• Title/Summary/Keyword: global stock market

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Information Flow Effect Between the Stock Market and Bond Market (주식시장과 채권시장간의 정보 이전효과)

  • Choi, Cha-Soon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigated the information spillover effect between stock market and bond market with the KOSPI daily index and MMF yield data. The overall analysis period is from May 2, 1997 to August 30, 2019. The empirical analysis was conducted by dividing the period from May 2, 1997 to December 30, 2008 before the global financial crisis, and from December 30, 2008 to August 30, 2019 after the global financial crisis, and the overall analysis period. The analysis shows that the EGARCH model considering asymmetric variability is suitable. The price spillover effect and volatility spillover effect existed in both directions between the stock market and the bond market, and the price transfer effect was greater in the period before the global financial crisis than in the period after the global financial crisis. Asymmetric volatility in information between stock and bond markets appears to exist in both markets.

Quantitative Causal Reasoning in Stock Price Index Prediction Model

  • Kim, Myoung-Joon;Ingoo Han
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1998.10a
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    • pp.228-231
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    • 1998
  • Artificial Intelligence literatures have recognized that stock market is a highly unstructured and complex domain so that it is difficult to find knowledge that belongs to that domain. This paper demonstrates that the proposed QCOM can derive global knowledge about stock market on the basis of a set of local knowledge and express it as a digraph representation. In addition, inference mechanism using quantitative causal reasoning can describe the qualitative and quantitative effects of exogenous variables on stock market.

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Making Consumer to Buy Funds: Factor Portfolio in Global Stock Distribution Market (일반 소비자의 공모펀드 구매유인 제고 방안: 글로벌 주식유통시장에서 요인포트폴리오 활용)

  • LIU, Won-Suk
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - We investigate how to increase consumer incentives to buy public offering funds, resulting in activating the public offering fund market. In particular, this study aims to find ways to expand diversity and to improve efficiency of public offering fund. The public fund market of Korea has been stagnant in recent years. However, the public offering fund market plays a very significant role in terms of consumer welfare. Since only a few wealthy investors can participate in the private equity market, the stagnation in the public offering fund market usually reduces the opportunity of consumer's buying funds thus ultimately affecting their future wealth. Research design, data, and methodology - To attain our purpose, the 'factor-based portfolio strategy' has been considered. It is an alternative portfolio strategy, which composites the advantages of the passive management and active management. For our empirical anaylsis, we used global stock distribution market data over the period of 1991 and 2016. Then we constructed portfolios based on firm-size, firm-value, and momentum. Finally, a regression model was set, then hypotheses were tested, analyzing the performances. Results - First, among the 15 factor-based portfolios of global, Europe, Asia-Pacific(ex Japan), US and Japan, in eight portfolios, positive excess returns are observed at 5% significance level. Further, there is another portfolio with positive excess return at 10% significance level. Second, most of the portfolios with significant excess performance show positive relationship with the market portfolio. However, the firm-value based portfolio in Asia-Pacific region shows no relationship, and the firm-value based portfolio in US shows negative relationship. Third, we confirmed that the two firm-value factor portfolios in Asia-Pacific region and US, not having positive relationship with market portfolio, provide significant excess returns. Conclusions - In this paper, we provide empirical evidences supporting that the factor-based portfolios expand the diversity of funds and improve the efficiency of investment performance. However, there is no guarantee that the efficiency will continue in the future. In addition, various constraints and costs must be considered. Nevertheless, our novel findings in the advanced financial market such as US and Asia-Pacific are very interesting and offers important implications.

An Analysis on Mutual Shock Spillover Effects among Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange Rates, and Stock Market Returns in Korea (한국에서의 금리, 환율, 주가의 상호 충격전이 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Byoung Joon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.3-22
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    • 2016
  • In this study, I examine mutual shock spillover effects among interest rate differences, won-dollar foreign exchange change rates, and stock market returns in Korea during the daily sample period from the beginning of 1995 to the October 16, 2015, using the multivariate GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) BEKK (Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner) model framework. Major findings are as follows. Throughout the 6 model estimation results of variance equations determining return spillovers covered from symmetric and asymmetric models of total sample period and two crisis sub-sample periods composed of Korean FX Crisis Times and Global Financial Crisis Times, shock spillovers are shown to exist mainly from stock market return shocks. Stock market shocks including down-shocks from the asymmetric models are shown to transfer to those other two markets most successfully. Therefore it is most important to maintain stable financial markets that a policy design for stock market stabilization such as mitigating stock market volatility.

Stock Market Reaction on Olympic Sponsorship Announcement Using Event-study Method

  • Spais, George S.;Filis, George N.
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.95-108
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    • 2006
  • The major objective of this study is to test if an Olympic Games sponsorship program can influence investors' behavior: stock returns, stock volatility and transaction volumes. The paper deals with stock market reaction on Olympic sponsorship announcement for service organizations using event study method. Our research intention is to test 440 daily stock prices and transaction volumes, in order investigate the potent influence between the announcement of a grand sport sponsorship program and investors' behavior. For this study we examined the announcement data of three grand sponsors of Olympic Games of Athens 2004 (Alpha Bank. Delta and G.T.O) The main contribution of this study is to examine how stock investors' behavior is influenced by the sponsorship program of companies and to extend research scope of marketing field toward stock market. They authors suggest that organizations interested in influencing investors' behavior should invest in sponsorship activities at the sports' sector.

