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미계측 유역을 위한 물리 및 딥러닝 기반 하이브리드 홍수 예측 모형 (Physical and Deep Learning Hybrid Flood Forecasting Model for Ungauged Watersheds)

  • 정민엽;차준호;진채연;김대홍
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.94-94
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    • 2023
  • 유역에서의 홍수를 예측하기 위한 다양한 강우-유출 모형들이 개발되어 사용되고 있다. 개념적 강우-유출 모형들은 신뢰성과 적용성이 높아 실무에서 널리 활용되어왔으나, 강우-유출 과정을 단순화하여 고려하므로 유출예측의 정확도에 한계가 있다. 또한 모형의 매개변수에 여러 불확실성이 존재하므로 충분한 양의 관측자료를 사용한 보정 작업이 필요하다. 물리적 강우-유출 모형들은 유출예측 결과가 비교적 물리적으로 정확하다는 장점이 있지만, 높은 계산 비용 및 수치적 불안정성으로 인하여 실무에의 적용이 힘들다. 본 연구에서는 홍수 예측의 정확도와 효율성을 모두 확보할 수 있는 하이브리드 기법을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 기법은 물리적 모형인 동역학파 모형과 개념적 모형인 순간단위도 모형, 그리고 딥러닝 모형을 결합하여 사용하는 기법이다. 유역의 조도계수 및 지형을 활용한 동역학파 시뮬레이션을 수행하였으며, 동역학파 시뮬레이션 결과 및 멱함수로 나타내어지는 비선형적 강우-유출 관계를 이용하여 유역의 순간단위도를 유도였다. 또한, 딥러닝 모형인 LSTM 모형을 활용하여 강우손실 매개변수를 추정하였으며, 이를 이용하여 강우손실을 계산한 후 유효강우주상도를 산정하였다. 그리고 유역 출구에서의 홍수수문곡선은 유효강우주상도와 순간단위도를 활용한 회선적분을 통해 예측되었다. 본 연구에서 개발한 기법을 시험유역 및 자연유역에서의 홍수 예측에 적용해보았으며, 예측 결과는 NSE=0.55-0.90, R2=0.67-0.95의 높은 정확도를 보였다. 본 연구에서 유도하는 순간단위도는 한 유역에서 유일하지 않으며, 유효 강우강도의 함수이므로 홍수 예측에 비선형적 강우-유출 관계를 고려할 수 있으며, 수많은 유효 강우강도에 대한 순간단위도들은 멱함수를 이용하여 순간적으로 유도될 수 있다. 또한, 유역의 강우 특성이나 지표면의 토양수분, 식생과 같은 특성을 딥러닝 모형을 통해 고려함으로써 강우 손실 산정의 불확실성을 줄일 수 있다. 또한, 순간단위도 유도를 위한 기초작업인 동역학파 시뮬레이션은 유역의 지형과 조도계수만을 필요로 하므로 미계측 유역에의 적용이 유리하다.

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주택용 연료전지 효율 향상을 위한 다중 스택 연료전지 시스템의 전력 분배 최적화 (Power Distribution Optimization of Multi-stack Fuel Cell Systems for Improving the Efficiency of Residential Fuel Cell)

  • 강태성;함성현;오환영;최윤영;김민진
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.358-368
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    • 2023
  • The fuel cell market is expected to grow rapidly. Therefore, it is necessary to scale up fuel cells for buildings, power generation, and ships. A multi-stack system can be an effective way to expand the capacity of a fuel cell. Multi-stack fuel cell systems are better than single-stack systems in terms of efficiency, reliability, durability and maintenance. In this research, we developed a residential fuel cell stack and system model that generates electricity using the fuel cell-photovoltaic hybrid system. The efficiency and hydrogen consumption of the fuel cell system were calculated according to the three proposed power distribution methods (equivalent, Daisy-chain, and optimal method). As a result, the optimal power distribution method increases the efficiency of the fuel cell system and reduces hydrogen consumption. The more frequently the multi-stack fuel cell system is exposed to lower power levels, the greater the effectiveness of the optimal power distribution method.

