• Title/Summary/Keyword: economic analysis model

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A Study on the Direction of Domestic Sharing Economy through Comparative Analysis of Domestic and Overseas Business Cases (국내 및 해외 비즈니스 사례 비교 분석을 통한 국내 공유경제 비즈니스 발전 방향 연구)

  • Won, Jong Byeok;Baek, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.106-115
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    • 2019
  • A sharing economy has emerged through today's trust-building mechanisms, and a sharing economy is called a future economic model through a positive future market prospect. In this context, while the overseas sharing economic business is becoming a global trend, the domestic sharing economic business is busy following the global trend. The purpose of this study is to investigate the development direction of sharing economic business in Korea. First, the sharing economic cases of 50 oversea and domestic businesses were analyzed by time series analysis. Next, a cross-country analysis to analyze the business distribution and KCERN's sharing economic model through sharing economic cube model was conducted. Finally, profit model analysis through business case study and the relationship between the derived factors were investigated. As a result of the analysis, this study found comparative trends between overseas and domestic including differences in cultural and institutional environments and profit models. This study suggested directions for domestic sharing economy business.

A Study on Consumer Sentiment Index Analysis and Prediction Using ARMA Model (ARMA모형을 이용한 소비자 심리지수 분석과 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dongha
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of the Consumer sentiment index survey is to determine the consumer's economic situation and consumption spending plan, and it is used as basic data for diagnosing economic phenomena and forecasting the future economic direction. The purpose of this paper is to analyze and predict the future Consumer sentiment index using the ARMA model based on the past consumer index. Consumer sentiment index is determined according to consumer trends, so it can reflect consumer realities. The consumer sentiment index is greatly influenced by economic indicators such as the base interest rate and consumer price index, as well as various external economic factors. If the consumer sentiment index, which fluctuates greatly due to consumer economic conditions, can be predicted, it will be useful information for households, businesses, and policy authorities. This study predicted the Consumer sentiment index for the next 3 years (36 months in total) by using time series analysis using the ARMA model. As a result of the analysis, it shows a characteristic of repeating an increase or a decrease every month according to the consumer trend. This study provides empirical results of prediction of Consumer sentiment index through statistical techniques, and has a contribution to raising the need for policy authorities to prepare flexible operating policies in line with economic trends.

Analysis of Economic Lifespan for Replacement Policy of Container Ship using Fuzzy Interval Numbers

  • Jang, Woon-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2011
  • This study determined the ship replacement life expectancy from an economic perspective. There are many ambiguities in the cost for calculation of economic lifespan, and these were expressed as fuzzy numbers. Also, a fuzzy cost model using fuzzy numbers was developed and suggested as a more practical analysis method than the existing cost model. And the suggested fuzzy model was used to determine the economic lifespan for various types of container ships. As the result, Without fuzziness, the economic lifespan of 5000 TEU Ships was found to be 19 years. it was found that the greater the container ship, the greater the economic lifespan was.

An MCDM-Based Integrated Economic Analysis Model for the New Telecommunication Services (다기준 의사결정기법을 활용한 신규통신 서비스의 총체적 사업성 분석)

  • Chang, Haeng-Gorn;Choi, Sang-Hyun;Choi, Yong-Sun;Kim, Soung-Hie
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 1992
  • In this study, an integrated economic analysis model to analyze the new telecommunication services is developed. This model considers both the technological and managerial aspests altogether with respect to the profit and public benefit criteria. To encounter the various dynamically changing environments and evaluation criteria, multiple criteria decision making (MCDM)techniques are employed. The model consists of three stages; The first stage surveys related formal or informal data, generates analysis alternatives, and performs acceptabillty test in view of marketing. The second stage generates executive alternatives for each acceptable analysis alternative and checks the executionability in view of telecommunication technologies. The third stage performs the final integrated economic analysis including the profitability analysis. This study offers a basis for the future development of decision support system or expert system on the economic analysis of the new telecommunication services.

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Economic Analysis of Wastewater Reuse Systems for Agricultural Irrigation using a System Dynamics Approach (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 농업용수 재이용시스템 경제성 분석)

  • Jeong, Han Seok;Suh, Kyo;Jang, Tae Il;Seong, Choung Hyun;Kim, Hak Kwan;Park, Seung Woo
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2013
  • Many studies have reported additional treatment is needed to use wastewater for agricultural purpose. Economic considerations should be taken into account to establish infrastructure for agricultural reuse because of a large amount of water use in irrigation and relatively low water quality requirement. The objective of this study was to conduct economic analysis of wastewater reclamation and reuse systems for agriculture. A system dynamics approach considering complexity and dynamics in the wastewater reuse systems was used for the economic analysis, which are related with social, environmental, and economic problems. Sensitivity and benefit cost analysis for wastewater reuse systems was conducted through the established economic assessment model. The result of sensitivity analysis showed that water resources development and installation cost were the most sensitive for total benefits and costs, respectively. The scenario-based test of the organized economic assessment model shows marginal cost ranges and enables decision-makers to decide reasonable cost for the wastewater reuse systems for agriculture.

