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Comparison of Disaster Vulnerability Analysis and Risk Evaluation of Heat Wave Disasters (폭염재해의 재해취약성분석 및 리스크 평가 비교)

  • Yu-Jeong SEOL;Ho-Yong KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.132-144
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of heat waves due to the increase in climate change temperature are increasing. Therefore, this study tried to compare the evaluation process and evaluation results of the heat wave disaster evaluation, which is the government's analysis of the heat wave disaster vulnerability and the risk evaluation method recently emphasized by the IPCC. The analysis of climate change disaster vulnerability is evaluated based on manuals and guidelines prepared by the government. Risk evaluation can be evaluated as the product of the possibility of a disaster and its impact, and it is evaluated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation based on Bayesian estimation method, which uses prior information to infer posterior probability. As a result of the analysis, the two evaluation results for Busan Metropolitan City differed slightly in the spatial distribution of areas vulnerable to heat waves. In order to properly evaluate disaster vulnerable areas due to climate change, the process and results of climate change disaster vulnerability analysis and risk assessment must be reviewed, and consider each methodology and countermeasures must be prepared.

A Case Study on the Heat budget of the Marine Atmosphere Boundary Layer due to inflow of cloud on observation at Ulleungdo (울릉도에서 구름 유입시 관측한 해양대기경계층의 열수지에 관한 사례연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Jong;Yoon, Ill-Hee;Kwon, Byung-Hyuk
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.629-636
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    • 2004
  • In order to study developments of the marine atmosphere boundary layer in cloud incoming, important parameters like heat advection, surface layer heat flux, and radiation energy were estimated using the rawinsonde, AWS data, satellite images, and buoy data which was installed at the East Sea. We explained the variation and the development of mixed layer in terms of surface layer heat flux and long wave radiation under the cloudy sky. The heat flux was obtained by means of the bulk method. Conservation of heat was analysed by heat budget equation, which was consist of buoy data in the East sea, and sounding data at Ulleungdo and at Pohang. During the inflow of cloud, radiative cooling at the surface after was suppressed and long wave radiation from cloud played a role of warming. The surface layer temperature was also remained warm by influence of warm advection from south-easterly direction. The air temperature in night was increased, as a result, mixed layer was not destroyed and The nocturnal boundary layer was composed of the mixed layer and the residual layer.

Analysis of Hyperbolic Heat Conduction in a Thin Film (박막에서 쌍곡선형 열전도 방정식에 의한 열전도 해석)

  • 정우남;이용호;조창주
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.540-545
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    • 1999
  • The classical Fourier heat conduction equation is invalid at temperatures near absolute zero or at very early times in highly transient heat transfer processes. In such situations, a hyperbolic equation model for heat conduction based on the modified Fourier law is introduced because the wave nature of heat propagation becomes dominant. The Fourier model and the hyperbolic model for heat conduction are analyzed by using the Green's function technique together with the integral transform. Analytical expressions for the heat flux and temperature distributions in a finite slab subjected to a periodic surface heating at one of its surfaces are presented and the results obtained from each model are compared with each other. The thermal wave implied b the hyperbolic model is shown to travel through a medium and to reflect back toward the origin at the other insulated surface. On the other hand, the heat by the Fourier model propagates at an infinite speed instantaneously after a thermal disturbance is felt throughout the medium.

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Simulations of Thermal Stratification of Daecheong Reservoir using Three-dimensional ELCOM Model (3차원 ELCOM 모형을 이용한 대청호 수온성층 모의)

  • Chung, Se Woong;Lee, Heung Soo;Choi, Jung Kyu;Ryu, In Gu
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.922-934
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    • 2009
  • The transport of contaminants and spatial variation in a deep reservoir are certainly governed by the thermal structure of the reservoir. There has been continuous efforts to utilize three-dimensional (3D) hydrodynamic and water quality models for supporting reservoir management, but the efforts to validate the models performance using extensive field data were rare. The study was aimed to evaluate a 3D hydrodynamic model, ELCOM, in Daecheong Reservoir for simulating heat fluxes and stratification processes under hydrological years of 2001, 2006, 2008, and to assess the impact of internal wave on the reservoir mixing. The model showed satisfactory performance in simulating the water temperature profiles: the absolute mean errors at R3 (Hoenam) and R4 (Dam) sites were in the range of $1.38{\sim}1.682^{\circ}C$. The evaporative and sensible heat losses through the reservoir surface were maximum during August and January, respectively. The net heat flux ($H_n$) was positive from February to September, while the stratification formed from May and continued until September. Instant vertical mixing was observed in the reservoir during strong wind events at R4, and the model reasonably reproduced the mixing events. A digital low-pass filter and zero crossing method was used to evaluate the potential impact of wind-driven internal wave on the reservoir mixing. The results indicated that most of the wind events occurred in 2001, 2006, 2008 were not enough to develop persistent internal wave and effective mixing in the reservoir. ELCOM is a suitable 3D model for supporting water quality management of the deep and stratified reservoirs.

