• Title/Summary/Keyword: exit cost

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Selection Model of System Trading Strategies using SVM (SVM을 이용한 시스템트레이딩전략의 선택모형)

  • Park, Sungcheol;Kim, Sun Woong;Choi, Heung Sik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2014
  • System trading is becoming more popular among Korean traders recently. System traders use automatic order systems based on the system generated buy and sell signals. These signals are generated from the predetermined entry and exit rules that were coded by system traders. Most researches on system trading have focused on designing profitable entry and exit rules using technical indicators. However, market conditions, strategy characteristics, and money management also have influences on the profitability of the system trading. Unexpected price deviations from the predetermined trading rules can incur large losses to system traders. Therefore, most professional traders use strategy portfolios rather than only one strategy. Building a good strategy portfolio is important because trading performance depends on strategy portfolios. Despite of the importance of designing strategy portfolio, rule of thumb methods have been used to select trading strategies. In this study, we propose a SVM-based strategy portfolio management system. SVM were introduced by Vapnik and is known to be effective for data mining area. It can build good portfolios within a very short period of time. Since SVM minimizes structural risks, it is best suitable for the futures trading market in which prices do not move exactly the same as the past. Our system trading strategies include moving-average cross system, MACD cross system, trend-following system, buy dips and sell rallies system, DMI system, Keltner channel system, Bollinger Bands system, and Fibonacci system. These strategies are well known and frequently being used by many professional traders. We program these strategies for generating automated system signals for entry and exit. We propose SVM-based strategies selection system and portfolio construction and order routing system. Strategies selection system is a portfolio training system. It generates training data and makes SVM model using optimal portfolio. We make $m{\times}n$ data matrix by dividing KOSPI 200 index futures data with a same period. Optimal strategy portfolio is derived from analyzing each strategy performance. SVM model is generated based on this data and optimal strategy portfolio. We use 80% of the data for training and the remaining 20% is used for testing the strategy. For training, we select two strategies which show the highest profit in the next day. Selection method 1 selects two strategies and method 2 selects maximum two strategies which show profit more than 0.1 point. We use one-against-all method which has fast processing time. We analyse the daily data of KOSPI 200 index futures contracts from January 1990 to November 2011. Price change rates for 50 days are used as SVM input data. The training period is from January 1990 to March 2007 and the test period is from March 2007 to November 2011. We suggest three benchmark strategies portfolio. BM1 holds two contracts of KOSPI 200 index futures for testing period. BM2 is constructed as two strategies which show the largest cumulative profit during 30 days before testing starts. BM3 has two strategies which show best profits during testing period. Trading cost include brokerage commission cost and slippage cost. The proposed strategy portfolio management system shows profit more than double of the benchmark portfolios. BM1 shows 103.44 point profit, BM2 shows 488.61 point profit, and BM3 shows 502.41 point profit after deducting trading cost. The best benchmark is the portfolio of the two best profit strategies during the test period. The proposed system 1 shows 706.22 point profit and proposed system 2 shows 768.95 point profit after deducting trading cost. The equity curves for the entire period show stable pattern. With higher profit, this suggests a good trading direction for system traders. We can make more stable and more profitable portfolios if we add money management module to the system.

Impact Analysis for Changes in Oil Cost of Anchovy Boat Seine Fishery in South Korea (우리나라 기선권현망 멸치어업의 유류비 변동 영향분석)

  • Yun, Sang-Don;Nam, Jongoh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.517-543
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    • 2016
  • This study aims to analyze economic impacts for changes in the oil cost of the anchovy boat seine fisheries in South Korea. As analytical approach, this study employs the exponential surplus production model to estimate the maximum sustainable yield and also utilizes the bioeconomic model to calculate changes in producer surplus of the anchovy boat seine fisheries under the open access responding to changes in the oil cost. As the result of analysis, increases in the oil cost due to prohibition of duty-free oil supply result in the negative impacts to the producer surplus of the anchovy boat seine fisheries in South Korea. However, increases in the oil cost of the anchovy boat seine fisheries lead voluntary exit to fishermen which can no more run their business. As a result, this study shows that fishing efforts of the anchovy boat seine fisheries reduce under the fishing efforts of the maximum sustainable yield ($F_{MSY}$) and stock of the anchovy increases.

