• Title/Summary/Keyword: flash flood index

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Comparative Study of Lumped Model and Semi Distributed Model for Flash Flood Index Estimation (돌발홍수지수 산정을 위한 집중형 및 준분포형모형의 유출해석)

  • Kwon, Young-Soo;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.2258-2263
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    • 2008
  • 최근 이상기후로 인하여 국지성 집중호우의 형태를 띠는 강우가 많이 발생하고 있다. 이러한 강우는 돌발 홍수가 발생하는데 중요한 요소로 작용하게 된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 돌발홍수지수산정을 위한 강우-유출모형 적용시, 집중형모형과 분포형모형의 장단점을 비교하였다. 이를 위하여 안양천 유역을 대상으로 HEC-HMS모형의 Clark 및 ModClack방법을 이용하여 돌발홍수지수를 산정하여 보았다. 2003년, 2004년, 2005년 각 연도별로 하나씩의 호우를 선정하여 이들을 대상으로 분석을 하였다. 집중형 모형에 대해서는 유역면적평균강우량을, 준분포형 모형에 대해서는 Kriging 기법을 통하여 공간분포된 강우량을 이용하였다. 돌발홍수는 상대적으로 크기가 작은 유역에 많이 발생하므로 소유역 분할시 결정한 소유역의 크기가 돌발홍수 지수에 큰 영향을 줄 수 있다. 따라서 돌발홍수지수의 산정은 유역의 크기에 따라 집중형 모형, 준분포형 모형 모형을 적절하게 선택하여 강우-유출관계를 유도해야 할 것으로 판단된다. 또한 돌발홍수지수의 산정이 돌발홍수예보를 위한 기준이 되는 것을 감안할 때 준분포 모형이 강우레이더에 의한 강우예측자료를 활용하는 데에 유리할 것으로 생각된다.

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Applicability evaluation of radar-based sudden downpour risk prediction technique for flash flood disaster in a mountainous area (산지지역 수재해 대응을 위한 레이더 기반 돌발성 호우 위험성 사전 탐지 기술 적용성 평가)

  • Yoon, Seongsim;Son, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.313-322
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    • 2020
  • There is always a risk of water disasters due to sudden storms in mountainous regions in Korea, which is more than 70% of the country's land. In this study, a radar-based risk prediction technique for sudden downpour is applied in the mountainous region and is evaluated for its applicability using Mt. Biseul rain radar. Eight local heavy rain events in mountain regions are selected and the information was calculated such as early detection of cumulonimbus convective cells, automatic detection of convective cells, and risk index of detected convective cells using the three-dimensional radar reflectivity, rainfall intensity, and doppler wind speed. As a result, it was possible to confirm the initial detection timing and location of convective cells that may develop as a localized heavy rain, and the magnitude and location of the risk determined according to whether or not vortices were generated. In particular, it was confirmed that the ground rain gauge network has limitations in detecting heavy rains that develop locally in a narrow area. Besides, it is possible to secure a time of at least 10 minutes to a maximum of 65 minutes until the maximum rainfall intensity occurs at the time of obtaining the risk information. Therefore, it would be useful as information to prevent flash flooding disaster and marooned accidents caused by heavy rain in the mountainous area using this technique.

Understanding the Current State of Deep Learning Application to Water-related Disaster Management in Developing Countries

