• 제목/요약/키워드: expected life time

검색결과 669건 처리시간 0.171초

자동기계학습 TPOT 기반 저수위 예측 정확도 향상을 위한 시계열 교차검증 기법 연구 (A Study on Time Series Cross-Validation Techniques for Enhancing the Accuracy of Reservoir Water Level Prediction Using Automated Machine Learning TPOT)

  • 배주현;박운지;이서로;박태선;박상빈;김종건;임경재
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • This study assessed the efficacy of improving the accuracy of reservoir water level prediction models by employing automated machine learning models and efficient cross-validation methods for time-series data. Considering the inherent complexity and non-linearity of time-series data related to reservoir water levels, we proposed an optimized approach for model selection and training. The performance of twelve models was evaluated for the Obong Reservoir in Gangneung, Gangwon Province, using the TPOT (Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool) and four cross-validation methods, which led to the determination of the optimal pipeline model. The pipeline model consisting of Extra Tree, Stacking Ridge Regression, and Simple Ridge Regression showed outstanding predictive performance for both training and test data, with an R2 (Coefficient of determination) and NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) exceeding 0.93. On the other hand, for predictions of water levels 12 hours later, the pipeline model selected through time-series split cross-validation accurately captured the change pattern of time-series water level data during the test period, with an NSE exceeding 0.99. The methodology proposed in this study is expected to greatly contribute to the efficient generation of reservoir water level predictions in regions with high rainfall variability.

아이링 모델에 기초한 MLCC 열화데이터의 신뢰성 해석 (Reliability Analysis of MLCC Degradation Data based on Eyring Model)

  • 김종철;김광섭;차종범
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2004
  • 가속열화시험은 가속수명시험시에 고장 개수가 적거나 심지어 고장이 발생하지 않는 경우에도 부품의 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있는 유용한 수단이 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는, 능동소자로 높은 유전용량을 갖는 적층 세라믹 콘덴서(X7R -55$^{\circ}C$~1$25^{\circ}C$)에 대한 가속열화시험을 실시하고, 정격온도의 최대치에서 다른 배율의 전압을 인가하여 단순선형회귀에 의한 특성치의 경시변화를 설명한다고 가정하였다. 최소제곱법을 적용하여 시료가 대수정규분포를 따를 때의 열화량을 설명한 후, 특성치-시간간의 선형관계 및 대수정규분포의 독립성을 검정하여 가정의 적절성을 검정하였다. 마지막으로 아이링모델에 의한 평균수명을 평가하였다.

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최소수리 보증을 갖는 시스템에 대한 연장된 보증 이후의 최적의 교체정책 (Optimal replacement policy after extended warranty for a system with minimal repair warranty)

  • 정기문
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2013
  • Recently, an extended warranty of a system following the expiration of the basic warranty is becoming increasingly popular to the user. In this respect, we suggest a replacement model following the expiration of extended warranty with minimal repair warranty from the user's point of view in this paper. Under extended warranty, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user during the original extended warranty period. As a criterion of the optimality, we utilize the expected cost rate per unit time during the life cycle from the user's perspective and suggest the optimal replacement period after extended warranty. Finally, a few numerical examples are given for illustrative purpose.

MRI with Continuously Flowing Laser-Polarized $^3He$

  • Lee, Hyeong-Ju;Kim, Chul;Kim, Byung-Soo;Kim, Do-Hun;Lee, Hee-Cheon
    • 한국자기공명학회논문지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.62-67
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    • 2003
  • MRI of laser-polarized $^{129}$ Xe under continuous flow conditions has recently been used for imaging of porous materials, however, any attempts at using a continuously circulating flow of laser-polarized $^3$He have not been made until now, presumably due to its extremely long spin exchange time (5-10 hrs). Since the inherent NMR sensitivity of $^3$He is 80 times greater than that of $^{129}$ Xe when considering the natural abundance, $^3$He can be expected to be a better nucleus for imaging than $^{129}$ Xe even under continuous flow conditions. In this report, the first MRI with continuously flowing laser-polarized $^3$He is shown for a phantom of Teflon tubing, demonstrating the feasibility of $^3$He imaging under continuous flow.

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어린이집 주요 바닥마감재의 경제성 및 LCCO2 분석에 관한 연구 (A study on the economic feasibility and the LCCO2 of Main floor covering materials in day care centers)

  • 김동필;조규만
    • 교육녹색환경연구
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2013
  • As the construction industry develops, environmental pollution gets increasingly serious, giving damage including the increase of incidence of respiratory diseases and skin diseases among children with weakened immune systems, rather than adults. In daycare centers, infants and children spending much of their time, have high frequency of contact with the interior floor finish material. However, the majority of the child care centers don not use eco-friendly flooring but ordinary monorium flooring, because the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring is higher than ordinary monorium flooring. Therefore, in this study, life cycle costs including the initial investment cost of the eco-friendly flooring and ordinary monorium flooring were calculated, demonstrating that the eco-friendly flooring is more economical than ordinary monorium flooring in terms of life-cycle cost. In addition, the analysis of the environmental performance also showed the excellence of the eco-friendly floor finishes. It is expected that the use of the eco-friendly floor finishes will increase due to their excellence in the aspect of life cycle cost and eco-friendly performance, through this study.

