• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation formulae

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A study on the risk scoring and risk index for the ecosystem-based fisheries assessment (생태계 기반 어업평가의 위험도 추정에 관한 개선연구)

  • Park, Hee Won;Zhang, Chang Ik;Kwon, You Jung;Seo, Young Il;Oh, Taeg-Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2013
  • This study identified problems of the existing ecosystem-based fisheries assessment approach, and suggested new methods for scoring risk and for the estimation of fishery risk index. First, risk scores of zero to two for target and limit reference points for each indicator were replaced by those of zero to three, and the risk scores were calculated from new formulae which were developed in this study. Second, a new method for estimating fishery risk index (FRI) was developed in this study, considering the level of indicators. New method was applied to the Korean large purse seine fishery, large pair trawl fishery and drag net fishery. More precise and detailed risk scores were obtained from the new method, which can explain the risks by the wider range of both risk levels for 'better than target' and 'beyond limit'. The new method for estimating FRI could avoid the basic problem related with duplicated computations of fishery-level indicators, which improved the estimated FRI to be more accurate. Also, a method for estimating variance of FRI using the bootstrap was proposed in this study.

A Method for Construction of Life Table in Korea (우리나라 자료에 적합한 생명표 작성방법에 대한 연구)

  • Park, You-Sung;Kim, Seong-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.769-789
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    • 2011
  • The life table is a statistical model for life expectancy and reflects mortality experiences exposed to a particular group of people. The following three issues are prerequisite for constructing the life table : a selection of how to estimate the death probability from observed death rates, a graduation method to smooth irregularity of the death probabilities, and an extension method of the death probabilities for oldest-old ages. To construct the life table that is fittest to Korean mortality experiences, we examine five estimation methods such as Chiang's and Greville's for the death probability, three graduation techniques including Beer's and Greville's formulae, and twelve mathematical functions for the extension of death probabilities for oldest-old ages. We also propose a method to resolve the cross-over problem arising from construction the life table.

The Estimation of earthquake-resistance for gas utility using Equivalent Static Analysis (가스시설물의 등가정적 해석에 의한 내진성능 평가)

  • Koh J. P.;Hong S. K.;Kim J. H.;Jeong S. Y.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.6 no.4 s.18
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of the present study is to analyze the response of Gas Utility subjected to Earthquake and to discuss the failure prediction of Kogas Storage Tank. Initially here, characteristics of Earthquake are reviewed and then earthquake-resistance Design is investigated based on previous earthquake hazard cases. Next, considering the distribution of the transverse permanent ground displacement and equivalent spring constant effect, formulae obtained by a beam theory are established to analyze PeungTak Center Control Room. This analysis was performed without consideration of axial effects. So the finite element analysis was used in order to consider the axial stiffness of Structure.

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Accurate Estimation of Effective Population Size in the Korean Dairy Cattle Based on Linkage Disequilibrium Corrected by Genomic Relationship Matrix

  • Shin, Dong-Hyun;Cho, Kwang-Hyun;Park, Kyoung-Do;Lee, Hyun-Jeong;Kim, Heebal
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.26 no.12
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    • pp.1672-1679
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    • 2013
  • Linkage disequilibrium between markers or genetic variants underlying interesting traits affects many genomic methodologies. In many genomic methodologies, the effective population size ($N_e$) is important to assess the genetic diversity of animal populations. In this study, dairy cattle were genotyped using the Illumina BoviveHD Genotyping BeadChips for over 777,000 SNPs located across all autosomes, mitochondria and sex chromosomes, and 70,000 autosomal SNPs were selected randomly for the final analysis. We characterized more accurate linkage disequilibrium in a sample of 96 dairy cattle producing milk in Korea. Estimated linkage disequilibrium was relatively high between closely linked markers (>0.6 at 10 kb) and decreased with increasing distance. Using formulae that related the expected linkage disequilibrium to $N_e$, and assuming a constant actual population size, $N_e$ was estimated to be approximately 122 in this population. Historical $N_e$, calculated assuming linear population growth, was suggestive of a rapid increase $N_e$ over the past 10 generations, and increased slowly thereafter. Additionally, we corrected the genomic relationship structure per chromosome in calculating $r^2$ and estimated $N_e$. The observed $N_e$ based on $r^2$ corrected by genomics relationship structure can be rationalized using current knowledge of the history of the dairy cattle breeds producing milk in Korea.

Performance Evaluation System for Tow-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass (2-체널 링-코어 프럭스-게이트 콤파스의 성능평가 시스템 개발)

  • 임정빈;김봉석
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2002
  • Design and implementation methodologies on the performance evaluation system of two-channel ring-core Flux-Gate Compass (FG-Compass) are described, with evaluation procedures and methods based on the polynomial regression models. Performance evaluation system is consists of a step motor driving unit, a bearing transmitting unit and, evaluation programs using polynomial regression formulae. Through performance evaluation tests, total residual deviation tests, total residual deviation of $\pm$4$^{\circ}$ and eigen residual deviation of $\pm$2$^{\circ}$ are obtained from the FG-Compass. The result is more accurate values than the typical FG-Compass with eigen residual deviation of $\pm$4$^{\circ}$ and is provide a possibility to develop a high performance FG-Compass. In addition, the design methodology of a smart FG-Compass with the self estimation and correction of residual deviations is also discussed.

