• Title/Summary/Keyword: flood magnitude

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Development of an Estimation Method for Travel Time (도달시간 산정 방법의 개발)

  • Jeong, Jong-Ho;Keum, Jong-Ho;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.715-727
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    • 2002
  • The travel time of a flood through a river reach can be estimated by dividing the river length by the mean velocity with which the flood passes downstream. It is closely related to storage constant for the watershed routing of a flood. There are so many empirical formulas available for the estimation of travel time but the results computed generally show great different depending on individual formulas. In the present study, the mean velocity data computed in the process of water surface profile computation for a probability flood through more than 100 different river reaches were collected along with the mean river bed slope of each river reach. And then, a regression analysis is made between the mean river bed slope and the mean velocity, which showed a wide scatter along the mean regression curve, which appears to be due to the different in the magnitude of probability rainfall and size of watershed area. Therefore, methods have been developed to remove the effect of these factors and generalized empirical equation is proposed to relate the mean velocity to mean river bed slope of a reach. Hence, if the mean river bed slope of a river reach is estimated from the longitudinal river profile, the mean velocity can be computed by the generalized equation along with the probability rainfall and watershed area of the river reach under consideration, which leads to the estimation of travel time through a river reach.

Variations of Calcium, Bicarbonate, and Cation in the Lacustrine Zone by Interannual Differences in Up-River Discharge

  • An, Kwang-Guk;Lee, Jae-Hoon;Han, Jeong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.471-476
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    • 2010
  • Monthly up-river discharge in the riverine zone analysis resulted in large interannual variations and differences in calcium ($Ca^{2+}$), bicarbonate ($HCO_3^-$), and cations in the lacustrine zone (Lz) of Daecheong Reservoir during the wet year (Wy, 1993) vs. dry year (Dy, 1994). Total up-river discharge in the Wy was four times that of the Dy, and the up-river discharge in July~August of the Wy was eight times greater than that of same period of Dy. Annual water retention time in the Lz showed large difference between the two years. Water residence time (WRT) was minimum when the up-river discharge peaked, whereas the WRT was maximum when the up-river discharge was at minimal condition. This peak discharge from the up-river on early July reduced residence time in the Lz on mid-July~late July. Monthly pattern, based on data of May~November, was similar between the two years, but, but mean retention time in the Wy was 50 days shorter than in the Dy. Such hydrology, up-river discharge, and WRT reduced $Ca^{2+}$, $HCO_3^-$, and cations in the Lz. At low up-river discharge in Wy during April~May, the cation content of Ca+Mg+Na+K averaged 1.17meq $L^{-1}$ (range=1.09-1.26meq $L^{-1}$), but as the up-river discharge increased suddenly, the values decreased. Seasonal fluctuations of $Ca^{2+}$ showed exactly same pattern with bicarbonate ion of $HCO_3^-$. The minimum $Ca^{2+}$ (0.03meq $L^{-1}$) was occurred in the early August of wet year and coincided with the minimum $HCO_3^-$. These results suggest that the magnitude of variation in $Ca^{2+}$, bicarbonate, and cations in the lacustrine zone is directly determined by the peak magnitude of up-river discharge. The magnitude of up-river discharge determined water retention time and the magnitude of ionic dilution in the lacustrine zone, resulting in functional changes of the ecosystem.

Development of a Real Time Control Model for Urban Drainage Systems (도시 내배수시스템 실시간 운영모형의 개발)

  • Jun, Hwandon;Lee, Yang Jae;Lee, Jung Ho;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.748-755
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    • 2007
  • To develop an efficient pump operating rule for a retard basin, it is necessary to estimate inflow to the retard basin accurately which is affected by the backwater effect at the outlet of the conduit. The magnitude of the backwater effect is dependent on the water depth of a retard basin; however, the depth is determined by the amount of inflow and outflow. Thus, a real time simulation system that is able to simulate urban runoff and the pump operation with the consideration of the backwater effect is required to estimate the actual inflow to a retard basin. With this system, the efficient pump operating rule can be developed to diminish the possible flood damage on urban areas. In this study, a realtime simulation system is developed using the SWMM 5.0 DLL and Visual Basic 6.0 equipped with EXCEL to estimate inflow considering the backwater effect. The realtime simulation can be done by updating realtime input data such as minutely observed rainfall and the depth of a retard basin. Using those updated input data, the model estimates actual inflow, the amount of outflow discharged by pumps and gates, the depth of each junction, and flow rate at a sewer pipe on realtime basis. The developed model was applied to the Joonggok retard basin and demonstrated that it can be used to design a sewer system and to estimate actual inflow through the inlet sewer to reduce the inundation risk. As results, we find that the model can contribute to establish better operating practices for the pumps and the flood drainage system.

