• 제목/요약/키워드: estimate cost

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DB 품질개선사업의 대가 산정 모형연구 (A Development of Cost Estimation Model for Data Quality Analysis and Improvement Project)

  • 서용원;이덕희;정승호;박건수
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 2015
  • As interests in the quality of data in database systems are growing recently, analysis and improvement of data quality in databases have been an important issue. However, there has yet to be a clear agreement on how to reasonably calculate the total cost of such project. In this paper, based on real project data and budget statistics, we develop a model to estimate the cost for quality analysis and improvement project of a database. We first conduct statistical analysis to build our basic model. Throughout this analysis, we have identified factors that determine the scale of works required to conduct the project and eventually determine the cost. In addition, we have identified factors that determine the complexity of the project. These factors can adjusts the cost determined by the scale of works. Our model is verified and improved by surveys on experts. We apply our model to newly conducted projects and observe that our model estimates the cost of each project reasonably well.

Support Vector Machine을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of School Building Projects Based on Support Vector Machine Technique at the Early Project Stage)

  • 신재민;박현영;신윤석;김광희
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2012년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.153-154
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So many method and techniques have developed that can estimate construction cost using limited information available in the early stage. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has received attention in various field due to its excellent capacity for self-learning and generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the applicability of cost prediction model based on SVM in school building project at the early stage. Data used in this study are 139 school building cost constructed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do. And prediction error rate of 7.48% in support vector machine is obtained. So the results showed applicability of using SVM model for predicting construction cost of school building projects.

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설계변경에 의한 공사비의 증감에 관한 연구 (The Research about Increase and Decrease of the Construction Cost by the Alteration of Design)

  • 임칠순;이규철
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.106-113
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this thesis is to provide an appropriate trade-off information for the conflicting interests caused by the various factors between building owner and contractor during selecting the contractor and performing the construction work, in which the construction was contracted by open bidding from the government or private organizations. In order to propose the legitimate evidence, the differences between the domestic contract sheet of drawing change and the process of drawing change and those of the foreign countries were compared and analysed The number of construction ordered in Youngdong area in 2001 whose construction expenses are more than 100,000,000 won is 218 items and 147,005,000,000 won in total cost Among them, the number of 218 items whose total cost amounts to 16,705,000,000 (11.36$\%$) is in case of increase of construction expenses due to the drawing changes, and the number of 48 items whose tool cost amounts to 2,009,000,000 won (1.37$\%$) is the case of decrease. In conclusions, the contractor could have more benefits than the building owner in case they submit the detailed estimate sheet without eliminating the increasing expenses of construction. It is shown that the building owner's loss is increasing whenever the labor cost is higher material cost Therefore, this thesis proposes a proper standards for the harmonious compromise between the contractor and the building owner for the problems caused by the drawing changes when the contract agreement is occurred.

공동주택 프로젝트의 초기 공사비 예측정확도 향상에 관한 연구 (Improving the Accuracy of Early Stage Cost Estimation in Apartment Construction Project)

  • 임소연;여상구;고성석
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2010
  • Due to the diversification and complication of construction projects, controlling risks from the early design-planning phase gives huge impact on success of the construction project. As a part of managing uncertainties it is also important to estimate the project cost several times. Especially, estimating project cost in the early stage gives effects on making a budget for projects. This study estimated the apartment project cost using case-based reasoning(CBR), which is the process of solving new problems based on the past problems. For this, we deduced the apartment cost influence factors which can be gathered in the early stage of project. Based on the factors we established the database for apartment project and calculated the attribute value, attribute similarity and case similarity. Although we retrieve the most similar case from the database, it is very hard to utilize it directly due to the uniqueness of each project. So, Genetic Algorithm(GA) was applied in revising the cost of the retrieved-case. Therefore, the accuracy of the prediction was improved by GA optimization.

