• Title/Summary/Keyword: error distribution

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Development of Freeway Traffic Incident Clearance Time Prediction Model by Accident Level (사고등급별 고속도로 교통사고 처리시간 예측모형 개발)

  • LEE, Soong-bong;HAN, Dong Hee;LEE, Young-Ihn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.497-507
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    • 2015
  • Nonrecurrent congestion of freeway was primarily caused by incident. The main cause of incident was known as a traffic accident. Therefore, accurate prediction of traffic incident clearance time is very important in accident management. Traffic accident data on freeway during year 2008 to year 2014 period were analyzed for this study. KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor) algorithm was hired for developing incident clearance time prediction model with the historical traffic accident data. Analysis result of accident data explains the level of accident significantly affect on the incident clearance time. For this reason, incident clearance time was categorized by accident level. Data were sorted by classification of traffic volume, number of lanes and time periods to consider traffic conditions and roadway geometry. Factors affecting incident clearance time were analyzed from the extracted data for identifying similar types of accident. Lastly, weight of detail factors was calculated in order to measure distance metric. Weight was calculated with applying standard method of normal distribution, then incident clearance time was predicted. Prediction result of model showed a lower prediction error(MAPE) than models of previous studies. The improve model developed in this study is expected to contribute to the efficient highway operation management when incident occurs.

Development of Site Index Equations and Assessment of Productive Areas Based on Environmental Factors for Major Coniferous Tree Species (환경요인에 의한 주요 침엽수종의 지위지수 추정식 개발과 적지 평가)

  • Lee, Yong Seok;Sung, Joo Han;Chun, Jung Hwa;Shin, Man Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.101 no.3
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2012
  • This study was conducted to develop site index equations and to estimate productive areas for major coniferous species in Korea such as Pinus densiflora Sieb. et. Zucc, Pinus densiflora for. erect, Larix leptolepis and Pinus koraiensis using environmental factors. Using the large data set from both a digital forest site map and a climatic map, a total of 43 environmental factors including 15 climatic variables were regressed on site index by tree species to develop site index equations. Six environmental factors by species were selected as independent variables in the final site index equations. The result showed that the coefficients of determination for site index equations by species were ranged from 0.36 to 0.56, which seem to be relatively low but good enough for the estimation of forest stand productivity. The site index equations developed in this study were also verified by three evaluation statistics such as the estimation bias of model, precision of model, and mean square error of measurement. According to the evaluation statistics, it was found that the site index equations by species fitted well to the test data sets with relatively low bias and variation. As a result, it was concluded that the site index equations by species were well capable of estimating site quality. Based on the site index equations, the productive areas by species for all forest areas were estimated by applying GIS technique to the digital forest site map and climate map. In addition, the distribution of productive areas by species was illustrated by using GIS technique.

Development of Total Body Irradiation Program (전신방사선조사 프로그램 개발)

  • Choi Byung Ock;Jang Ji Sun;Kang Young Nam;Choi Ihl Bohng;Shin Sung Kyun
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.130-137
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    • 2005
  • In total body irradiation (T81) for leukemia, we have a two methode. One is a AP (anterior-posterior) method and the other is a Lateral methode. Our hospital used lateral methode. T81 must consider about body contour, because of homogeneous dose distribution. For compensation about irregular body contour, we use compensator. For T81 treatment, we must be considered, accurate manufacture of compensator and accurate calculation of dose. We developed the automatic program for T81. This program accomplished for compensator design and dose calculation for irregular body. This program was developed for uses to use in a windows environment using the IDL language. In this program, it use energy data for each energy: TMR, output factor, inverse square law, spoiler, field size factor. This program reduces the error to happen due to the manual. As a development of program, we could decrease the time of treatment plan and care the patient accurately.

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Study on mechanical behaviors of large diameter shield tunnel during assembling

  • Feng, Kun;Peng, Zuzhao;Wang, Chuang;He, Chuan;Wang, Qianshen;Wang, Wei;Cao, Songyu;Wang, Shimin;Zhang, Haihua
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.623-635
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    • 2018
  • In order to study the mechanical behavior of shield tunnel segments during assembly stage, the in-situ tests and FDM numerical simulation were conducted based on the Foguan Shiziyang Tunnel with large cross-section. Analysis for the load state of the assembling segments in different assembly steps as well as the investigation for the changing of inner forces and longitudinal stress of segments with assembling steps were carried out in this paper. By comparing the tested results with the simulated results, the conclusions and suggestions could be drawn as follows: (1) It is the most significant for the effects on axial force and bending moment caused by the assembly of adjacent segment, followed by the insertion of key segment while the effects in the other assembly steps are relative smaller. With the increasing value of axial force, the negative bending moment turns into positive and remains increasing in most monitored sections, while the bending moment of segment B1and B6 are negative and keeping increasing; (2) The closer the monitored section to the adjacent segments or the key segment, the more significant the internal forces response, and the monitored effects of key segment insertion are more obvious than that of calculation; (3) The axial forces are all in compression during assembling and the monitored values are about 1.5~1.75 times larger than the calculated values, and the monitored values of bending moment are about 2 times the numerical calculation. The bending moment is more sensitive to the segments assembly process compared with axial force, and it will result in the large bending moment of segments during assembling when the construction parameters are not suitable or the assembly error is too large. However, the internal forces in assembly stage are less than those in normal service stage; (4) The distribution of longitudinal stress has strong influence on the changing of the internal forces. The segment side surface and intrados in the middle of two adjacent jacks are the crack-sensitive positions in the early assembly stage, and subsequently segment corners far away from the jacks become the crack-sensitive parts either.

