• 대기
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.463-470
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• 2007

This study aims to assess the impact of the hot summer weather on daily mortality in Busan. Daily total all-caused mortality in the entire population in Busan has been examined during 1991-2005. The daily deaths were standardized to account for the long-term trend in mortality and their seasonal and weekly cycles. We found the net increase (about 8.2%) of excess deaths during the extraordinary heat wave period in July of 1994. It corresponds to the excess deaths of 109.5 during the month. The abnormality of temperature extremes in July of 1994 and their impacts on human health were also investigated. Unusual heat wave appeared in the first ten days in July of 1994. The excess deaths are likely to be attributable to the record-breaking heat waves. The result suggests that unusual early heat waves would be dangerous, even for inhabitants who live in an acclimated region to the heat waves such as Busan.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• 제45권1호
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• pp.10-16
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• 2021

Background: Ranavirus is an emerging infectious disease which has been linked to mass mortality events in various amphibian species. In this study, we document the first mass mortality event of an adult population of Dybowski's brown frogs (Rana dybowskii), in 2017, within a mountain valley in South Korea. Results: We confirmed the presence of ranavirus from all collected frogs (n = 22) via PCR and obtained the 500 bp major capsid protein (MCP) sequence from 13 individuals. The identified MCP sequence highly resembled Frog virus 3 (FV3) and was the same haplotype of a previously identified viral sequence collected from Huanren brown frog (R. huanrenensis) tadpoles in South Korea. Human habitat alteration, by recent erosion control works, may be partially responsible for this mass mortality event. Conclusion: We document the first mass mortality event in a wild Korean population of R. dybowskii. We also suggest, to determine if ranavirus infection is a threat to amphibians, government officials and researchers should develop continuous, country-wide, ranavirus monitoring programs of Korean amphibian populations.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.41-59
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• 2016

지속적인 사망률 개선으로 인한 평균 수명연장은 인구 고령화의 주요인이며 연금 공급자의 재정건전성에 심각한 영향을 미치는 원인으로 지목되기에 정확한 미래 사망률의 예측은 현 시점에서 선행되어야할 중요한 과제다. 본 연구는 미래 사망률을 예측하는 대표적인 확률적 사망률 모형인 Lee-Carter 모형을 사용하여 과거 생명표로 산출한 왜도를 기반으로 미래 사망률 지수를 간접적으로 예측하는 왜도예측방식을 제시한다. 기존의 Lee-Carter 모형을 이용한 사망률 예측방식은 사망률 지수를 추정하고 미래값을 직접 예측함으로써 미래 사망률이 지나치게 개선되는 현상을 보이며, 이를 바탕으로 산출된 연금액과 지급기간 추정 등 연금 공급자의 리스크 관리에 영향을 미친다. 본 연구는 기존 예측 방식의 사망률 예측 결과와 제시한 왜도 예측 방식의 사망률 예측 결과를 비교함으로써 기존 사망률 예측 방식의 문제점을 지적한다. 분석결과 왜도 예측을 통한 Lee-Carter 모형의 사망률 예측은 기존 방식보다 사망률 개선효과를 더 적게 반영하며 장수리스크를 덜 왜곡한다는 데 의의가 있다고 할 수 있다. 하지만 기존 방식 간 차이를 감안하여 적정한 미래 사망률 수준을 찾기 위해 임의로 부여한 가중치에 대해 향후 검토가 필요할 것으로 보인다.

• 생태와환경
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.395-408
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• 2013

