• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth option

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A Study on Valuation of Environmental-friendly and Organic Food Company (친환경 유기농 기업의 가치평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yeo, Dong-Su;Hwang, Jae-Hyun
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.543-561
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    • 2012
  • This work is for reasonable valuation method of environmental-friendly and organic company. Reasonable valuation method is principal for the sound development, the reasonable investment and the growth of stock market. This study proposes valid valuation and method for environmental-friendly and organic company. The author selected 4 companies from certificate list of environmental-friendly and organic food and LOHAS (Lifestyles Of Health And Sustainability) food of Korean standards association. Applying financial audit report of 5 years, the author output 5 variables from each companies by using Growth Option model of Real Option model. And the author valuated companies by adding option value calculated with these variables and residual value discounted with cash flow discounted method. Company values from ROV model were 1.71 time higher than DCF model. This results show that the value of environmental-friendly and organic food company may own high option premium, that is the growth factor.

INVESTMENT EVALUATION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUTURE PROJECTS USING BINOMIAL REAL OPTION MODEL

  • Qiyu Qian;Xueqing Wang;Charles Y.J. Cheah
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.563-572
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    • 2007
  • Transportation infrastructure is critical to economic growth of a country such as China. Careful evaluation of investments in traffic infrastructure projects is therefore pertinent. As traditional evaluation methods do not consider the uncertainty of future cash flows and mobility during project execution, the real option approach is gradually gaining recognition in the context of valuing construction and infrastructure projects. However, many of the cases only evaluate individual options separately although multiple options often exist in a typical large infrastructure project. Using a highway project in China as a case study, this paper first evaluates a deferment option and a growth option embedded in the project. Subsequently, the values are combined using the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. It is found that the combined value is less than the sum of the two option values. This finding is consistent with the theoretical observations given in past real option literature despite the use of a different approach.

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Development of Option Specification Management Function for Product Structure and Configuration (제품구조 및 구성을 위한 옵션조합관리 기능 개발)

  • 김선호;정병용;주경준;정석찬
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.224-231
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    • 2000
  • In order to satisfy customers'various needs in the market, manufacturing companies tend to add similar variants to an existing product model. This variety causes immense growth of product configuration and makes data management uncontrollable. In order to resolve this problem, we propose a method to efficiently represent the variants in a single schema of product structure and configuration and manage the product configuration. First of all, the product structure which adopts the concept of features and options is suggested. Second, the method to represent option specifications which restricts option configurations is proposed. Finally, the prototype module, which inspects if a product configuration violates the option specifications, is introduced.

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Valuation of New Growth Businesses by Compound Option Model: Comparison of Solar Cell, Automotive Battery, and Bio-Pharmaceutical (국가 신성장사업의 컴파운드 옵션에 의한 가치평가: 태양전지, 자동차용 전지, 바이오제약의 비교)

  • Kwon, Oh-Sang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.3016-3021
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    • 2011
  • While there is ample information on the investment plans about Korea's selected new growth businesses, it is hard to find any analysis on the valuation of the projects. In this paper, I intend to do a valuation for the three particular technologies, which are solar cell, automotive battery, and bio-pharmaceutical, based on compound option model so that the valuation can capture not only the expected net cash flow but also the value originated from the flexibility of the decision maker. In addition, the real option pricing theory is reviewed and its practical limitations are thoroughly investigated.

스위칭 옵션을 고려한 IT 벤처 기업 가치 평가에 관한 사례 연구

  • 이현정;정종욱;이정동;김태유
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.307-337
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we propose the valuation frame of the IT(Information Technology) ventures using ROV(Real Options Valuation) model. Generally, ROV can comprises the traditional valuation method such as DCF(Discounted Cash Flow), which can measure only the tangible value of a firm from the expected future earnings, in that ROV can additionally measure the intangible value such as the strategic value of a firm in the uncertain environment. We set up the hypothetic IT venture future investment plan and assume that there are a growth option and a switching option consequently along the investment time horizon, which are caused by each characteristics of ventures and IT technologies, especially modularity. In the case that there are several embedded real options in the firm's investment plan in a row, we should apply the compound option pricing model as a real option valuation model in order to consider the value interaction between real options. In an addition, we present the results of optimal investment timing analysis using real options approach and compare them. with those of the original assumed investment timing.

