• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.15-27
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• 2005

The water and carbon cycles in terrestrial ecosystems are the essential database for better understanding of the causes and the current processes of climate change and for the prediction of its future change. CarboKorea and HydroKorea are dedicated research efforts to develop technologies to quantitatively interpret and forecast carbon/water cycles in typical landscapes of Korea. For this, stable isotope studies have been launched to genetically partition various components of carbon/water cycles in terrestrial ecosystems. From stable isotope studies, practical deliverables such as evaporation, transpiration and gross primary productivity (GPP) can be provided at scales from tower (footprint) to large watersheds. Such reliable field-based information will form an important database to be used for validation of the results from various eco-hydrological models and satellite image analysis which constitute main components of Carbo/HydroKorea project. Stable isotope studies, together with other relevant researches, will contribute to derive quantitative interpretation of carbon/water cycles in terrestrial ecosystems and support Carbo/HydroKorea to become a leading research infrastructure to answer pending scientific and socio-economic questions in relation to global changes.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.15 no.6
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• pp.2785-2791
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• 2014

Aims: To analyze time-dependent changes in female breast cancer (BC) mortality in China, forecast the trend in the ensuing 5 years, and provide recommendations for prevention and management. Materials and Methods: Mortality data of breast cancer in China from 1991 to 2011 was used to describe characteristics and distribution, such as the changes of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences and age differences. Trend-surface analysis was used to study the geographical distribution of mortality. In addition, curve estimation, time series modeling, Gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression were performed to estimate and predict future trends. Results: In China, the mortality rate of breast cancer has increased yearly since 1991. In addition, our data predicted that the trend will continue to increase in the ensuing 5 years. Rates in urban areas are higher than those in rural areas. Over the past decade, all peak ages for death by breast cancer have been delayed, with the first death peak occurring at 55 to 65 years of age in urban and rural areas. Geographical analysis indicated that mortality rates increased from Southwest to Northeast and from West to East. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of breast cancer in China is rising and the upward trend is predicted to continue for the next 5 years. Since this can cause an enormous health impact in China, much better prevention and management of breast cancer is needed. Consequently, disease control centers in China should place more focus on the northeastern, eastern and southeastern parts of China for breast cancer prevention and management, and the key population should be among women between ages 55 to 65, especially those in urban communities.

• Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.398-404
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• 2010

Purpose: Concerns had been voiced about an oversupply of optometrists in Korea. So, this study aimed to forecast the supply and demand for opticians for policy implications. Methods: Baseline Projection model combined with demographic method was adopted as the supply forecasting method and so was a ratio method using the number of physician and population using weight of healthcare utilization. Results: Under the 'physician to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 83~700 opticians in 2010 and an undersupply of 15 to surplus of 6,118 opticians in 2025. Under the 'population to optician ratio', there would be a surplus of 1,055 opticians in 2010 and surplus of 9,376 opticians in 2025. Conclusions: We concluded that there would be oversupply for opticians until 2025, although the shortage and surplus of opticians might depend on the ratio's criteria. Hence, policies would need to be developed that could solve the imbalance in requirements and supply for opticians.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.431-449
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• 2008

I analyzed the relationships among motives, strategies, and performances of the university-initiated R&D activities in the Information Technology Research Center(ITRC) Projects. I suggested a research model and 3 hypothesis about them through analysis of a lot of literatures. And I also made an empirical test on the hypothesis through statistical methods. The data which were used in this analysis were gathered through a questionnaire survey to the head of R&D projects in the ITRCs. I would make several useful suggestions to the head of university's ITRCs and the policy makers. Firstly, the type of university's R&D strategy were influenced from several motives such as technology development and acquisition, co-utilizations of research facilities, and utilization and rearing of the expertise. Secondly, to select an optimal type of R&D strategy, the university should considered the efficient methods which were related to forecasting market size of new product and new technology, and to using the useful information on technology development, and to securing the expertise. Thirdly, the researcher and manager of ITRCs had to recognize the correct forecast of future market size of new product and new technology and a useful information about technology development, as the most important factors in improving performances of R&D projects. Lastly, They had to make an effort of getting the efficient methods to secure the expertise, research facilities, and rational compensation system.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.10 no.2 s.20
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• pp.97-105
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• 2002

Nowadays the gas utilities has been increasing constantly due to the expansion of the urban areas. The gas utility companies have adopted GIS technologies and been trying to computerize the management system for gas facilities to maintain up-to-dated information to forecast possible accidents and to minimize the casualties from the accidents. The major objective of this study is to develop a GIS-based gas accident management system which could facilitate early response and alternatives in the cases of the accidents. The system is able to provide the information for the pipes to be closed followed by selecting the location of the accident, and search all the relevant values connected to the location to provide all the information to minimize the casualties. In addition to that, the system can calculated the remaining amount of the gas in the pipes closed from the accident thereby providing more safer alternatives. In the future, more practical method needs to be made such as GPS-linked more integrated gas accident management system.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.687-696
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• 2018

