• Title/Summary/Keyword: hedging

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Analysis and comparison of the water supply adjustment guide and a hedging rule of reservoir operation derived from mixed-integer programming for water supply operation of a multi-purpose reservoir (다목적댐의 가뭄 대비 용수공급 조정기준과 혼합 정수계획법에 의한 용수 감량 공급 기준의 비교 및 분석)

  • Jin, Youngkyu;Jeong, Taekmun;Lee, Sangho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.443-452
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    • 2021
  • The authors obtained the discrete hedging rule for a reservoir's water supply operation by applying mixed-integer programming to save more water by earlier rationing of water supply for a drought period. The 'water supply adjustment guide' is the current operational method applied to the multipurpose reservoirs, and it was derived by a simulation method. Applying the two rules to the Hapcheon multipurpose dam's reservoir simulations with the inflow record from 2003 to 2018, the water supply deficit occurred for the long drought from 2015 to 2018. Especially, the no water supply or intermittent water supply persisted for the second half of 2017. The water supply adjustment guide had the 'normal water supply recovery threshold on storage,' which resulted in the water supply being unavailable in July 2017; then, the water supply suspension occurred until January 2018, when the reservoir storage was greater than the normal water supply recovery threshold. Despite the storage increasing due to the inflow of water into the reservoir, the suspension occurrence needs to be improved in practice. The current water supply adjustment guide and the discrete hedging rule for a reservoir's water supply operation are useful and realistic as the reservoir operation guide, which shows the concept of reducing water supply during the drought phase as scientific figures. However, to improve the reservoir simulation results, which do not provide any or intermittent water for several months, it is necessary to increase the current water supply reduction for drought phases.

Feasibility Analysis for Futures Trading of Imported Crude Oil (국내 수입 원유의 선물거래 타당성 분석)

  • Yun, Won Cheol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.421-449
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this paper is to examine whether it is feasible to introduce an crude oil futures contract on domestic commodity exchange in order to minimize the price risks of imported crude oil. In addition. this study suggests the policy issues to promote futures trading and the alternatives to use foreign energy compares the five criteria to evaluate the feasibility of crude oil futures trading on the domestic exchange. Related to the possibility of successful futures trading of imported crude oil on the domestic exchange, they are evaluated as follows: it is highly possible to succeed for the aspects of price volatility, potential market size or liquidity, and commodity homogeneity; but it is inappropriate for the aspects of deliverable amounts and market power or market structure. Therefore, it is concluded that trading a new futures contract for the underlying imported crude oil on the domestic exchange is inappropriate. For the policy issues and the hedging alternatives, first, it is urgent to establish an atmosphere for futures trading by promoting spot trading. Second, for the case of futures trading on the domestic exchange it is important to consider the simultaneous hedging of crude oil price and foreign exchange risks and mutual offsetting mechanism with major foreign exchanges. Third, for the case of futures trading on foreign exchanges it is reasonable to regard cooperation among concerned companies, government support for futures trading and direct participation into futures trading by the government.

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Design of Reconfigurable Flight Control Law Using Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 재형상 비행제어법칙 설계)

  • 김부민;김병수;김응태;박무혁
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2006
  • When control surface failure occurs, it is conventional to correct a current control or to transform to other control. In this paper, instead of adopting a conventional way, a reconfiguration method which compensate the failure with alternative control surface deflection, depending on the level of failure, by using neural network and PCH(Pseudo-Control Hedging). The Conroller is designed of inner-loop(SCAS : Stability Command Augmentation System) with DMI(Dynamic Model Inversion) and outer-loop with Y axis acceleration feedback for a coordinate turn. Additionally, double PCH method was adopted to prevent actuator saturation and input command was generated to compensate for failure. At the end, The feasibility of the method is validated with randomly selected failure scenarios.

Hedging Transaction in the Stock Index Futures (주가지수선물의 헤징거래)

  • 윤석곤
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 1998
  • Introduced into korea to diversify risk coming from the fluctuation of stock price with opening of the domestic capital market to foreigners, Suppress the turbulence of the dentistic securities market caused by the short term funds from foreign countries and vitalize investment in stock, the hedging transaction of stock index futures will promote the introduction of financial futures and commodity futures transaction. and it will contribute to enhancing the introduction all over the country and accelerating the advancement of the korea banking market. In addition, it is expected to make a great contribution to economic stability and smooth comic activity through its function of risk diversification and price decrement with the launch of the stock index futures.

