• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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• pp.759-764
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• 2004

본 연구는 Deng(1989)이 제시한 Grey 모형을 이용하여 성진강댐의 월유입량을 예측하였고 그 방법을 제시하였다. Grey 모형은 시계열모형이나 다른 모형에 비해 비교적 적은 수의 자료를 이용하고, 간단할 수식으로 구성되어 있는 장점이 있으나, 적은 수의 자료로 인해 입력자료가 가지는 증감의 경향(trend)으로 오차가 발생하기 쉽다. 그러므로 예측오차를 극복하기 위해서 Fuzzy 시스템을 결합한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 구성하였고 Fuzzy 시스템에 필요한 매개변수를 추정하기 위해 최적화기법인 유전자 알고리즘(GA; Genetic Algorithm)을 이용하였다. Grey 모형과 결합된 Fuzzy 시스템은 현재의 입력자료가 가지는 패턴과 가장 유사한 패턴의 과거자료를 이용하여 현재의 입력자료의 예측오차를 추론해내는 기능을 가진다. 오차를 추론하기 위해서 과거 월유입량 자료중 현재 입력 자료와 유사한 패턴을 Grey 상관도를 이용하여 검색하고, 보다 높은 유사성을 가지는 패턴을 선별하고자 노름(norm)을 사용하였고, 유전자 알고리즘의 탐색공간을 제한하였다. 이렇게 구성한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 이용하여 전국적인 가뭄년도였던 1992년, 1988년, 2001년에 대해 섬진강댐의 월유입량을 예측하였다. 오차는 1982년, 2001년, 1988년 순으로 비슷한 크기의 오차가 발생하였는데 결과를 분석하여 보면, 급격한 월유입량의 변화가 있었던 경우에 오차가 크게 발생하였으나 가뭄년도에 대해 월유입량의 불확실성이 큼에도 불구하고 비교적 월유입량의 추세를 잘 예측한 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서 적용한 Fuzzy-Grey 모형은 적은 수의 자료를 이용하여 예측하고 예측결과를 다시 입력자료로 사용하는 업데이트 방식을 사용하기 때문에 예측결과의 오차가 완전하게 보정되지 않으면 다음 결과에 역시 오차를 주게 되어 오차보정이 상당히 중요하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 오차를 보다 효과적으로 보정하기 위해서는 퍼지제어에 사용되는 퍼지규칙의 수를 늘리고, 유입량에 직접적인 영향을 주는 강우량과 연계한 2변수의 Fuzzy-Grey 모형을 이용한다면 보다 정확한 유입량 예측이 가능할 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국양식학회지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.283-292
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• 1999

Physiological responses (cortisol, glucose, GPT, GOT, hematocrit, sodium, chloride, potassium, total protein and osmolality), growth and survival rates of grey mullet and Nile tilapia were tested by the gradual salinity changes for 70 days. Three different sizes of grey mullet, small (MS, $13.3\pm1.8cm$), middle(MM, $28.9\pm3.6cm$) and large (ML, $36.0\pm2.0cm$), and three different sizes of tilapia, small (TS,$16.5\pm1.7cm$), middle (TM, $20.6\pm1.8cm$) and large (TL, $27.2\pm2.7cm$)were used. Salinity of reareing water was increased $\5textperthousand$ in every 5 days until it reached at $0\textperthousand$. The cortisol concentrations in all size groups of grey mullet were increased at both full strength seawater (SW) and fresh water (FW) at the end. The cortisol concentrations of TM and TL groups were higher in SW than FW (0 and 70 days). The GOT values of grey mullet were lower than those of Nile tilapia. The sodium concentrations of grey mullet in SW were ranged 160~184 mEq/$\ell$, while those of Nile tilapia were the highest in the SW. No mortality was observed in MM and ML groups but survival rate of MS group was 76$\textperthousand$. Overall survival rate of Nile tilapia was lower than grey mullet. Survival rate of TS, TM and TL groups were $79\textperthousand$, $29\textperthousand$ and $55\textperthousand$, respectively.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제11권4호
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• pp.493-513
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• 2016

