient (VC) analysis, and annual average number of rainfall event (NRE) analysis were applied, and IETD was selected according to the target rainfall period. The more samples the population had, the more IETD tended to increase. In addition, by analyzing the duration and time distribution of independent rainfall according to the IETD, a plan was proposed to calculate the standard design rainfall according to the rainwater management target amount. Therefore, it is expected that it will be possible to set an improved rainwater management target amount if sufficient samples of independent rainfall ideas are used through the selection of IETD as in this study.

Probabilistic Analysis of Independent Storm Events: 2. Return Periods of Storm Events (독립호우사상의 확률론적 해석 : 2. 호우사상의 재현기간)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.137-146
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, annual maximum storm events are evaluated by applying the bivariate extremal distribution. Rainfall quantiles of probabilistic storm event are calculated using OR case joint return period, AND case joint return period and interval conditional joint return period. The difference between each of three joint return periods was explained by the quadrant which shows probability calculation concept in the bivariate frequency analysis. Rainfall quantiles under AND case joint return periods are similar to rainfall depths in the univariate frequency analysis. The probabilistic storm events overcome the primary limitation of conventional univariate frequency analysis. The application of these storm event analysis provides a simple, statistically efficient means of characterizing frequency of extreme storm event.

A comprehensive analysis of temporal characteristics in independent rainstorm events in Seoul: focusing on changes in unit time and secondary peak constant (서울특별시 내 독립 호우사상의 시간분포 특성 분석: 분 단위와 차첨두 상수의 조건 변화를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Hoyoung;Lee, Jinwook;Jun, Changhyun;Byun, Jongyun;Baik, Jongjin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.56 no.11
    • /
    • pp.785-799
    • /
    • 2023
  • In this study, we proposed a new concept termed the Secondary Peak Constant (SPC) and discerned the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events based on unit time and SPC about 24 observation stations in Seoul. Utilizing rainfall observations from 2000 to 2022, independent rainstorm events discreted from rainfall data per unit time. The temporal characteristics of these events were derived according to unit time, and temporal characteristics of the peak rainfall were identified through the SPC. Finally, the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events were examined distinctively when analyzed by unit time and SPC. Independent rainstorm events with smaller unit time showed significantly larger total rainfall, rainfall duration, and rainfall intensity. The temporal characteristics of the largest peak rainfall (1st Peak) within independent rainstorm events followed a sequence of Q4>Q2>Q3>Q1. Additionally, the 2nd Peak rainfall predominantly occurred the location where the 1st Peak appeared. The proportion of independent rainstorm events with multiple peak rainfalls exceeded 50.0% when the SPC was 0.7 or lower. The average number of peak rainfalls within independent rainstorm events ranged from 1.5 to 3.4. This study identified the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events based on unit time. Then, the peak rainfall of temporal characteristics was quantified by SPC on this study. Hence, it is evident that the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events for specific area can be anlayzed and quantified based on unit time and SPC.

Estimating design floods based on bivariate rainfall frequency analysis and rainfall-runoff model (이변량 강우 빈도분석과 강우-유출 모형에 기반한 설계 홍수량 산정 방안)

  • Kim, Min Ji;Park, Kyung Woon;Kim, Seok-Woo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.10
    • /
    • pp.737-748
    • /
    • 2022
  • Due to the lack of flood data, the water engineering practice calculates the design flood using rainfall frequency analysis and rainfall-runoff model. However, the rainfall frequency analysis for arbitrary duration does not reflect the regional characteristics of the duration and amount of storm event. This study proposed a practical method to calculate the design flood in a watershed considering the characteristics of storm event, based on the bivariate rainfall frequency analysis. After extracting independent storm events for the Pyeongchang River basin and the upper Namhangang River basin, we performed the bivariate rainfall frequency analysis to determine the design storm events of various return periods, and calculated the design floods using the HEC-1 model. We compared the design floods based on the bivariate rainfall frequency analysis (DF_BRFA) with those estimated by the flood frequency analysis (DF_FFA), and those estimated by the HEC-1 with the univariate rainfall frequency analysis (DF_URFA). In the case of the Pyeongchang River basin, except for the 100-year flood, the average error of the DF_BRFA was 11.6%, which was the closest to the DF_FFA. In the case of the Namhangang River basin, the average error of the DF_BRFA was about 10%, which was the most similar to the DF_FFA. As the return period increased, the DF_URFA was calculated to be much larger than the DF_FFA, whereas the BRFA produced smaller average error in the design flood than the URFA. When the proposed method is used to calculate design flood in an ungauged watershed, it is expected that the estimated design flood might be close to the actual DF_FFA. Thus, the design of the hydrological structures and water resource plans can be carried out economically and reasonably.

Bivariate Rainfall Frequency Analysis and Rainfall-runoff Analysis for Independent Rainfall Events (독립 호우사상에 대한 이변량 강우빈도해석 및 강우-유출해석)

  • Park, Cheol-Soon;Yoo, Chul-Sang;Jun, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.45 no.7
    • /
    • pp.713-727
    • /
    • 2012
  • In this study, the bivariate frequency analysis of the independent annual rainfall event series was done to be used for the runoff analysis, whose results were also compared with those from the conventional univariate frequency analysis. This study was applied to three differently-sized basins such as the Joongryang Stream, Chunggye Stream, and Ooyi Stream. The Clark model was used as the runoff model, and the SCS method was applied for the calculation of the effective rainfall. The alternating block method and the Huff method were considered to be compared for the temporal distribution of rainfall event. Summarizing the results are as follows. (1) The difference between the univariate and bivariate frequency analysis results were large when the rainfall duration was short, but significantly decreased as the rainfall duration increased. The univariate frequency analysis results were bigger when the rainfall duration was short, but smaller in opposite case. (2) The peak flow derived by applying the alternating block method was bigger than that by the Huff method. Also, the peak flow when applying the alternating block method increased as the rainfall duration increased, but converged smoothly around the rainfall duration of 24 hours. (3) For the Joongryang Stream, when applying the Huff method, the peak flow derived for the bivariate frequency analysis was bigger than that for the univariate case, but for the other two basins, the results were opposite. When applying the alternating block method, the results were consistent for all three basins that the peak flow derived by applying the bivariate frequency analysis was bigger than those by the univariate frequency analysis.

Probabilistic Analysis of Independent Storm Events: 1. Construction of Annual Maximum Storm Event Series (독립호우사상의 확률론적 해석: 1. 연최대 호우사상 계열의 작성)

  • Park, Min-Kyu;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.127-136
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, annual maximum storm events are proposed to determined by the return periods considering total rainfall and rainfall intensity together. The rainfall series at Seoul since 1961 are examined and the results are as follows. First, the bivariate exponential distribution is used to determine annual maximum storm events. The parameter estimated annually provides more suitable results than the parameter estimated by whole periods. The chosen annual maximum storm events show these properties. The events with the biggest total rainfall tend to be selected in the wet years and the events with the biggest rainfall intensity in the wet years. These results satisfy the concept of critical storm events which produces the most severe runoff according to soil wetness. The average characteristics of the annual maximum storm events said average rainfall intensity 32.7 mm/hr in 1 hr storm duration(total rainfall 32.7 mm), average rainfall intensity 9.7 mm/hr in 24 hr storm duration(total rainfall 231.6 mm) and average rainfall intensity 7.4 mm/hr in 48 hr storm duration(total rainfall 355.0 mm).