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Development of Time-Cost Models for Building Construction Projects in Bangladesh

  • Rahman, MD. Mizanur;Lee, Young Dai;Ha, Duy Khanh;Chun, Yong Hyun
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2014
  • Estimating time and cost is an important mission in the early phase of a construction project, especially in feasibility study. It provides a foundation for making decision whether or not the project is performed on schedule and within budget. Thus, reliability of this estimate plays a key role in measuring the success of a project. This study was carried out to investigate the time-cost relationship in building construction projects in Bangladesh. The mathematical equation used in this study is based on Bromilow's equation. The research data were collected from sixty-three completed building projects through questionnaire survey. Type of clients, type of projects, and tender methods are the project characteristics considered in this study. The results of analysis indicated that the Bromilow's time-cost (BTC) models developed for each project characteristic are appropriate due to quite high coefficient of determination and relatively small mean percent errors. Among them, the forecasted model for time and cost according to tender methods is the best fit model. It is concluded that the BTC model could be applied in building construction project to predict its time and cost in Bangladesh. Four different regression models were also developed in this study. The results of BTC model between some selected countries were compared to gain the comprehensive view.

한국 무기체계 개발 실적을 고려한 연구개발 비용추정관계식 개발 (Developing an R&D CER Using Historical Defense Weapon System Data in Korea)

  • 어원재;이용복;강성진
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2010
  • Currently, cost estimation is very important to the government acquisition programs to support decisions about funding and to evaluate resource requirement as key decision points. Parametric cost estimating models have been used extensively to obtain appropriate cost estimates in early acquisition phase. However, they have many restrictions to ensure the cost estimating result in Korean defense environment because they are developed in the U.S.A. environment. In order to obtain a good R&D cost estimate, developing our own CERs (Cost Estimation Relationships) using historical R&D data is essential. Nevertheless, there has been little research to develop our own CERs. In this research, we established a CER development process and found some cost drivers in the historical movement weapon system R&D data. The R&D CER is developed using the PCR(Principle Component Regression) method to remove multicollinearity among data and to overcome the restriction of the insufficient number of sample. At least, this research is meaningful as a first attempt in terms of defining the CER development process and obtaining our own R&D CER based on the historical data in Korean weapon system R&D environment.

가중평균자본비용을 이용한 투자 안의 경제성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Economics Evaluation using Weighted Average Cost of Capital)

  • 김태성;구일섭
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2001
  • The capital cost of the company is one that must be paid to the money owner as the price by using the money. The capital cost according to the source of money supply can be estimated by the expected profit rate undertaken by the use of the capital. But in the area of pre-existent economic evaluation, the evaluation of the company investment has been treated by the profit rate of the capital after considering the repayment conditions of the other's money or the interest. Thus in this study, in case the company makes an investment on various kinds of the capital at the same time, not make use of the capital as a one source, the economic evaluation of an investment should be handled by taking the weighted average cost of capital into consideration in proportion to the constitution of the capital cost by the sources of money supply, Especially, as the cost of the private money is very much connected with the profit rate through the stock market, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) will be applied. This kind of economic evaluation method can be said to have much to do with the Economic Value Added : EVA) as well as to be highly thought as a standard to estimate the company' value recently To certify the usefulness of this approach, the case study of the output of the capital cost will be made for the purse of the economic evaluation of the alternative investment by using the financial statements of a motor company H.

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A STUDY ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COST MODEL BASED ON THE OWNER'S DECISION MAKING AT THE EARLY STAGES OF A CONSTRUCTION PROJECT

  • Choong-Wan Koo;Sang H. Park;Joon-oh Seo;TaeHoon Hong;ChangTaek Hyun
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.676-684
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    • 2009
  • Decision making at the early stages of a construction project has a significant impact on the project, and various scenarios created based on the owner's requirements should be considered for the decision making. At the early stages of a construction project, the information regarding the project is usually limited and uncertain. As such, it is difficult to plan and manage the project (especially cost planning). Thus, in this study, a cost model that could be varied according to the owner's requirements was developed. The cost model that was developed in this study is based on the case-based reasoning (CBR) methodology. The model suggests cost estimation with the most similar historical case as a basis for the estimation. In this study, the optimization process was also conducted, using genetic algorithms that reflect the changes in the number of project characteristics and in the database in the model according to the owner's decision making. Two optimization parameters were established: (1) the minimum criteria for scoring attribute similarity (MCAS); and (2) the range of attribute weights (RAW). The cost model proposed in this study can help building owners and managers estimate the project budget at the business planning stage.