Economic Analysis of an Internet Portal, 'NANOIN'

  • Kim, Heung-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.117-125
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    • 2016
  • In this research, economic analysis of Integrated Information System for Nano-convergence Industy (hereafter 'NANOIN'), which was developed and has been in operation by Organization of Nano-convergence Industrial Cooperation, is conducted. For this purpose, the research has been carried out in the following order. First, NANOIN user's maximum willingness-to-pay is estimated using contingent valuation method, the number for NANOIN users is estimated using Bass Diffusion Model, and annual benefit from NANOIN is estimated. Next, annual cost from NANOIN is estimated using annual budget for NANOIN related planned activities. Finally, economic value of NANOIN is evaluated using economic analysis applied to the estimated annual NANOIN benefit and cost. From the economic analysis, it is found that NANOIN has some economic value. It is expected that the procedures suggested in this research can help to systematically evaluate economic value for public goods which have not only uncertain benefit from user's side but also uncertain demand just like NANOIN.

An Analysis of the Economic effect on Free Trade Agreement between Korea and China through the Computable General Equilibrium model (일반균형분석을 통한 한.중 자유무역협정의 경제적 효과와 추진 타당성 고찰)

  • Park, Do-Joon
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.313-331
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    • 2007
  • In a rapidly changing environment of international trade, the purpose of this study is to examine economic benefits and losses of each country involved in the negotiation on the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in Northeast Asia and to prepare strategies for the negotiation in the FTA between Korea and China. Previous researches on FTA have been made mainly from the macroeconomic perspective. The approach in this study is a combination of regulatory, reviewing regulations, and economic making quantitative analysis of the economic effects of FTA, which are the basic background of FTA. In economic analysis, I estimated the macroscopic economic effects of FTA by examining the effects of FTA on the trade balance, GDP and production of focal countries through the Computable General Equilibrium(CGE) model using GTAP data set.

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A Study on Economic Evaluation of SNG Project using Real Option Valuation Model (실물옵션을 이용한 SNG 사업투자의 경제성 평가 연구)

  • Kang, Seung Jin;Hong, Jin Pyo
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.319-335
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    • 2014
  • This study attempts to suggest an economic analysis model for SNG projects, which can reflect the future uncertainty objectively and applies the real option valuation incorporating the flexible investment decision. Based on this analysis model, net present value and internal rate of return were estimated by using preliminary feasibility study report of SNG project. And economic evaluation of SNG project was performed with real option valuation using binomial option model. Through this, the difference of analysis results between the real option valuation model and the discounted cash flow model were compared and the usefulness of the real option valuation model was confirmed. From the actual proof analysis, it is confirmed that the real option valuation model showed higher SNG project value than the discounted cash flow model did. It was confirmed that by applying the real option valuation model, economic analysis can be performed on not only the current straightforward SNG project, but also various future portfolios having options such as expansion, modification, or decommission.

The Economic Effect of Besides Fisheries Profit and Input-Output Analysis: ocused on the Tae-an Trial Sea Farm Project (어업 외 투자효과 및 투입산출분석 : 태안시범바다목장사업을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jong-Du
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 2015
  • This paper is to estimate the economic effect of benefits of the R&D and recreational fishing as well as input-output analysis in the Tae-an Trial Sea Farm Project(TTSFP). We use B/C model to indicate the effects of economic valuation. B/C analyses model consists of Benefit Cost Ratio(BCR), Net Present Value(NPV) and Internal Ration of Return(IRR). Using 5.5% discounting rates and the survey data, the sub-models show economically feasible in the all of analysis and analyzed the results as follows. NPV is 42,147 million won, BCR is 3.29 and IRR is 34.30%. This study attempts to apply input-output(I-O) analysis in connecting the economic effect of TTSFP. I-O model was constructed, focusing on three effects; the production-inducing effect, the value-added-inducing effect and employment-inducing effect. There are positive effects on economic value and job creation in Tae-an and Nation.

Development of Heat Exchanger Production Model Based on the Microlamination Technology and Estimation of its Economic Efficiency (마이크로 적층기술을 이용한 열교환기 생산모델 개발과 경제성 평가)

  • Ryuh, Beom-Sahng;Kim, Jae-Hee;Park, Sang-Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.97-103
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    • 2006
  • The development of a heat exchanger production model based on the microlamination technology and it's economic efficiency is addressed. A microchannel production model is proposed for the high-volume production. The microlamination system is made up of lamina patterning, laminae sorting and laminae bonding. A cost estimation model is developed based on the hewn cycle time and capital equipment costs. An economic efficiency analysis is performed to determine the cost drivers under the different market and product scenarios. The result of the economic efficiency analysis indicated that the device size and the production rate have a great effect on the overall manufacturing cost of microlamination devices. And it can be concluded that the microlamination should focus on bonding larger laminae and reducing both cycle time and warpage.