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Runoff Characteristics Analysis using GCUH on Ungauged Small Basin (지형기후학적순간단위유량도를 이용한 미계측 소유역의 유출특성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Choi, Hyun;Lee, Bae-Sung;Jeong, Dong-Kug
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.2 s.36
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2006
  • Runoff Characteristics has been Analysis Using geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph(GIUH) and geomorphoclimatic unit hydrograph(GCUH) on an ungaged vary small basin about $5km^2$ scale in Kyungbuk gampo area. First, we estimated hydrology Factor using Geographic Information System(GIS) tool and then, calculated the characteristic velocity using the real rainfall-runoff data. It is compared with several velocities derived from GCUH theory and several other concentration time formulae. Kerby and Braby-Williams seems to be more applicable as characteristic velocity formula. Second, We compared the GCUH peak discharge with the probable flood, also compared the unit hydrograph as like the Clark, the Nakayasu and the S.C.S and GCUH with the observed discharge using the real rainfall events. The comparison results showed that GCUH could be applicable on an ungaged vary small basin. We expected that the result can be used as for estimation of a flash flood standard rainfall as well as emergency management plan.

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Parametric Analysis for the Simultaneous Carbonation and Chloride Ion Penetration in Reinforced Concrete Sections (중성화와 염화물 침투가 동시에 발생하는 철근콘크리트 단면의 매개변수 분석)

  • Zhu, Xingji;Kim, Soye;Kwak, Dong-Woo;Bae, Kyung-Tae;Zi, Goangseup
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.66-74
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is the investigation of the influence of carbonation on the penetration of chloride ions in reinforced concrete sections for different mix proportions and environmental conditions. A comprehensive numerical model based on the change of the pore structure and the chemical equilibrium was used for this combined action of carbonation and chloride ingress. The empirical formulae of some parameters in this model are estimated according to numerous experimental data. And, a set of data analysis is carried out to simplify the estimation of model variables to reduce the computational cost. A coupled simulation of the transports of carbon dioxide, chloride ions, heat and moisture is carried out. Then, the parametric analysis is given and the numerical results show that the effect of carbonation of the free chloride ingress is significant and depends on the binder types and concrete mix proportion.

Indirect Crack Controling Method Affected by Variation of Material Characteristics in Reinforced Concrete Flexural Members (재료 특성 변화에 따른 철근콘크리트 휨부재의 간접균열제어 방법 연구)

  • Choi, Seung-Won;Kim, Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.87-98
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    • 2011
  • Crack formations are inevitable in reinforced concrete structures. To estimate crack widths, empirical formulae are used widely and indirect crack controling methods of limiting bar spacing and bar diameter are also used due to their simplicity. In EC2, the characteristic crack width is calculated by multiplying maximum crack spacing and average strain. In this study, limit values of maximum bar spacing and bar diameter are examined as the material characteristics are varied. Two models of tension stiffening effect and maximum crack spacing and their effects are evaluated. The obtained results are compared with the values obtained using KCI method. The results showed that a significant difference is found when two tension stiffening effect are employed, and an under-estimation is found when 2nd order tension stiffening effect and maximum crack spacing limit from Part II were implemented. Therefore, a rational indirect crack control method attained using the tension stiffening effect of 2nd order form is needed. Also, a consistency in serviceabiliy analysis in flexural members needs to be secured. In order to achieve these goals, two crack controling models are suggested.

An Empirical Study on Changes of Web Pages (웹 문서 변화에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Kim Sung Jin;Lee Sang Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2005
  • As web pages are created, destroyed, and updated frequently, web databases should be updated to keep up-to-date web pages. In order to keep web databases fresh effectively, we need to understand the change of real web pages. Previous researches on the change of the web pages have directed their efforts on the contents modification of web pages only, and have not taken into account the factors of creation and destruction of web pages In their research. This paper investigates the web page changes, which include contents modification, page creation, and page destruction. We introduce three metrics, namely DR (Download Rate), MR (Modification Rate), and CAV (Coefficient of Age Variation) to represent the change of the web pages. We have monitored three million web pages collected from the famous and random sites every other day for one hundred days. With the Download Rate and the Modification Rate, we learned that the download success and the modification depends on the past change of them, and proposes two estimation formulae that predict the download success and modification. With the Coefficient of Age Variation, we show how web pages do not change periodically.

Performance Evaluation System for Tow-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass (2-체널 링-코어 프럭스-게이트 콤파스의 성능평가 시스템 개발)

  • Yim, Jeong-Bin;Jeong, Jung-Sik;Park, Sung-Hyeon;Kim, Bong-Seok
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2002
  • Design and implementation methodologies on the performance evaluation system of Two-Channel Ring-Core Flux-Gate Compass (TCRC FG-Compass) are described, with evaluation procedures and methods based on the polynomial regression models. Performance evaluation system consists of a step motor driving unit, a bearing transmitting unit and evaluation programs derived from polynomial regression formulae. Newly designed performance evaluation system enabled the accuracy of TCRC FG-Compass to be ascertained. It was confirmed that the size of residual deviation of TCRC FG-Compass is $2^{\circ}$, while that of the conventional one is $4^{\circ}$. In addition, the design methodology to the self estimation and correction of residual deviations is also discussed.