환경상태는 생물이 적합도 (번식성공 또는 생존율)를 극대화하기 위해서 초기생활사의 변화를 초래할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 온도변화와 온도에 따른 수상레저활동 인구변화가 어류의 초기 생활사 특성, 즉 체세포 성장(성장속도), 번식세포 (생식소) 발달 그리고 누적스트레스의 회복과정과 어떠한 관계가 있는지를 동적상태의존모델을 이용하여 분석하였다. 우선 어류의 초기 생활사 특성이 취식행동에 영향을 받는다고 가정하였고, 이러한 관계를 고려하여 어류의 일반 생활사 모델을 개발하였다. 모델은 성장속도와 번식세포(생식소)의 발달이 온도가 상승함에 (단, 성장속도를 감소시키는 임계온도보다는 낮은) 따라 빨라졌으며, 또한 체내에 누적되는 스트레스도 함께 증가하였다. 흥미롭게도 온도가 높을 때에는 수상레저활동 인구의 증가는 성장속도와 생식소의 발달을 느리게 했지만, 스트레스의 누적은 가속화시켰다. 그러나 온도가 낮을 때에는 초기 생활사에 대한 수상레저활동 인구의 영향이 상대적으로 낮았다. 또한 최적취식행동은 높은 온도에서는 수상레저활동 인구의 변화에 관계없이 항상 높았지만, 낮은 온도에서는 수상레저활동 인구가 증가할수록 급격히 감소하였다. 초기성장기간 동안의 생존율은 온도가 낮아지고 수상레저활동 인구가 적을 때에는 취식행동이나 인간 활동에 따른 어류의 사망률 증감이 생존률 변이에 영향을 주었다. 반대로 온도가 높아지고 수상레저활동 인구가 많을 때의 생존율은 취식행동이나 사망률에 관계없이 항상 낮았다. 끝으로 본 연구를 통해 기후변화와 수상레저활동 인구변화와 관련된 어류의 초기 생활사를 수생태계 보전전략이나 건강성 평가분석에 포함시키는 것은 분석의 정확성과 정밀성을 향상시킬 수 있을 것이라 사료된다.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.155-182
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• 1997

Objectives : This study was designed to compare North Korea and South Korea in measures of the quality of life (physical quality of life index and human development index) and to investigate the impact of selected medical and socioeconomic factors on PQL variables. Data and Methods : The World Bank, the United Nations Development Programme, and Population Reference Bureau were the principal sources of statistical data of 121 countries. Variables included infant mortality, life expectancy at birth, literacy rate, secondary school enrollment (male and female), GNP per capita, population per doctor, daily calorie supply per capita, and a composite PQL index. The Ordinary Least Square model was employed for cross-countries analysis. Findings : Both countries under quite different political and economic systems saw big improvememts in the quality of life, reducing mortality and prolonging life expectancy during the past three decades. In recent decad, however, North Korea has experienced abrupt exacerbation in the quality of life. Significant improvements in infant mortality of the population wer attributable mainly to GNP per capita and the secondary school enrollemt of female. The principal predictors of life expectancy at birth were population per doctor, infant mortality, and literacy rate. The secondary school enrollment of female and population per doctor were significantly associated with improvements in the physical quality of life index (PQLI). Conclusion : The results of this study confirmed a point illustrated by other studies : The association between quality of life as a measure of health status and socioeconomic factors was strong and positive. The important contribution of educational attainment in general, female education level in particular to improvements in the quality of life deserves good news for building an integrated health care system in the reunified Korea, taking into account the high level of education two koreas are enjoying. Meanwhile, when a sharp drop in the quality of life has been observed in North Korea under serious economic difficulties and food shortage in recent decade, the significant contribution of economic development to improvements in the quality of life poses bad nows for reunifying Korean health care in economic terms.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제45권5호
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• pp.573-591
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• 2010

이 연구에서는 지난 100년(1908~2007) 동안 서울에서 발생한 열파의 변화추세와 극심한 열파 발생 시 도심내 열환경과 사망자의 시공간적 패턴을 분석하고자 한다. 최근의 온난화 경향에도 불구하고 여름철 강수량증가에 의해 서울시의 열파 발생빈도 및 강도에는 뚜렷한 변화경향이 관찰되지 않는다. 전례 없이 강한 열파가 발생한 1994년 7월의 자동기상관측 및 Landsat TM 위성 영상 추출 열분포 자료들은 도심내 형성되는 고온의 열환경에 의해 노인 질병 사망자 수가 더욱 증가하였음을 잘 보여준다. 이 연구는 차후 도심 정비시 열환경 분포를 고려해야 하는 생리기후학적 근거를 제시하고 있다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권16호
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• pp.6903-6908
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• 2015

