• 제목/요약/키워드: econometric analysis

검색결과 153건 처리시간 0.027초

특허 시스템의 정량 분석을 위한 시스템 다이내믹스 모형 (A System Dynamics Model for Quantitative Analysis of Patent Systems)

  • 윤민호
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, a system dynamics model for explaining the application, grant and maintenance of patents is provided. Existing literatures regarding the patent application system are mostly econometric approaches that consider only economic variables such as GDP and R&D. The model in this paper includes patent variables such as disputes as well as economic variables. Moreover, we show that the model can be used in not only a quantitative prediction but also policy experiment. The results of the policy experiment shows that strengthening protection of patents tend to increase the propensity to patent more than R&D investment.

기초연구지수의 작성과 국제비교 (Measuring Basic Research Capacity Index and International Comparison)

  • 송충한
    • 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국기술혁신학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회:발표자료
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    • pp.473-492
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents an econometric model for measuring basic research capacity index(BRCI) of each OECD countries and analyses the gap in terms of time lag measured and forecasted in connection with factor analysis and BRCI progress function. Based on the analysis, gross domestic expenditure on R&D(GERD), total R&D personnel, higher education expenditure on R&D(HERD) and number of science and technical papers based on SCI are more effective than other factors to BRCI. Also, BRCI progress function shows that 29 years is needed for Korea to catch up the level of German's BRCI of year 1998. But, it's impossible for Korea to catch up US and Japan. Therefore, with restricted scientific resources, Korea's own strategy for strengthening basic research capacity is going to be more important in 21st century.

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Innovation Height and Firm Performance: An Empirical Analysis from the Community Innovation Survey

  • ISOGAWA, DAIYA;NISHIKAWA, KOHEI;OHASHI, HIROSHI
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.44-72
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    • 2015
  • This study evaluates the economic impact of product innovation by using firm-level data from the Community Innovation Survey conducted in Japan. It accounts for possible technological spillover from innovation activities and examines the extent to which new-to-market product innovations contribute to firm performance. Econometric analysis using a simultaneous equation model reveals that new-to-market product innovation is likely to increase a firm's sales without cannibalizing those of existing products and generate more technological spillover to other firms. Moreover, such innovation is more likely to emerge from firms collaborating with academic institutions. The paper concludes by discussing policy implications of these findings as well as points to the importance of cross-country comparison between Korea and Japan.

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Factors Affecting Firm Performance: A Case Study of the Construction and Real Estate Sector in Vietnam

  • HA, Ho Nguyen Phi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.307-314
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    • 2022
  • The construction and real estate industries contribute significantly to each country's economic development. Strong construction and real estate firms will contribute more to the country's GDP by contributing to the industry's development. The purpose of this study is to examine the factors that influence the performance of the construction and real estate sectors in Vietnam. A survey of 200 construction and real estate firms in different areas was conducted from 2020 until the end of 2021. Following the removal of errors, the author got 196 replies, 6 of which were invalid, leaving 190 votes for quantitative analysis. The research findings show that elements such as (1) senior executives' commitment to the organization, and (2) the ability to use technology have a positive and significant impact on firm performance when using advanced econometric analysis. Furthermore, in the case of Hanoi, Vietnam, business relationships have a positive impact on firm performance. Training and development, as well as the working environment and incentives, have little effect on the profitability of construction and real estate firms. Finally, the research also has some recommendations and limitations for the construction and real estate sector.

Riding a Bike Not Owned by Me in Bad Air: Big Data Analysis on Bike Sharing

  • Taekyung Kim
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.414-427
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    • 2019
  • The sharing economy has significantly changed the way of living for years. The emergence and expansion of sharing economy empowered by the mobile information technologies and intellectual algorithms reconfigure how people use transportation means. In this paper, the bike sharing phenomenon is highlighted. Combining a big data set provided by the Seoul government about user logs and air quality data set, the empirical findings reveal that temperature change is tightly associated bike sharing activities. Also, the concentration of particulate matter is weakly related to bike sharing, but the trend should be carefully examined. By considering external environmental factors to bike sharing businesses, this work is differentiated. To further understand empirical data, data mining methods and econometric approaches were adopted.

서울시 서초구의 클러스터경쟁력 분석에 관한 연구: 양재 R&D 클러스터 조성을 중심으로 (A study on the competitiveness and analysis of research and development cluster in Seoul Seocho region - competitiveness and potential infra of Yangjae R&D cluster)