Linking Benefit/Cost, Negative Attitudes toward Shadow Work, and Consumer's Response Behavior (혜택/비용, 그림자 노동에 대한 부정적 태도, 반응행동 간 구조적 관계)

  • Liu, Ting Ting;Koh, Joon
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.79-103
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    • 2021
  • Purpose Based on consumers' economic, psychological, self-development and conversion costs, this study discusses the relationship between consumers' negative attitude to their shadow work during the course of using self-service in unmanned supermarkets and their behavior. Design/methodology/approach Along with the Hirschman(1970)'s EVLN(Exit, Voice, Loyalty, and Neglect) reviewed, the proposed model of this study is based on the S-O-R model(Mehrabian and Russel, 1974) and mental accounting theory(Thaler, 1999), having empirical validation. Findings In the process of visits and consumption in unmanned supermarkets, increasing economic and psychological benefits can effectively reduce consumers' negative attitudes towards shadow work. In addition, the increase in switching costs will also effectively reduce consumers' negative attitudes towards shadow work. When shadow work holds a negative attitude, all the three kinds of actions will occur. Unmanned supermarket operators use consumers to create value while giving a certain return to them, which is conducive to the sustainable development of unmanned supermarket enterprises.

Program Development for Design of Counter-flow Cooling Tower (향류형 냉각탑의 기본설계 프로그램 개발)

  • Ko, Kwang-Ho;In, Jong-Soo;Oh, Tae-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2004
  • This paper is to develop the program for sizing of a counter-flow cooling tower. Air flow, air exit tmperature, fan power are calculated from design coditions of cooling tower by using this program. The basic equations and solutions of the heat transfer and pressure drop of cooling tower are descrived and the algorithm development for design of cooling tower is performed. The variation of fan power of cooling tower in acoording to variation of cell area and fill height is performed by using this program. This result shows that the optimal design for install and running cost of cooling tower can be performed by using this program.

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Measurement System of the Transverse Temperature Profile of Hot Rolled Strip (열간압연공정에서의 스트립 폭방향온도 모니터링시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Sung-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06c
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    • pp.197-201
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    • 2001
  • Output and cost efficiency in the production of hot-rolled strip depend to a large content on the uniformity of geometric and mechanical properties over the length and width of the rolled end product. To ensure the homogeneous temperatures required for this during the rolling process a system to measure and evaluate the transverse temperature profile was developed and implemented in production. The systems used consist of temperature scanners and computers for measurement and data evaluation. The systems have been installed in Kwangyang hot strip mills, in the cases at the exit of the finishing train and at the entry of the coiler. They are used in production to determine the effect of the finishing train and the cooling zone on the technological properties of the hot rolled strip.

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Optimization of optical design for Eye Glass Display

  • Moon, H.C.;Kim, T.H.;Park, K.B.;Park, Y.S.;Seok, J.M.;Kim, H.W.
    • 한국정보디스플레이학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.07b
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    • pp.1603-1606
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    • 2005
  • Eye Glass Display (EGD) with microdisplay to realize the virtual display can make the large screen, so virtual image has been developed by using microdisplay panel. This paper shows study of low cost lens design and simulation for microdisplay system with 0.6" Liquid Crystal on Silicon (LCoS) panel. Lens design optimized consider to spherical aberration, astigmatism, distortion, and chromatic aberration. Code V is used and it designed an aspheric lens about exit pupil 6mm, eye relief 20mm and 35 degree of field of view (FOV). With the application this aspheric lens to LCOS type's microdisplay, virtual image showed 50 inch at 2m. One side of the aspheric lens was constituted from diffractive optical element (DOE) for the improvement in a performance. It had less than ${\pm}2%$ of distortion value and modulation transfer function in axial had 20% of resolution with 30 lp/mm spatial frequency. The optical system is suitable for display of 0.6"-diagonal with SVGA.

