• 제목/요약/키워드: electricity supply strategy

검색결과 32건 처리시간 0.021초

포트폴리오 이론을 활용한 제6차 전력수급기본계획의 신규전원구성 비교 연구 (Portfolio Analysis on the New Power Generation Sources of the Sixth Basic Plan for Long Term Electricity Demand and Supply)

  • 김주한;김진수
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.583-615
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    • 2014
  • 우리나라는 2011년 발생한 순환정전사태를 비롯하여 지난 5년간 급격한 전력소비 증가, 수요 예측 실패에 따른 전력 수급난을 겪고 있다. 또한 일본의 후쿠시마 원전사태와 국제 연료가격 상승, 기술 발전 및 적용 가능한 발전원 증가로 인해 발전 환경의 불확실성이 큰 폭으로 증가하였다. 이러한 대내외적 환경 변화로 인해 안정적 전력공급에 대한 정책적 검토가 필요하게 되었고 신규전원구성에 대한 다양한 논의가 이루어지게 되었다. 실제로 "민관 합동 워킹그룹" 에서는 에너지 기본계획 및 원전 비중 변화, 전원구성에 대한 시나리오 검토를 수행한 바 있다. 이러한 국내외 여건에 따라 본 연구에서는 제6차 전력수급기본계획과 정책 제안 그리고 우리나라의 전력 설비를 고려하여 포트폴리오 이론을 적용, 신규 전원구성 연구를 수행하였다. 본 연구의 전원 구성 결과에 따르면 향후 신재생 발전원의 비용하락과 화석 연료 발전원의 비용이 증가할 경우 신재생 발전원의 비중이 큰 폭으로 증가하며 발전믹스 내 발전원의 다양성이 증가 할 것이라는 결과가 도출되었다. 특히 위험수준(표준편차) 0.06~0.09 사이에서 가장 다양한 발전원을 보유한 효율적 전원구성이 나타남을 확인하였다. 이 밖에 기존 계획안은 효율적 곡선상에 위치하지 않기 때문에 비용-위험 기준에서 보다 개선될 수 있음을 확인하였으며 기존 방법론과 상호 보완적으로 본 연구의 방법론이 활용될 수 있음을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 본 연구 결과를 바탕으로 안정적이고 효율적인 전원믹스 운영을 위해서는 신재생 발전원의 확충과 더불어 전력저장시스템, 에너지관리시스템과 같은 전력 기술 개발 및 인프라 구축이 수반되어야 함을 확인하였다.

PHEV 시장 형성 시 전력망에 미치는 영향 및 최적 충전 제어 전략에 관한 연구 (Study on the Power-Grid Impact and Optimal Charging Control Strategy with PHEV Market Penetration)

  • 노철우;김민수
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제33권4호
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    • pp.278-287
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    • 2009
  • Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle (PHEV) with capability of being recharged from the power-grid will reduce oil consumption. Also, the PHEV will affect the utility operations by adding additional electricity demand for charging. In this research, the power-grid impact by demand of PHEV charging is presented and the optimal charging control strategy for utility operators is proposed with simulated data. The penetration of PHEV is assumed to be 50% in the circumstances of Korean passenger car market and Korean power-grid market limitedly. To obtain smooth load shape and utilize the surplus electricity in power-grid at midnight and dawn, the peak of charging demand should be controlled to be located before 4:00 a.m., and the time slot which can supply the electricity power to PHEV should be allowed between 1:00 a.m.$\sim$7:00 a.m.

송전선 제약조건에 따른 전력거래에서의 시장지배력 연구 (Analysis on Market Power in Power Transaction with Transmission Constraints)

  • 이광호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제51권8호
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    • pp.403-408
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    • 2002
  • As the electricity industry undergoes a process of fundamental restructuring, horizontal market power appears as a potential obstacle to a fully competitive wholesale electricity market. Market power is the ability profitably to maintain prices above competitive levels by restricting output below competitive levels. In models for imperfect competition under the consideration of the transmission constraints, the Nash equilibrium has the form of a mixed strategy. In this paper, the models for analyzing imperfect competition are compared using the solution of pure and mixed equilibria. The relation between market power and the capacity of a transmission line is investigated by imperfect competition analysis methods: Cournot, Bertrand, and Supply Curve model.

가상 전력 도매 시장의 최적 경매 가격 예측 (Estimating Optimized Bidding Price in Virtual Electricity Wholesale Market)

  • 신수진;이세훈;권윤중;차재강;문일철
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권6호
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    • pp.562-576
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    • 2013
  • Power TAC (Power Trading Agent Competition) is an agent-based simulation for competitions between electricity brokering agents on the smart grid. To win the competition, agents obtain electricity from the electricity wholesale market among the power plants. In this operation, a key to success is balancing the demand of the customer and the supply from the plants because any imbalance results in a significant penalty to the brokering agent. Given the bidding on the wholesale market requires the price and the quantity on the electricity, this paper proposes four different price estimation strategies: exponentially moving average, linear regression, fuzzy logic, and support vector regression. Our evaluations with the competition simulation show which strategy is better than which, and which strategy wins in the free-for-all situations. This result is a crucial component in designing an electricity brokering agent in both Power TAC and the real world.

