• Title/Summary/Keyword: election interest

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Study of university students' perceptions on participation in elections via structural equation model - Focusing on K university students (구조방정식모형을 이용한 대학생의 선거 참여 인식 연구 - K대 학생의 예)

  • Choi, Hyun Seok;Kwon, Yunji;Ha, Jeongcheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.379-390
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    • 2013
  • Through the survey of the K university students' perception on participation in elections, we want to find ways to induce a sound political participation and to effectively be able to boost voter turnout. We analyze the relations among image on election, interest in election and will of participation via structural equation model. We found that both image on election and interest in election significantly influence on will of participation in election. Using the last election participation as a moderating variable, we found that image on election has more effects on will of participation for the participants but not for the case of interest in election.

A Study on Correlation of Voting Behavior and Attitude and Vote Intention in the Poll Survey (사전 태도 및 투표 의향과 실제 투표행동간 상관성 연구)

  • Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Deok-Hyun
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2011
  • The purposes of the present study were to analyze correlation of vote behavior and attitude and vote intention in the pre-survey, and to investigate the efficient method of predicting the voting result from the pre-surveys. The previous attitude is measured by the support for the candidate, political self-confidence, self-efficacy and opinion on present issues. The vote intention is surveyed by the past election participation and degree of election interest. Real voting behavior is surveyed by the post enumeration, and the pre-survey and both post-survey are conducted to the same person to analyze the correlation of voting behavior and pre-survey. The real election participation is highly correlated with vote intention, election interest and past election participation. Almost respondents did not change the supporting candidate from the poll survey to the election vote. It is shown that the voting behavior at election of the nonrespondent of pre-survey can be predicted with the demographic charater and attitude of present issues.

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An Analysis of Candidates' Library-field Promise in the Local Election (지방선거 후보자들의 도서관분야 공약 분석)

  • Kim, Sun-Ae
    • Journal of the Korean BIBLIA Society for library and Information Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze whether the promises of library field were, what the promises of candidates were, and whether the content of the promises showed the dissimilar tendency or discrepancy. The starting point of this study was that the library-related issues should be raised in the local election in order that library-related problems in the local area were considered as the policy. The standpoint of this research was based on the notion the library-related problems could be settled if the candidates have an interest in the library field. The range of this research was limited in the election conducted in June 2. 2010. Candidates' promises were collected through a questionnaire, categorized and analyzed by subject. According to the result of analysis, the most candidates had interest in establishing of library infrastructure, on the other hand they had no interest in collection development, library policy, allocation of budget, and job creation for librarian.

A Study on Predicting Presidential Election Results by Analyzing Twitter Message Contents: A Focus on the 18th Presidential Election in Korea (트위터 메시지 분석을 통한 선거 결과 예측 고찰: 18대 대선을 중심으로)

  • Lee, SeoYoung;Kwon, SangJib
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.174-186
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    • 2019
  • Twitter is very popluar with users who desire social interaction as it is a highly effective method of communicating compared to traditional communication platforms; and thus has garnered considerable interest from the academic community. This research reveals how election results can be predicted by the factors of total volume of messages, positive messages and negative messages tweeted about a candidate. Social matrix analysis revealed that the quantity of twitter messages was a strong predictor of election results in the 18th presidential election in Korea. In addition, more positive messages than negative messages about a candidate from twitter users recorded better results in the election. This research found that the total quantity of messages, positive messages, and negative messages as key factors for predicting election result. Future studies should investigate other SNS platforms to discover what is the most effective communication strategy on each platform.