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The Fundamental Understanding Of The Real Options Value Through Several Different Methods

  • Kim Gyutai;Choi Sungho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.620-627
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    • 2003
  • The real option pricing theory has emerged as the new investment decision-making techniques superceding the traditional discounted cash flow techniques and thus has greatly received muck attention from academics and practitioners in these days the theory has been widely applied to a variety of corporate strategic projects such as a new drug R&D, an internet start-up. an advanced manufacturing system. and so on A lot of people who are interested in the real option pricing theory complain that it is difficult to understand the true meaning of the real option value. though. One of the most conspicuous reasons for the complaint may be due to the fact that there exit many different ways to calculate the real options value in this paper, we will present a replicating portfolio method. a risk-neutral probability method. a risk-adjusted discount rate method (quasi capital asset pricing method). and an opportunity cost concept-based method under the conditions of a binomial lattice option pricing theory.

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Disk MHD Accelerator with Swirl Vane and Its Performance

  • Takeshita, Shinji;Furuya, Seizo;Harada, Nobuhiro
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.536-542
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    • 2008
  • The rocket technology has the best reliability and the high acceleration performance currently. In addition, next generation propulsion system is acquired to low cost and high payload percentage at that same time. This work is to improve the performance of Diskshaped MHD accelerator which is expected as the one of the solution. In this study we have been focusing on the swirl vane. It is so important to know that how the swirl vane contribute the plasma and its performance. As results, the gas velocities of r-component with inlet swirl were increased about over 3000m/s at the channel exit. And then static gas pressure were also reduced, we found that the case with inlet swirl gives the good influence to the acceleration performance. And the difference of the acceleration by positive and negative inlet swirl is that gas velocity of $\theta$-component may operate to the electric field.

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Analysis of New Air Control System in Clean Stocker (Clean Stocker내 새로운 방식의 기류제어에 관한 해석)

  • Choe, Gi-Han;Han, Chang-U;Lee, Sang-Ryong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.121-130
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    • 2002
  • Clean stockers are being used by semiconductor and TFT-LCD manufacturers to store and buffer work in process. Since an important function of a stocker is to keep the contained material clean. The only way to keep the stored product clean is to provide constant clean airflow the product and through stocker, The airflow across the product prevent contamination from settling on the product. Up to now, stocker typically have been configured to receive their laminar airflow from fan filter units that are located on the side of the stocker This type of stocker may have such problems as complexity of structure, increment of temperature, mechanical vibration, initial investment and running cost. In this study, In order to solve the above mentioned problems, new air control system in stocker is proposed, which is to control open ratios of exits that are located on the side of the stocker without fan filter units. Open ratios of exits need to be optimized for the same quantities of airflow in each exit. In this study, static pressure regain was used for the analysis of the open ratios of exits theoretically and Blue Ridge Numerics FEM software, CFDesign, was used fur simulating airflow in stocker. As a result, Open ratios of exits important to provide constant clean airflow can be obtained by the analysis of static pressure regain and was verified by simulation results. Therefore, new air control system in stocker can be used by the semiconductor and TFT-LCD manufacturers.

Development of Traffic Accident Rate Forecasting Models for Trumpet IC Exit Ramp of Freeway using Variables Transformation Method (변수변환 기법을 이용한 고속도로 트럼펫IC 유출연결로 교통사고율 예측모형 개발)

  • Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.139-150
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    • 2008
  • In this study, It is focused on development of the forecasting model about trumpet InterChange(IC) ramp accident because of the frequency of accident in ramp more than highway basic section and trend the increasing accident in ramp. The independent variables was selected through statistical analysis(correlation analysis, multi-collinearity etc) by ramp types(direct, semi-direct and loop). The independent variables and accident rate is non-linear relationship. So it made new variables by transformation of the independent variables. The forecasting models according to exit-ramp type (direct, semi-direct and loop) are built with statistical multi-variable regression using all possible regression method. And the forecasts of the models showed high accuracy statistically. It is expected that the developed models could be employed to design trumpet IC ramp more cost-efficiently and safely and to analyze the causes of traffic accidents happened on the IC ramp.

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