The Trend of Korean Nursing Research with the LISREL (공변량 구조분석을 이용한 국내 간호연구의 동향)

  • 임난영;강현숙;이성은;서연옥;권영은
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.221-231
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    • 2001
  • This study was conducted by analyzing all 33 articles based on the LISREL, published from January 1991 to March 1999 in Korea. The analyses consisted of the publication date of articles, principal dependent variables, subjects of the research, adequacy of sampling, adequacy of research purposes and results, accordance between theoretical model and hypothetical model, fit measures, theoretical base of model modification, and adequacy of conclusion. The results were as follows : . The thesis of 33 articles in total were outnumbered as 25 (75.8%) to 8 (24.2%) research articles. As for a sex classification of the subjects, 45.5% of the research were conducted around a female group of subjects, while 54.5% were done for both sex, The range of the sample size was 105 to 803, and the average was 259 subjects. . A single theoretical variable was measured for each measurement variable, any difference between variables was hardly found in 8 articles (24.2%), and 19 articles (57.6%) did not consider any measurement error. To analyze if the representative has been articles (21.2%) were seen with a sign of a representative. Questionnaires were used in a majority (31 articles) of the data collecting process. Only 2 articles (6.1%) were measured with a physiologic index simultaneously. . 14 articles (42.2%) were centered on theory development, 10 articles on theory synthesis, and 9 articles on theory test. The research purposes and results were consistent in 25 articles (75.5%) and 8 articles (24.2%) were inconsistent. The quality of life and health promotion behavior were the concepts most frequently studied as a dependent variable, and 7 articles centered on them. In applied theories a health promotion model was used on 4 articles (12.1%), while role theory and stress-coping models were in 3 articles respectively. . The articles were analyzed to see if the hypothetical model was elaborated and tested by the theoretical model. Twenty-five articles proved to be rationale for the inconsistencies. Also, 56.5% proposed hypotheses were supported among the subject articles, and 30 articles (90.0%) suggested a revised model. Path coefficient (17 articles) and theoretical adequacy (17 articles) were the standards mostly used. In conclusion, the principal factors were obtained from the research are to be considered as the principes of LISREL application. First, a model has to be established on a theoretical base rather than empirical results dependent on the data. The results are also required to be globally interpreted. Secondly, at least 200 samples are necessary to satisfy the need. Third, more than 3 measurement variables are to be adjusted to a single theoretical variable; the measurement errors must be suggested as well. Finally, normal distribution characteristics of the data and the estimation method need to be reported. Based on the research result, the follows are suggested; . Systematic criteria on the LISREL application and procedure need to be developed . Agreement form is required to report the results of research using the LISREL

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Spatial Selectivity Estimation using Cumulative Wavelet Histograms (누적밀도 웨이블릿 히스토그램을 이용한 공간 선택율 추정)

  • Chi, Jeong-Hee;Jeong, Jae-Hyuk;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.547-557
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of selectivity estimation is to maintain the summary data in a very small memory space and to minimize the error of estimated value and query result. In case of estimating selectivity for large spatial data, the existing works need summary information which reflect spatial data distribution well to get the exact result for query. In order to get such summary information, they require a much memory space. Therefore In this paper, we propose a new technique cumulative density wavelet Histogram, called CDW Histogram, which gets a high accurate selectivity in small memory space. The proposed method is to utilize the sub-histograms created by CD histogram. The each sub-histograms are used to generate the wavelet summary information by applying the wavelet transform. This fact gives us good selectivity even if the memory sire is very small. The experimental results show that the proposed method simultaneously takes full advantage of their strong points - gets a good selectivity using the previous histogram in ($25\%\~50\%$) memory space and is superior to the existing selectivity estimation techniques. The proposed technique can be used to accurately quantify the selectivity of the spatial range query in databases which have very restrictive memory.

