• Title/Summary/Keyword: error propagation analysis

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Forecasting of Passenger Numbers, Freight Volumes and Optimal Tonnage of Passenger Ship in Mokpo Port (목포항 여객수 및 적정 선복량 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Woon-Jae;Keum, Jong-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.509-515
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    • 2004
  • The aim of this paper is to forecast passenger numbers and freight volumes in 2005 and it is proposed optimal tonnage of passenger ship. The forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes is important problem in order to determine optimal tonnage of passenger ship, port plan and development. In this paper, the forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes are performed by the method of neural network using back-propagation learning algorithm. And this paper compares the forecasting performance of neural networks with moving average method and exponential smooth method As the result of analysis. The forecasting of passenger numbers and freight volumes is that the neural networks performed better than moving average method and exponential smoothing method on the basis of MSE(mean square error) and MAE(mean absolute error).

Evaluating Laser Beam Parameters for Ground-to-space Propagation through Atmospheric Turbulence at the Geochang SLR Observatory

  • Ji Hyun Pak;Ji Yong Joo;Jun Ho Lee;Ji In Kim;Soo Hyung Cho;Ki Soo Park;Eui Seung Son
    • Current Optics and Photonics
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.382-390
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    • 2024
  • Laser propagation through atmospheric disturbances is vital for applications such as laser optical communication, satellite laser ranging (SLR), laser guide stars (LGS) for adaptive optics (AO), and laser energy transmission systems. Beam degradation, including energy loss and pointing errors caused by atmospheric turbulence, requires thorough numerical analysis. This paper investigates the impact of laser beam parameters on ground-to-space laser propagation up to an altitude of 100 km using vertical atmospheric disturbance profiles from the Geochang SLR Observatory in South Korea. The analysis is confined to 100 km since sodium LGS forms at this altitude, and beyond this point, beam propagation can be considered free space due to the absence of optical disturbances. Focusing on a 100-watt class laser, this study examines parameters such as laser wavelengths, beam size (diameter), beam jitter, and beam quality (M2). Findings reveal that jitter, with an influence exceeding 70%, is the most critical parameter for long-exposure radius and pointing error. Conversely, M2, with an influence over 45%, is most significant for short-exposure radius and scintillation.

Development of a Simulator for CT-2 Coverage Prediction and Cell Planning by GIS-Based Approach (GIS를 기반으로 한 CT-2 서비스 영역 예측 및 셀설계 시뮬레이터 개발)

  • Im, Jong-Su;Lee, Bong-Seok;Lee, Mun-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.1342-1350
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    • 1999
  • A new design procedure for micro cellular coverage prediction is presented here on this paper, which contains a new propagation analysis algorithm based on processing of vector data representing roads and buildings which mainly affect the propagation phenomena in micro-cell environments. The propagation analysis algorithm presented here has been developed to aim at the practical application for micro-cellular systems such as PCS or CE-2. As all the vectors used here are of closed poly lines, i.e., polygons, a simplified ray path search technique can be developed not only to determine if the calculation points are on the road polygons and but also to calculate the amount of blockage by buildings. The result shows a capability of predicting path loss with an RMS error of 5dB or lower.

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ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECT OF UTI-UTC TO HIGH PRECISION ORBIT PROPAGATION

  • Shin, Dong-Seok;Kwak, Sung-Hee;Kim, Tag-Gon
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.159-166
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    • 1999
  • As the spatial resolution of remote sensing satellites becomes higher, very accurate determination of the position of a LEO (Low Earth Orbit) satellite is demanding more than ever. Non-symmetric Earth gravity is the major perturbation force to LEO satellites. Since the orbit propagation is performed in the celestial frame while Earth gravity is defined in the terrestrial frame, it is required to convert the coordinates of the satellite from one to the other accurately. Unless the coordinate conversion between the two frames is performed accurately the orbit propagation calculates incorrect Earth gravitational force at a specific time instant, and hence, causes errors in orbit prediction. The coordinate conversion between the two frames involves precession, nutation, Earth rotation and polar motion. Among these factors, unpredictability and uncertainty of Earth rotation, called UTI-UTC, is the largest error source. In this paper, the effect of UTI-UTC on the accuracy of the LEO propagation is introduced, tested and analzed. Considering the maximum unpredictability of UTI-UTC, 0.9 seconds, the meaningful order of non-spherical Earth harmonic functions is derived.

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Analysis of Combustion and Flame Propagation Characteristics of LPG and Gasoline Fuels by Laser Deflection Method

  • Lee, Ki-Hyung;Lee, Chang-Sik;Ryu, Jea-Duk;Park, Gyung-Min
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.935-941
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    • 2002
  • This work is to investigate the combustion characteristics and flame propagation of the LPG (liquified petroleum gas) and gasoline fuel. In order to characterize the combustion processes of the fuels, the flame propagation and combustion characteristics were investigated by using a constant volume combustion chamber The flame propagation of both LPG and gasoline fuels was investigated by the laser deflection method and the high-speed Schlieren photography. The result of laser deflection method show that the error of measured flame propagation speed by laser method is less than 5% compared with the result of high-speed camera. The flame propagation speed of the fuel is increased with the decrease of initial pressure and the increase of initial temperature in the constant volume chamber. The results also show that the equivalence ratio has a grate effect on the flame speed, combustion pressure and the combustion duration of the fuel-air mixture.