In order to develop effective emission abatement strategies for coal-fired power plants, we analyzed the shutdown effects of coal-fired power plants on $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June by employing air quality model for the period from 2013 to 2016. WRF (Weather Research and Forecast) and CMAQ(Community Multiscale Air Quality) models were used to quantify the impact of emission reductions on the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations in June over Chungcheongnam-do area in Korea. The resultant shutdown effects showed that the averaged $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in June decreased by 1.2% in Chungcheongnam-do area and decreased by 2.3% in the area where the surface air pollution measuring stations were located. As a result of this study, it was confirmed that it is possible to analyze policy effects considering the change of meteorology and emission and it is possible to quantitatively estimate the influence at the maximum impact region by utilizing the air quality model. The results of this study are expected to be useful as a basic data for analyzing the effect of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration change according to future emission changes.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.1-10
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• 2015

This paper offers some long term perspective on what has been happening to some baseball statistics for Korean professional baseball. The data used are league summaries by year over the period 1982-2013. For the baseball statistics, statistically significant positive correlations (p < 0.01) were found for doubles (2B), runs batted in (RBI), bases on balls (BB), strike outs (SO), grounded into double play (GIDP), hit by pitch (HBP), on base percentage (OBP), OPS, earned run average (ERA), wild pitches (WP) and walks plus hits divided by innings pitched (WHIP) increased with year. There was a statistically significant decreasing trend in the correlations for triples (3B), caught stealing (CS), errors (E), completed games (CG), shutouts (SHO) and balks (BK) with year (trend p < 0.01). The ARIMA model of Box-Jenkins is applied to find a model to forecast future baseball measures. Univariate time series results suggest that simple lag-1 models fit some baseball measures quite well. In conclusion, the single most important change in Korean professional baseball is the overall incidence of completed games (CG) downward. Also the decrease of strike outs (SO) is very remarkable.

• Journal of Evidence-Based Herbal Medicine
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.33-38
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• 2009

Korean Ginseng has been recognized as a representative special product in Korea and over the world for a long time, since its quality is known to be superior to Chinese, North American Ginseng. However, the export volume of Korean Ginseng products has been diminishing since 1990 because the imports of low price Chinese Ginseng and the effective marketing policy on North American Ginseng. Therefore, this study is to suggest the competitiveness reinforcement strategies through analyses of the present state and transition of the international competitiveness in Korean Ginseng. This study conducts the comparative analysis of international competitive power of ginseng between Korea and other exporting countries. There are many kinds of saponin that are competitive from a quality profile. However, price competitiveness was very low. According to the result of analysis, this study suggest the competitiveness reinforcement strategies of Korean Ginseng as follows ; First, it is necessary to establish the ginseng plan for high-quality environmentally-friendly production. Second, Korean Ginseng producer should develop various consumer-oriented products according to purchasing power and taste of target market consumers. Third, export strategies must be established by finding out every importing country’s characteristics with regard its import, circulation and consumption of the Korean Ginseng. The use of this study is to forecast useful information to concerned organization for the future policies to the ginseng products in the international market.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.3 s.74
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• pp.49-58
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• 2004

The first and perhaps the most critical and perhaps the most important step in the process of predicting future traffic volume in a region (Zone) is to estimate the number of trips generated in from each traffic analysis zone. Most trip generation models for urban transportation planning, and highway in Korea are regression models. In Korea the category analysis has not been tried for last decades since the proper data such as the household travel behavior data have not been collected. Recently, the comprehensive household travel behavior survey such as ${\ulcorner}$1996 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$, ${\ulcorner}$2002 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$ has been done. In this paper, the cross-classification tables of Seoul Metropolitan Area including the City of Seoul and Kyonggi Province are estimated by the category analysis. The tables are compared with regression models and ${\ulcorner}$2002 The Household Travel Behavior Survey${\lrcorner}$ data in terms of predictive capabilities in Seoul Metropolitan Area. Improvement strategies for trip generation forecast in Seoul Metropolitan Area are proposed.

• Journal of Ecology and Environment
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• v.38 no.1
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• pp.119-122
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• 2015

It is very useful and important to see the status and change of necessary parts in a short period through selecting and observing the bioindicator continually to forecast and prepare the future. Especially, living things are so closely related to the environment that the indicator between the environment and living things shows close interrelationship. Also, the indicator related to environment provides information about representative or decisive environmental phenomenon and is used to simplify complicated facts. Considering wide range of background and application including various indicators such as the change-, destruction-, pollution-, and restoration of habitats, climate change, and species diversity, the closest category includes "environmental indicator," "ecological indicator," and "biodiversity indicator." The selection and use of bioindicator is complicated and difficult. The necessary conditions for the indicator selection are flexible and greatly depend on the goals of investigation such as the indicator for biological diversity investigation of specific area, the indicator for habitat destruction, the indicator for climate change, and the indicator for polluted area. It should meet many various conditions to select a good indicator. In this study, eleven selection standards are established based on domestic and overseas studies on bioindicator selection: species with clear classification and ecology, species distributed in geographically widespread area, species that show clear habitat characteristics, species that can provide early warning for a change, species that are easy and economically benefited for the investigation, species that have many independent individual groups and that is not greatly affected by the size of individual groups, species that is thought to represent the response of other species, species that represent the ecology change caused by the pressure of human influence, species for which researches on climate change have been done, species that is easy to observe, appears for a long time and forms a group with many individuals, and species that are important socially, economically, and culturally.