A modified grey clustering method is presented to systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels. Based on the center triangle whitenization weight function and upper and lower limit measure whitenization weight function, the modified grey evaluation model doesn't have the crossing properties of grey cluster and meets the standard well. By adsorbing and integrating the previous research results, seven influence factors are selected as evaluation indexes. A couple of evaluation indexes are modified and quantitatively graded according to four risk grades through expert evaluation method. The weights of evaluation indexes are rationally distributed by the comprehensive assignment method. It is integrated by the subjective factors and the objective factors. Subjective weight is given based on analytical hierarchy process, and objective weight obtained from simple dependent function. The modified grey evaluation model is validated by Jigongling Tunnel. Finally, the water inrush risk of Shangjiawan Tunnel is evaluated by using the established model, and the evaluation result obtained from the proposed method is agrees well with practical situation. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which planners and engineers can systematically assess the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제38권12호
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• pp.1061-1072
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• 2005

본 연구에서는 영산호의 상류에 위치한 나주유역의 홍수시 유출량을 실시간으로 예측하기 위하여 Grey홍수 유출모형을 개발하였다. 나주유역의 유출량은 나주수위관측소에서 실시간으로 측정하고 있으며, 이곳은 영산호의 유입홍수량을 예측과 홍수관리를 위한 주관측소이다. 모형의 지배방정식은 Grey시스템 이론에 근거하여 구성되었으며, 모형의 매개변수는 Grey 시스템매개변수의 조합으로 구성하였다. 모형의 차수는 실측자료와 모의결과를 비교하여 다른 차수 보다 양호한 결과를 나타내는 5차로 하였다. 모형의 보정시 예측결과와 실측치간의 RMSE는 $3.1\~290.5m^{3}/sec$를 나타냈으며, $R^{2}$는 $0.909\~0.999$를 나타냈다. 모형의 검정시 예측결과와 실측치간의 RMSE는 $20.6\~147.4m^{3}/sec$를 나타냈으며, $R^{2}는\;0.940\~0.998$를 나타냈다. 매개변수가 추정된 모형을 이용하여 담수호의 유입량을 하천수위 상태에 따라 예측한 결과, 하천수위가 상승할 경우와 하강할 경우의 예측 홍수량은 예측시간이 증가할수록 커지는 경향을 나타냈다. 또한, 하천수위가 첨두에 가까운 시기의 홍수량은 예측시간에 관계없이 실측자료와 비슷한 결과를 나타냈다. 이와 같은 결과는 Grey 홍수유출모형을 홍수시 담수호 유입량을 실시간으로 정확하게 예측하는데 적용할 수 있음을 나타낸다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제42권1호
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• pp.61-73
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• 2009

본 연구에서는 다목적댐의 효율적인 홍수관리와 조기 홍수 경보시스템의 정확성을 향상시키기 위하여 두 가지 모형이 제안되었다. 두 모형은 상류 유입 홍수량과 하류 하천의 홍수량을 실시간으로 예측할 수 있는 능력을 각각 가지고 있다. 이들 모형은 남강댐 상류와 하류 홍수량의 실측치와 모의치를 비교하여 보정 및 검정되었으며, 실제 상황에서 모형의 홍수량 예측 능력이 평가되었다. 상류 유입량 예측 모형은 Grey 시스템 이론에 근거하였으며, 모형의 예측능력을 고려하여 6차 모형을 선정하였다. 서로 다른 자료 세트를 사용하여 보정된 모형들을 사용하여 예측한 홍수량과 실측자료를 비교하여 가장 적정한 모형이 선정되었으며, 검정 결과를 검토한 결과 선정된 모형이 양호한 예측결과를 제시하는 것으로 나타났다. 댐 하류 하천 홍수량 예측 모형은 Grey 모형과 수정 Muskingum 홍수 추적 모형을 병합하여 구성되었으며, 보정 및 검정을 통해서 모형의 예측 능력이 평가되었다. 제안된 모형들을 실시간 홍수량 예측에 적용한 결과, 비교적 양호한 예측결과를 나타냈다. 또한, 모형의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해서는 유출 단계를 고려한 모형의 보정 및 적용이 필요하다는 것이 밝혀졌다.