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COVID-19 Pandemic and Dependence Structures Among Oil, Islamic and Conventional Stock Markets Indexes

  • ALQARALLEH, Huthaifa;ABUHOMMOUS, Alaa Adden
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.515-521
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    • 2021
  • The popularity of Islamic financial instruments among Muslims is not surprising. The Islamic capital market is where sharia-compliant financial assets are transacted. It works parallel to the conventional market and helps investors find sharia-compliant investment opportunities. At a time of collective confusion when the COVID-19 epidemic is contributing to unprecedented change, this paper is keen to understand how attractive conventional and Islamic stock markets have been to investors recently. Second, this paper takes advantage of the time-scale decomposition property of the wavelet to simultaneously capture risk exposure and distinguish the risks faced by short- and long-term investors. To this end, this research conducted a two-step investigation of the daily closing equity market price indices for three Islamic stock markets and their conventional counterparts. Given that different financial decisions occur with greater or less frequency, the paper examines the connectedness of stock markets operating at heterogeneous rates and identifies the timescales using wavelet-DCC-GARCH analysis to take account of both the time and the frequency domains of stock market connectedness. The paper findings highlight the strong evidence of contagion that can be seen in nearly all conventional stock markets in the COVID-19 pandemic; they reach a high level of dependency in such health crises. Furthermore, Islamic stock markets prove to be a rich ground for global diversification.

Corruption, Terrorism and the Stock Market: The Evidence from Iraq

  • ASAAD, Zeravan Abdulmuhsen;MARANE, Bayar MohamedRasheed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.629-639
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    • 2020
  • The current study explains how corruption, terrorism, political stability and oil price has an effect on on the Iraq stock exchange utilizing corruption perception index as a proxy of corruption, global terrorism index as proxy for terrorism, political stability and oil price with ISX60 index as proxy of stock market for the period (2005-2019) using Ordinary Least Square method. The results show that the level of corruption, terrorism activities and political stability coefficient is significantly positive with Iraq stock exchange. In contrast, the oil price coefficient is significantly negative with Iraq stock exchange, which means that lower levels of corruption, less terrorism activities and more stability in political system have strong influence on stock market development in Iraq. The study concludes that the explanatory variables are important for Iraq stock exchange. Hence, the study suggests the policy makers to develop stock market by implementing policies and strategies to overcome high level of corruption, terrorism activities especially after ISIS/ISIL announcement has been made public. There is a need for transparency and creating stable political environment through good governance practices in order to attract more foreign investment and promote economic development. Factors like terrorism and corruption make economic and political systems unstable and has an adverse effect on on Iraq's stock exchange performance.

The Impact of Stock Split Announcements on Stock Prices: Evidence from Colombo Stock Exchange

  • PRABODINI, Madhara;RATHNASINGHA, Prasath Manjula
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.41-51
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    • 2022
  • The research looks into the impact of stock split announcements on stock prices and market efficiency in the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE). This research uses a sample of 26 stock split announcements that occurred between 2020 and June 2021. According to the Global Industry Classification Standards, the stock split announcements covered in the study pertain to 26 businesses and 9 industries (GICS). To obtain the results, the usual event research methodology is used. The findings demonstrate significant average abnormal returns of 15.01 percent on the day the stock split news is made public and abnormal returns of 4.11 percent and -4.05 percent one day before and after the stock split announcement date, respectively. The study's findings revealed significant positive abnormal returns one day before the disclosure date, indicating information leakage, and significant negative abnormal returns the next day after the announcement date, indicating CSE informational efficiency. Because stock prices adapt so quickly to public information, these findings support the semi-strong form efficient market hypothesis, which states that investors cannot gain an abnormal return by trading in stocks on the day of the stock split announcement.

Analysis of ASEAN's Stock Returns and/or Volatility Distribution under the Impact of the Chinese EPU: Evidence Based on Conditional Kernel Density Approach

  • Mohib Ur Rahman;Irfan Ullah;Aurang Zeb
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.33-60
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    • 2023
  • This paper analyzes the entire distribution of stock market returns/volatility in five emerging markets (ASEAN5) and figures out the conditional distribution of the CHI_EPU index. The aim is to examine the impact of CHI_EPU on the stock returns/volatility density of ASEAN5 markets. It also examined whether changes in CHI_EPU explain returns at higher or lower points (abnormal returns). This paper models the behaviour of stock returns from March 2011 to June 2018 using a non-parametric conditional density estimation approach. The results indicate that CHI_EPU diminishes stock returns and augments volatility in ASEAN5 markets, except for Malaysia, where it affects stock returns positively. The possible reason for this positive impact is that EPU is not the leading factor reducing Malaysian stock returns; but, other forces, such as dependency on other countries' stock markets and global factors, may have a positive impact on stock returns (Bachmann and Bayer, 2013). Thus, the risk of simultaneous investment in Chinese and ASEAN5 stock markets, except Malaysia, is high. Further, the degree of this influence intensifies at extreme high/low intervals (positive/negative tails). The findings of this study have significant implications for investors, policymakers, market agents, and analysts of ASEAN5.

Discovering contemporaneous and temporal dependence structure of Korean stock market using a dynamic Gaussian Bayesian network (동적 베이지안 네트워크 모형을 이용한 한국 주식시장의 동시적 및 시간적 연관관계 연구)

  • So-Yeon Park;Rosy Oh;Man-Suk Oh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.721-732
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    • 2024
  • This study investigates the dependence structure among the factors of Korean stock market using a dynamic Gaussian Bayesian network (DGBN). DGBN is an extension of static Gaussian Bayesian network to account for not only contemporaneous dependence but also temporal dependence that may present in the data obverved over time. The DGBN structure learned from data observed from 2015 to 2022 showed how domestic and global factors of Korean stock market interact each other in one calendar day. It also showed how the factors in previous day affect the present day factors. These results would provide important insights to the effects of domestic and global factors on Korean stock market.