• 제목/요약/키워드: flare

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동적 모사를 이용한 에탄 분리탑의 플레어 용량 예측에 관한 연구 (Study on the Flare Load Estimation of the Deethanizer using Dynamic Simulation)

  • 박경태;원왕연;신동일
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.613-619
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    • 2014
  • 화학 공장에서 플레어 시스템은 공장의 안전에 지대한 영향을 주는 아주 중요한 요소이다. 만약, 플레어 시스템이 필요보다 작게 설계 된다면, 위급 상황 발생 시 끔찍한 사고를 유발할 수 있다. 반면, 플레어 시스템이 필요보다 크게 설계하게 된다면 공장을 건설하는데 드는 비용의 증가를 피할 수가 없게 된다. 따라서, 산업계에서는 적절한 플레어 시스템의 설계를 위해 정확한 플레어 배출량을 예측하고자 오랫동안 노력해왔다. 미국석유협회에서는 플레어 배출량 계산을 위한 가이드라인을 제시하였고, 많은 설계 회사들은 정상상태 열 및 물질 수지식을 이용한 방법을 개발하여 플레어 배출량을 예측해 왔다. 하지만, 이러한 방법들은 많은 보수적인 가정들 하에 플레어 배출량을 계산하여 필요보다 크게 설계, 막대한 비용을 초래할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존 방법들이 가지는 문제들을 해결하기 위해 공정제어가 포함된 동적 모사를 통해 플레어 배출량을 계산하는 새로운 절차를 제시하였고, 이 절차에 따라 에탄 분리탑의 배출량을 성공적으로 예측함으로써 절차의 효용성을 증명하였다.

Evaluation of a Solar Flare Forecast Model with Cost/Loss Ratio

  • Park, Jongyeob;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jaejin
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.84.2-84.2
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    • 2015
  • There are probabilistic forecast models for solar flare occurrence, which can be evaluated by various skill scores (e.g. accuracy, critical success index, heidek skill score, true skill score). Since these skill scores assume that two types of forecast errors (i.e. false alarm and miss) are equal or constant, which does not take into account different situations of users, they may be unrealistic. In this study, we make an evaluation of a probabilistic flare forecast model (Lee et al. 2012) which use sunspot groups and its area changes as a proxy of flux emergence. We calculate daily solar flare probabilities from 1996 to 2014 using this model. Overall frequencies are 61.08% (C), 22.83% (M), and 5.44% (X). The maximum probabilities computed by the model are 99.9% (C), 89.39% (M), and 25.45% (X), respectively. The skill scores are computed through contingency tables as a function of forecast probability, which corresponds to the maximum skill score depending on flare class and type of a skill score. For the critical success index widely used, the probability threshold values for contingency tables are 25% (C), 20% (M), and 4% (X). We use a value score with cost/loss ratio, relative importance between the two types of forecast errors. We find that the forecast model has an effective range of cost/loss ratio for each class flare: 0.15-0.83(C), 0.11-0.51(M), and 0.04-0.17(X), also depending on a lifetime of satellite. We expect that this study would provide a guideline to determine the probability threshold for space weather forecast.

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Simultaneous EUV and Radio Observations of Bidirectional Plasmoids Ejection During Magnetic Reconnection

  • Kumar, Pankaj;Cho, Kyung-Suk
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.89.1-89.1
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    • 2013
  • We present a multiwavelength study of the X-class flare, which occurred in active region (AR) NOAA 11339 on 3 November 2011. The EUV images recorded by SDO/AIA show the activation of a remote filament (located north of the AR) with footpoint brightenings about 50 min prior to the flare occurrence. The kinked filament rises-up slowly and after reaching a projected height of ~49 Mm, it bends and falls freely near the AR, where the X-class flare was triggered. Dynamic radio spectrum from the Green Bank Solar Radio Burst Spectrometer (GBSRBS) shows simultaneous detection of both positive and negative drifting pulsating structures (DPSs) in the decimetric radio frequencies (500-1200 MHz) during the impulsive phase of the flare. The global negative DPSs in solar flares are generally interpreted as a signature of electron acceleration related to the upward moving plasmoids in the solar corona. The EUV images from AIA $94{\AA}$ reveal the ejection of multiple plasmoids, which move simultaneously upward and downward in the corona during the magnetic reconnection. The estimated speeds of the upward and downward moving plasmoids are ~152-362 and ~83-254 km/s, respectively. These observations strongly support the recent numerical simulations of the formation and interaction of multiple plasmoids due to tearing of the current-sheet structure. On the basis of our analysis, we suggest that the simultaneous detection of both the negative and positive DPSs is most likely generated by the interaction/coalescence of the multiple plasmoids moving upward and downward along the current-sheet structure during the magnetic reconnection process. Moreover, the differential emission measure (DEM) analysis of the active region reveals presence of a hot flux-rope structure (visible in AIA 131 and $94{\AA}$) prior to the flare initiation and ejection of the multi-temperature plasmoids during the flare impulsive phase.