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A Study on the Central Bank's Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Strategies with OTC Currency Option Market (중앙은행의 OTC 통화옵션시장을 활용한 외환시장 개입 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Jae-Kwan Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.103-120
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies the possibility of options as an instrument for central bank to intervene foreign exchange market. As opposed to spot transaction or forward transaction, which impacts spot exchange rate only once, currency options can continuously resist a directional speculative pressure on spot market due to the dynamic delta hedging of OTC currency options market maker. This research also analyzes whether and how central banks can use currency options to lower exchange rate volatility and maintain (implicit) target zones in foreign exchange markets. It argues that short position rather than long position in options will result in market makers dynamically hedging their long option exposure in a stabilizing manner, consistent with the first objective. Selling a "Strangle" allows a central bank to increase the credibility of its commitment to a target zone, and could have a lower expected cost than spot market interventions. However, this strategy also exposes the central bank to an unlimited loss potential. Therefore these kinds of intervention strategies must be used in the short run and temporarily.

Optimization of Multi-reservoir Operation considering Water Demand Uncertainty in the Han River Basin (수요의 불확실성을 고려한 한강수계 댐 연계 운영 최적화)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Ryu, Gwan-Hyeong;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 2010
  • Future uncertainty on water demand caused by future climate condition and water consumption leads a difficulty to determine the reservoir operation rule for supplying sufficient water to users. It is, thus, important to operate reservoirs not only for distributing enough water to users using the limited water resources but also for preventing floods and drought under the unknown future condition. In this study, the reservoir storage is determined in the first stage when future condition is unknown, and then, water distribution to users and river stream is optimized using the available water resources from the first stage decision using 2-stage stochastic linear programming (2-SLP). The objective function is to minimize the difference between target and actual water storage in reservoirs and the water shortage in users and river stream. Hedging rule defined by a precaution against severe drought by restricting outflow when reservoir storage decreases below a target, is also applied in the reservoir operation rule for improving the model applicability to the real system. The developed model is applied in a system with five reservoirs in the Han River basin, Korea to optimize the multi-reservoir system under various future water demand scenarios. Three multi-purposed dams - Chungju, Hoengseong, and Soyanggang - are considered in the model. Gwangdong and Hwacheon dams are also considered in the system due to the large capacity of the reservoirs, but they are primarily for water supply and power generation, respectively. As a result, the water demand of users and river stream are satisfied in most cases. The reservoirs are operated successfully to store enough water during the wet season for preparing the coming drought and also for reducing downstream flood risk. The developed model can provide an effective guideline of multi-reservoir operation rules in the basin.

Hedge Effectiveness in Won-Dollar Futures Markets (원 달러 선물시장을 이용한 헤지효과성)

  • Hong, Chung-Hyo;Moon, Gyu-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.231-253
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    • 2004
  • We examine hedge strategies that use Won-dollar futures to hedge the price risk of the Won-dollar exchange rate. We employ the naive hedge model, minimum variance hedge model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model as hedge instruments, and analyze their hedge performances. The sample period covers from January 2, 2001 to December 31, 2002 with sub-samples such as daily, weekly, bi-weekly prices of the Won-dollar futures and cash. The important findings may be summarized as follows. First, there is no significant difference in hedge ratio between the risk minimum variance model and bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model that controls for the cointegration relationship of the Won-dollar futures and cash. Second, hedge performance of the naive model and minimum variance model with constant hedge ratios is not far behind that of bivariate ECT-ARCH(1) model with time-varying hedge ratios. This results imply that investors are encouraged to use the minimum variance hedge model to hedge Won-dollar exchange rate with Won-dollar futures. Third, hedge performance and effectiveness of each model is also analyzed with respect to hedge period appear to be greater over long than over the short period. This evidence supports the hypothesis that futures prices would have more time to respond to the greater cash price changes over the longer holding period, leading to an improved hedge performance.

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