• Journal of IKEEE
• /
• v.23 no.1
• /
• pp.127-133
• /
• 2019

Electric power demand forecasting is one of the important research areas for future smart grid introduction. However, It is difficult to predict because it is affected by many external factors. Traditional methods of forecasting power demand have been limited in making accurate prediction because they use raw power data. In this paper, a probability-based CRBM is proposed to solve the problem of electric power demand prediction using raw power data. The stochastic model is suitable to capture the probabilistic characteristics of electric power data. In order to compare the mid-term power demand forecasting performance of the proposed model, we compared the performance with Recurrent Neural Network(RNN). Performance comparison using electric power data provided by the University of Massachusetts showed that the proposed algorithm results in better performance in mid-term energy demand forecasting.

• Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
• /
• v.19 no.6
• /
• pp.416-421
• /
• 2008

A scheme for predicting the concentration of a glucose solution based on its relative optical absorbance at multiple probe wavelengths was proposed and verified. The relative absorbance at each of the probe wavelength was obtained with respect to the absorbance at a reference wavelength. The single reference wavelength (1310 nm) and a group of four different probe wavelengths (1064, 1550, 1685, 1798 nm) were selected to exhibit the glucose absorbance with opposite signs, thereby enhancing the accuracy of the prediction. The final glucose concentration was estimated by taking the average of the predicted values provided by the four probe wavelengths. The absorbance of the glucose solution for the path length of 5 mm was $-1.42{\times}10^{-6}\;AU$/(mg/dL) at the reference wavelength of 1310 nm and peaked at $+8.12{\times}10^{-6}\;AU$/(mg/dL) at 1685 nm. The concentration of the glucose solution was decently predicted by means of the proposed scheme with the standard error of prediction of ${\sim}28\;mg/dL$. In addition, the influence of the ambient temperature and the fat thickness upon the prediction of the glucose concentration was examined. The absorption change with the temperature was $-9.1{\times}10^{-5}\;AU/^{\circ}C$ in the temperature range of $26{\sim}40^{\circ}C$ at the reference wavelength, and $-2.08{\times}10^{-2}\;AU/^{\circ}C$ at 1550 nm. And the absorption change with respect to the fat thickness was +1.093 AU/mm at the probe wavelength of 1685 nm.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
• /
• v.6 no.3
• /
• pp.375-384
• /
• 2010

Trajectory modeling is foundational for 4D-Route modeling, conflict detection and air traffic flow management. This paper proposes a novel algorithm based Vincenty's fomulas for trajectory calculation, combined with the Dijkstra algorithm and Vincenty's formulas. Using flight plan simulations our experimental results show that our method of En-route trajectory calculation exhibits much improved performance in accuracy.

• Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
• /
• v.37 no.6
• /
• pp.1048-1064
• /
• 2005

Detection of specific compounds influencing food flavor quality is not easy. Electronic nose, comprised of electronic chemical sensors with partial specificity and appropriate pattern recognition system, is capable of recognizing simple and complex volatiles. It provides fast analysis with simple and straightforward results and is best suited for quality control and process monitoring of flavor in food industry. This review examines application of electronic nose in food analysis with brief explanation of its principle. Characteristics of different sensors and sensor drift. and solutions to related problems are reviewed. Applications of electronic nose in food industry include monitoring of fermentation process and lipid oxidation, prediction of shelf life, identification of irradiated volatile compounds, discrimination of food material origin, and quality control of food and processing by principal component analysis and neural network analysis. Electronic nose could be useful for quality control in food industry when correlating analytical instrumental data with sensory evaluation results.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
• /
• v.36 no.7
• /
• pp.553-559
• /
• 2012

It is extremely important to predict the logistics requirements in a scientific and rational way. However, in recent years, the improvement effect on the prediction method is not very significant and the traditional statistical prediction method has the defects of low precision and poor interpretation of the prediction model, which cannot only guarantee the generalization ability of the prediction model theoretically, but also cannot explain the models effectively. Therefore, in combination with the theories of the spatial economics, industrial economics, and neo-classical economics, taking city of Erdos as the research object, the study identifies the leading industry that can produce a large number of cargoes, and further predicts the static logistics generation of the Erdos and hinterlands. By integrating various factors that can affect the regional logistics requirements, this study established a logistics requirements potential model from the aspect of spatial economic principles, and expanded the way of logistics requirements prediction from the single statistical principles to an new area of special and regional economics.

