• Title/Summary/Keyword: flares

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Relative Contribution from Short-term to Long-term Flaring rate to Predicting Major Flares

  • Lim, Daye;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, Eunsu;Park, Jongyeob;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jin-Yi;Jang, Soojeong
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.52.3-52.3
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    • 2019
  • We investigate a relative contribution from short to long-term flaring rate to predicting M and X-class flare probabilities. In this study, we consider magnetic parameters summarizing distribution and non-potentiality by Solar Dynamics Observatory/Helioseimic and Magnetic Imager and flare list by Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites. A short-term rate is the number of major flares that occurred in an given active region (AR) within one day before the prediction time. A mid-term rate is a mean flaring rate from the AR appearance day to one day before the prediction time. A long-term rate is a rate determined from a relationship between magnetic parameter values of ARs and their flaring rates from 2010 May to 2015 April. In our model, the predicted rate is given by the combination of weighted three rates satisfying that their sum of the weights is 1. We calculate Brier skill scores (BSSs) for investigating weights of three terms giving the best prediction performance using ARs from 2015 April to 2018 April. The BSS (0.22) of the model with only long-term is higher than that with only short-term or mid-term. When short or mid-term are considered additionally, the BSSs are improved. Our model has the best performance (BSS = 0.29) when all three terms are considered, and their relative contribution from short to long-term rate are 19%, 23%, and 58%, respectively. This model seems to be more effective when predicting active solar ARs having several major flares.

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Effect of novel luminol-based blood detection reagents on DNA stability (새로운 루미놀 기반 혈흔 탐지 시약이 디엔에이에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Ju Yeon;Oh, Yu-Li;Lee, Jee Won;Lim, Seung;Kim, Jung-mok;Lee, Yang Han;Lim, Si-Keun
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2018
  • Detection of bloodstains is a very important process in scientific investigations, and luminol is often used for the detection of bloodstains that are not visible. Recently, new preparation methods of blood detection reagents based on luminol (BloodFlareA, B) were developed and reported to have higher active persistence and to be more economical than conventional blood detection reagent, BlueStar forensic. In this paper, we tested the specificity and effect of the BloodFlares (A and B) on DNA and compared them with those of BlueStar forensic. False positive results for the BloodFlares were not observed in semen, saliva, vaginal fluids, urine, sweat, and nasal discharge, but were observed in $CuSO_4$, $FeSO_4$, and bleach solutions, and the observed patterns were similar to those of BlueStar forensic. The effect on DNA was determined by analyzing the DNA yield, degradation index, and DNA profiling. Based on these results, we concluded that the BloodFlares based on luminol do not affect DNA stability and are applicable in forensics.

Efficacy of Prophylactic Entecavir for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

  • Li, Xing;Zhong, Xiang;Chen, Zhan-Hong;Wang, Tian-Tian;Ma, Xiao-Kun;Xing, Yan-Fang;Wu, Dong-Hao;Dong, Min;Chen, Jie;Ruan, Dan-Yun;Lin, Ze-Xiao;Wen, Jing-Yun;Wei, Li;Wu, Xiang-Yuan;Lin, Qu
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.18
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    • pp.8665-8670
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    • 2016
  • Background and Aims: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation was reported to be induced by transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinonma (HCC) patients with a high incidence. The effective strategy to reduce hepatitis flares due to HBV reactivation in this specific group of patients was limited to lamivudine. This retrospective study was aimed to investigate the efficacy of prophylactic entecavir in HCC patients receiving TACE. Methods: A consecutive series of 191 HBV-related HCC patients receiving TACE were analyzed including 44 patients received prophylactic entecavir. Virologic events, defined as an increase in serum HBV DNA level to more than 1 log10 copies/ml higher than nadir the level, and hepatitis flares due to HBV reactivation were the main endpoints. Results: Patients with or without prophylactic were similar in host factors and the majorities of characteristics regarding to tumor factors, HBV status, liver function and LMR. Notably, cycles of TACE were parallel between the groups. Ten (22.7%) patients receiving prophylactic entecavir reached virologic response. The patients receiving prophylactic entecavir presented significantly reduced virologic events (6.8% vs 54.4%, p=0.000) and hepatitis flares due to HBV reactivation (0.0% vs 11.6%, p=0.039) compared with patients without prophylaxis. Kaplan-Meier analysis illustrated that the patients in the entecavir group presented significantly improved virologic events free survival (p=0.000) and hepatitis flare free survival (p=0.017). Female and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status 2 was the only significant predictors for virological events in patients without prophylactic antiviral. Rescue antiviral therapy did not reduce the incidence of hepatitis flares due to HBV reactivation. Conclusion: Prophylactic entecavir presented promising efficacy in HBV-related cancer patients receiving TACE. Lower performance status and female gender might be the predictors for HBV reactivation in these patients.

