• 한국심리학회지ㆍ건강
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.1-26
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• 2009

본 연구는 도박중독문제를 어떻게 정의하고 접근해야 최선일 것인가에 대한 근본적인 질문에서 시작되었다. 이에 도박중독문제의 본질을 규정하고, 도박중독 발생과 유지에 영향을 미치는 다양한 요인들을 포괄하여 도박문제를 이해하고자 하였다. 이러한 작업이 선행된 후에야 도박의 문제를 정확하게 진단, 분류, 평가하고 나아가 유병률이나 발병률의 균형잡힌 산정도 가능할 것이기 때문이다. 우선 도박중독 개념과 관련하여서는 전문가 간에 상이한 견해를 보이고 있으므로 도박 중독에 대한 광의의 정의와 협의의 정의 등으로 세분하는 것이 의사소통에 혼란을 방지할 수 있을 것으로 생각된다. 또한 도박행동을 중독인가 아닌가, 병적인가 아닌가 등 이분법적으로 구분하기보다 연속선상에 존재하는 것으로서 바라보아야 할 것이다. 이와 함께 최근 등장하고 있는 도박행동에 대한 다원적 및 다층적 관점을 소개하였는데, 이러한 관점의 장점은 도박문제를 개인의 책임으로만 떠넘기는 것이 아니라 도박문제와 관련된 다양한 주체들이 책임을 나누고 문제해결을 위해 공동대처하도록 촉진한다는 점이다. 또한 현재 국내에서 사용되고 있는 도박중독 평가척도들의 제한점을 극복한 척도의 제작이 필요한 바, 새로운 척도 개발 시 필요한 유의사항을 밝혔다. 마지막으로 도박관련 정책 추진시 유병률과 발병률의 산정이 중요한 이슈로 부각되는바, 도박중독문제의 본질에 충실한 유병률과 발병률 추정을 위한 방안을 제시하였다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권5호
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• pp.1981-1986
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• 2015

Background: Knowledge of cancer incidences is essential for cancer prevention and control programs. Capture-recapture methods have been recommended for reducing bias and increasing the accuracy of cancer incidence estimations. This study aimed to estimate the completeness of gastric cancer registration by the capture-recapture method based on Ardabil population-based cancer registry data. Materials and Methods: All new cases of gastric cancer reported by three sources, pathology reports, death certificates and medical records that reported to Ardabil population-based cancer registry in 2006 and 2008 were enrolled in the study. The duplicate cases based on the similarity of first name, surname and fathers names were identified between sources. The estimated number of gastric cancers was calculated by the log-linear method using Stata 12 software. Results: A total of 857 new cases of gastric cancer were reported from three sources. After removing duplicates, the reported incidence rates for the years 2006 and 2008 were 35.3 and 32.5 per 100,000 population, respectively. The estimated completeness calculated by log-linear method for these years was 36.7 and 36.0, respectively. Conclusions: These results indicate that none of the sources of pathology reports, death certificates and medical records individually or collectively fully cover the incident cases of gastric cancer. We can obtain more accurate estimates of incidence rates using the capture-recapture method.

• Maxillofacial Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.27-31
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• 2010

Purpose of study: The purpose of this study was to provide adequate diagnostic guideline for the maxillary sinuses prior to dental implant treatment for edentulous posterior maxillary areas. For this purpose, our procedure involves the estimation of the remaining alveolar bone height, the examination of the anatomical variation in the maxillary sinuses (e.g. sinus septum), and the evaluation of the incidence of preoperative pathological conditions in the maxillary sinuses. Materials and Methods: We selected 189 patients to undergo computerized tomography (CT) in order to account for the posterior maxillary anatomy found in patients of Korean ethnicity. We evaluated the following using Dentascan software: Remaining alveolar bone height, incidence of sinus septum, and rate of preoperative pathologic conditions in the maxillary sinus. The average amount of remaining alveolar bone height was analyzed using the student's t-test for differences according to anatomical site, and the ANOVA was used for the differences according to age group with the level of significance set at 0.05. Results: Alveolar bone heights of upper first premolar, second premolar, first molar, and second molar was 12.24 mm, 10.37 mm, 7.16 mm, and 7.15 mm, respectively with statistical significance (P < 0.05). Incidence of sinus septum as an anatomic variation was 17 out of 189 cases (9.0%). Incidence of mucosal thickening as a pathologic variation was 82 out of 189 cases (43.4%). Conclusion: In treatment planning of posterior maxillary edentulous area of Koreans, the consideration of augmentation surgery for maxillary sinus is required in maxillary molar area before dental implant installation, and preoperative screening of the asymptomatic maxillary sinuses can be regarded as a reasonable preoperative procedure in the planning of dental implant treatment on the posterior maxillary edentulous area.