Simple AI Robust Digital Position Control of PMSM using Neural Network Compensator (신경망 보상기를 이용한 PMSM의 간단한 지능형 강인 위치 제어)

  • 윤성구
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.620-623
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    • 2000
  • A very simple control approach using neural network for the robust position control of a Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor(PMSM) is presented The linear quadratic controller plus feedforward neural network is employed to obtain the robust PMSM system approximately linearized using field-orientation method for an AC servo. The neural network is trained in on-line phases and this neural network is composed by a fedforward recall and error back-propagation training. Since the total number of nodes are only eight this system can be easily realized by the general microprocessor. During the normal operation the input-output response is sampled and the weighting value is trained multi-times by error back-propagation method at each sample period to accommodate the possible variations in the parameters or load torque. And the state space analysis is performed to obtain the state feedback gains systematically. IN addition the robustness is also obtained without affecting overall system response. This method is realized by a floating-point Digital Singal Processor DS1102 Board (TMS320C31) The basic DSP software is used to write C program which is compiled by using ANSI-C style function prototypes.

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Adaptive Element-free Galerkin Procedures by Delaunay Triangulation (Delaunay 삼각화를 이용한 적응적 Element-free Galerkin 해석)

  • 이계희;정흥진;최창근
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.525-535
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, a new adaptive analysis scheme for element-free Galerkin method(EFGM) is proposed. The novel point of this scheme is that the triangular cell structure based on the Delaunay triangulation is used in the numerical integration and the node adding/removing process. In adaptive analysis with this scheme, there is no need to divide the integration cell and the memory cell structure. For the adaptive analysis of crack propagation, the reconstruction of cell structure by adding and removing the nodes on integration cells based the estimated error should be carried out at every iteration step by the Delaunay triangulation technique. This feature provides more convenient user interface that is closer to the real mesh-free nature of EFGM. The analysis error is obtained basically by calculating the difference between the values of the projected stresses and the original EFG stresses. To evaluate the performance of proposed adaptive procedure, the crack propagation behavior is investigated for several examples.

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Prediction of Error due to Eccentricity of Hole in Hole-Drilling Method Using Neural Network

  • Kim, Cheol;Yang, Won-Ho
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1359-1366
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    • 2002
  • The measurement of residual stresses by the hole-drilling method has been used to evaluate residual stresses in structural members. In this method, eccentricity can usually occur between the hole center and rosette gage center. In this study, we obtained the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole through the finite element analysis. To predict the magnitude of the error due to eccentricity of a hole in the biaxial residual stress field, it could be learned through the back propagation neural network. The prediction results of the error using the trained neural network showed good agreement with FE analyzed results.

Analysis of an Error Accompanying Measured Surface Crack Depth of Concrete Using Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파법에 의한 콘크리트 표면 균열 깊이의 측정오차 분석에 관한 연구)

  • 박석균;최욱
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2003
  • Ultrasonic pulse velocity method is applied many times for measuring surface crack depth of concrete in case of diagnosis of concrete structures. By the way, this method has an error accompanying measured surface crack depth of concrete because there are many uncertainty factors. So, it is necessary to study for an error of this method affected by these uncertainty factors. Two error factors(uncertainty factors) are tested and analyzed in this study. One is for an error according to measuring the propagation time of ultrasonic wave and the arrangement distance of transducers. Another is for an error according to positioning the transducer as a distance to surface crack from the transducer.

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Design of Kinematic Position-Domain DGNSS Filters (차분 위성 항법을 위한 위치영역 필터의 설계)

  • Lee, Hyung Keun;Jee, Gyu-In;Rizos, Chris
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.26-37
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    • 2004
  • Consistent and realistic error covariance information is important for position estimation, error analysis, fault detection, and integer ambiguity resolution for differential GNSS. In designing a position domain carrier-smoothed-code filter where incremental carrier phases are used for time-propagation, formulation of consistent error covariance information is not easy due to being bounded and temporal correlation of propagation noises. To provide consistent and correct error covariance information, this paper proposes two recursive filter algorithms based on carrier-smoothed-code techniques: (a) the stepwise optimal position projection filter and (b) the stepwise unbiased position projection filter. A Monte-Carlo simulation result shows that the proposed filter algorithms actually generate consistent error covariance information and the neglection of carrier phase noise induces optimistic error covariance information. It is also shown that the stepwise unbiased position projection filter is attractive since its performance is good and its computational burden is moderate.

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