• 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영정보학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.957-962
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• 2008

We propose a model for the line expansion problem in the AMOLED (Active Matrix Organic Light Emitting Diodes) industry, which now faces market uncertainty: for example, changing customer needs, technological development path, etc. We focus on the optimal investment time and size of the AMOLED production lines. In particular, employed here is the ROV (Real Options Valuation) model to show how to capture the value of line expansion and to determine the optimal investment time. The ROV framework provides a systematic procedure to quantify an expected outcome of a flexible decision which is not possible in the frame of the traditional NPV (Net Present Value) approach. Furthermore, we also use Monte Carlo simulation to measure the uncertainty associated with the line expansion decision; Monte Carlo simulation estimates the volatility of a decision alternative. Lastly, we present a scenario planning to be conducted for what-if analysis of the ROV model.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제9권4호
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• pp.1202-1209
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• 2014

A novel integrated optimization method is proposed to combine both generation and transmission line expansion problem considering bus voltage limit. Most of the existing researches on the combined generation and transmission expansion planning cannot consider bus voltages and reactive power flow limits because they are mostly based on the DC power flow model. In this paper the AC power flow model and nonlinear constraints related to reactive power are simplified and modified to improve the computation time and convergence. The proposed method has been successfully applied to Garver's six-bus system which is one of the most frequently used small scale sample systems to verify the transmission expansion method.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.70-79
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• 1984

대형 고속증식로용 핵계산 체제(KAERI-26군 단면적 library/1DX/2DB)를 이용하여 SUPER-PHE-NIX I 평형 노심의 초기상태에서의 diagrid 및 Pad팽창에 대한 반응도 계수를 계산, 검토하였다. 노심은 R-Z등가 model로 묘사하고, 2차원 다군 확산 이론 전산코드인 2DB를 사용하여 임계도를 계산하였다. 기초계산으로서 반경방향 및 축방향 균일 괭창에 대한 반응도 계산과 노심구성물질의 원자수 밀도 변화와 노심체적 변화에 대한 반응도 변화량계산을 수행하였다. 균일 팽창으로 고려한 diagrid팽창에 대한 반응도 계수는 -0.553pcm/mil로 계산되었다. 한편 반응도의 온도계수는 -1.0766pcm/$^{\circ}C$로 환산되어 프랑스 발표치 -1.09pcm/$^{\circ}C$와 1.2%오차내로 일치하였다. Diagrid 팽창효과 졔산방법을 활용하여 노심의 불균일 팽창을 유발하는 pad팽창에 대한 반응도 계수 계산을 수행한 바 매우 유용함을 알았다. Pad팽창에 대한 반응도 계수는 평균팽창 model의 경우 -0.2743pcm/mi1, pancake집적 model의 경우 -0.2786pcm/mi1로 각각 계산되었다. 또한 자유팽창 노심에서의 온도변화에 따른 pad 팽창에 대한 반응도 계수는 각 model에 대하여 -0.5766pcm/$^{\circ}C$, -0.5858pcm/$^{\circ}C$로 계산되어 프랑스 발표치 -0.574pcm/$^{\circ}C$와 2% 오차내로 일치하였다.

• 소성∙가공
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.164-170
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• 2014

To predict the deformation and fracture during tube expansion using the finite element (FE) method, a material model is considered that incorporates the damage evolution due to the deformation. In the current study, a Rice-Tracey model was used as the damage model with inclusion of the hydrostatic stress term. Since OFHC Cu is not significantly affected by strain rate, a Hollomon flow stress model was used. The material parameters in each model were obtained by using an optimization method. The objective function was defined as the difference between the experimental measurements and FE simulation results. The parameters were determined by minimizing the objective function. To verify the validity of the FE modeling, cross-verification was conducted through a tube expansion test. The simulation results show reasonable agreement with the experiments. The design for a minimum diameter of expansion tube using the FE modeling was verified by a simplified tube expansion test and simulation results.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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• pp.77-79
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• 2008

The power expansion planning is large and capital intensive capacity planning. In the past, the expansion planning was established with the proper supply reliability in order to minimize social cost. However, the planning not used cost minimizing objective function in the power markets with many market participants. This paper proposed the power expansion planning model using multi-criteria decision rule. This model used multi objective function considering not only cost minimizing but also GENCO's intension. This paper compared proposed model with WASP model in order to verify the result of proposed model.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제33권6호
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• pp.42-49
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• 2018

In this study, we have developed a prediction model for expansion and contraction behaviors of expansion joint in Gwangan Bridge using machine learning techniques and bridge monitoring data. In the development of the prediction model, two famous machine learning techniques, multiple regression analysis (MRA) and artificial neural network (ANN), were employed. Structural monitoring data obtained from bridge monitoring system of Gwangan Bridge were used to train and validate the developed models. From the results, it was found that the expansion and contraction behaviors predicted by the developed models are matched well with actual expansion and contraction behaviors of Gwangan Bridge. Therefore, it can be concluded that both MRA and ANN models can be used to predict the expansion and contraction behaviors of Gwangan Bridge without actual measurements of those behaviors.

