• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.164-164
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• 2023

This study investigates the importance of flood-influencing factors on the accuracy of flood risk mapping using the integration of remote sensing-based and machine learning techniques. Here, the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms integrated with GIS-based techniques were considered to develop and generate flood risk maps. For the study area of NAPA County in the United States, rainfall data from the 12 stations, Sentinel-1 SAR, and Sentinel-2 optical images were applied to extract 13 flood-influencing factors including altitude, aspect, slope, topographic wetness index, normalized difference vegetation index, stream power index, sediment transport index, land use/land cover, terrain roughness index, distance from the river, soil, rainfall, and geology. These 13 raster maps were used as input data for the XGBoost and RF algorithms for modeling flood-prone areas using ArcGIS, Python, and R. As results, it indicates that XGBoost showed better performance than RF in modeling flood-prone areas with an ROC of 97.45%, Kappa of 93.65%, and accuracy score of 96.83% compared to RF's 82.21%, 70.54%, and 88%, respectively. In conclusion, XGBoost is more efficient than RF for flood risk mapping and can be potentially utilized for flood mitigation strategies. It should be noted that all flood influencing factors had a positive effect, but altitude, slope, and rainfall were the most influential features in modeling flood risk maps using XGBoost.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제55권4호
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• pp.73-82
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• 2013

The main objective of this study was to evaluate Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios-based flood risk at a Si-Gun level. A bias correction using a quantile mapping method with the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution was performed to correct future precipitation data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A series of proxy variables including CN80 (Number of days over 80 mm) and CX3h (Maximum precipitation during 3-hr) etc. were used to carry out flood risk assessment. Indicators were normalized by a Z-score method and weighted by factors estimated by principal component analysis (PCA). Flood risk evaluation was conducted for the four different time periods, i.e. 1990s, 2025s, 2055s, and 2085s, which correspond to 1976~2005, 2011~2040, 2041~2070, and 2071~2100. The average flood risk indices based on RCP4.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.16, 0.22, and 0.13 for the corresponding periods in the order of time, which increased steadily up to 2055s period and decreased. The average indices based on RCP8.5 scenario were 0.08, 0.23, 0.11, and 0.21, which decreased in the 2055s period and then increased again. Considering the average index during entire period of the future, RCP8.5 scenario resulted in greater risk than RCP4.5 scenario.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.236-236
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• 2015

Flood is one of the major natural disasters affecting millions of people. Thailand also, frequently faces with this type of disaster. Especially, 2011 mega flood in Central Thailand, inundated highway severely attributed to the failure of national economic and risk to life. Lesson learned from such an extreme event caused flood monitoring and warning becomes one of the sound mitigations. The highway flood hazard mapping accomplished in this research is one of the strategies. This is due to highway flood is the potential risk to life and limb, and potential damage to property. Monitoring and warning therefore help reducing live and property losses. In this study, degree of highway flood hazard was assessed by weighting factors for each cause of the highway flood using Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) based Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). These weighting factors are the essential information to classify the degree of highway flood hazard to enable pinpoint on flood monitoring and flood warning in hazard areas. The highway flood causes were then investigated. It was found that three major factors influence to the highway flood are namely the highway characteristics, the hydrological characteristics and the land topography characteristics. The weight of importance for each cause of the highway flood in the whole country was assessed by weighting 3 major factors influence to the highway flood. According to the result of MCA analysis, the highway, the hydrological and the land topography characteristics were respectively weighted as 35, 35 and 30 percent influence to the cause of highway flood. These weighting factors were further utilized to classify the degree of highway flood hazard. The Weight Linear Combination (WLC) method was used to compute the total score of all highways according to each factor. This score was later used to categorize highway flood as high, moderate and low degree of hazard levels. Highway flood hazard map accomplished in this research study is applicable to serve as the handy tool for highway flood warning. However, to complete the whole warning process, flood water level monitoring system for example the camera gauge should be installed in the hazard highway. This is expected to serve as a simple flood monitor as part of the warning system during such extreme or critical event.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.549-557
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• 2013

