• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.859-868
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• 2012

Due to a rapidly aging society, the future Korea mortality rate is important for planning national financial strategies and social security policies. Old age mortality statistics are very limited in their ability to project a future mortality rate; therefore, it is essential to accurately estimate the old age mortality rate. In this paper, we show that the CK model with a Relational model as a base model provides accurate estimates of old age mortality rates.

• 한국인구학
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.51-72
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• 2006

우리나라의 노동생명표 대부분은 Wolfbein & Wool의 전통적 방법에 의해 작성되고 있다. 그러나 여성의 경제활동참가율이 M자 형태를 보이므로, 이러한 방법은 여성의 노동기대여명 측정에 부적합하다. 한편. 증감 노동생명표는 여성에게도 동일하게 적용될 수 있으나, 개인의 경제활동 상태 전이에 대한 자료가 필요하다. 본 연구는 Garfinkle과 Pollard et al.의 노동생명표가 Hoem, Schoen & Woodrow에 의해 개발되고, 미국 노동통계국이 채택하고 있는 증감 노동생명표와 본질적으로 동일하다는 점을 보여주고 있다. 또한 이들의 노동생명표는 전통적인 방법에 의한 생명표와 마찬가지로 일반적인 증감노동생명표처럼 개인의 경제활동 상태간 전이확률을 추정하지 않고, 공표된 거시적 경제활동참가율을 사용할 수 있는 장점이 있음을 보여주고 있다. 아울러, 통계청이 발표한 2000-2050년의 간이생명표를 바탕으로 성 연령별 경제활동참가율 전망치를 추정하고, Garfinkle-Pollard의 증감 노동생명표 방법론에 의한 노동기대여명을 전망하였다. 그 결과 2000년에서 2050년 동안 65세의 노동기대여명은 남자 5.8년에서 7.7년, 여자 4.1년에서 5.1년으로 증가되었다. 그러나, 65세 이상 고령자의 경우는 자료처리 방법 및 향후 사망확률 가정에 따라 노동기대여명이 다소 차이를 보였다. 정확한 노동기대여명의 측정 및 전망을 위해서는 고령자의 경제활동에 대한 상세한 자료가 필요함은 물론, 향후 사망력 가정에 대한 심층 연구가 수반되어야 할 것이다.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.549-568
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• 2013

보험상품의 보험료를 계산하거나 리스크 관리를 하는 과정에서 다중탈퇴율이 필요하지만 경험 자료의 부족으로 절대탈퇴율을 다중탈퇴율로 전환하여 많이 사용한다. 다중탈퇴율과 절대탈퇴율간의 전환에는 소수연령분포를 균등분포로 가정하거나 탈퇴력을 상수로 가정하여 전환하는 방법을 주로 사용한다. 하지만, 이러한 가정하에서는 전환 시 오차가 발생하므로 본 연구에서는 전환오차를 줄이기 위하여 소수연령분포를 삼차 스플라인 함수로 추정하여 전환하는 방법을 제안한다. 기존에 많이 사용하던 방법은 탈퇴력이 불연속적이라는 특징이 있었으나 새로이 제시하는 방법은 탈퇴력이 연속적이라는 측면에서 차이가 있다. 수치 예를 통하여 기존의 방법과 오차를 비교해 봄으로써 스플라인 추정법이 오차를 줄이는데 효과적임을 확인할 수 있다.

• Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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• 제60권1호
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• pp.57-63
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• 2022

When free-ranging birds are accidentally killed or die, there may be greater potential for their associated ticks to detach, seek alternate hosts, and become established. We examined 711 carcasses of 95 avian species for ticks at a stopover island of migratory birds in the Republic of Korea where only Ixodes nipponensis and I. persulcatus were previously reported from local mammals and vegetation. A total of 16 ticks, I. turdus and Haemaphysalis flava, were collected from 8 fresh carcasses belonging to 5 avian species. Despite their known abundance on migratory birds and mainland Korea, these species had not colonized the isolated insular ecosystem possibly due to the low abundance and diversity of local hosts. The results imply that increasing human impact, such as the anthropogenic mortality of migratory birds and the introduction of non-native mammalian hosts, will increase the potential invasion and colonization risk of ticks. This finding also suggests that tick surveillance consisting of fresh carcasses of dead migratory birds may provide additional information, often ignored in surveillance of ticks on live birds, for the potential introduction of non-native ticks and associated pathogens affecting animal and human health.