외래식물의 서식처 유형에 따른 분포특성 - 한국 경상권을 대상으로 - (Distributional Characteristics by Habitat Type of Alien Plants - For Gyeongsang Area in Korea -)

  • 이정민;김의주;이효혜미;조규태
    • 생태와환경
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.142-150
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    • 2021
  • To analyze the distribution characteristics of alien plants in various habitat types, 249 sites were selected from four administrative districts in the Gyeongsang region of Korea. The survey was conducted across nine different habitat types. A total of 115 species of alien plants were collected; comprising 23 families, 73 genera, 112 species, and 3 varieties. Species from the family Compositae were the most common at 33.0%. Raunkiaer's life forms had the highest occurrence rate with 70 species(60.9%) of therophytes(Th) followed by 30 species (26.1%) of hemicryptophytes (H) and 8 species (7.0%) of geophytes (G). The distributions of alien plant species per habitat type were: 81 species on the roadside; 80 species on vacant lots and artificial habitats; 67 species in streams; 53 species in grasslands; 47 species in cultivated lands; and 39 species on the coast. Since 2017, the number of alien plants has increased in Gyeongju-si, Cheongdo-gun, and Pohang-si, and decreased in Ulsan Metropolitan-si. In each region, 614 taxa were observed. The invasive alien species, Sicyos angulatus, Hypocaeris radicata, and Solanum carolinense, were observed for the first time and are expected to further increase the disturbance of the ecosystem.

코아링 접지전극의 경년변화 해석 (Analysis on Coring Earth Electrode in Progress of Time)

  • 오성보;김세호;김호찬;부창진;안재현;고성민;고영수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 제37회 하계학술대회 논문집 전기설비
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    • pp.89-90
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    • 2006
  • Recent earth systems not only make earth resistance decreased by installing earth electrode but also are demanded by earth construction for the protection of human life and equipments through total investigation about circumstances. Layer constructions in Jeju island consist of multi-layer of scoria, rocks and shale except clay layers on the surface, which needs the construction of the coring earth electrode suitable in the condition of the area. For this reason, we've used the coring earth electrode. But the coring earth electrode is expected to slow down the performance of this equipment according to the progress of time changing the effects. It is also applied for the stability of earth system construction and management after the construction work analyzing the condition of the earth system. Therefore, this is actually focused on the analysis on measuring the earth resistance and the soil resistivity that cover the range where the remarkable contrast can be expected to be seen in the layer structures.

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스마트 폰을 활용한 실시간 물류서비스 구현 방안 (Implementation of Real-time Logistics Services using Smart Phones)

  • 박두진
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보통신학회 2012년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.807-808
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    • 2012
  • 오늘날 물류의 발전은 문명의 발전과 그 궤를 같이 하고 있다. 최근 가장 급속도로 발전한 분야가 IT 분야일 것이다. 특히 IT 분야의 핵심기술로 평가되고 있는 스마트 폰의 발전은 실생활 뿐만 아니라 물류의 발전에도 많은 변화를 가져올 것으로 기대된다. 이에 따라 스마트폰과 물류를 결합한 새로운 비즈니스 모델의 개발이 점차 확대되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 스마트 폰을 활용하여 실시간으로 화물의 위치를 추적하고 제어함으로써 효율적으로 물류 서비스를 제공할 수 있는 스마트폰 기반의 물류서비스 구현 방안을 제안한다.

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표면실장기의 조립시간 최소화를 위한 진화 알고리즘 (An Evolutionary Algorithm for Minimizing the Assembly Time of surface Mounting Machines)

  • 이성한;이영대;이원식;이범희
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제6권8호
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    • pp.697-702
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    • 2000
  • The paper considers the problem of improving the productivity of surface mounting in the printed circuit board(PCB) assembly line. This problem is generally divided into two problems ; real assignment problem and pick-and -place sequencing problem which are known to have no polynomial time algorithms. In the last ten years algorithm designers have been trying to solve them separately. However they need to be solved jointly because they are highly interrelated. This paper proposes an evolutionary algorithm which can consider the two problems jointly and thus yield a better solution. In order to evaluate the proposed algorithm computer simulation is performed on real-life surface mounting machines. The proposed algorithm is expected to reduce the assembly time of surface mounting machines and thus improve the productivity.

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교량의 충격계수에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Impact Factor of Bridges)

  • 윤일로;류택은
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2004
  • The impact factor of bridges is analyzed based on experimental data to examine the characteristics of the dynamic responses of bridges. The experimental impact factors are compared with the impact factor of Korean Highway Design Specification and Japan T-load in terms of the span length. According to the superstructural types of bridges, the variation of the impact factor is analyzed. When vehicles are passing on a bridge, the dynamic effect acts on the bridge impact factor more than at the time of design because of the velocity of vehicles, the surface roughness reduction due to the deterioration of the bridge deck pavement, and the disconnection of the bridge entrance and the expansion joint. Because the actual value is greater than the expected value at the time of design, the dynamic response of the bridge accelerates the deterioration of the bridge due to the accumulation of fatigue, and the bridge's life-time is shortened and can have an influence on the serviceability and safety of the bridge.

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