• Title/Summary/Keyword: generalized linear model

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A Study on the Scoring Method for the Insurance Underwriting Using Generalized Linear Model (보험사 언더라이팅 기준 설정을 위한 스코어링 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Kwon, Hyuk-Sung;Kim, Dong-Kwang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.489-498
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    • 2009
  • Underwriting is the first step for the administration of an insurance contract, which may result in stable profitability or unexpected loss for insurance company. Adequacy of underwriting criteria determines underwriting result. Generally, quantitative scoring system is used for underwriting. Method of evaluating risk for the scoring system is summing up scores for risk factors of a potential policyholder in consideration. Scores for each risk factor is predetermined. Current business environment for insurance companies makes underwriting profit more important, which means that insurance companies need more efficient underwriting method. This study suggests a reasonable approach to estimate risk relativities based on generalized linear model. Real data were used to quantify risk levels of groups of insureds for the design of underwriting model. Finally, effects in business volume and profitability of reflecting estimated underwriting scoring system are explained.

Determinants of the Digital Divide using Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model (위계선형모형을 이용한 개인의 정보화 격차 결정요인)

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Choe, Young-Chan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the determinants of the digital divide at individual level and regional level in Korea, considering interaction between individual and the regional variables. Following results are obtained. First, individual level digital devide in the 16 different regions has been found in terms of Internet use, implying the needs for further analysis on impact of the regional factor in individual Internet use. Second, the result finds the impact of level-l individual variables, "gender, age, education, income and jobs" on digital divide, significantly at level 10% level. Third, the regional variables influencing the individual digital divide were not found at state level. However, regional factors might affect digital devide at county level. Study suggest some plans to reduce digital divide. First, the digital devide at individual level should be remedied by focusing on neglected class of people. Second, we need to approach the digital divide by analyzing in more detail, reflecting interactions of the regional variables and individual variables. Third, we should come up with a policy for mending the digital divide at regional level.

Generalized Maximum Entropy Estimator for the Linear Regression Model with a Spatial Autoregressive Disturbance (오차항이 SAR(1)을 따르는 공간선형회귀모형에서 일반화 최대엔트로피 추정량에 관한 연구)

  • Cheon, Soo-Young;Lim, Seong-Seop
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers a linear regression model with a spatial autoregressive disturbance with ill-posed data and proposes the generalized maximum entropy(GME) estimator of regression coefficients. The performance of this estimator is investigated via Monte Carlo experiments. The results show that the GME estimator provides efficient and robust estimate for the unknown parameter.

Production of Agrometeorological Information in Onion Fields using Geostatistical Models (지구 통계 모형을 이용한 양파 재배지 농업기상정보 생성 방법)

  • Im, Jieun;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2018
  • Weather is the most influential factor for crop cultivation. Weather information for cultivated areas is necessary for growth and production forecasting of agricultural crops. However, there are limitations in the meteorological observations in cultivated areas because weather equipment is not installed. This study tested methods of predicting the daily mean temperature in onion fields using geostatistical models. Three models were considered: inverse distance weight method, generalized additive model, and Bayesian spatial linear model. Data were collected from the AWS (automatic weather system), ASOS (automated synoptic observing system), and an agricultural weather station between 2013 and 2016. To evaluate the prediction performance, data from AWS and ASOS were used as the modeling data, and data from the agricultural weather station were used as the validation data. It was found that the Bayesian spatial linear regression performed better than other models. Consequently, high-resolution maps of the daily mean temperature of Jeonnam were generated using all observed weather information.

Comparison of Regression Models for Estimating Ventilation Rate of Mechanically Ventilated Swine Farm (강제환기식 돈사의 환기량 추정을 위한 회귀모델의 비교)

  • Jo, Gwanggon;Ha, Taehwan;Yoon, Sanghoo;Jang, Yuna;Jung, Minwoong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2020
  • To estimate the ventilation volume of mechanically ventilated swine farms, various regression models were applied, and errors were compared to select the regression model that can best simulate actual data. Linear regression, linear spline, polynomial regression (degrees 2 and 3), logistic curve, generalized additive model (GAM), and gompertz curve were compared. Overfitting models were excluded even when the error rate was small. The evaluation criteria were root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The evaluation results indicated that degree 3 exhibited the lowest error rate; however, an overestimation contradiction was observed in a certain section. The logistic curve was the most stable and superior to all the models. In the estimation of ventilation volume by all of the models, the estimated ventilation volume of the logistic curve was the smallest except for the model with a large error rate and the overestimated model.

Mutual Information and Redundancy for Categorical Data

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Kim, Beom-Jun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2006
  • Most methods for describing the relationship among random variables require specific probability distributions and some assumptions of random variables. The mutual information based on the entropy to measure the dependency among random variables does not need any specific assumptions. And the redundancy which is a analogous version of the mutual information was also proposed. In this paper, the redundancy and mutual information are explored to multi-dimensional categorical data. It is found that the redundancy for categorical data could be expressed as the function of the generalized likelihood ratio statistic under several kinds of independent log-linear models, so that the redundancy could also be used to analyze contingency tables. Whereas the generalized likelihood ratio statistic to test the goodness-of-fit of the log-linear models is sensitive to the sample size, the redundancy for categorical data does not depend on sample size but its cell probabilities itself.

Block-triangular Decomposition of a Linear Discrete Large-Scale Systems via the Generalized Matrix Sign Function (행렬부호 함수에 의한 선형 이산치 대규모 계통의 블럭 삼각화 분해)

  • Park, Gwi-Tae;Lee, Chang-Hoon;Yim, In-sung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1987.07a
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    • pp.185-189
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    • 1987
  • An analysis and design of large-scale linear multivariable systems often requires to be block triangularized form for good sensitivity of the systems when their poles and zeros are varied. But the decomposition algorithms presented up to now need a procedure of permutation, rescaling and a solution of nonlinear algebraic equations, which are usually burden. To avoid these problem, in this paper we develop a newly alternative block triangular decomposition algorithm which used the generalized matrix sign function on the Z-plane. Also, the decomposition algorithm demonstrated using the fifth order linear model of a distillation tower system.

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일반화 선형모형을 이용한 냉음극 형광램프의 휘도 측정 시 온도 및 습도의 영향에 대한 연구

  • 윤양기;길영수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2005
  • 휘도(Luminance)는 냉음극 형광램프(Cold Cathode Fluorescent Lamp : CCFL)의 신뢰성을 평가하는데 있어 중요한 항목으로 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 휘도 측정시 주위 온도 및 습도에 따라 측정감이 어떻게 변화하는가를 일반화 선형모형(Generalize Linear Model)을 이용하여 알아보고, 측정시의 환경조건 및 측정 오차에 대한 지침을 제시할 수 있게 된다.

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Multi-Site Stochastic Weather Generator for Daily Rainfall in Korea (시공간구조를 가지는 확률적 강우 모형)

  • Kwak, Minjung;Kim, Yongku
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.475-485
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    • 2014
  • A stochastic weather generator based on a generalized linear model (GLM) approach is a commonly used tools to simulate a time series of daily weather. In this paper, we propose a multi-site weather generator with applications to historical data in South Korea. The proposed method extends the approach of Kim et al. (2012) by considering spatial dependence in the model. To reduce this phenomenon, we also incorporate a time series of seasonal mean precipitations of South Korea in the GLM weather generator as a covariate. Spatial dependence was incorporated into the model through a latent Gaussian process. We apply the proposed model to precipitation data provided by 62 stations in Korea from 1973{2011.