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Try to Use a New Valuation Approach: Application of the Real Options Pricing Method to an Aerospace Project (항공우주 거대산업 프로젝트의 가치평가에 대한 소고 - 실물옵션 가치평가법의 적용을 중심으로)

  • 최수미
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2002.05b
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    • pp.181-198
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    • 2002
  • This article describes a methodology for evaluating huge aerospace R&D investments using the real options pricing method. Option pricing has been proposed as a useful approach for modeling investment in R&D. Two important features of R&D investments are that an R&D project takes time to complete and that the outcome of R&D investments is highly uncertain. This makes the analysis of R&D investments difficult. Traditional tools for project evaluation, like IRR or the NPV, are inadequate for coping with the high uncertainty. Hence, In this article I propose a log-transformed binomal lattice method, and it will show that option pricing might be an adequate framework for evaluating such types of aerospace investments.

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An Evaluation of Venture Business by ROV (실물옵션평가방법에 의한 벤처기업의 가치평가)

  • 김동환;정군오;김재옥
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the option valuation of venture business was calculated by utilizing growth option model, chosen from real option valuation method. The evaluation of venture business was estimated by adding option value to the terminal value discounted from cashflow method. As the result of the empirical analysis, ROV model applied in the Study is more reliable Han the DCF model concerning the pricing of venture business. Unlike the previous study of Schartz & Moon which only analyzed one venture business, this study estimated and analyzed the rational pricing of venture business with comparative methods using various parameters of sampling 99 domestic venture businesses.

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Application of the cooperative two-person nonzero-sum game for water resources development in the Tumen river basin (두만강 유역의 합리적인 수자원 개발방안 도출을 위한 2인 비영합 협력게임 적용)

  • Park, Wan-Soo;Lee, Sang-Eun;Park, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to make a decision about the rational option for a multipurpose dams development of the Tumen river basin so that the adjoining countries will effectively deal with the chronic problems and fully satisfy the fast growing demand of water and power. It has been thus far investigated that the interests between North Korea and China closely depend on the selected option, and they are not well compatible with each other. These situations are defined in terms of the cooperative two-person nonzero-sum game. The Nash bargaining model is then applied to contemplate the rational option, considering two scenarios of economic growth of the North Korea. After analyzing the model, it was expected that 1) two multipurpose dams must be cooperatively developed, and 2) their benefits should be allocated according to demand of each country. The authors finally suggest that a cooperative organisation be established to effectively manage the dams beyond the border of the countries.

Investment Decisions for Clean Development Mechanism under Uncertain Energy Policies using Real Option

  • Taeil Park;Changyoon Kim;Hyoungkwan Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.107-110
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    • 2013
  • Recently, Korea parliament legislated the Low Carbon Green Growth Act (April, 2012) and approved a bill (May, 2012) to start carbon emission trading system in 2015. It means that for the first time, government would regulate the amounts of carbon emission in private entities, and private entities should attain predefined emission reduction goals by implementing clean development mechanism (CDM) project or buy the Certified Emission Reductions (CERs) from the trading market to avoid penalty. Under these circumstances, it is not easy for them to determine when or how to implement the CDM project because the governmental energy policies about the level of governmental subsidies, periods for free emission allocation, etc. are still under discussion and the future price of the CERs is quite uncertain. Thus, this study presents a real-option based model to assess the financial viability of the CDM project which switches bunker-C oil to liquefied natural gas (LNG). The proposed model is expected to assist private entities in establishing the investment strategy for CDM project under uncertain government energy policies.

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The Effect on Firm's Performance of Employee Stock Option (종업원의 주식보상시스템이 기업성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jong-Hyuk
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.71-97
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    • 2009
  • In this study, I compare the ability of alternative accounting method for employee stock option to reflect firm value using the Ohlson's(1995) valuation model for 200 firms. The each methods, I compare are employee stock option expense recognition based on the K-GAAP disclosures, and asset recognition at the grant date based on the SFAS No. 123 Exposure Draft: Accounting for stock-based compensation. The model include: (1) a model that uses reported earnings, equity book value, and compensation expense based on the K-GAAP disclosures; (2) a model that uses pro-forma earnings, equity book value and adds a measure of the unrecognized asset arising form granting of employee stock options. Finding form estimating equations that the K-GAAP method for calculating compensation has no explanatory power, and the SFAS No.123 Draft Exposure method for arising asset and fair value compensation better captures than market's perception of the economic impact of stock options on firm values. However, the correlation of employee stock option compensation expense is positive. These results suggest that incentive benefits derived from employee stock option plans outweigh the cost associated with plan. In addition, I couldn't find evidence that company in KOSDAQ that have high growth potential benefit more from employee stock option plan compared to lager, more mature firm in SEC.

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