  • 김용환;임희정;최영석;김인중
    • 산업클러스터
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.14-50
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    • 2010
  • 서울시 서초구 산업클러스터 경쟁력을 분석하기 위해 계량분석과 역량분석을 실시하였다. 사업체수, 종사자수, GRDP 추계(전국, 서울시, 서초구, 양재동) 등 주요 산업경제지표를 계량분석하였고 LQ지수를 통한 클러스터 집적도를 연도별로 분석하였다. 서초구와 양재동 R&D 클러스터의 산업별 특징을 분석하였고 R&D 관련 산업구조 분석을 하였다. 그리고 입지여건, 비즈니스 여건, 산업잠재력의 역량을 SWOT 분석하였다. 연구분석한 자료를 종합적으로 분석하여 보면 다음과 같은 결론을 제시할 수 있다. 서초구 및 양재지역은 국내 최고의 R&D 클러스터의 인프라와 산업발전 역량을 보유하고 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 첫째, 서초와 양재지역은 R&D 관련 산업과 인력인프라가 매우 우수한 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, R&D 관련 산업의 발전 잠재력 분석에서도 우수한 것으로 분석결과로 나타났다. 이는 서울시 4대전략산업의 R&D 관련 산업과도 가치사슬로 잘 연계되어 있다. 서초구 및 양재지역은 국내 최고의 R&D 클러스터의 인프라와 산업발전 역량을 보유하고 있다. 셋째, R&D 관련 산업 연구자수 발전잠재력 분석에서도 양재지역이 우수한 것으로 나타났다.

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TAC 어종의 어획량 분석을 통한 TAC 제도의 효과 분석 (An Analysis of the Effects in the TAC System by Analyzing Catch of TAC Target Species)

  • 심성현;이정삼;오서연
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제42권2호
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to analyze the effect of total allowable catches (TACs) on the target species. First to effects analyse of TACs, the 8 TAC target species and 75 non-target species were selected for which catch data were available before and after the introduction of the TACs. The 8 target species were simply compared to catch changes before and after TACs. Through the comparison, it was confirmed how the catches of target fishes have changed after the implementation of the TACs. Secondly, the Difference In Differences(DID) analysis was conducted to confirm the effects of the TACs on the catches of the target fishes using the catch data of 8 TAC target species and 75 non-TAC species. Finally, to overcome the limitations of the DID analysis, the random effects model was estimated to confirm the effects of the TACs on the catch of the TAC target species. Overall, this study confirmed that the TACs affects catches of target species, not only through simple comparisons of catches before and after the introduction of the TACs but also through econometric analysis.

A Macro Analysis of Tourist Arrival in Nepal

  • PAUDEL, Tulsi;DHAKAL, Thakur;LI, Wen Ya;KIM, Yeong Gug
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2021
  • The number of tourists visiting Nepal has shown rapid growth in recent years, and Nepal is expecting more tourist arrivals in the future. This paper, thus, attempts to analyze the tourist arrivals in Nepal and predict the number of visitors until 2025. This paper has examined the international tourist arrival trend in Nepal using the Gompertz and Logistic growth model. The international tourist arrival data from 1991 to 2018 is used to investigate international tourist arrival trends. The result of the analysis found that the Gompertz model performs a better fit than the Logistic model. The study further forecast the expected tourist arrival below one million (844,319) by 2025. Nevertheless, the government of Nepal has the goal of two million tourists in a year. The present study also discusses system dynamics scenarios for the two million potential visitors within a year. Scenario analysis shows that proper advertisement and positive word-of-mouth will be key factors in achieving a higher number of tourists. The current study could fill the gap of theoretical and empirical forecasting of tourist arrivals in the Nepalese tourism industry. Also, the study findings would be beneficial for government officers, planners and investors, and policy-makers in the Nepalese tourism industry.

Distribution of Competitiveness of Copper Industry: The Case of Kazakhstan

  • Arsen TLEPPAYEV;Saule ZEINOLLA;Saltanat ABISHOVA;Bekzat RISHAT
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of the research is identified factors influencing the competitiveness of the copper industry in Kazakhstan. Research design, data and methodology: A few studies are dedicated to the analysis in developing countries, particularly Kazakhstan. The algorithm was chosen for research provision: statistical and comparative analysis, correlation, and regression analysis. The data of 1999-2021 obtained from the World Bank, Bureau of National Statistics, National Bank of Kazakhstan. Results: The obtained results demonstrate the trends in the development of the industry since 2000. The development of the copper industry is strongly influenced by the distribution and state of the business environment, economic situation, and trends in the global commodity markets. Conclusions: According to econometric modeling, there is a correlation between the profitability of the copper industry, GDP, copper prices, liquidity, and energy resource prices. Trends in global commodity and energy markets have a significant impact on the state of the industry. Further research should be conducted to include an analysis and forecast of internal factors that may affect the development of the industry, such as copper reserves, condition of fixed assets, government programs, etc. It is also important to examine the correlation with the trends in the development of the global green economy and the revival of the Chinese market.

Unbiasedness or Statistical Efficiency: Comparison between One-stage Tobit of MLE and Two-step Tobit of OLS

  • Park, Sun-Young
    • International Journal of Human Ecology
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2003
  • This paper tried to construct statistical and econometric models on the basis of economic theory in order to discuss the issue of statistical efficiency and unbiasedness including the sample selection bias correcting problem. Comparative analytical tool were one stage Tobit of Maximum Likelihood estimation and Heckman's two-step Tobit of Ordinary Least Squares. The results showed that the adequacy of model for the analysis on demand and choice, we believe that there is no big difference in explanatory variables between the first selection model and the second linear probability model. Since the Lambda, the self- selectivity correction factor, in the Type II Tobit is not statistically significant, there is no self-selectivity in the Type II Tobit model, indicating that Type I Tobit model would give us better explanation in the demand for and choice which is less complicated statistical method rather than type II model.