Affecting Discharge of Flood Water in Paddy Field from Selecting Rainfall with Fixed and Unfixed Duration (고정, 임의시간 강우량 선택에 따른 농경지 배수 영향 분석)

  • Hwang, Dong Joo;Kim, Byoung Gyu;Shim, Jwa Keun
    • KCID journal
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.64-76
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    • 2012
  • Recently, it has been increased disaster of crops and agricultural facilities with climate change such as regional storm, typhoon. However agricultural facilities have unsafe design criteria of improving drainage corresponding to this change. This study has analyzed the impact that inundation area and magnitude of drainage-facility is decided based on fixed- and unfixed-duration precipitation by applying revised design criteria of drainage for climate change. The result was shown that 1-day and 2-days rainfall for 20-years return period has increased about 11.4%, 4.4% respectively by changing fixed- to unfixed duration. And the increase rate of design flood was 15.0%. The result was also shown that Inundation area was enlarged by 6.6% as well as increased inundation duration under same basic condition in designed rainfall between fixed- and unfixed-duration. According to the analysis, it is necessary for pump capacity in unfixed-duration to be increased by 70% for same effect with fixed-duration. Therefore, when computing method of probability precipitation is changed from fixed one to unfixed-duration by applying revised design criteria, there seems to be improving effect in drainage design. Because 1440-minutes rainfall for 20-years return period with unfixed-duration is more effective than 1-day rainfall for 30-years return period with fixed-duration. By applying unfixed-duration rainfall, capacity of drainage facilities need to be expanded to achieve the same effects (Inundation depth & duration) with fixed-duration rainfall. Further study is required for considering each condition of climate, topography and drainage by applying revised design criteria.

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An experimental study on characteristics of hydraulic stability for stable management prepare continuous flood in Shinwol rainwater storage and drainage system (신월 빗물저류배수시설의 연속강우 대비 안정적 운영을 위한 수리적 안정 특성에 대한 실험 연구)

  • Oh, Jun Oh;Kim, Young Do;Jun, Sang Mi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.451-461
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    • 2020
  • Urban flooding due to rapid urbanization has recently become frequent. In this study, a hydraulic model experiment was conducted on Shinwol rainwater storage and drainage system constructed for the first time in South Korea to prevent urban flooding. Experiments were preformed for 55 scenarios, of which 19 overflows occurred. In addition, the video analysis for the scenarios where the overflow occurred showd that the overflow occurred during the process of exhausting the pressurized air in the facility and the undular bore were moving. Results of this study, it was judge that it would be advantageous to maintain a completely drained or full-pipe condition for stable operation of the Shinwol rainwater storage and drainage system for continuous rainfall in the future. And it is necessary to additional research on the correlation for the magnitude of inflow discharge, overflow and undular bore.

Determination of Extreme Flood Definition and Establishment of Extreme Flood Forecasting System(EFFS) (극한홍수 정의 및 극한홍수예보시스템 구축)

  • Kim, Cho-Rong;Kim, Chung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.376-376
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    • 2019
  • 최근 수공시설물의 설계규모를 넘어서는 극한 강우사상이 발생하여 치수 목적의 수리구조물이 파괴되는 등 사회경제적으로 많은 홍수피해가 발생하고 있다. 전 세계적으로도 지구온난화, 엘리뇨, 라니냐 등 지구 환경변화에 따른 기상이변의 영향으로 홍수 발생강도(magnitude), 빈도(frequency), 피해규모 등의 측면에서 지속적으로 증가 추세를 보이고 있다(2011년 태국 대홍수, 2013년 태풍 하이옌). 극한홍수에 대한 명확한 개념정립이 부재한 상황으로 극한홍수 개념을 보다 체계적으로 정립하고 이를 바탕으로 아시아-태평양지역 태풍위원회 회원국의 실제 현업에서 홍수관리 및 치수정책 수립시 활용 가능한 극한홍수예보시스템을 구축하였다. 극한홍수정의를 수문학적 측면과 사회-경제적 측면을 고려한 정의, 일반적 정의로 구분하여 다음과 같이 정리하였다. (1) 기존에 자주 발생하지 않던 홍수로 홍수량적으로, 침수시간적으로 지금까지는 경험하지 못한 홍수이며, 수문학적으로 500년 빈도 홍수량을 초과하는 홍수량을 말한다. (2) 사회-경제적 측면을 고려한 설계홍수량을 초과하는 홍수량을 말한다. (3) 홍수량 및 홍수지속기간 측면에서 자주 경험하지 못했던 홍수로 치명적인 인명, 재산피해를 야기한 홍수량을 말한다. 정의된 극한홍수 대응을 위한 극한홍수예보시스템은 가장 단순한 수위법(Stage Method)부터 집중형 수문모형을 이용하는 LEVEL2, 레이더강우자료를 활용하여 홍수예보를 구축한 LEVEL3, 댐, 저수지 등의 극한상황을 가정하여 극한상황에 대한 수문학적 분석과 Emergency Action Plan (EAP) 수립까지 수행 가능한 LEVEL4 단계로 구성되었다. 본 연구는 극한홍수에 대한 보다 체계적인 개념 정립을 시도하였으며 이를 바탕으로 가용데이터와 시스템 운영 측면에서의 실무역량 등을 고려하여 단계적으로 활용 가능한 총 4단계 구성의 극한홍수예보시스템을 설계, 개발하였다.