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A Study on Comparing Evaluation of External Appearance between Real and 3D Simulation of Flared Skirt Focused on Flare Volume and Length

  • Cha, Sujoung
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.38-56
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    • 2014
  • This study compared the flared skirts on 3D simulation and in real to show diverse forms in women's clothing depending on the body's gait and motion. By finding the problems, we suggested the possible methods for utilizing the 3D simulation in the clothing industry. First, the 3D simulation of flared skirts showed similar forms of appearance according to the flare length and volume. However, virtually formed drape shape was even in size and spacing, whereas it was not even in real. Second, according to the results of appearance test on the length and flare volume at $90^{\circ}$ and $180^{\circ}$, both real and 3D simulation skirts were evaluated to have outstanding appearances regardless of the skirt length. However, as the flares volume increased, the skirts with longer length were evaluated to have superior appearances compared to the skirts of shorter length. Third, it showed higher resemblance between the real and virtual simulation, when the skirt had less flare and as the skirt length shortened. However, it showed greater difference between the real and virtual simulation when flare volume and length increased. The length and volume of the skirt and the physical properties of the material are predicted to be different between the real and virtual simulation. However, they usually are similar in forms, so it is believed possible to use for predicting the design's silhouette or the feel when it is worn. This method can be applied on internet shopping malls, which can possibly reduce unnecessary time and expenses.

동체 중앙에 연료탱크를 장착한 전투기의 섬광탄 운용 방안 연구 (A Study of Flare Operation Method for The Fighter with An External Center Fuel Tank)

  • 강치행;장영일;권기범;윤용인
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제40권7호
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    • pp.616-622
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 센터 파일론에 150갤런 외부 연료 탱크를 장착한 전투기의 전술기동 중 섬광탄 운용의 문제점을 검토하고 운용 가능한 방안을 제시하였다. 섬광탄 발사시 투하 궤적 및 외부 연료 탱크 수평 핀의 손상 범위를 풍동실험과 수치해석을 통해 분석하였다. 핀의 손상을 방지하기 위한 방안으로 1) 섬광탄 발사 각도를 조정하는 방안과 2) 핀의 형상을 변경하는 방안을 비교 검토 및 실용성을 분석한 결과 핀을 재설계하는 방안이 채택되었다. 풍동실험을 통하여 재설계한 수평 핀을 장착한 외부 연료 탱크의 투하 안전성을 평가하였다.

Dependence of solar proton events on their associated activities: solar and interplanetary type II radio burst, flare, and CME

  • Park, Jinhye;Youn, Saepoom;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.80.2-81
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    • 2016
  • We investigate the dependence of solar proton events (SPEs) on solar and interplanetary type II bursts associated with solar flares and/or CME-driven shocks. For this we consider NOAA solar proton events from 1997 to 2012 and their associated flare, CME, and type II radio burst data with the following subgroups: metric, decameter-hectometric (DH), and meter-to-kilometric (m-to-km) type II bursts. The primary findings of this study are as follows. First, about half (52%) of the m-to-km type II bursts are associated with SPEs and its occurrence rate is higher than those of DH type II bursts (45%) and metric type II bursts (19%). Second, the SPE occurrence rate strongly depends on flare strength and source longitude, especially for X-class flare associated ones; it is the highest in the central region for metric (46%), DH (54%), and m-to-km (75%) subgroups. Third, the SPE occurrence rate is also dependent on CME linear speed and angular width. The highest rates are found in the m-to-km subgroup associated with CME speed 1500 kms-1: partial halo CME (67%) and halo CME (55%). Fourth, in the relationships between SPE peak fluxes and solar eruption parameters (CME linear speed, flare flux, and longitude), SPE peak flux is mostly dependent on SPE peak flux for all three type II bursts (metric, DH, m-to-km). It is noted that the dependence of SPE peak flux on flare peak flux decreases from metric to m-to-km type II burst.

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Evaluation of a Solar Flare Forecast Model with Value Score

  • Park, Jongyeob;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jaejin
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제41권1호
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    • pp.80.1-80.1
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    • 2016
  • There are probabilistic forecast models for solar flare occurrence, which can be evaluated by various skill scores (e.g. accuracy, critical success index, heidek skill score, and true skill score). Since these skill scores assume that two types of forecast errors (i.e. false alarm and miss) are equal or constant, which does not take into account different situations of users, they may be unrealistic. In this study, we make an evaluation of a probabilistic flare forecast model [Lee et al., 2012] which use sunspot groups and its area changes as a proxy of flux emergence. We calculate daily solar flare probabilities from 2011 to 2014 using this model. The skill scores are computed through contingency tables as a function of forecast probability, which corresponds to the maximum skill score depending on flare class and type of a skill score. We use a value score with cost/loss ratio, relative importance between the two types of forecast errors. The forecast probability (y) is linearly changed with the cost/loss ratio (x) in the form of y=ax+b: a=0.88; b=0 (C), a=1.2; b=-0.05(M), a=1.29; b=-0.02(X). We find that the forecast model has an effective range of cost/loss ratio for each class flare: 0.536-0.853(C), 0.147-0.334(M), and 0.023-0.072(X). We expect that this study would provide a guideline to determine the probability threshold and the cost/loss ratio for space weather forecast.

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Endodontic Flare-ups

  • 이승종
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제25권9호통권220호
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    • pp.831-834
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    • 1987
  • 개업치과의사들에 있어서 근관치료시 발생되는 가장 골치아픈 문제중 하나가 바로 Endodontic Flare-up이다. 미국 근관치료학회에서는 이러한 문제에 대한 일반 개업의들의 이해를 돕고자 미국내에서 개업하고 있는 일반 치과의사 70,000여명에게 다음 내용의 카세트테잎을 보낸바 있다. 역시 우리들에게도 많은 도움이 될 것같아 소개해 본다.

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