Determination of the stage and grade of periodontitis according to the current classification of periodontal and peri-implant diseases and conditions (2018) using machine learning algorithms

  • Kubra Ertas;Ihsan Pence;Melike Siseci Cesmeli;Zuhal Yetkin Ay
    • Journal of Periodontal and Implant Science
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    • 제53권1호
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    • pp.38-53
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The current Classification of Periodontal and Peri-Implant Diseases and Conditions, published and disseminated in 2018, involves some difficulties and causes diagnostic conflicts due to its criteria, especially for inexperienced clinicians. The aim of this study was to design a decision system based on machine learning algorithms by using clinical measurements and radiographic images in order to determine and facilitate the staging and grading of periodontitis. Methods: In the first part of this study, machine learning models were created using the Python programming language based on clinical data from 144 individuals who presented to the Department of Periodontology, Faculty of Dentistry, Süleyman Demirel University. In the second part, panoramic radiographic images were processed and classification was carried out with deep learning algorithms. Results: Using clinical data, the accuracy of staging with the tree algorithm reached 97.2%, while the random forest and k-nearest neighbor algorithms reached 98.6% accuracy. The best staging accuracy for processing panoramic radiographic images was provided by a hybrid network model algorithm combining the proposed ResNet50 architecture and the support vector machine algorithm. For this, the images were preprocessed, and high success was obtained, with a classification accuracy of 88.2% for staging. However, in general, it was observed that the radiographic images provided a low level of success, in terms of accuracy, for modeling the grading of periodontitis. Conclusions: The machine learning-based decision system presented herein can facilitate periodontal diagnoses despite its current limitations. Further studies are planned to optimize the algorithm and improve the results.

RS-box 은닉 모델에 기반한 한글 메시지 보안을 위한 이미지 스테가노그래피 (Image Steganography for Securing Hangul Messages based on RS-box Hiding Model)

  • 지선수
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2023
  • 대부분의 정보는 네트워크를 통해 전송하기 때문에 제3자에 의한 도청, 가로채기 등이 발생할 수 있다. 네트워크에서 효과적이고, 안전한 비밀 통신을 위한 적절한 조치가 요구된다. 스테가노그래피는 비밀정보를 다른 매체에 숨기는 것을 제3자가 감지할 수 없도록 조치하는 기술이다. 구조적 취약점으로 인해 암호화와 스테가노그래피 기법에 의해 보호된 정보는 합법적이지 못한 그룹에게 쉽게 노출될 수 있다. 숨기는 방법의 단순성과 예측 가능성이 존재하는 LSB의 한계를 개선하기 위해 의사난수생성기와 재귀 함수에 기반하여 은닉하려는 메시지의 보안성을 향상시키는 기법을 제안한다. 보안성과 혼돈성을 강화하기 위해, 선택된 채널의 상위 비트에서 임의 비트를 선택한 결과와 RS-box에 의해 변형된 정보를 XOR 연산하였다. 제안된 방법의 성능을 확인하기 위해 PSNR과 SSIM을 이용하였다. 기준값에 비해 제안한 방법의 SSIM과 PSNR은 각각 0.9999, 51.366으로 정보를 숨기는데 적절함을 확인하였다.

The Horizon Run 5 Cosmological Hydrodynamical Simulation: Probing Galaxy Formation from Kilo- to Giga-parsec Scales

  • Lee, Jaehyun;Shin, Jihey;Snaith, Owain N.;Kim, Yonghwi;Few, C. Gareth;Devriendt, Julien;Dubois, Yohan;Cox, Leah M.;Hong, Sungwook E.;Kwon, Oh-Kyoung;Park, Chan;Pichon, Christophe;Kim, Juhan;Gibson, Brad K.;Park, Changbom
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.38.2-38.2
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    • 2020
  • Horizon Run 5 (HR5) is a cosmological hydrodynamical simulation which captures the properties of the Universe on a Gpc scale while achieving a resolution of 1 kpc. This enormous dynamic range allows us to simultaneously capture the physics of the cosmic web on very large scales and account for the formation and evolution of dwarf galaxies on much smaller scales. Inside the simulation box. we zoom-in on a high-resolution cuboid region with a volume of 1049 × 114 × 114 Mpc3. The subgrid physics chosen to model galaxy formation includes radiative heating/cooling, reionization, star formation, supernova feedback, chemical evolution tracking the enrichment of oxygen and iron, the growth of supermassive black holes and feedback from active galactic nuclei (AGN) in the form of a dual jet-heating mode. For this simulation we implemented a hybrid MPI-OpenMP version of the RAMSES code, specifically targeted for modern many-core many thread parallel architectures. For the post-processing, we extended the Friends-of-Friend (FoF) algorithm and developed a new galaxy finder to analyse the large outputs of HR5. The simulation successfully reproduces many observations, such as the cosmic star formation history, connectivity of galaxy distribution and stellar mass functions. The simulation also indicates that hydrodynamical effects on small scales impact galaxy clustering up to very large scales near and beyond the baryonic acoustic oscillation (BAO) scale. Hence, caution should be taken when using that scale as a cosmic standard ruler: one needs to carefully understand the corresponding biases. The simulation is expected to be an invaluable asset for the interpretation of upcoming deep surveys of the Universe.