The Nature of Regional Voting and Its Change: Theoretical Issues and Empirical Analyses (지역주의 투표의 특성과 변화: 이론적 쟁점과 경험분석)

  • Moon, Woojin
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.81-111
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    • 2017
  • This article analyzes three major issues related to regional voting in South Korea. First, is regional voting a regional problem or an ideological problem? Second, is regional voting caused by regional identity or regional interest? Third, has regionalism waxed or waned? Analyses of the cumulative data set since the 15th presidential election yield the following results. First, Yongnam people are more conservative than Honam people. Second, regional voting consists of ideological and regional components. Third, there exist both a hometown effect and an abode effect in regional voting, but the latter is significantly greater than the former. Forth, regionalism had weakened between the 15th National Assembly election and the 16th Presidential election, but has not varied much since then.

Specification and Proof of an Election Algorithm in Mobile Ad-hoc Network Systems (모바일 Ad-hoc 네트워크 시스템하에서 선출 알고리즘의 명세 및 증명)

  • Kim, Young-Lan;Kim, Yoon;Park, Sung-Hoon;Han, Hyun-Goo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.950-959
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    • 2010
  • The Election paradigm can be used as a building block in many practical problems such as group communication, atomic commit and replicated data management where a protocol coordinator might be useful. The problem has been widely studied in the research community since one reason for this wide interest is that many distributed protocols need an election protocol. However, mobile ad hoc systems are more prone to failures than conventional distributed systems. Solving election in such an environment requires from a set of mobile nodes to choose a unique node as a leader based on its priority despite failures or disconnections of mobile nodes. In this paper, we describe a solution to the election problem from mobile ad hoc computing systems and it was proved by temporal logic. This solution is based on the Group Membership Detection algorithm.

Design of an Leader Election Protocol in Mobile Ad Hoc Distributed Systems (분산 이동 시스템에서 선출 프로토콜의 설계)

  • Park, Sung-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2008
  • The Election paradigm can be used as a building block in many practical problems such as group communication, atomic commit and replicated data management where a protocol coordinator might be useful. The problem has been widely studied in the research community since one reason for this wide interest is that many distributed protocols need an election protocol. However, despite its usefulness, to our knowledge there is no work that has been devoted to this problem in a mobile ad hoc computing environment. Mobile ad hoc systems are more prone to failures than conventional distributed systems. Solving election in such an environment requires from a set of mobile nodes to choose a unique node as a leader based on its priority despite failures or disconnections of mobile nodes. In this paper, we describe a solution to the election problem from mobile ad hoc computing systems. This solution is based on the Group Membership Detection algorithm.

Impacts of An Election Pledge of Chief 3of Regional Government on the Change of Urban Spatial Structure (자치단체장의 선거공약이 도시공간구조 변화에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Chun-Shick;Lee, Joo-Hyung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.387-405
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    • 2011
  • A local government is not a group under central government, rather it fulfills the function independently as a economic social administrative unit. Belief and role of chief of regional government, and citizen's understanding and interest regarding importance of an election pledge are getting higher. Thus, this study researches election pledges which can be a main variable of urban plan. Especially, the study attempts to analyze impacts of election pledge on urban spatial structure and regional economic structure. When relationship between election pledge and Use Zoninig change were analyzed, the result showed that development related entire use Use Zoninig changes were related with election pledge. When it was subdivided according to each use area, relationship of use area change among election pledge and urban spatial structure found to have relatively high in resident area. In addition, relationship between population factor and election pledge was high. This can be judged as election pledge and urban spatial structure change have relationship. Particularly, sectors related with residents are expected to have high correlation. As a result, pledges regarding general welfare administrative part were a few at areas with many pledges regarding regional economic development. So, it can be classified as regional economic development oriented pledge suggesting area and welfare administrative oriented suggesting area. Through realization of these pledges, it might be able to affect urban spatial structure changes.