Study on Mechanism of Combustion Instability in a Dump Gas Turbine Combustor (모형가스터빈 연소기내 연소불안정성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Ho;Lee, Yeon-Ju;Jeon, Chung-Hwan;Jang, Yeong-Jun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.1284-1291
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    • 2002
  • Combustion instabilities are an important concern associated with lean premixed combustion. Laboratory-scale dump combustor was used to understand the underlying mechanisms causing combustion instabilities. Experiments were conducted at atmospheric pressure and sound level meter was used to track the pressure fluctuations inside the combustor. Instability maps and phase-resolved OH chemiluminescence images were obtained at several conditions to investigate the mechanism of combustion instability and relations between pressure wave and heat release rate. It showed that combustion instability was susceptible to occur at higher value of equivalence ratio (>0.6) as the mean velocity was decreased. Instabilities exhibited a longitudinal mode with a dominant frequency of ∼341.8 Hz, which corresponded to a quarter wave mode of combustor. Heat release and pressure waves were in-phase when instabilities occurred. Rayleigh index distribution gave a hint about the location where the strong coherence of pressure and heat release existed. These results also give an insight to the control scheme of combustion instabilities. Emission test revealed that NOx emissions were affected by not only equivalence ratio but also combustion instability.

Synoptic Air Mass Classification Using Cluster Analysis and Relation to Daily Mortality in Seoul, South Korea (클러스터 분석을 통한 종관기단분류 및 서울에서의 일 사망률과의 관련성 연구)

  • Kim, Jiyoung;Lee, Dae-Geun;Choi, Byoung-Cheol;Park, Il-Soo
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2007
  • In order to investigate the impacts of heat wave on human health, cluster analysis of meteorological elements (e.g., temperature, dewpoint, sea level pressure, visibility, cloud amount, and wind components) for identifying offensive synoptic air masses is employed. Meteorological data at Seoul during the past 30 years are used. The daily death data at Seoul are also employed. Occurrence frequency of heat waves which is defined by daily maximum temperature greater than the threshold temperature (i.e., $31.2^{\circ}C$) was analyzed. The result shows that the frequency and duration of heat waves at Seoul are increasing during the past 30 years. In addition, the increasing trend of the frequency and duration clearly appears in late spring and early autumn as well as summer. Factor analysis shows that 65.1% of the total variance can be explained by 4 components which are linearly independent. Eight clusters (or synoptic air masses) were classified and found to be optimal for representing the summertime air masses at Seoul, Korea. The results exhibit that cluster-mean values of meteorological variables of an offensive air mass (or cluster) are closely correlated with the observed and standardized deaths.

Effects of Pitch Length of Stack-type EGR Cooler on Heat Exchange Characteristics in a Diesel Engine (적층형 EGR Cooler의 Pitch 길이 변화가 열교환 특성에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Se-Joon;Kim, Min-Chol;Jang, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Hyung-Man
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2010
  • An important goal in diesel engine research is the development of a means to reduce the emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOX). The use of a cooled exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) system is one of the most effective techniques currently available for reducing nitrogen oxides. Since Particular Matter (PM) fouling reduces the efficiency of an EGR cooler, a trade-off exists between the amount of NOX and PM emissions, especially at high engine loads. In the present study, engine dynamometer experiments have been performed to investigate the heat exchange characteristics of the stack-type EGR coolers with wave fin pitches of 3.6 and 4.6 mm. The results show that the heat exchange effectiveness is decreased as surface area decrease with pitch of 4.6 mm due to PM fouling. As surface area increase at pitch of 3.6 mm, super-cooling happens in the recirculated exhaust gas.

Effect of different feeding times using a diet containing betaine on production, blood profile and a short chain fatty acid in meat ducks exposed to a scorching heat wave (베타인 사료의 급여시기가 폭염에 노출된 오리의 짧은 사슬지방산, 혈액 프로파일 및 생산성에 미치는 효과)

  • Bang, Han-Tae;Hwangbo, Jong;Kang, Hwan-Ku;Park, Byung-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.427-438
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    • 2015
  • The effects of different feeding times, using a diet containing 800 ppm betaine, on production, blood profile, and the short-chain fatty acid (SCFA), was investigated using 240 Cherry Valley (Anas platyrhynchos) meat ducks exposed to a scorching heat wave. The animals were randomly assigned to four groups, each of which was replicated three times with twenty ducks per replicate. The experimental period was 42 days for each group. Four groups were assigned into C (heat wave control group without betaine), T1 (ad libitum group fed a diet containing 800 ppm betaine), T2 (diet-restricted group fed twice daily between 05:00-10:00 and 17:00-20:00, using a diet containing 800 ppm betaine), and T3 (night-restricted group, fed from 17:00-10:00, with a diet containing 800 ppm betaine). At 42 days, body weight increased in order of T2, T1, T3 compared to the heat wave control group although. However, these differences were not found between the groups of T1 and T3. The heat wave control group, provided an ad libitum diet without betaine (C), showed an elevated feed conversion ratio compared to the groups fed a diet containing betaine. However, these differences were not found between the groups of T1, T2 and T3. RBC and platelet profiles except for PLT and MPV showed statistically significant differences between study groups fed a diet containing betaine. T2 presented significantly higher blood electrolytes $Na^+$ and $Cl^-$ than the other groups. T2 also showed a blood gas level that was generally higher than the other groups. Total SCFA, acetic acid and propionic acid concentration has been the increasing trend in T2, but butyric acid, isobutyric acid and valeric acid concentration has been the decreasing trend in T2 compared to the other groups. It is concluded that the feeding-restricted group, fed two times daily between 05:00-10:00 and 17:00-20:00, with a diet containing 800 ppm betaine may improve growth performance in meat ducks exposed to a scorching heat wave.