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해체공사비 산정을 위한 품산정 기준과 전산시스템의 개발 (Development of a Computer System and Suggestion of Man-Hours for Demolition Cost Estimation)

  • 김효진;강인석;이동욱;김창학
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.1007-1015
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    • 2014
  • 지속가능한 발전을 추구하는 최근의 추세에서 해체산업은 자원의 재활용이나 재생측면에서 중요성이 더욱 커져가고 있다. 주택건립 및 기존주택현황을 고려할 때 해체시장의 규모는 계속 증가될 것으로 예측되고 있다. 그러나 국내에는 해체공사의 발주 및 입찰에 기본이 되는 내역기준이 매우 미비한 실정이고, 공사비를 산정하기 위한 전산시스템도 개발되어 있지 못하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 분별해체에 대한 시험시공 자료를 분석하여 분별해체공사의 일위대가 산정에 도움 될 수 있는 품 21개 항목과 현재 해체공사에 가장 많이 활용되고 있는 1.0m3 급 압쇄장비의 작업능력을 제시한다. 해체공사의 원활한 공사비 견적을 위해 해체공사에 특화하여 단가정보, 단가관리, 표준일위대가관리, 일위대가표, 내역서 작성, 보고서 작성 시스템을 개발하였다. 공사비 견적 시스템은 기계식해체와 발파식해체에 공통 적용가능토록 구성하였다. 본 시스템의 가장 큰 특징은 표준 WBS를 활용하여 비용견적을 수행하는 것이다. WBS는 표준 일위대가표 및 표준 DB와 연계되어 견적에 경험이 없는 사용자도 견적작업을 수행할 수 있는 장점을 갖게 된다.

Health and Economic Burden of HPV-related Diseases in Singapore

  • Low, Jeffrey Jen Hui;Ko, Yu;Ilancheran, Arunachalam;Zhang, Xu Hao;Singhal, Puneet K.;Tay, Sun Kuie
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.305-308
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    • 2012
  • Objective: To assess the health and economic burden of human papillomavirus (HPV)-related diseases (cervical cancer, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 1/2/3, and genital warts) in Singapore over a period of 25 years beginning in 2008. Methods: Incidence-based modeling was used to estimate the incidence cases and associated economic burden, with the assumption that age-stratified incidence rates will remain the same throughout the period of 25 years. The incidence rates in 2008 were projected based on data obtained from the National Cancer Registry for cervical cancer, and from a combination of published data and hospital registry review for CIN1/2/3 and genital warts. The population growth rate was factored into the projection of incidence cases over time. Direct cost data per cervical cancer and per CIN1/2/3 case were obtained from the financial database of large local hospitals while cost data for genital warts were obtained from the National Skin Center; these costs were multiplied by the number of incidence cases to produce an aggregate estimate of the economic burden over the 25-year period (in 2008 Singapore dollars) using a 3% discount rate. Results: The total number of incidence cases of HPV-disease over 25 years beginning in 2008 was estimated to be 60,183, including 8,078 for cervical cancer, 11,685 for CIN 2/3, 8,849 for CIN1, and 31,572 for genital warts. The estimated total direct cost was 83.2 million Singapore Dollars over 25 years: 57.6 million attributable to cervical cancer, 13.0 million to CIN2/3, 6.83 million to CIN1, and 5.70 million to genital warts. Conclusion: HPV-related diseases are expected to impose significant health and economic burden on the Singapore healthcare resources in the next 25 years.