정밀한 홍수 범람도는 홍수의 공간적 특성에 대한 정보를 의사 결정자나 설계자들에게 전달할 수 있다. 수리모형을 이용하여 홍수 범람도를 구축하는 과정에서 확실하게 정의되거나 측정되지 않은 조도계수와 수위유량관계식으로부터 얻은 유량은 불확실성을 일으키는 핵심 요인들이다. 또한, 홍수 범람도에 대한 불확실성 해석을 위해서는 관측 자료가 필요한데, 홍수 범람의 관측 자료는 인공위성영상을 이용하여 확보할 수가 있다. 따라서 본 연구의 목적은 수리모형과 인공위성자료를 이용하여 조도계수와 유량이 홍수범람도 제작에서 일으키는 불확실성을 정량적으로 산정하는 것이다. 미국 Illinois주 Metropolis시 주위의 Ohio 강에 대하여 HEC-RAS과 지형분석을 이용하여 홍수 범람를 모의하고 ISODATA(Iterative Self-Organizing Data Analysis)분류 방법으로 Landsat 5TM 위성 영상으로부터 수체를 추출하였다. 추출된 수체는 GLUE(Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation)에서 우도측정(F-통계량)을 계산하는데 관측 자료로 이용되었다. GLUE는 누적확률 5 %와 95 %에 각각 해당하는 74.59 $km^2$와 151.95 $km^2$의 홍수범람면적을 산정했다. 홍수 범람도 구축과정에서 발생하는 불확실성을 정량적으로 산정하는 것은 효율적인 홍수방어 계획을 실현화하는데 중요한 역할을 할 거라 사료된다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.2293-2302
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• 2013

홍수위험관리에서 홍수범람도는 가장 기본적인 자료로 사용되고 있다. 그러나 홍수범람도 구축과정에서 다양한 형태로 불확실성이 발생하기 때문에 이는 정확한 홍수 방재계획 수립에 걸림돌로 작용할 수 있다. 그러므로 불확실성 요소를 제거하거나 개선하여 홍수범람도의 정확성을 향상시키는 것이 필요하나, 모든 불확실성을 완벽하게 제거하는 것은 경제적 타당성과 홍수에 대한 지식의 한계 때문에 불가능하며 매우 비효율적일 수 있다. 또한, 홍수범람도에 전달되는 불확실성 요소의 영향은 다른 환경변수에 따라 다를 수 있기 때문에 다양한 주변 환경의 조건을 고려한 불확실성 요소에 대한 민감도 분석이 필요하다. 이를 통하여 제거해야하거나 개선시켜야할 불확실성 요소의 우선순위를 정함으로써 전략적이면서도 효율적인 홍수위험관리를 유도할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 주변 환경의 조건에 따라 홍수범람도에 미치는 불확실성 요소의 민감도를 FOA방법을 이용하여 분석하고, 이를 미국 Indiana주 Columbus시 근처의 Flatrock 강에 적용하여 홍수범람도에 가장 큰 불확실성을 전달하는 요소를 선별하였다. 본 연구결과는 하나의 불확실성 요소가 다른 입력변수나 매개변수와 같은 주변 환경에 의해 홍수범람도에 다르게 영향을 준다는 것을 확인하였으며 또한, 대상유역의 홍수범람도 구축과정에서 가장 큰 불확실성 요소는 지형자료로 판명되었다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 1998년도 Proceedings of International Symposium on Remote Sensing
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• pp.128-133
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• 1998

To assess the flood damages and to provide necessary information for preventing future catastrophe, it is necessary to appraise the inundated area with more accurate and rapid manner. This study attempts to evaluate the potential of satellite synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data for mapping of flood inundated area in southern part of Korea. JERS L-band SAR data obtained during the summer of 1997 were used to delineate the inundated areas. In addition, Landsat TM data were also used for analyzing the land cover condition before the flooding. Once the two data sets were co-registered, each data was separately classified. The water surface areas extracted from the SAR data and the land cover map generated using the TM data were overlaid to determine the flood inundated areas. Although manual interpretation of water surfaces from the SAR image seems rather simple, the computer classification of water body requires clear understanding of radar backscattering behavior on the earth's surfaces. It was found that some surface features, such as rice fields, runaway, and tidal flat, have very similar radar backscatter to water surface. Even though satellite SAR data have a great advantage over optical remote sensor data for obtaining imagery on time and would provide valuable information to analyze flood, it should be cautious to separate the exact areas of flood inundation from the similar features.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.19-26
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• 2004

The purpose of the study was to construct a forecast system of flood inundation area at natural stream channels. The study built the system to interpret the flood inundation area in four stages ; constructing topography data around the stream channel, interpreting flood discharge, interpreting flood elevation in the stream channel, and interpreting the flood inundation and mapping. According to the result of the analysis, as for the characteristic of flood inundation around the area within the purview of this study, although there were areas where flood inundation over a bank caused a flooded area, the failure of the internal drainage in the ground lower than flood elevation caused more serious problems. Rather than the existing method where only the estimated flood elevation data is used based on the hydrographical stream channel trace model(such as the HEC-RAS model) to establish the flood inundation area, if the procedure introduced in this study was applied to interpret the floodplain, actual flood inundation area could be visibly confirmed.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.52-61
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• 2004