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하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 앙상블 모델을 이용한 댐 유입량 예측 및 평가 (Dam Inflow Prediction and Evaluation Using Hybrid Auto-sklearn Ensemble Model)

  • 이서로;배주현;이관재;양동석;홍지영;김종건;임경재
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.307-307
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화와 댐 상류 토지이용 변화 등과 같은 다양한 원인에 의해 댐 유입량의 변동성이 증가하면서 댐 관리 및 운영조작 의사 결정에 어려움이 발생하고 있다. 따라서 이러한 댐 유입량의 변동 특성을 반영하여 댐 유입량을 정확하고 효율적으로 예측할 수 있는 방안이 필요한 실정이다. 머신러닝 기술이 발전하면서 Auto-ML(Automated Machine Learning)이 다양한 분야에서 활용되고 있다. Auto-ML은 데이터 전처리, 최적 알고리즘 선택, 하이퍼파라미터 튜닝, 모델 학습 및 평가 등의 모든 과정을 자동화하는 기술이다. 그러나 아직까지 수문 분야에서 댐 유입량을 예측하기 위한 모델을 개발하는데 있어서 Auto-ML을 활용한 사례는 부족하고, 특히 댐 유입량의 예측 정확성을 확보하기 위해 High-inflow and low-inflow 의 변동 특성을 고려한 하이브리드 결합 방식을 통해 Auto-ML 기반 앙상블 모델을 개발하고 평가한 연구는 없다. 본 연구에서는 Auto-ML의 패키지 중 Auto-sklearn을 통해 홍수기, 비홍수기 유입량 변동 특성을 반영한 하이브리드 앙상블 댐 유입량 예측 모델을 개발하였다. 소양강댐을 대상으로 적용한 결과, 하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 앙상블 모델의 댐 유입량 예측 성능은 R2 0.868, RMSE 66.23 m3/s, MAE 16.45 m3/s로 단일 Auto-sklearn을 통해 구축 된 앙상블 모델보다 전반적으로 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 특히 FDC (Flow Duration Curve)의 저수기, 갈수기 구간에서 두 모델의 유입량 예측 경향은 큰 차이를 보였으며, 하이브리드 Auto-sklearn 모델의 예측 값이 관측 값과 더욱 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 홍수기, 비홍수기 구간에 대한 앙상블 모델이 독립적으로 구축되는 과정에서 각 모델에 대한 하이퍼파라미터가 최적화되었기 때문이라 판단된다. 향후 본 연구의 방법론은 보다 정확한 댐 유입량 예측 자료를 생성하기 위한 방안 수립뿐만 아니라 다양한 분야의 불균형한 데이터셋을 이용한 앙상블 모델을 구축하는데도 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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Dynamic CT Myocardial Perfusion Imaging in Patients without Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease: Quantification of Myocardial Blood Flow according to Varied Heart Rate Increments after Stress

  • Lihua Yu;Xiaofeng Tao;Xu Dai;Ting Liu;Jiayin Zhang
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2021
  • Objective: The present study aimed to investigate the association between myocardial blood flow (MBF) quantified by dynamic CT myocardial perfusion imaging (CT-MPI) and the increments in heart rate (HR) after stress in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively included 204 subjects who underwent both dynamic CT-MPI and coronary CT angiography (CCTA). Patients with more than minimal coronary stenosis (diameter ≥ 25%), history of myocardial infarction/revascularization, cardiomyopathy, and microvascular dysfunction were excluded. Global MBF at stress was measured using hybrid deconvolution and maximum slope model. Furthermore, the HR increments after stress were recorded. Results: The median radiation dose of dynamic CT-MPI plus CCTA was 5.5 (4.5-6.8) mSv. The median global MBF of all subjects was 156.4 (139.8-180.4) mL/100 mL/min. In subjects with HR increment between 10 to 19 beats per minute (bpm), the global MBF was significantly lower than that of subjects with increment between 20 to 29 bpm (153.3 mL/100 mL/min vs. 171.3 mL/100 mL/min, p = 0.027). This difference became insignificant when the HR increment further increased to ≥ 30 bpm. Conclusion: The global MBF value was associated with the extent of increase in HR after stress. Significantly higher global MBF was seen in subjects with HR increment of ≥ 20 bpm.