• Korean Journal of Materials Research
• /
• v.33 no.4
• /
• pp.164-174
• /
• 2023

The bandgap characteristics of semiconductor materials are an important factor when utilizing semiconductor materials for various applications. In this study, based on data provided by AFLOW (Automatic-FLOW for Materials Discovery), the bandgap of a semiconductor material was predicted using only the material's compositional features. The compositional features were generated using the python module of 'Pymatgen' and 'Matminer'. Pearson's correlation coefficients (PCC) between the compositional features were calculated and those with a correlation coefficient value larger than 0.95 were removed in order to avoid overfitting. The bandgap prediction performance was compared using the metrics of R² score and root-mean-squared error. By predicting the bandgap with randomforest and xgboost as representatives of the ensemble algorithm, it was found that xgboost gave better results after cross-validation and hyper-parameter tuning. To investigate the effect of compositional feature selection on the bandgap prediction of the machine learning model, the prediction performance was studied according to the number of features based on feature importance methods. It was found that there were no significant changes in prediction performance beyond the appropriate feature. Furthermore, artificial neural networks were employed to compare the prediction performance by adjusting the number of features guided by the PCC values, resulting in the best R² score of 0.811. By comparing and analyzing the bandgap distribution and prediction performance according to the material group containing specific elements (F, N, Yb, Eu, Zn, B, Si, Ge, Fe Al), various information for material design was obtained.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.17 no.9
• /
• pp.2314-2333
• /
• 2023

It is significant to predict the performance degradation of complex electromechanical systems. Among the existing performance degradation prediction models, belief rule base (BRB) is a model that deal with quantitative data and qualitative information with uncertainty. However, when analyzing dynamic systems where observable indicators change frequently over time and working conditions, the traditional belief rule base (BRB) can not adapt to frequent changes in working conditions, such as the prediction of aeroengine performance degradation considering working condition. For the sake of settling this problem, this paper puts forward a new hidden belief rule base (HBRB) prediction method, in which the performance of aeroengines is regarded as hidden behavior, and operating conditions are used as observable indicators of the HBRB model to describe the hidden behavior to solve the problem of performance degradation prediction under different times and operating conditions. The performance degradation prediction case study of turbofan aeroengine simulation experiments proves the advantages of HBRB model, and the results testify the effectiveness and practicability of this method. Furthermore, it is compared with other advanced forecasting methods. The results testify this model can generate better predictions in aspects of accuracy and interpretability.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
• /
• v.16 no.5
• /
• pp.859-866
• /
• 2021

Agricultural Photovoltaic power generation is a new model that installs solar power generation facilities on top of farmland. Through this, it is possible to increase farm household income by producing crops and electricity at the same time. Recently, various attempts have been made to utilize agricultural solar power generation. Agricultural photovoltaic power generation has a disadvantage in that maintenance is relatively difficult because it is installed on a relatively high structure unlike conventional photovoltaic power generation. To solve these problems, intelligent and efficient operation and diagnostic functions are required. In this paper, we discuss the design and implementation of a prediction and diagnosis system to collect and store the power output of agricultural solar power generation facilities and implement an intelligent prediction model. The proposed system predicts the amount of power generation based on the amount of solar power generation and environmental sensor data, determines whether there is an abnormality in the facility, calculates the aging degree of the facility and provides it to the user.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.198-203
• /
• 2020

In this paper, we propose an artificial water level prediction system for small river flood prediction. River level prediction can be a measure to reduce flood damage. However, it is difficult to build a flood model in river because of the inherent nature of the river or rainfall that affects river flooding. In general, the downstream water level is affected by the water level at adjacent upstream. Therefore, in this study, we constructed an artificial intelligence model using Recurrent Neural Network(LSTM) that predicts the water level of downstream with the water level of two upstream points. The proposed artificial intelligence system designed a water level meter and built a server using Nodejs. The proposed neural network hardware system can predict the water level every 6 hours in the real river.

• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
• /
• v.19 no.4
• /
• pp.771-780
• /
• 2024

In this study, we implemented a real-time pest detection and prediction system for a strawberry farm using a computer vision model based on the YOLOv5 architecture and an Isolation Forest Classifier. The model performance evaluation showed that the YOLOv5 model achieved a mean average precision (mAP 0.5) of 78.7%, an accuracy of 92.8%, a recall of 90.0%, and an F1-score of 76%, indicating high predictive performance. This system was designed to be applicable not only to strawberry farms but also to other crops and various environments. Based on data collected from a tomato farm, a new AI model was trained, resulting in a prediction accuracy of over 85% for major diseases such as late blight and yellow leaf curl virus. Compared to the previous model, this represented an improvement of more than 10% in prediction accuracy.