한국수자원공사에서는 홍수지도 제작을 위한 정밀 지형자료 구축을 위해 LiDAR 측량을 실시하고 있으며, 향후 전국에 대한 홍수지도 제작시 막대한 비용이 소요될 것으로 예상된다. 따라서 홍수지도 제작이 꼭 필요한 지역을 선정하기 위한 사전모의용 자료구축을 위해 NGIS 수치지형도를 활용하는 것이 바람직하며, 이를 위해서는 각 축척별 수치지형도의 표고오차 분석이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 수치지형도의 DEM 오차를 평가하기 위해 LiDAR 측량을 수행하여 구축한 DEM과 비교하였다. 특히 수치지형도로부터 구축한 TIN으로부터 DEM을 생성하기 위해 수행하는 보간법의 종류에 따라 발생하는 오차특성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 1:1,000 수치지형도가 1:5,000 수치지형도에 비해 오차가 작게 나타났으며, linear 보간을 수행한 DEM이 quintic 보간을 수행한 DEM에 비해 작은 오차특성을 보였다. 특히 도시지역의 경우 완만한 경사로 구성되어 있기 때문에 해상도에 따른 DEM 오차의 변화는 매우 작은 것으로 평가되었다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제25권8호
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• pp.1165-1176
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• 2016

The accuracy of digital elevation models (DEMs) is crucial for properly estimating flood inundation area. DEM pixel size is especially important when generating flood inundation maps of small streams with a channel width of less than 50 m. In Korea, DEMs with large spatial resolutions of 30 m have been widely applied to generate flood inundation maps, even for small streams. Additionally, when making river master plans, field observations of stream cross-sections, as well as reference points in the middle of the river, have not previously been used to enhance the DEM. In this study, it was graphically demonstrated that high-resolution DEMs can increase the accuracy of flood inundation mapping, especially for small streams. Also, a methodology was proposed to modify the existing low-resolution DEMs by adding additional survey reference points, including river cross-sections, and interpolating them into a high spatial resolution DEM using the inverse distance weighting method. For verification purposes, the modified DEM was applied to Han stream on Jeju Island. The modified DEM showed much better accuracy when describing morphological features near the stream. Moreover, the flood inundation maps were formulated with the original 30 m pixel DEM and the modified 0.1 m pixel DEM using HEC-RAS modeling of the actual flood event of Typhoon Nari, and then compared with the flood history map of Nari. The results clearly indicated that the modified DEM generated a similar inundation area, but a very poor estimate of inundation area was derived from the original low-resolution DEM.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.787-799
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• 2018

대규모 홍수 발생 시 적기에 침수지의 공간적 분포와 변화를 모니터링하기 위한 정확하고 효율적인 매핑 수단이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 높은 시간해상도로 동일 지역을 하루에 여러 번 관측이 가능한 저해상도 광학위성영상을 이용하여 대규모 홍수 범람으로 인한 침수지를 탐지하는 방법을 제시하고자 하였다. 2010년 1월 모로코 세부강 유역에서 발생한 대규모 홍수로 인한 침수지를 탐지하기 위하여 MODIS 일별 표면반사율 영상을 사용하였다. 영상에서 나타나는 침수지의 다양한 분광특성을 분석하여 침수지의 유형이 순수한 물표면과 물과 식물이 혼재된 형태가 함께 분포하고 있었다. 침수지 탐지는 분광특성에 따라 선정된 밴드의 반사율 영상에 직접 임계값을 적용하는 방법과 물 관련 분광지수에 임계값을 적용하는 방법을 비교하였다. 침수지 탐지 결과의 정확도 검증은 TM 영상에서 판독된 부분 지역의 침수지 지도와 비교하였다. NDWI를 제외한 나머지 방법에서 90% 이상의 높은 정확도를 얻었다. 모든 침수지 탐지 방법에서 SWIR밴드와 적색광밴드가 가장 중요하며, 2개의 밴드에 직접 임계값을 적용하는 단순한 방법으로도 정확하고 효율적인 침수지 탐지가 가능했다. 기존의 NIR밴드는 침수지 탐지에 있어서 큰 역할을 하지 못했지만, 식물이 혼재된 침수지의 유형을 구분하는데 유용했다.