• Title/Summary/Keyword: failure risk

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Economical selection of optimum pressurized hollow fiber membrane modules in water purification system using RbLCC

  • Lee, Chul-sung;Nam, Young-wook;Kim, Doo-il
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2017
  • A water treatment utility in South Korea operates a large system of pressurized hollow fiber membrane (PHFM) modules. The optimal selection of membrane module for the full scale plant was critical issue and carried out using Risk-based Life Cycle Cost (RbLCC) analysis based on the historical data of operation and maintenance. The RbLCC analysis was used in the process of decision-making for replacing aged modules. The initial purchasing cost and the value at risk during operation were considered together. The failure of modules occurs stochastically depending on the physical deterioration with usage over time. The life span of module was used as a factor for the failure of Poisson's probability model, which was used to obtain the probability of failure during the operation. The RbLCC was calculated by combining the initial cost and the value at risk without its warranty term. Additionally, the properties of membrane were considered to select the optimum product. Results showed that the module's life span in the system was ten years (120 month) with safety factor. The optimum product was selected from six candidates membrane for a full scale water treatment facility. This method could be used to make the optimum and rational decision for the operation of membrane water purification facility.

The Effects of Uncertainty Tolerance on Attitude toward Business Start-up Trying (불확실성에 대한 인내력이 창업시도태도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ha, Hwan Ho;Byun, Chung Gyu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the linkage between uncertainty tolerance and attitude toward trying business start-up. Uncertainty tolerance can classify by degrees of uncertainty as risk and ambiguity. We examined the effects of risk tolerance and ambiguity tolerance on attitudes toward trying success and failure. And we also examined the effect of attitudes toward trying success and failure on business start-up trying. This study investigated these relationships using 173 under graduate students. The result of analysis indicated that the risk tolerance had positive effects on attitude toward trying failure, but it had not any effect on attitude toward success and process. The ambiguity tolerance has positive effects on attitude toward trying failure and trying process, but it had not any effect on attitude toward success. The attitudes toward trying success, trying failure, and trying process had positive effect on attitude toward business start-up trying. Then results of this study suggests that the uncertainty(risk and ambiguity) tolerance showed a role of antecedent of attitudes toward trying success and failure. Finally, this study concluded with a discussion of the implications of the research findings and directions for future research.

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An Alternative Risk Assessment Model in EMS (환경경영시스템에서의 위험평가 모델)

  • 김종걸;김창수
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2004
  • The risk assessment model is an important subsystem for effective establishment and operation of EMS (environment management system). In case of poor risk assessment long-term and large-scale failure expense might be brought. Managing policy, target and other indices based on risk assessment can guarantee successful EMS. In this paper, we aim at comparative analysis of various risk methods and propose an alternative risk assessment model for EMS.

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A Study on the Common RPN Model of Failure Mode Evaluation Analysis(FMEA) and its Application for Risk Factor Evaluation (위험 요인 평가를 위한 FMEA의 일반 RPN 모형과 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Seong Woo;Lee, Han Sol;Kang, Juyoung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is a widely utilized technique to measure product reliability by identifying potential failure modes. Even though FMEA techniques have been studied, the form of Risk Priority Number (RPN) used to evaluate risk priority in FMEA is still questionable because of its shortcomings. In this study, we suggest common RPN(cRPN) to resolve shortcomings of the traditional RPN and show the extensibility of cRPN. Methods: We suggest cRPN which is based on Cobb-Douglas production function, and represent the various application on weighting risk factors, weighted RPN in a mathematical way, and show the possibility of statistical approach. We also conduct numerical study to examine the difference of the traditional RPN and cRPN as well as the potential application from the analysis on marginal effects of each risk factor. Results: cRPN successfully integrates previously suggested approaches especially on the relative importance of risk factors and weighting RPN. Moreover, we analyze the effect of corrective actions in terms of econometric analysis using cRPN. Since cRPN is rely on the reliable mathematical model, there would be numerous applications using cRPN such as smart factory based on A.I. techniques. Conclusion: We propose a reliable mathematical model of RPN based on Cobb-Douglas production function. Our suggested model, cRPN, resolves various shortcomings such as consideration of the relative importance, the effect of combinations among risk factors. In addition, by adopting a reliable mathematical model, quantitative approaches are expected to be applied using cRPN. We find that cRPN can be utilized to the field of industry because it is able to be applied without modifying the entire systems or the conventional actions.

An Analysis of Critical Management Factors for Construction Failure on the Apartment Structural Framework using FMEA (FMEA 기법을 활용한 공동주택 골조공사의 건설실패 핵심관리요인 분석)

  • Oh, Chi-Don;Park, Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.78-88
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    • 2012
  • Previous construction failure researches were focused on the utilization plan based on failure information and development of failure classification. However, it has limitation to set up the plan for prevention of construction failure due to the lack of the number of on-site staffs. In order to prevent effectively construction failure, a prevention plan should be established through quantitative evaluation of failure causes. The purpose of this study is to suggest the assessment method for selection Critical Management Factor(CMF) and to analyze the CMF on the apartment structural framework using FMEA(Failure Mode and Effective Analysis) which is one of the methods of quantitative evaluation. The element of risk evaluation separated degree of failure risk and prevention respectively. The assessment method for selection of CMF can be utilized for planning proactive solutions on the failure, and it can be also selected critical factors about each project phases, type of facility and construction work.