LOOKING ON FLARES WITH CCD

  • KURTANIDZE OMAR M.
    • Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.29 no.spc1
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    • pp.325-326
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    • 1996
  • We present the Programme of Monitoring of Flare Stars in the Orion aggregate by. CCD based. Photometer mounted at the Newtonian focus of 70/98/210-cm meniscus telescope through glass imaging quality C1 filter (3900${\AA}$/800${\AA}$) with a time resolution of 0.5-1.0 min.

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A Study on Analysis of Infrared Rotating Lovell Reticle Seeker and an Efficient Counter-countermeasure Algorithm (적외선 회전 Lovell 레티클 탐색기의 성능 분석 및 효율적인 반대응 알고리즘에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Sun-Kook;Han, Sung-Hyun;Hong, Hyun-Ki;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics S
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    • v.35S no.11
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    • pp.166-175
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    • 1998
  • The previous simulation models of infra-red (IR) reticle seekers were performed in a static situation. However, in this paper, we develop a new simulation tool which is applicable in various cases, and propose an efficient counter-countermeasure (CCM) in the presence of countermeasures (CM) such as flares. The developed tool analyzes performance of rotating Lovell reticle seeker, and gives tracking performances in various scenarios. The simulation results show that our counter-countermeasure algorithm makes an efficient target tracking in the presence of flares.

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Multifrequency polarization monitoring of a blazar 3C279

  • Kang, Sincheol;Lee, Sang-Sung;Byun, Do-Young;Han, Myounghee
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.60.1-60.1
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    • 2014
  • In the center of an Active Galactic Nuclei(AGN) is a supermassive black hole which accretes matter from its surroundings. The radio-loud AGN launch two relativistic jets perpendicular to the accretion disk which terminates into radio lobes located up to megaparsec away. Blazars form a small subset of radio-loud AGNs with one of two relativistic jets pointing toward the observer's line of sight. Many blazars often show flares at different frequencies. And these flares at different frequencies are known that they often correlate with each other. In 2013 December, there was a gamma-ray flare in 3C 279, one of the brightest blazars, Dec 2013. So we want to reveal that whether this flare correlates with radio flare or not, and where the flare originate. With polarization observation at radio frequencies, we can study the physical properties of the magnetic field in the innermost regions of the relativistic jets. Therefore, we have conducted polarization monitoring of this source from Dec. 2013 to Jun. 2014 with KVN(Korea VLBI Network) radio telescopes at 22, 43 and 86GHz. Here we present the initial results of the monitoring of 3C 279. We prospect that we can reveal the origin of this gamma-ray flare by comparing with our radio data.

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Statistical Studies on the Physical Parameters and Oscillations of Sunspots and Flares

  • Cho, Il-Hyun;Cho, Kyung-Suk;Kim, Yeon-Han
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.41.2-41.2
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    • 2016
  • We perform three statistical studies on the physical properties and oscillations in the confined plasma such as a photospheric sunspot and confined coronal loop. From the statistical studies on the sunspot umbra and its oscillation, we find that (1) the total magnetic flux inside the umbra for the three groups increases proportionally with the powers of the umbral area and the power indices in the three groups significantly differ from each other; (2) the three groups have different characteristics in their umbral area, intensity, magnetic field strength, and Doppler velocity as well as their relationships; (3) the mean frequency of the umbral oscillations increases with the umbral mean magnetic field strength and height; (4) the time delay of the core intensity of Fe I absorption line relative to the continuum which are de-convolved with the frequency range higher than 3.5 mHz is mostly positive, implying that the photospheric umbral oscillations are likely upwardly propagating; (5) the umbral mean plasma beta ranges approximately 0.6-1.1 and does not vary significantly from pores to mature sunspots. From the comparative study on the quasi-periodic pulsations (QPPs) in the solar and stellar flares, (6) we find that the power index of the periods scaling the damping times observed in the stellar QPPs is consistent with that observed in the solar QPPs, suggesting that physical mechanisms responsible for the stellar QPPs are likely the magneto-hydrodynamic oscillation of solar coronal loops.

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