• 한국환경농학회지
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.159-165
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• 2019

BACKGROUND: The water footprint (WF) is an indicator of freshwater use that appears not only at direct water use of a consumer or producer, but also at the indirect water use. As an indicator of 'water use', the water footprint includes the green, blue, and grey WF, and differs from the classical measure of 'water withdrawal' because of green and grey WF. This study was conducted to assess and estimate the water footprint of the soybean and Chinese cabbage. METHODS AND RESULTS: APEX model with weather data, soil and water quality data from NAS (National Institute of Agricultural Sciences), and farming data from RDA (Rural Development Administration) was operated for analyzing the WF of the crops. As the result of comparing the yield estimated from APEX with the yield extracted from statistic data of each county, the coefficients of determination were 0.83 for soybean and 0.97 for Chinese cabbage and p-value was statistically significant. The WFs of the soybean and Chinese cabbage at production procedure were 1,985 L/Kg and 58 L/Kg, respectively. This difference may have originated from the cultivation duration. The WF ratios of soybean were 91.1% for green WF and 8.9% for grey WF, but the WF ratios of Chinese cabbage were 41.5% for green WF and 58.5% for grey WF. CONCLUSION: These results mean that the efficiency of water use for soybean is better than that for Chinese cabbage. The results could also be useful as an information to assess environmental impact of water use and agricultural farming on soybean and Chinese cabbage.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제51권3호
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• pp.448-453
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• 2015

This study was performed to estimate biomass and to provide management plan through population ecological characteristics, including survival rate, instantaneous coefficient of natural and fishing mortalities, and age at first capture of Flathead grey mullet, Mugil cephalus, in the coastal waters of Yeosu. Survival rate (S) of the flathead grey mullet was 3.671. The instantaneous coefficients of natural mortality (M) and fishing mortality (F) was estimated to be 0.325/year, 0.962/year for flathead grey mullet. Also fist capure age of flathead grey mullet was 3.61year. The current biomass of the flathead grey mullet in the study area was estimated to be 19.6 M/T and $F_{0.1}$ and $F_{40%}$ were estimated 0.340/year, 0.225/year. For the stock assessment result, flathead grey mullet was not overfished but overfishing.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.203-213
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• 2011

The age and growth of flathead grey mullet, Mugil cephalus, were studied using samples collected from the coastal water of Yeosu from September 2009 to August 2010. Spawning season estimated from the gonadosometic index (GSI) was from November to January. A method for increasing the readability of the otolith was described and criteria for the interpretation of otolith was provided. The annual ring was formed in September once a year. Annual ring in otolith for flathead grey mullet is validated for fish aged 1-8 using the marginal increment analysis. Using the sectioned otolith, between reader precision was 84%. Also, Within-reader agreement for sectioned otolith age readings was higher (reader 1=84%, reader 2=87%). The relationship between fork length and total weight was TW=$0.022FL^{2.818}$. The estimated von Bertalanffy growth parameters for the flathead grey mullet were $L_{\infty}$=67.97cm K=0.164/year and $t_o$=-0.81year.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제8권5호
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• pp.631-647
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• 2015

Engineers may encounter unpredictable cavities, sinkholes and karst conduits while tunneling in karst area, and water inrush disaster frequently occurs and endanger the construction safety, resulting in huge casualties and economic loss. Therefore, an optimal classification method based on grey system theory (GST) is established and applied to accurately predict the occurrence probability of water inrush. Considering the weights of evaluation indices, an improved formula is applied to calculate the grey relational grade. Two evaluation indices systems are proposed for risk assessment of water inrush in design stage and construction stage, respectively, and the evaluation indices are quantitatively graded according to four risk grades. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of optimal classification method, comparisons of the evaluation results derived from the aforementioned method and attribute synthetic evaluation system are made. Furthermore, evaluation of engineering practice is carried through with the Xiakou Tunnel as a case study, and the evaluation result is generally in good agreement with the field-observed result. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which engineers can systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

• 한국의류산업학회지
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.822-826
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• 2008

The data for application of mordanting is shown in this experiment by researching dying properties of iron-dye process and concentration changes using persimmon. The strength of persimmon-dying fabrics was controlled by diluting persimmon dye with water and iron mordanting showed the possibility of textile design. The experiments were performed with various conditions processed with iron mordanting liquid by adding water to persimmon-dying liquid and drying well. The most dark color of fabric is observed with the pure persimmon dying without adding water. As the adding water is increased, the color of the fabric is getting lighter with the amount of adding water. After process of iron mordanting, dark color of the fabric turns into dark grey and light color turns into light grey. The possibility of persimmon dying with fabric can be applied in the design of textile with deepened color.