• 제목/요약/키워드: economic impact analysis

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Quantitative Hazard Analysis of Information Systems Using Probabilistic Risk Analysis Method

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Kim, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2009
  • Hazard analysis identifies probability to hazard occurrence and its potential impact on business processes operated in organizations. This paper illustrates a quantitative approach of hazard analysis of information systems by measuring the degree of hazard to information systems using probabilistic risk analysis and activity based costing technique. Specifically the research model projects probability of occurrence by PRA and economic loss by ABC under each identified hazard. To verify the model, each computerized subsystem which is called a business process and hazards occurred on information systems are gathered through one private organization. The loss impact of a hazard occurrence is produced by multiplying probability by the economic loss.

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Knowledge Capital in Economic Growth: A Panel Analysis of 120 Countries

  • Lim, Dong-Geon;Jung, Jin Hwa
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.94-110
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    • 2017
  • This paper approaches knowledge capital as social infrastructure and analyzes its impact on economic growth. To this end, we constructed a panel dataset for 120 countries for the years 2000-2014 and estimated the economic growth function using the panel analysis. As proxies for knowledge capital, we used the R&D expenditure per capita and the number of patent applications per thousand people in each country, both measured in stock. Economic growth was measured in terms of real GDP per capita and real value added per capita at the industry level. The empirical findings demonstrate that knowledge capital accumulated in a society significantly promotes economic growth. Especially R&D stock increases real value added per capita in all industries-not only manufacturing, but also services and agriculture-implying substantial inter-industry spillover effects. The findings of this study suggest that knowledge capital boosts economic growth as core social infrastructure.

안동국제탈춤페스티벌의 경제적 파급효과 분석 -지역산업연관모델을 중심으로- (Economic Impact of Andong Maskdance Festival -using Regional Input-Output Model-)

  • 이지석
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.371-378
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 지역축제가 지역경제 활성화에 큰 기여를 한다는 인식이 확산되고 있는 시점에, 산업연관모델을 이용하여 '2008 안동국제탈춤페스티벌'의 경제적 파급효과를 분석하였다. 지역축제의 총 경제성 분석을 위해 한국은행(2009)에서 직접조사를 통해 작성한 '지역산업연관표'를 사용하여 산업승수(생산유발계수, 수입유발계수, 부가가치유발계수)를 도출하였다. 산업연관모델을 이용하여 2008 안동국제탈춤페스티벌 개최로 안동지역에 미치는 총 경제적 파급효과를 분석한 결과, 축제기간중 방문객의 총 지출액인 237억 5천만원이 지역경제에 미치는 생산유발효과는 309억 6천만원으로 평가되었고, 수입유발효과는 158억원, 부가가치유발효과는 143억 1천만원으로 나타났다. 그리고 안동국제탈춤페스티벌은 보편적인 문화유산인 '탈'이라는 컨셉을 잘 살린 축제기획으로 평가되고 있으며, 이러한 지역축제의 경제적 파급효과 분석은 지역축제를 기획하는 지방자치단체에게 의미 있는 시사점을 줄 것이다.

영향경로해석을 이용한 수원시 가상 점오염원의 외부비용 예측 - 수원시와 파리시 비교분석을 중심으로 - (External cost Forecasting of Virtual Point Source in Suwon Area Using Impact Pathway Analysis - A Comparison of Suwon to Paris -)

  • 정상진
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제14권5호
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 2005
  • Impact pathway analysis(IPA) is a bottom-up approach to estimates health and environmental risks from emissions of classical pollutants (eg. $PM_{10}$, $SO_2$, $NO_x$ and CO). The model starts from the emission rates of facility, calculates the yearly mean concentrations of pollutants at the ground level using atmospheric dispersion models. After this, proper epidemiological exposure-response functions are applied to determine the impact on the receptors. Finally the methodology can monetise the calculated physical impact on the basis of selected economic evaluation. The aim of this study is to evaluate an external cost of virtual point source in Suwon area using IPA. The results shows minor modification of local input data can make it possible to apply the model to Suwon area.

Business Cycle and Occupational Accidents in Korea

  • Kim, Dong Koo;Park, Sunyoung
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.314-321
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    • 2020
  • Background: Occupational accidents occur for a variety of reasons, such as unsafe behaviors of workers and insufficient safety equipment at the workplace, but there are also various economic and social factors that can impact working conditions and working environment. This study analyzed the relationship between changes in economic factors and the occurrence of occupational accidents in Korea. Methods: Multilinear regression analysis was used as the analysis model. The general to specific method was also used, which consecutively removes statistically insignificant variables from a general model that includes dependent variables and lagged variables of dependent variables. Results: The frequency of occupational accidents was found to have a statistically significant relationship to economic indicators. The monthly number of cases of occupational injury and disease and fatal occupational injuries were found to be closely related to manufacturing capacity utilization, differences in the production index in the services sector, and commencements of building construction. The increase in equipment investment indicators was found to reduce fatal occupational injuries. Conclusion: The results of this study may be used to develop occupational accident trends or leading indicators, which in turn can be used by organizations that manage and monitor occupational accidents toward taking administrative action designed to reduce occupational accidents. The results also imply that short-term and mid- to long-term economic and social changes that can impact workers, workplaces and working conditions, and workplace organizations must be taken into account if more effective government policies are to be established and implemented toward further prevention of occupational accidents.