• Journal of health informatics and statistics
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• 제41권3호
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• pp.318-323
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• 2016

Objectives: Except the known risk factors for stroke, few studies have identified novel metabolic markers that could effectively detect stroke at an early stage. In this study, we explored the dose-response relationship between serum metabolites and the incidence of stroke. Methods: We studied 213 adults in the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II (KCPS-II) biobank and estimated dose-response relationship between serum metabolites and stroke (42 cases and 171 controls). Three serum metabolites (Acetylcholine, HexadecylAcetylGlycerol, and 1-acetyl-2-formyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphocholine) were used in this study. The analysis included (1) exploratory nonlinear analysis, (2) estimation of flexion points and slopes at below and above the points. In the model to estimate risk of incidence of stroke, we controlled for conventional risk factors such as age, sex, systolic blood pressure, type 2 diabetes, triglyceride, and smoking status. Results: The relationship between incidence of stroke and log-transformed 1-acetyl-2-formyl-sn-glycero-3-phosphocholine was non-linear with flexion point around intensity score of 8.8, whereas other metabolites, log-transformed Acetylcholine and HexadecylAcetylGlycerol, showed negative linear patterns. Conclusions: The study suggests that metabolic markers are associated with incidence of stroke, particularly, at or above the flexion point. The study result may contribute to developing a novel system for precise stroke prediction.

• 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한예방의학회 2002년도 제54차 추계 학술대회 연제집
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• pp.435-436
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• 2002

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제20권1호
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• pp.149-158
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• 2009

쯔쯔가무시증은 가을철 유행성 출혈열 중 80%이상을 차지하는 질병으로 1주에서 2주의 잠복기를 가지는 것으로 알려져 있다. 우리는 그 잠복기간의 확률분포가 감마분포라 가정하고 후향연산식을 이용하여, ${\hat{\mu}}=309.92$$, ${\hat{\sigma}}=14.154$인 정규분포를 따르는 감염자 분포를 추정하였다. 감염자는 10월에 집중적으로 분포하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 감염자 분포형태는 발병자 수가 11월동안 급격하게 증가하는 것에 기인한다. 본 연구에서 추정한 감염확률에 의해 미래의 유병자수를 계산한 결과 최대 1200명이었고 이는 매년 증가하는 발병자 수의 경향을 반영하지 못한 한계가 있다. 또한 우리는 전염병 모형으로 잘 알려져 있고 전염발전 단계간의 상호작용을 고려하는 SIRS 모형을 적용해 보았다. 모수는 초기값으로부터 잘 근사되어 수렴하는 값으로 추정하였다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권sup3호
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• pp.225-229
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• 2016

Cancer registration is an important component of a comprehensive cancer control program, providing timely data and information for research and administrative use. Capture-recapture methods have been used as tools to investigate completeness of cancer registry data. This study aimed to estimate the completeness of lung cancer cases registered in Ardabil Population Based Cancer Registry (APBCR) with a three-source capture-recapture method. Data for all new cases of lung cancer reported by three sources (pathology reports, death certificates, and medical records) to APBCR for 2006 and 2008 were obtained. Duplicate cases shared among the three sources were identified based on similarity of first name, last name and father's names. A log-linear model was used to estimate number of missed cases and to control for dependency among sources. A total of 218 new cases of lung cancer was reported by three sources after removing duplicates. The estimated completeness calculated by log-linear method was 26.4 for 2006 and 27.1 for 2008. The completeness differed according to gender. In men, the completeness was 26.0% for 2006 and 28.1 for 2008. In women, the completeness was 36.5% for 2006 and 46.9 for 2008. In conclusion, none of the three sources can be considered as a reliable source for accurate cancer incidence estimation.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.1169-1182
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• 2016