Tensile Deformation Characteristics of ECC Predicted with a Modified Fiber Bridging Curve (수정된 섬유 가교 특성을 고려한 ECC의 인장변형특성)

  • Kim, Jeong-Su;Lee, Bang-Yeon;Kim, Jin-Keun;Kim, Yun-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.541-548
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    • 2009
  • A theoretical prediction model of fiber bridging curve was established based on the assumption that fibers are uniformly distributed on the crack surface. However, the distance between fibers and their orientation with respect to crack surface can greatly affect the prediction of fiber bridging curve. Since, the shape of fiber bridging curve is a critical factor for predicting the tensile stress-strain relationship of ECC, it is expected that the assumption of uniform distribution of fiber may cause a significant error when predicting the tensile behavior of ECC. To overcome this shortcoming, a new prediction method of stress-strain relation of ECC is proposed based on the modified fiber bridging curve. Only effective fibers are taken into account considering the effects of their orientation and distance between them. Moreover, the approach for formulating the tensile stress-strain relation is discussed, where a procedure is presented for obtaining important parameters, such as the first crack strength, the peak stress, the displacement at peak stress, tensile strain capacity, and the crack spacing. Subsequent uniaxial tensile tests were performed to validate the proposed method. It was found that the predicted stress-strain relations obtained based on the proposed modified fiber bridging curve exhibited a good agreement with experimental results.

A Basic Study on the Differential Diagnostic System of Laryngeal Diseases using Hierarchical Neural Networks (다단계 신경회로망을 이용한 후두질환 감별진단 시스템의 개발)

  • 전계록;김기련;권순복;예수영;이승진;왕수건
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.197-205
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    • 2002
  • The objectives of this Paper is to implement a diagnostic classifier of differential laryngeal diseases from acoustic signals acquired in a noisy room. For this Purpose, the voice signals of the vowel /a/ were collected from Patients in a soundproof chamber and got mixed with noise. Then, the acoustic Parameters were analyzed, and hierarchical neural networks were applied to the data classification. The classifier had a structure of five-step hierarchical neural networks. The first neural network classified the group into normal and benign or malign laryngeal disease cases. The second network classified the group into normal or benign laryngeal disease cases The following network distinguished polyp. nodule. Palsy from the benign laryngeal cases. Glottic cancer cases were discriminated into T1, T2. T3, T4 by the fourth and fifth networks All the neural networks were based on multilayer perceptron model which classified non-linear Patterns effectively and learned by an error back-propagation algorithm. We chose some acoustic Parameters for classification by investigating the distribution of laryngeal diseases and Pilot classification results of those Parameters derived from MDVP. The classifier was tested by using the chosen parameters to find the optimum ones. Then the networks were improved by including such Pre-Processing steps as linear and z-score transformation. Results showed that 90% of T1, 100% of T2-4 were correctly distinguished. On the other hand. 88.23% of vocal Polyps, 100% of normal cases. vocal nodules. and vocal cord Paralysis were classified from the data collected in a noisy room.

Reconstruction of body contour with digital camera image (Digital Camera의 영상을 이용한 신체 단면도 제작)

  • Kwon, KT;Kim, CM;Kang, TY;Park, CS;Song, HK
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2003
  • I. Purpose It is essential to have the correct body contour information for the calculation of dose distribution. The role of CT images in the radiation oncology field has been increased. But there still exists a method to use cast or lead wire for the body contour drawing. This traditional method has drawbacks such as in accurate and time consuming procedure. This study has been designed to overcome this problem. II. Materials and Methods A digital camera is attached to a pole which stands on the opposite side of the gantry. Positional information was acquired from an image of the phantom which is specially designed for this study and located on the isocenter level of the simulator Laser line on the patients skin or on the phantom surface was digitized and reconstructed as the contour. Verification of usefulness this technique has been done with various shape of phantoms and a patients chest III. Results and Conclusions Contours from the traditional method with the cast or lead wire and the digital image method showed good agreement within experimetal error range. This technique showed more efficiente in time and convenience. For irregular shaped contour, like H&N region, special care are needed. The results suggest that more study is needed. To use of the another photogrammatory techinique with two camera system may be better for the actual clinical application

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Dosimetry and Three Dimensional Planning for Stereotactic Radiosurgery with SIEMENS 6-MV LINAC (6-MV선형가속기를 이용한 입체방사선수술의 선량측정 및 3차원적 치료계획)

  • Choi Dong-Rak;Cho Byong Chul;Suh Tae-Suk;Chung Su Mi;Choi Il Bong;Shinn Kyung Sub
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 1993
  • Radiosurgery requires integral procedure where special devices and computer systems are needed for localization, dose planning and treatment. The aim of this work is to verify the overall mechanical accuracy of our LINAC and develop dose calculation algorithm for LINAC radiosurgery. The alignment of treatment machine and the performance testing of the entire system were extensively carried out and the basic data such as percent depth dose, off-axis ratio and output factor were measured. A three dimensional treatment planning system for stereotactic radiosurgery has been developed. We used an IBM personal computer with C programming language (IBM personal system/2, Model 80386, IBM Co., USA) for calculating the dose distribution. As a result, deviations at isocenter on gantry and table rotation for our treatment machine were acceptable since they were less than 2 mm. According to the phantom experiments, the focusing isocenter were successful by the error of less than 2 mm. Finally, the mechanical accuracy of our three dimensional planning system was confirmed by film dosimetry in sphere phantom.

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