• 경영과학
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.117-134
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• 2000

Pubilc utility industries including the electric utility industry are facing a new stream of privatization com-petition with the private sector and deregulation. The necewssity to solve now and in the future power supply and demand problems has been increasing through the sophisticated generation expansion plan(GEP) approach con-sidering not only KEPCo's supply-side resources but also outside resources such as non-utility generation(NUG) demand-side management (DSM). Under the environmental situation in the current electric utility industry a new approach is needed to acquire multiple resources competitively. This study presents the development of a modified electric generation expansion analysis system(EGEAS) model with avoided cost based on the existing EGEAS model which is a dynamic program to develope an optimal generation expansion plan for the electric utility. We are trying to find optimal GEP in Korea's case using our modified model and observe the difference for the level of reliabilities such as the reserve margin(RM) loss of load probability(LOLP) and expected unserved energy percent(EUEP) between the existing EGEAS model and our model. In addition we are trying to calculate avoided cost for NUG resources which is a criterion to evaluate herem and test possibility of connection calculation of avoided cost with GEP implementation using our modified model. The results of our case study are as follows. First we were able to find that the generation expansion plan and reliability measures were largely influenced by capacity size and loading status of NUG resources, Second we were able to find that avoided cost which are criteria to evaluate NUG resources could be calculated by using our modified EGEAS model with avoided cost. We also note that avoided costs were calculated by our model in connection with generation expansion plans.

• 천문학회보
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• 제44권2호
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• pp.54.1-54.1
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• 2019

We use iterative smoothing reconstruction method along with exploring in the parameter space of the light curves of the JLA supernova compilation (Joint Light-curve Analysis) to simultaneously reconstruct the expansion history of the universe as well as putting constrains on the light curve parameters without assuming any cosmological model. Our constraints on the light curve parameters of the JLA from our model-independent analysis seems to be closely in agreement with results assuming ΛCDM cosmology or using Chevallier-Polarski-Linder (CPL) parametrization for the equation of state of dark energy. This implies that there is no hidden significant feature in the data that could be neglected by cosmology model assumption. The reconstructed expansion history of the universe and properties of dark energy seems to be in good agreement with expectations of the standard ΛCDM model. Our results also indicate that the data allows a considerable flexibility for expansion history of the universe.

• 농촌계획
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.9-18
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• 2004

The purpose or this study is to simulate spatially the urban expansion phenomena with a cellular automata (CA) technique using GIS. A study area, Suwon city, was selected for test of model verification and application with the classified land-use maps of three data years: 1986, 1996, and 2000. The urbanized potential maps were generated with seven criteria of one geographic factor (slope of land), and six accessibility factors (time distances from city, national road, Seoul, station, and built-up boundary), considering their weighting values, which were optimized by WSM (weighted scenario method for intensity order) combined a ranking method and a AHP technique. The optimized weighting values at the urban expansion between 1986 and 1996 were applied to verify the CA model for the other expansion between 1996 and 2000. The results of model application showed that urban sprawl phenomena of the urban expansion toward rural area can be simulated spatially and temporally with several boundary conditions considering various scenarios for the criteria and parameters of the model. Ultimately, this study can contribute to reference data for land-use planning of urban fringe areas.

• 대한가정학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.11-21
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• 1991

The study has been intended to find out meaningful information about the development of a prototype of enhanced maternity girdle. The girdles of three different models which were available in the market have been carried out by three six-month pregnant women and three nine-month pregnant women. The results of the study are as follows. 1. All three girdles showed improved wear effects in order of model A, model B, model C. Body surface area measurement and two body surface angles of abdomen are significantly dicreased by wearing and type of girdles. It is presumed that the reasons of good wear effect of model A is low expansion rate of the material and tight fitness of the model. Model B is made of material whose expansion rate is higher than model A. Also abdominal part of the model B is bias cut which is considered to result better stretch and consequently lower wear effect. 2. For wear comfort, subjects preferred in order of model B, model C, and model A. All subjects feel more comfortable after wearing girdles 30 minutes than after wearing girdles 1 day. Comparing 2 subject groups, 6-month pregnant group feel more comfortable about wearing girdles than 9-month pregnant group. 3. The girdles are expanded as a whole in order of model B, model C and model A. Considering the expansion rate of some specific area of the girdles, abdominal area expands more than hip area which expands more than thigh area. The expansion rates of girdles worn to 6-month pregnant group are very low at all area, while the expansion rates of girdles worn to 9-month pregnant group are very high.