• 한국인구학
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.13-29
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• 1986

This study was carried out to calculate working life expectancy and its potential gains according to the degree of reduction in the specific causes of death. It sought to ascertain what potential gains in labor force longevity might be reasonably achieved through efforts to reduce mortality from injuries and poisoning, diseases of circulatory system, neoplasms and the other causes of death. The data were drawn from the three sources such as "The 1982 Causes of Death Statistics," "Abridged Life Table for Korea 1978~'79" and "The 1982 annual Report of Economically Active Population" issued by Economic Planning Board. Analytical tools used in this study were the cause-deleted life table and the Wolfbein Wool's working life table method. Partial life expectancy was adopted as an index of this study, This application will be widely used as a good demographic tool for analyzing the dynamics of labor force and causes of death. Some of the findings are summerized as follows. 1. Partial life expectancies from initial age 15, 25, and 45 respectively to terminal age 65 are 44.86, 35.59 and 17.41 year in life expectancy itself, 37.08, 32.83 and 15.21 year in working life expectancy, 7.78, 2.76 and 2.20 years in inactive life years. 2. Potential gains in working expectancy from initial age 15, 25 and 45 to terminal age 65 by the complete elimination of the specific causes of death are 1.36, 0.94 and 0.27 years in injuries and poisoning, 0.88, 0.83 and 0.54 years in diseases of circulatory system, 0.56, 0.54 and 0.37 years in neoplasms, 1.13, 1.02 and 0.58 years in the other causes of death. The relationship between degree of reduction in causes of death and potential gains in working life years is in direct proportion. The prime orders of reduction effectiveness in age groups by the causes of death are injuries and poisoning in age 15-24, the other causes of death in age 25-49 and diseases of circulatory system in age 50 and over. 3. If it were possible to reduce 25%, 50% and 75% in mortality condition 1978~'79, the average length of working life would be 38.08, 39.13 and 40.17 years in age 15, and 33.68, 34.57 and 35.44 years in age 25, and 15.67, 16.14 and 16.63 years in age 45.

• 한국가금학회지
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.51-57
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• 2011

본 시험은 육계에 솔잎 분말의 급여량에 따라(0. 0.3%, 0.6% 및 0.9%) 5주간 사육한 육계의 생산성과 계육의 일반성분, 도체특성 및 혈액성상을 조사하였다. 실험구는 솔잎 분말을 첨가 급여하지 않은 처리구를 대조구, 솔잎 분말 0.3% 급여구는 T1, 솔잎 분말 0.6% 급여구는 T2 그리고 솔잎 분말 0.9% 급여구를 T3 등 4개 처리구로 나누어 실시하였다. 육계의 생산성은 처리구간 유의적인 변화는 없었고, 폐사율은 대조구와 T1에 비해 T2와 T3에서 낮아졌으며, T2와 T3간에는 유의한 차이가 없었다(P<0.05). 계육의 수분, 조단백질, 조지방 및 조회분 등의 일반성분은 유의성이 없었다. 도체 특성 중 도체중, 도체율 및 비장 무게는 처리구 간에 유의성이 없었고, 간의 무게는 대조구와 T1은 비슷하지만, T2와 T3는 유의하게 가벼웠는데 급여량이 많은 T3에서 다소 가벼운 결과이었다(P<0.05). 복강지방은 솔잎 분말의 급여량이 늘어남에 따라 감소하는 경향으로 T3에서 유의적으로 가벼웠다(P<0.05). 육계의 혈액 성상 중 HDL-cholesterol과 glucose는 솔잎 급여구에서 높았고, 총 콜레스테롤과 LDL-cholesterol은 낮아지는 결과로(P<0.05) 솔잎을 0.6% 이상 급여할 경우 유의한 변화를 보였다. TBARS는 솔잎 분말의 급여량이 증가함에 따라 다소 감소하였고, 보수성과 전단력은 유의성이 없는 결과이었다. 결론적으로 솔잎 분말을 0.6% 이상 급여하면(T2) 육계의 폐사율이 낮아지고, 총콜레스테롤, LDL-cholesterol이 감소하며, HDL-cholesterol이 증가함으로 혈액 성상을 개선할 가능성이 있는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
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• 제19권11호
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• pp.550-560
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• 2018