Background: As smoking is the leading preventable cause of multiple diseases and premature cancer deaths, estimating the burden of cancer attributable to smoking has become the standard in documenting the adverse impact of smoking. In Indonesia, there is a dearth of studies assessing the economic costs of cancers related to smoking. This study aimed to estimate indirect mortality costs of premature cancer deaths and years of potential life lost (YPLL) attributable to smoking among the Indonesian population. Materials and Methods: A prevalence based method was employed. Using national data, we estimated smoking-attributable cancer mortality in 2013. Premature mortality costs and YPLL were estimated by calculating number of cancer deaths, life expectancy, annual income, and workforce participation rate. A human capital approach was used to calculate the present value of lifetime earnings (PVLE). A discount rate of 3% was applied. Results: The study estimated that smoking attributable cancer mortality was 74,440 (30.6% of total cancer deaths), comprised of 95% deaths in men and 5% in women. Cancers attributed to smoking wereresponsible for 1,207,845 YPLL. Cancer mortality costs caused by smoking accounted for USD 1,309 million in 2013. Among all cancers, lung cancer is the leading cause of death and economic burden. Conclusions: Cancers related to smoking pose an enormous economic burden in Indonesia. Therefore, tobacco control efforts need to be prioritized in order to prevent more losses to the nation. The data of this study are important for advocating national tobacco control policy.

• Advances in environmental research
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.17-41
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• 2021

Kazakhstan's cities experience high concentrations levels of atmospheric particulate matter (PM), which is well-known for its highly detrimental effect on the human health. A further increase in PM concentrations in the future could lead to a higher air pollution-caused morbidity and mortality, causing an increase in healthcare expenditures by the government. However, to prevent elevated PM concentrations in the future, more stringent standards could be implemented by lowering current maximum allowable PM concentration limit to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)'s limits. Therefore, this study aims to find out what impact this change in environmental policy towards PM has on state economy in the long run. Future PM10 and PM2.5 concentrations were estimated using multiple linear regression based on gross regional product (GRP) and population growth parameters. Dose-response model was based on World Health Organization's approach for the identification of mortality, morbidity and healthcare costs due to air pollution. Analysis of concentrations revealed that only 6 out of 21 cities of Kazakhstan did not exceed the EU limit on PM10 concentration. Changing environmental standards resulted in the 71.7% decrease in mortality and 77% decrease in morbidity cases in all cities compared to the case without changes in environmental policy. Moreover, the cost of morbidity and mortality associated with air pollution decreased by $669 million in 2030 and $2183 million in 2050 in case of implementation of OECD standards. Thus, changing environmental regulations will be beneficial in terms of both of mortality reduction and state budget saving.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.2119-2128
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• 2015

Cancer is the leading cause of death around the world. Anticancer activities from many functional food sources have been reported in years, but correlation between cancer prevalence and types of food with anticancer activities from crop origin center in the world as well as food source with human migration are unclear. Hunger from food shortage is the cause of early human evolution from Africa to Asia and later into Eurasia. The richest functional foods are found in crop origin centers, housing about 70% in the world populations. Crop origin centers have lower cancer incidence and mortality in the world, especially Central Asia, Middle East, Southwest China, India and Ethiopia. Asia and Africa with the richest anticancer crops is not only the most important evolution base of humans and origin center of anticancer functional crop, but also is the lowest mortality and incidence of cancers in the world. Cancer prevention of early human migrations was associated with functional foods from crop origin centers, especially Asia with four centers and one subcenter of crop origin, accounting for 58% of the world population. These results reveal that coevolution between human's anticancer activities associated with functional foods for crop origin centers, especially in Asia and Africa.

• Safety and Health at Work
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.243-249
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• 2011

Objectives: Cement contains hexavalent chromium, which is a human carcinogen. However, its effect on cancer seems inconclusive in epidemiologic studies. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to elucidate the association between dust exposure in the cement industry and cancer occurrence. Methods: The cohorts consisted of male workers in 6 Portland cement factories in Korea. Study subjects were classified into five groups by job: quarry, production, maintenance, laboratory, and office work. Cancer mortality and incidence in workers were observed from 1992 to 2007 and 1997-2005, respectively. Standardized mortality ratios and standardized incidence ratios were calculated according to the five job classifications. Results: There was an increased standardized incidence ratio for stomach cancer of 1.56 (27/17.36, 95% confidence interval: 1.02-2.26) in production workers. The standardized mortality ratio for lung cancer increased in production workers. However, was not statistically significant. Conclusion: Our result suggests a potential association between cement exposure and stomach cancer. Hexavalent chromium contained in cement might be a causative carcinogen.