• Title/Summary/Keyword: hierarchical binomial logistic model

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Analysis of Traffic Crash Severity on Freeway Using Hierarchical Binomial Logistic Model (계층 이항 로지스틱모형에 의한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 분석)

  • Mun, Sung-Ra;Lee, Young-Ihn
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.199-209
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    • 2011
  • In the study of traffic safety, the analysis on factors affecting crash severity and the understanding about their relationship is important to be planning and execute to improve safety of road and traffic facilities. The purpose of this study is to develop a hierarchical binomial logistic model to identify the significant factors affecting fatal injuries and vehicle damages of traffic crashes on freeway. Two models on death and total vehicle damage are developed. The hierarchical structure of response variable is composed of two level, crash-occupant and crash-vehicle. As a result, we have gotten the crash-level random effect from these hierarchical structure as well as the fixed effect of covariates, namely odds ratio. The crash on the main line and in-out section have greater damage than other facilities. Injuries and vehicle damages are severe in case of traffic violations, centerline invasion and speeding. Also, collision crash and fire occurrence is more severe damaged than other crash types. The surrounding environment of surface conditions by climate and visibility conditions by day and night is a significant factor on crash occurrence. On the orher hand, the geometric condition of road isn't.

A Hierarchical Approach for Diagnose of Safety Performance and Factor Identification for Black Spots (Black on Suwon-city) (사고다발지점의 안전성능진단 및 위치별 사고요인분석(수원시를 중심으로))

  • Kim, Suk-Hui;Jang, Jeong-A;Choe, Gi-Ju
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2005
  • Accident type and/or factor identification is important in accident reduction planning. The aim of this paper is to apply the hierarchical approach with binomial distribution and logistic regression analysis to find out types and factors, respectively. Based on 2001 Suwon city black spot data, a binomial distribution modeling approach has been applied to diagnose the black spots, with the help of safety performance modeling approach has been applied to diagnose the black spots, with the help of safety performance function. Then, the logistic regression analysis has been employed to identify the critical factors. Some accident remedies are also reviewed in the light of the model outcomes. The proposed research framework sheds light on a different accident related research and can also be successfully applied to similar studies and sites.