Prioritizing for Failure Modes of Dynamic Positioning System Using Fuzzy-FMEA (Fuzzy-FMEA를 이용한 동적위치제어 시스템의 고장유형 우선순위 도출)

  • Baek, Gyeongdong;Kim, Sungshin;Cheon, Seongpyo;Suh, Heungwon;Lee, Daehyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.174-179
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    • 2015
  • Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) has been used by Dynamic Positioning (DP) system for risk and reliability analysis. However, there are limitations associated with its implementation in offshore project. 1) since the failure data measured from the SCADA system is missing or unreliable, assessments of Severity, Occurrence, Detection are based on expert's knowledge; 2) it is not easy for experts to precisely evaluate the three risk factors. The risk factors are often expressed in a linguistic way. 3) the relative importance among three risk factors are rarely even considered. To solve these problems and improve the effectiveness of the traditional FMEA, we suggest a Fuzzy-FMEA method for risk and failure mode analysis in Dynamic Positioning System of offshore. The information gathered from DP FMEA report and DP FMEA Proving Trials is expressed using fuzzy linguistic terms. The proposed method is applied to an offshore Dynamic Positioning system, and the results are compared with traditional FMEA.

Acute renal failure in pediatrics (소아의 급성 신부전증)

  • Hahn, Hyewon
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • v.50 no.10
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    • pp.948-953
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    • 2007
  • Acute renal failure is the generic term for an abrupt and sustained decrease in renal function resulting in retention of nitrogenous and non nitrogenous waste product. This may results in life threatening consequences including volume overload, hyperkalemia, and metabolic acidosis. Acute renal failure is both common and carries high mortality rate, but as it is often preventable, identification of patients at risk and and appropriate management are crucial. This review summarized the most recent information on definition, epidemiology, clinical causes and management of acute renal failure in pediatric patients.

Estimation for Failure Rate of Railway Power Facility and Determination of Maintenance Priority Order using Fuzzy Theory and Expert System (퍼지이론과 전문가 시스템을 이용한 철도 전력 설비의 고장률 평가와 유지보수 우선순위의 결정)

  • Lee, Yun-Seong;Kwon, Ki-Ryang;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2009
  • As the Reliability Centered Maintenance(RCM) is being studied, maintenance tasks can be performed effectively through the Risk Priority Number(RPN) evaluation about the components in the system. The RPN is usually calculated through arithmetical operations of three values, Severity, Occurrence, and Detection for each facility. This RPN provides information that includes risk level of the facility and the priority order of maintenance tasks for facility. However, if there is no sufficient historical failure data, it is difficult to calculate the RPN. In this case, historical failure data from other sources can be used and apply this data to korean railway system. In this paper, it is proposed that a new methodology to model the failure rate as a fuzzy membership function. This method is based on failure data from other sources by means of the fuzzy theory and the expert opinion system. And considering assessment tendency of each expert, distortions that happened when the failure rate of facilities is estimated were minimized. This results determine Occurrence values of facilities. Taking advantage of this result., the RPN can be calculated with Severity and Detection of facilities by using the fuzzy operation. The proposed method is applied the rail-way power substation.

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Static and quasi-static slope stability analyses using the limit equilibrium method for mountainous area

  • Hosung Shin
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2023
  • Intensive rainfall during the summer season in Korea has triggered numerous devastating landslides outside of downtown in mountainous areas. The 2D slope stability analysis that is generally used for cut slopes and embankments is inadequate to model slope failure in mountainous areas. This paper presents a new 3D slope stability formulation using the global sliding vector in the limit equilibrium method, and it uses an ellipsoidal slip surface for static and quasi-static analyses. The slip surface's flexibility of the ellipsoid shape gives a lower FS than the spherical failure shape in the Fellenius, Bishop, and Janbu's simplified methods. The increasing sub-columns of each column tend to increase the FS and converge to a steady value. The symmetrical geometric conditions of the convex turning corners do not indicate symmetrical failure of the surface in 3D analysis. Pseudo-static analysis shows that the horizontal seismic force decreases the FS and increases the mass volume at the critical failure state. The stability index takes the FS and corresponding sliding mass into consideration to assess the potential risk of slope failure in complex mountainous terrain. It is a valuable parameter for selecting a vulnerable area and evaluating the overall risk of slope failure.

A Study on the Procedure of Quantitative Risk Assessment for High Pressure Natural Gas Pipeline (도시가스 고압배관의 정량적 위험평가 절차에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Sik;Jo, Young-Do;Ryou, Young-Don;Ko, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2008
  • Recently risk management based on a quantitative assessment is considered to improve the level of safety in Korea. This paper focuses on the procedure of the quantitative risk assessment for natural gas pipelines. For that purpose, the methods to estimate failure frequency based on failure causes from European Gas Pipeline Incident Data Group and BG Transco, to analyze consequence caused by fire, and to calculate individual risk and societal risk have been proposed systematically in this paper. Risk criteria of individual risk and societal risk have been proposed by considering the environment of pipeline route in Korea. The proposed procedure of quantitative risk assessment may be useful for risk management during the planning and building stages of a new pipeline, and modification of buried pipeline.

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