• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical Bayes credibility

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An Estimation of Loss Ratio Based on Empirical Bayes Credibility

  • Lee, Kang Sup;Lee, Hee Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.381-388
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    • 2002
  • It has been pointed out that the classical credibility model used in Korea since the beginning of 1990's lacks in objectiveness. Recently, in order to improve objectiveness, the empirical Bayes credibility model utilizing general exposure units like the number of claims and premium has been employed, but that model itself is not quite applicable in the country like Korea whose annual and classified empirical data are not well accumulated and even varied severely. In this article, we propose a new and better model, Based on the new model, we estimate both credibility and loss ratio of each class for fire insurance plans by Korean insurance companies. As a conclusion, we empirically make sure analysis that the number of claims is a more reasonable exposure unit than premium.

An Empiricla Bayes Estimation of Multivariate nNormal Mean Vector

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1986
  • Assume that $X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_N$ are iid p-dimensional normal random vectors ($p \geq 3$) with unknown covariance matrix. The problem of estimating multivariate normal mean vector in an empirical Bayes situation is considered. Empirical Bayes estimators, obtained by Bayes treatmetn of the covariance matrix, are presented. It is shown that the estimators are minimax, each of which domainates teh maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), when the loss is nonsingular quadratic loss. We also derive approximate credibility region for the mean vector that takes advantage of the fact that the MLE is not the best estimator.

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A study of Bayesian inference on auto insurance credibility application (자동차보험 신뢰도 적용에 대한 베이지안 추론 방식 연구)

  • Kim, Myung Joon;Kim, Yeong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.689-699
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    • 2013
  • This paper studies the partial credibility application method by assuming the empirical prior or noninformative prior informations in auto insurnace business where intensive rating segmentation is expanded because of premium competition. Expanding of rating factor segmetation brings the increase of pricing cells, as a result, the number of cells for partial credibility application will increase correspondingly. This study is trying to suggest more accurate estimation method by considering the Bayesian framework. By using empirically well-known or noninformative information, inducing the proper posterior distribution and applying the Bayes estimate which is minimizing the error loss into the credibility method, we will show the advantage of Bayesian inference by comparison with current approaches. The comparison is implemented with square root rule which is a widely accepted method in insurance business. The convergence level towarding to the true risk will be compared among various approaches. This study introduces the alternative way of redcuing the error to the auto insurance business fields in need of various methods because of more segmentations.