Characterization and Detection of Opinion Manipulation on Common Interest Groups in Online Communities (온라인 공간에서 관심집단 대상 비정상 정보의 특징 분석과 탐지)

  • Lee, Sihyung
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2020
  • As more people share their opinions in online communities, such as Internet portals and social networking services, more opinions are manipulated for the benefit of particular individuals and groups. In particular, when manipulations occur for political purposes, they influence election results as well as government policies and the quality of life. This type of manipulation has targeted the general public, and their analysis and detection has also focused on such manipulation. However, to more efficiently spread propaganda, recent manipulations have targeted common interest groups(e.g., a group of those interested in real estate) and propagated information whose content and style are customized to those groups. This work characterizes such manipulations on common interest groups and proposes method to detect manipulations. To this end, we collected and analyzed opinions posted on 10 common interest groups before and after an election. As a result, we found that manipulations on common interest groups indeed occurred and were gradually increasing toward the election date. We also proposed a detection system that examines individual opinions, their authors, and their collaborators. Using the collected opinions, we demonstrated that the proposed system can accurately classify more than 90% of manipulated opinions and that many of these opinions were posted by multiple collaborators. We believe that regular audits of opinions using the proposed system can quickly isolate manipulations and decrease their impact. Moreover, the proposed features can be used to identify manipulations in domains other than politics.

The Macroeconomic Impacts of Korean Elections and Their Future Consequences (선거(選擧)의 거시경제적(巨視經濟的) 충격(衝擊)과 파급효과(波及效果))

  • Shim, Sang-dal;Lee, Hang-yong
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.147-165
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    • 1992
  • This paper analyzes the macroeconomic effects of elections on the Korean economy and their future ramifications. It measures the shocks to the Korean economy caused by elections by taking the average of sample forecast errors from four major elections held in the 1980s. The seven variables' Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model which includes the Monetary Base, Industrial Production, Consumption, Consumer Price, Exports, and Investment is based on the quarterly time series data starting from 1970 and is updated every quarter before forecasts are made for the next quarter. Because of this updating of coefficients, which reflects in part the rapid structural changes of the Korean economy, this study can capture the shock effect of elections, which is not possible when using election dummies with a fixed coefficient model. In past elections, especially the elections held in the 1980s, $M_2$ did not show any particular movement, but the currency and base money increased during the quarter of the election was held and the increment was partly recalled in the next quarter. The liquidity of interest rates as measured by corporate bond yields fell during the quarter the election and then rose in the following quarter, which is somewhat contrary to the general concern that interest rates will increase during election periods. Manufacturing employment fell in the quarter of the election because workers turned into campaigners. This decline in employment combined with voting holiday produce a sizeable decline in industrial production during the quarter in which elections are held, but production catches up in the next quarter and sometimes more than offsets the disruption caused during the election quarter. The major shocks to price occur in the previous quarter, reflecting the expectational effect and the relaxation of government price control before the election when we simulate the impulse responses of the VAR model, imposing the same shocks that was measured in the past elections for each election to be held in 1992 and assuming that the elections in 1992 will affect the economy in the same manner as in the 1980s elections, 1992 is expected to see a sizeable increase in monetary base due to election and prices increase pressure will be amplified substantially. On the other hand, the consumption increase due to election is expected to be relatively small and the production will not decrease. Despite increased liquidity, a large portion of liquidity in circulation being used as election funds will distort the flow of funds and aggravate the fund shortage causing investments in plant and equipment and construction activities to stagnate. These effects will be greatly amplified if elections for the head of local government are going to be held this year. If mayoral and gubernatorial elections are held after National Assembly elections, their effect on prices and investment will be approximately double what they normally will have been have only congressional and presidential elections been held. Even when mayoral and gubernatorial elections are held at the same time as congressional elections, the elections of local government heads are shown to add substantial effects to the economy for the year. The above results are based on the assumption that this year's elections will shock the economy in the same manner as in past elections. However, elections in consecutive quarters do not give the economy a chance to pause and recuperate from past elections. This year's elections may have greater effects on prices and production than shown in the model's simulations because campaigners' return to industry may be delayed. Therefore, we may not see a rapid recall of money after elections. In view of the surge in the monetary base and price escalation in the periods before and after elections, economic management in 1992 should place its first priority on controlling the monetary aggregate, in particular, stabilizing the growth of the monetary base.

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