세계 각국 정부는 자동차 안전성 향상을 위한 첨단 운전자 보조시스템(ADAS, Advanced Driver Assistance System)에 대해 연구 지원 및 정책을 시행하고 있다. 이러한 노력으로 교통사고 사상자수는 지속적으로 감소하고 있다. 그러나 국내 교통사고 사상자 수는 OECD 35개국 가운데 최하위이며, 사망률은 31위를 기록하고 있다. 교통사고는 사고의 원인에 따라 차대차(V2V, Vehicle to Vehicle), 차대사람(V2P, Vehicle to Pedestrian), 차량단독과 같은 세 가지 유형으로 분류된다. 사고원인은 운전자의 인지, 판단, 조작 등의 실수로 인하여 발생한다. 이러한 이유로 사고 감소 및 예방을 위해 제안된 것이 ADAS 이다. 그리고 현재 자동차 산업계에서는 각종 안전장치를 개발하고 있으나, 성능검사를 위한 실차시험은 제한적이며 위험성을 동반하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는, 제한적인 실차시험의 극복을 위해 브레이크 제동력 평가 기술에 관한 시험평가 방법의 국제표준을 검토하고, 제동력에 관한 이론식과 제어 알고리즘을 제안한 뒤 이를 실차시험으로 비교하여 타당성을 검증하였다. 이 결과는 ADAS의 기능에 따른 제동력을 확인 할 수 있으며, 개발단계에서 제안한 이론식으로 경향성 예측이 가능해져 실차시험의 위험성을 감소시킬 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국인구학
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.1-18
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• 1990

This is a study which attempt to analyze changing patierns of economic active popu-lation, t o estimato- future patterns, and exa- mine vartons problems arises by changing c ire u mst ances of t he labor force market in- clunging soici al, economic ic, heathl th and demoi-graph ic aspects. We have constructed series of wotking life table which are useful in syt uiolyioig the lirocess of growth and structural change of labor force. Work i ng life tables represent ihie life eyele of econrmic' activity in hi ypothetical cohorts, that is. gen-erat i on of men Sn bject at eat' b period ot f their lives th given ra to's o mor tali it y and of par-- tici pation in economic activities. The tabloes prot' ide measorues of the alvet'age he ng t able of economically aeti \- e life. and agespecific rates of en trannee' into and retirement from the hahn' force. In const routing working life tables, age-specific activity rates and life tabole popula- titoto which represents contemporary condi-tions of moortality in Korea au'e the basic' maltoerials. We have derived the age-specific rates foorm economically active population survey, whoich were conducted by the Bureau of Statistics, Economic Planning Borard of the Korean government. Working life tables are constructed for men wtable these materi- als in the year of 1970, 1980 and 1988 by a modified Wolfbein-Wool's method. Some of the findings may be summerized as follow : 1) A central part of constructing working life table is calculation of stationary' economic active population, which represents the number of men in the stationtary population extoected to be in the labor force at each age group in the life span. The stationary economic active population by age have generally a universal pattern, where they rise sharply in the early twenties, approach its' peak in the thirties decline thereafter. at first graolually and then more rapidly at an advanced age. Korean men show the same general pa ttern of age distribution of stationary eco-- nomic active population with sharp increase hegining from the age interval of 20 to 24, reaching to maximum level at older age. The population. however, presumably, increased substantially due to increaseing school atte endance rates. Another difference exiSts in the youngest age groups, that is the activity rate in the year of 1988 is lower than that of Japan. The table shows an analysis of changes in the age distrihution of labor force between 1970, 1980 and 1988. 2) It was shown an analysis of changes in the age distribution and cause of separation from labor force. The entrance rate to labor force has increased from 18~\5 persons to 299 persons per 1000 head of stationary population between that of 1980 than that of 1988 for Korean men in 20~24 age group. The entrace rate to labor force shows a rapid entrance appearance concentrated on the 15~24 age group. The separation rate from labor force by retirment in Korea in the year of 1988 shows a great difference of the about four times as much as that of Japan. 3) The functions of table illustrate the patterns of working life of males in Korea in 1970, 1980 and 1988. The average remaining number of economically active years, e at age 15 in 1988 is 46.39 which is 2.12 years of increase compared with that of at age 15 in 1970,1980 and 1988 are 43.90,44.27 and 46.39 respectively, showing steadily increase dur- ing the past double decade the increase in the length of economically active life various age may be considered to have come both from extention of general life expectancy and from increasing entrance rate to economic activity in high age that of working is far greater in 1988 than that of 1980. The gaps between expectation of life and average remaining years of economically active widened due to rapid improvement of mortality level in Ko- rea. This observation together with the population pressure by the appearance of a group of younger population implies that constant increase of economically inactive population among older age group.

• Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.336-340
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• 2018

Foreign body ingestions pose a significant health risk in children. Neodymium magnets are high-powered, rare-earth magnets that is a serious issue in the pediatric population due to their strong magnetic force and high rate of complications. When multiple magnets are ingested, there is potential for morbidity and mortality, including gastrointestinal fistula formation, obstruction, bleeding, perforation, and death. Many cases require surgical intervention for removal of the magnets and management of subsequent complications. However, we report a case of multiple magnet ingestion in a 19-month-old child complicated by gastroduodenal fistula that was successfully treated by endoscopic removal and supportive care avoiding the need for surgical intervention. At two-week follow-up, the child was asymptomatic and upper gastrointestinal series obtained six months later demonstrated resolution of the fistula.

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.303-311
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• 2019

Background: Cerebrovascular disease is included in four major diseases and is a disease that has high rates of prevalence and mortality around the world. Moreover, it is a disease that requires a high cost for long-term hospitalization and treatment. This study aims to figure out the correlation between grip strength, which was presented as a simple, cost-effective, and relevant predictor of cerebrovascular disease, and cerebrovascular disease based on the results of a prior study. And furthermore, our study compared model suitability of the model to measuring grip strength and relative grip strength as a predictor of cerebrovascular disease to improve the quality of cerebrovascular disease's predictor. Methods: This study conducted an analysis based on the generalized linear mixed model using the data from the Korea Longitudinal Study of Ageing from 2006 to 2016. The research subjects consisted of 9,132 middle old age people aged 45 years or older at baseline with no missing information of education level, gender, marital status, residential region, type of national health insurance, self-related health, smoking status, alcohol use, and economic activity. The grip strength was calculated the average which measured 4 times (both hands twice), and the relative grip force was divided by the body mass index as a variable considering the anthropometric figure that affects the cerebrovascular disease and the grip strength. Cerebrovascular diseases, a dependent variable, were investigated based on experiences diagnosed by doctors. Results: An analysis of the association between grip strength and found that about 0.972 (odds ratio [OR], 0.972; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.963-0.981) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as grip strength increased by one unit increase and the association between relative grip strength and cerebrovascular disease found that about 0.418 (OR, 0.418; 95% CI, 0.342-0.511) was the incidence of cerebral vascular disease as relative grip strength increased by unit. In addition, the model suitability of the model for each grip strength and relative grip strength was 11,193 and 11,156, which means relative grip strength is the better application to the predictor of cerebrovascular diseases, irrespective of other variables. Conclusion: The results of this study need to be carefully examined and validated in applying relative grip strength to improve the quality of predictors of cerebrovascular diseases affecting high mortality and prevalence.