한국인의 전형적인 사망 원인인 암은 보건 분야에서 중요한 문제이다. 통계청이 제시한 Cause of death statistics (2014)에 따르면, 7대 광역시 중 부산의 표준화 사망률 (standardized mortality rate; SMR)이 가장 높게 나타났다. 이 논문에서는 부산지역암센터의 암등록자료를 이용하여 암발생률과 암사망률의 정도를 추정하고자 한다. 2003~2009년 자료를 대상으로 구/동과 같은 소지역 단위를 고려하였으며, 전체 암과 4대 주요암 (위암, 대장암, 폐암, 간암)에 대해 분석하였다. 공간 상관성을 고려한 공간 다수준 모형을 통해 모형 선택과 모수 추정을 수행하였다. 공간 효과에 대해서는 조건부 자기회귀 (conditional autoregressive; CAR)를 가정하였으며 WinBUGS를 이용하였다. 분석의 결과로 각 지역에서의 공간 효과를 어떻게 분석하고 해석하는지 제시하였다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 1999년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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• pp.485-490
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• 1999

Wind vector information over the ocean is currently obtained using multiple beam scatterometer data. The scatterometers on ERS-1/2 generate wind vector information with a spatial resolution of 50km and accuracies of $\pm$2m/s in wind speed and $\pm$20$^{\circ}$ in wind direction. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data over the ocean have the potential of providing wind vector information independent of weather conditions with finer resolution. Finer resolution wind vector information can often be useful particularly in coastal regions where the scatterometer wind information is often corrupted because of the lower resolution system characteristics which is often contaminated by the signal returns from the coastal areas or ice in the case of arctic environments. In this paper we tested CMOD_4 and CMOD_IFR2 algorithms for extracting the wind vector from SAR data. These algorithms require precise estimation of normalized radar cross-section and wind direction from the SAR data and the local incidence angle. The CMOD series algorithms were developed for the C-band, VV-Polarized SAR data, typically for the ERS SAR data. Since RADARSAT operates at the same C-band but with HH-Polarization, the CMOD series algorithms should not be used directly. As a preliminary approach of resolving with this problem, we applied the polarization ratio between the HH and VV polarizations in the wind vectors estimation. Two test areas, one in front of Inchon and several sites around Jeju island were selected and investigated for wind vector estimation. The new results were compared with the wind vectors obtained from CMOD algorithms. The wind vector results agree well with the observed wind speed data. However the estimation of wind direction agree with the observed wind direction only when the wind speed is greater than approximately 3.0m/s.

• Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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• 제11권1_2호
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• pp.1-10
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• 1996

A decrease in stratospheric ozone probably caused by chloroflurocarbons (CFCs) emissions, has been observed large parts of-the globe. It is generally accepted that if ozone levels in the stratosphere are depleted, greater amounts of shortwave ultraviolet radiationB (UVB) will reach the earth's surface, resulting in increased incidence of nonmelanoma skin cancer. In this study, we evaluated several mathematical models, such as a power and an exponential model, and a geometric model considering the surface area of a human body part and ages for the prediction of Skin cancer incidence caused by exposure to the UVB radiation. These models basically estimated the risk of skin cancer based on those measurements of the local ozone in stratosphere and UVB. Both were measured at a part of Seoul with a Dobson ozone spectrometer and Robertson-Berger UV Biometer for 1995. As a result, we calculated the point estimation applying a biological amplification factor (BAF), UVB radiation and other factors. We used a Monte-Carlo simulation technique with assumption on the distribution of each considered factor. The sensitivity analysis of model by there components conducted using Gaussian sensitivity method. The annual integral of UVB radiation was 2275 MED (minimal erythema dose)/yr. Also, an estimate of the annual amount of UVB reaching the earth's surface at a korea's latitude and altitude was 3328 MED/yr. The values of the radiation amplification factor (RAF) were ranged from 0.9 to 1.5 in Seoul. To give the effective factors required to model the prediction of skin cancer incidence caused by exposure to the UVB radiation in Korea, we studied the pros and cons of above mentioned models with the application of those parameters measured in Seoul, Korea.