Impact of Renminbi Exchange Rate Fluctuations on China's Import and Export Trade: An Analysis Based on Data from Five ASEAN Countries

  • Renhong WU;Yuantao FANG;Md. Alamgir HOSSAIN
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: In the era of global economic integration, China's doors of openness have widened, leading to increasingly frequent economic and trade exchanges between countries. Exchange rates, as a crucial economic lever for regulating foreign markets, play a vital role in the balanced development of a nation's international trade. Therefore, the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and foreign trade has garnered widespread attention. Research design, data and methodology: This study utilizes import and export trade data between China and five ASEAN countries from 1998 to 2019. It employs regression analysis to examine the specific impact of the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi on China's import and export trade with these ASEAN nations. Results: The empirical analysis yields the following conclusions: Firstly, the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi exhibits a long-term stable relationship with China's import and export trade with the five ASEAN countries. Renminbi appreciation contributes to an increase in export trade volume but is detrimental to import trade. While this conclusion may deviate from classical trade theories, it aligns with the practical realities of China's foreign trade. Secondly, the coefficients before Gross Domestic Product (GDP) all display positive values, indicating that the growth of total economic demand has a stimulating effect on China's import and export trade.

Economic Impacts of a Possible South Korea-Malaysia FTA on Trade

  • Kim, Yoomi
    • 수완나부미
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.255-275
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    • 2023
  • Trade between South Korea and Malaysia has been steadily increasing since the conclusion of the multilateral Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and South Korea. Bilateral FTAs such as Singapore-South Korea, Vietnam-South Korea, and Indonesia-South Korea came into effect to enhance the economic cooperation between South Korea and major ASEAN countries. However, the bilateral FTA between South Korea and Malaysia, known as Republic of Korea-Malaysia FTA, is still under negotiation. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the economic impact of a possible FTA between these two countries. To examine the economic effects of bilateral FTAs, this study analyzes the trade structure and change in the value of trade between Malaysia and South Korea using panel data analysis. Two significant findings were identified by the analysis. First, the Republic of Korea-Malaysia FTA is expected to promote trade and have a positive effect on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of South Korea. Second, the result of the calculated price elasticity based on substituting figures such as tariff, demand elasticity, and export value is that the value of manufacturing exports is expected to considerably get an increase. Therefore, an early FTA between South Korea and Malaysia would be beneficial for both national economies.

Citizens' Perceptions of the Smart City Distribution Strategy and Its Impact on Quality of Life: A Generational Perspective

  • Yooncheong CHO;Jooyeol MAENG
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.115-126
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aims to explore the citizens' perceptions of the smart city distribution strategy and its impact on quality of life, classifying generations into two groups: Generation X with Baby Boomers, and Millennials with Generation Z. This study formulated research questionsto explore how both generational groups perceive the impact of smart city experience, government's role, technology development, economic, social, and environmental factors, and institutional improvement on quality of life. Additionally, this study explored the influence of quality of life on city evaluation, life satisfaction, and the expected growth of the city. Research design, data and methodology: This study employed an online survey conducted by well-known research organization. This study utilized factor and regression analysis for data analysis. Results: This study revealed that the impact of smart city experience, technology development and social value on quality of life demonstrated significance in both generational groups. Additionally, the study identified significant results regarding the influence of quality of life on city evaluation, life satisfaction, and the expected growth of the city. Conclusions: The findings suggest that, for the development of smart cities, stakeholders should particularly consider economic value and environment aspects, as these factors ultimately impact on quality of life.

Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in SAARC Countries

  • Erum, Naila;Hussain, Shahzad;Yousaf, Abida
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2016
  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays a vital role in economic growth of the countries. The present study analyses the impact of the FDI on economic growth of South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation countries by using the pooled data for the period 1990-2014. Neo-classical production function has been used for analysis and getting stock-to-flow estimation, Taylor series approximation has applied. Fixed Effects Model has been used to investigate the impact of FDI, domestic capital, labour and government expenditures on economic growth. It is the evident from the results that both domestic investment and FDI have been a positive effect on economic growth. The study finds that the contribution of domestic private investment is more trustworthy than the contribution of FDI. Consequently, FDI loses its attraction as an engine of growth if the adverse balance of payment consequence of the resulting profit repatriating is also taken into account. The labour has positive and significant association with GDP. The effect of government expenditure is negligible on economic growth. The findings suggest that growth strategy cannot yield the long term benefits if it neglects investments on human capital.

Impulse Response of Inflation to Economic Growth Dynamics: VAR Model Analysis

  • DINH, Doan Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.219-228
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    • 2020
  • The study investigates the impact of inflation rate on economic growth to find the best-fit model for economic growth in Vietnam. The study applied Vector Autoregressive (VAR), cointegration models, and unit root test for the time-series data from 1996 to 2018 to test the inflation impact on the economic growth in the short and long term. The study showed that the two variables are stationary at lag first difference I(1) with 1%, 5% and 10%; trace test indicates two cointegrating equations at the 0.05 level, the INF does not granger cause GDP, the optimal lag I(1) and the variables are closely related as R2 is 72%. It finds that the VAR model's results are the basis to perform economic growth; besides, the inflation rate is positively related to economic growth. The results support the monetary policy. This study identifies issues for Government to consider: have a comprehensive solution among macroeconomic policies, monetary policy, fiscal policy and other policies to control and maintain the inflation and stimulate growth; set a priority goal for sustainable economic growth; not pursue economic growth by maintaining the inflation rate in the long term, but take appropriate measures to stabilize the inflation at the best-fitted VAR forecast model.