Development of Customer Oriented Load Management Software for Savings on Utility Bills in the Electricity Market

  • Chung, Koo-Hyung;Lee, Chan-Joo;Kim, Jin-Ho;Hur, Don;Kim, Balho-H.;Park, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.42-49
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    • 2007
  • For electricity markets to function in a truly competitive and efficient manner, it is not enough to focus solely on improving the efficiencies of power supply. To recognize price-responsive load as a reliability resource, the customer must be provided with price signals and an instrument to respond to these signals, preferably automatically. This paper attempts to develop the Windows-based load management system in competitive electricity markets, allowing the user to monitor the current energy consumption or billing information, to analyze the historical data, and to implement the consumption strategy for cost savings with nine possible scenarios adopted. Finally, this modeling framework will serve as a template containing the basic concepts that any load management system should address.

Feasibility Analysis of Alternative Electricity Systems by 2030 in the Post-Fukushima Era

  • Park, Nyun-Bae;Lee, Sanghoon;Han, Jin-Yi;Jeon, Eui Chan
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2014
  • The Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011 had an extensive impact on the national electricity plans. This paper outlines alternative electricity scenarios that meet the goals of nuclear phase-out and greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction. This paper also analyzes the results of each scenario in respect to the electricity mix, GHG emissions, costs and employment effects. The Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP) model was used to simulate the annual electricity demand and supply system from 2011 to 2030. The reference year was 2009. Scenarios are reference (where existing plans are continued), A1, A2, B1, B2, and C2 (where the levels of demand management and nuclear phase-out are different). The share of renewable energy in the electricity mix in 2030 for each scenario will be increased from about 1% in 2009 to 8% in the reference scenario and from 11% to 31% in five alternative scenarios. Total cumulative cost increases up to 14% more than the reference scenario by replacing nuclear power plants with renewable energy in alternative scenarios could be affordable. Deploying enough renewable energy to meet such targets requires a roadmap for electricity price realization, expansion of research, development and deployment for renewable energy technologies, establishment of an organization dedicated to renewable energy, and ambitious targets for renewable energy.

Modeling of an Electricity Market Including Operating Reserve and Analysis of Supplier's Bidding Strategies

  • Shin Jae-Hong;Lee Kwang-Ho
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제5A권4호
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    • pp.396-402
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    • 2005
  • In an electricity market with imperfect competition, participants devise bidding plans and transaction strategies to maximize their own profits. The market price and the quantity are concerned with the operation reserve as well as the bidding system and demand curves in an electricity market. This paper presents a market model combined by an energy market and an operating reserve market. The competition of the generation producers in the combined market is formulated as a gaming of selecting bid parameters such as intersections and slopes in bid functions. The Nash Equilibrium (NE) is analyzed by using bi-level optimization; maximization of Social Welfare (SW) and maximization of the producers' profits.

한국의 산업별 전력소비와 경제성장간 인과관계 분석 (An Analysis on the Causal Relation Between Electricity Consumption and GDP by industries in KOREA)

  • 박민혁;노건기;이승은
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2016
  • In these days global energy policy is changed from "supply" to "demand". In this regards, there are needs to analysis on effect of policy such as energy efficiency strategy, electricity rates. This study examines the relationship between energy consumption reduced by new energy policy and GDP growth for each industrial sector for Korea from 1970 to 2013. With respect to the direction of causality, energy use of 1th industry like agriculture and mining leads to GDP growth. On the other hand, GDP growth of 2nd industry, manufacturing, leads to energy use. And there is bidirectional causality in 3rd industry, service sector. These findings imply that the government policies aimed at reducing electricity consumptions and increasing energy efficiency should be progressed cautiously depend on status of each industry condition.

전력(電力)의 수요측(需要側) 관리방안(管理方案) (Demand Side Management in Power System)

  • 강원구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1993년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.45-47
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    • 1993
  • Load Management, is originated from efficiency improvement of energy use, or energy conservaion. Traditionally, electric utilities have constructed new power plants to meet the steadily increasing electricity demand. Power development planning, however, is becoming more difficult in the countries like Korea, Japan, and the United States, and increasing concerns about global environmental problems necessitate changes from existing supply-side options based on fossil-fuel to environmentally agreeable supply strategies. This paper discusses the demand side management strategy with emphasis on the concept, implementation scheme, and current practices employed in utilities.

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미국 전력시장에서의 전력품질의 차별화 전략 검토 (Review for Differentiated Strategy of Power Quality in the U.S.A)

  • 최상봉;김대경;정성환;김호용
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.207-209
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    • 2001
  • Intensive competition in the electricity market and demand for higher quality service force the utilities to change their strategies in setting price and quality combination. As cost-up by homogeneously enhancing the electricity service quality may reduce their competitiveness, differential service is to be taken into consideration. Priority Service, which provides customers with a selection of service options at a range of prices and reliability for all or portions of their loads, has drawn attention from utilities in an increasingly competitive environment. Priority Service is to enlarge service options for customers who have diverse needs for supply reliability. This paper in the light of this point reviews differentiated strategy of power quality in the U.S.A.

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