  • Yusuff, Kareem Kola;Shiksa, Bastola;Park, Kidoo;Jung, Younghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2022
  • Availability of abundant water resources data in developing countries is a great concern that has hindered the adoption of deep learning techniques (DL) for disaster prevention and mitigation. On the contrary, over the last two decades, a sizeable amount of DL publication in disaster management emanated from developed countries with efficient data management systems. To understand the current state of DL adoption for solving water-related disaster management in developing countries, an extensive bibliometric review coupled with a theory-based analysis of related research documents is conducted from 2003 - 2022 using Web of Science, Scopus, VOSviewer software and PRISMA model. Results show that four major disasters - pluvial / fluvial flooding, land subsidence, drought and snow avalanche are the most prevalent. Also, recurrent flash floods and landslides caused by irregular rainfall pattern, abundant freshwater and mountainous terrains made India the only developing country with an impressive DL adoption rate of 50% publication count, thereby setting the pace for other developing countries. Further analysis indicates that economically-disadvantaged countries will experience a delay in DL implementation based on their Human Development Index (HDI) because DL implementation is capital-intensive. COVID-19 among other factors is identified as a driver of DL. Although, the Long Short Term Model (LSTM) model is the most frequently used, but optimal model performance is not limited to a certain model. Each DL model performs based on defined modelling objectives. Furthermore, effect of input data size shows no clear relationship with model performance while final model deployment in solving disaster problems in real-life scenarios is lacking. Therefore, data augmentation and transfer learning are recommended to solve data management problems. Intensive research, training, innovation, deployment using cheap web-based servers, APIs and nature-based solutions are encouraged to enhance disaster preparedness.

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A Methodology for Rain Gauge Network Evaluation Considering the Altitude of Rain Gauge (강우관측소의 설치고도를 고려한 강우관측망 평가방안)

  • Lee, Ji Ho;Jun, Hwan Don
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2014
  • The observed rainfall may be different along with the altitude of rain gauge, resulting in the fact that the characteristics of rainfall events occurred in urban or mountainous areas are different. Due to the mountainous effects, in higher altitude, the uncertainty involved in the rainfall observation gets higher so that the density of rain gauges should be more dense. Basically, a methodology for the rain gauge network evaluation, considering this altitude effect of rain gauges can account for the mountainous effects and becomes an important step for forecasting flash flood and calibrating of the radar rainfall. For this reason, in this study, we suggest a methodology for rain gauge network evaluation with consideration of the rain gauge's altitude. To explore the density of rain gauges at each level of altitude, the Equal-Altitude-Ratio of the density of rain gauges, which is based on the fixed amount of elevation and the Equal-Area-Ratio of the density of rain gauges, which is based on the fixed amount of basin area are designed. After these two methods are applied to a real watershed, it is found that the Equal-Area-Ratio generates better results for evaluation of a rain gauge network with consideration of rain gauge's altitude than the Equal-Altitude-Ratio does. In addition, for comparison between the soundness of rain gauge networks in other watersheds, the Coefficient of Variation (CV) of the rain gauge density by the Equal-Area-Ratio is served as the index for the evenness of the distribution of the rain gauge's altitude. The suggested method is applied to the five large watersheds in Korea and it is found that rain gauges installed in a watershed having less value of the CV shows more evenly distributed than the ones in a watershed having higher value of the CV.

An Evaluation of Extreme Precipitation based on Local Downpour using Empirical Simulation Technique (Empirical Simulation Technique 기법을 이용한 집중호우의 극한강우 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2009
  • The occurrence causes of the extreme rainfall to happen in Korea can be distinguished with the typhoons and local downpours. The typhoon events attacked irregularly to induce the heavy rainfall, and the local downpour events mean a seasonal rain front and a local rainfall. Almost every year, the typhoons and local downpours that induced a heavy precipitation be generated extreme disasters like a flooding. Consequently, in this research, There were distinguished the causes of heavy rainfall events with the typhoons and the local downpours at Korea. Also, probability precipitation was computed according to the causes of the local downpour events. An evaluation of local downpours can be used for analysis of heavy rainfall event in short period like a flash flood. The methods of calculation of probability precipitation used the parametric frequency analysis and the Empirical Simulation Technique (EST). The correlation analysis was computed between annual maximum precipitation by local downpour events and sea surface temperature, moisture index for composition of input vectors. At the results of correlation analysis, there were revealed that the relations closely between annual maximum precipitation and sea surface temperature. Also, probability precipitation using EST are bigger than probability precipitation of frequency analysis on west-middle areas in Korea. Therefore, region of west-middle in Korea should prepare the extreme precipitation by local downpour events.