A Predictive Virtual Machine Placement in Decentralized Cloud using Blockchain

  • Suresh B.Rathod
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.60-66
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    • 2024
  • Host's data during transmission. Data tempering results in loss of host's sensitive information, which includes number of VM, storage availability, and other information. In the distributed cloud environment, each server (computing server (CS)) configured with Local Resource Monitors (LRMs) which runs independently and performs Virtual Machine (VM) migrations to nearby servers. Approaches like predictive VM migration [21] [22] by each server considering nearby server's CPU usage, roatative decision making capacity [21] among the servers in distributed cloud environment has been proposed. This approaches usage underlying server's computing power for predicting own server's future resource utilization and nearby server's resource usage computation. It results in running VM and its running application to remain in waiting state for computing power. In order to reduce this, a decentralized decision making hybrid model for VM migration need to be proposed where servers in decentralized cloud receives, future resource usage by analytical computing system and takes decision for migrating VM to its neighbor servers. Host's in the decentralized cloud shares, their detail with peer servers after fixed interval, this results in chance to tempering messages that would be exchanged in between HC and CH. At the same time, it reduces chance of over utilization of peer servers, caused due to compromised host. This paper discusses, an roatative decisive (RD) approach for VM migration among peer computing servers (CS) in decentralized cloud environment, preserving confidentiality and integrity of the host's data. Experimental result shows that, the proposed predictive VM migration approach reduces extra VM migration caused due over utilization of identified servers and reduces number of active servers in greater extent, and ensures confidentiality and integrity of peer host's data.

Analysis and study of Deep Reinforcement Learning based Resource Allocation for Renewable Powered 5G Ultra-Dense Networks

  • Hamza Ali Alshawabkeh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.226-234
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    • 2024
  • The frequent handover problem and playing ping-pong effects in 5G (5th Generation) ultra-dense networking cannot be effectively resolved by the conventional handover decision methods, which rely on the handover thresholds and measurement reports. For instance, millimetre-wave LANs, broadband remote association techniques, and 5G/6G organizations are instances of group of people yet to come frameworks that request greater security, lower idleness, and dependable principles and correspondence limit. One of the critical parts of 5G and 6G innovation is believed to be successful blockage the board. With further developed help quality, it empowers administrator to run many systems administration recreations on a solitary association. To guarantee load adjusting, forestall network cut disappointment, and give substitute cuts in case of blockage or cut frustration, a modern pursuing choices framework to deal with showing up network information is require. Our goal is to balance the strain on BSs while optimizing the value of the information that is transferred from satellites to BSs. Nevertheless, due to their irregular flight characteristic, some satellites frequently cannot establish a connection with Base Stations (BSs), which further complicates the joint satellite-BS connection and channel allocation. SF redistribution techniques based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) have been devised, taking into account the randomness of the data received by the terminal. In order to predict the best capacity improvements in the wireless instruments of 5G and 6G IoT networks, a hybrid algorithm for deep learning is being used in this study. To control the level of congestion within a 5G/6G network, the suggested approach is put into effect to a training set. With 0.933 accuracy and 0.067 miss rate, the suggested method produced encouraging results.

한반도에서 발생한 중규모 대류계의 구름 주변 난류 발생 메커니즘 사례 연구 (A Case Study on Near-Cloud Turbulence around the Mesoscale Convective System in the Korean Peninsula)

  • 양성일;이주헌;김정훈
    • 대기
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.153-176
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    • 2024
  • At 0843 UTC 30 May 2021, a commercial aircraft encountered severe turbulence at z = 11.5 km associated with the rapid development of Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) in the Gyeonggi Bay of Korea. To investigate the generation mechanisms of Near-Cloud Turbulence (NCT) near the MCS, Weather Research and Forecasting model was used to reproduce key features at multiple-scales with four nested domains (the finest ∆x = 0.2 km) and 112 hybrid vertical layers. Simulated subgrid-scale turbulent kinetic energy (SGS TKE) was located in three different regions of the MCS. First, the simulated NCT with non-zero SGS TKE at z = 11.5 km at 0835 UTC was collocated with the reported NCT. Cloud-induced flow deformation and entrainment process on the downstream of the overshooting top triggered convective instability and subsequent SGS TKE. Second, at z = 16.5 km at 0820 UTC, the localized SGS TKE was found 4 km above the overshooting cloud top. It was attributed to breaking down of vertically propagating convectively-induced gravity wave at background critical level. Lastly, SGS TKE was simulated at z = 11.5 km at 0930 UTC during the dissipating stage of MCS. Upper-level anticyclonic outflow of MCS intensified the environmental westerlies, developing strong vertical wind shear on the northeastern quadrant of the dissipating MCS. Three different generation mechanisms suggest the avoidance guidance for the possible NCT events near the entire period of the MCS in the heavy air traffic area around Incheon International Airport in Korea.