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Application of the Artificial Neurons Networks for Runoff Forecasting in Sungai Kolok Basin, Southern Thailand

  • Mama, Ruetaitip;Namsai, Matharit;Choi, Mikyoung;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.259-259
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    • 2016
  • This study examined Artificial Neurons Networks model (ANNs) for forecast flash discharge at Southern part of Thailand by using rainfall data and discharge data. The Sungai Kolok River Basin has meant the border crossing between Thailand and Malaysia which watershed drains an area lies in Thailand 691.88 square kilometer from over all 2,175 square kilometer. The river originates in mountainous area of Waeng district then flow through Gulf of Thailand at Narathiwat Province, which the river length is approximately 103 kilometers. Almost every year, flooding seems to have increased in frequency and magnitude which is highly non-linear and complicated phenomena. The purpose of this study is to forecast runoff on Sungai Kolok at X.119A gauge station (Sungai Kolok district, Narathiwat province) for 3 days in advance by using Artificial Neural Networks model (ANNs). 3 daily rainfall stations and 2 daily runoff station have been measured by Royal Irrigation Department and Meteorological Department during flood period 2000-2014 were used as input data. In order to check an accuracy of forecasting, forecasted runoff were compared with observed data by pursuing Coefficient of determination ($R^2$). The result of the first day gets the highest accuracy and then decreased in day 2 and day 3, consequently. $R^2$values for first day, second day and third day of runoff forecasting is 0.71, 0.62 and 0.49 respectively. The results confirmed that the ANNs model can be used when the range of collected dataset is short and real-time operated. In conclusion, the ANNs model is suitable to runoff forecasting during flood incident of Sungai Kolok river because it is straightforward model and require with only a few parameters for simulation.

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Estimating Geotechnical System Response Probability of Internal Erosion Risk in Fill Dam using Event Tree Analysis (사건수 분석 기법을 이용한 필댐의 내부 침식 위험도에 대한 지반공학적 시스템 응답 확률 산정)

  • Noh, Kyung-Lyun;Lim, Jeong-Yeul;Mok, Young-Jin;Jung, Young-Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1815-1829
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    • 2014
  • Recently frequent collapse of old fill dams has taken place, which increases social awareness in the safety of the infrastructure. Fill dams in Korea has been incautiously regarded as safe once the fill dam is considered to have a full capacity to retain a conservative design flood determined by government authorities. However, developed foreign countries has been managing their fill dams by introducing systematic risk assessment techniques over a long period of time. In this study, the system response probabilities of the deteriorated old fill dams in Korea were systematically evaluated and analyzed by using the internal erosion toolbox based on the event tree analysis technique. The probability of the existence of flaw and the magnitude of the hydraulic gradient through a potential crack can significantly influence the geotechnical system response probability. The results of this study show that the probability of the existence of flaw and the magnitude of the hydraulic gradient through a potential crack can significantly influence the geotechnical system response probability and the risk of the deteriorated fill dam can be quantitatively assessed.

Development of Multi-hazard Fragility Surface for Liquefaction of Levee Considering Earthquake Magnitude and Water Level (수위와 지진을 고려한 제방의 액상화에 대한 복합재해 취약도 곡면 작성)

  • Hwang, Ji-Min;Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2018
  • Soil liquefaction is one of the types of major seismic damage. Soil liquefaction is a phenomenon that can cause enormous human and economic damages, and it must be examined before designing geotechnical structures. In this study, we proposed a practical method of developing a multi-hazard fragility surface for liquefaction of levee considering earthquake magnitude and water level. Limit state for liquefaction of levee was defined by liquefaction potential index (LPI), which is frequently used to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. In order to consider the uncertainty of soil properties, Monte Carlo Simulation based probabilistic analysis was performed. Based on the analysis results, a 3D fragility surface representing the probability of failure by soil liquefaction as a function of the ground motion and water level has been established. The prepared multi-hazard fragility surface can be used to evaluate the safety of levees against liquefaction and to assess the risk in earthquake and flood prone areas.

Determination of Parameters for the Clark Model based on Observed Hydrological Data (실측수문자료에 의한 Clark 모형의 매개변수 결정)

  • Ahn, Tae Jin;Jeon, Hyun Chul;Kim, Min Hyeok
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2016
  • The determination of feasible design flood is the most important to control flood damage in river management. Concentration time and storage constant in the Clark unit hydrograph method mainly affects magnitude of peak flood and shape of hydrograph. Model parameters should be calibrated using observed discharge but due to deficiency of observed data the parameters have been adopted by empirical formula. This study is to suggest concentration time and storage constant based on the observed rainfall-runoff data at GongDo stage station in the Ansung river basin. To do this, five criteria have been suggested to compute root mean square error(RMSE) and residual of oserved value and computed one. Once concentration time and storage constant have been determined from three rainfall-runoff event selected at the station, the five criteria based on observed hydrograph and computed hydrograph by the Clark model have been computed to determine the value of concentration time and storage constant. A criteria has been proposed to determine concentration time and storage constant based on the results of the observed hydrograph and the Clark model. It has also been shown that an exponent value of concentration time-cumulative area curve should be determined based on the shape of watershed.