• 제목/요약/키워드: earthquake loss estimation methodology

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액상화.영구지반변형을 고려한 지중매설관로의 지진피해 평가 (Earthquake Loss Estimation of Buried Pipeline Considering Permanent Ground Deformation due to Liquefaction)

  • 김태욱;임윤묵;김문겸
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a prototype model of earthquake loss estimation method will be proposed for the quantitative and qualitative damage evaluation of buried pipeline subjected to Permanent Ground Deformation(PGD) due to liquefaction. With this objective, domestic and foreign status of the arts related with earthquake loss estimation method is summarized at first. Domestic development of computer aided earthquake loss estimation method seems to be difficult for the time being. Thus, referring to HAZUS : Earthquake Loss Estimation Methodology which is developed by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) and NIBS (National Institute of Building Sciences), earthquake loss estimation procedure of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction are proposed, and then exemplary loss estimation are executed. Considering that there have been no practical earthquake loss estimation method and procedure in Korea, the research accomplishments such as above are considered to be helpful for the substantial development of earthquake loss estimation method of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction.

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HAZUS의 결정론적 방법을 이용한 경주지역의 지진재해예측 (Earthquake Loss Estimation of the Gyeongju Area using the Deterministic Method in HAZUS)

  • 강수영;김광희;석봉출;유해수
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.597-600
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    • 2008
  • Observed ground motions from the January 2007 magnitude 4.9 Odaesan earthquake and the events occurring in the Gyeongsang provinces are compared with the previously proposed ground attenuation relationships in the Korean Peninsula to select most appropriate one. The selected relationship from the ones for the Korean Peninsula has been compared with attenuation relationships available in HAZUS. Then, the attenuation relation for the Western United States proposed by Sadigh et al.(1997) for the Site Class B has been selected for this study. It has been used for the earthquake loss estimation of the Gyeongju area located in southeast Korea using the deterministic method in HAZUS with a scenario earthquake (M=6.7). Application of the improved methodology for loss estimation in Korea will help decision makers for planning disaster responses and hazard mitigation.

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Performance-based earthquake engineering methodology for seismic analysis of nuclear cable tray system

  • Huang, Baofeng
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.2396-2406
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    • 2021
  • The Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research (PEER) Center has been developing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) methodology, which is based on explicit determination of performance, e.g., monetary losses, in a probabilistic manner where uncertainties in earthquake ground motion, structural response, damage estimation, and losses are explicitly considered. To carry out the PEER PBEE procedure for a component of the nuclear power plant (NPP) such as the cable tray system, hazard curve and spectra were defined for two hazard levels of the ground motions, namely, operation basis earthquake, and safe shutdown earthquake. Accordingly, two sets of spectral compatible ground motions were selected for dynamic analysis of the cable tray system. In general, the PBEE analysis of the cable tray in NPP was introduced where the resulting floor motions from the time history analysis (THA) of the NPP structure should be used as the input motion to the cable tray. However, for simplicity, a finite element model of the cable tray was developed for THA under the effect of the selected ground motions. Based on the structural analysis results, fragility curves were generated in terms of specific engineering demand parameters. Loss analysis was performed considering monetary losses corresponding to the predefined damage states. Then, overall losses were evaluated for different damage groups using the PEER PBEE methodology.

Development of comprehensive earthquake loss scenarios for a Greek and a Turkish city: seismic hazard, geotechnical and lifeline aspects

  • Pitilakis, Kyriazis D.;Anastasiadis, Anastasios I.;Kakderi, Kalliopi G.;Manakou, Maria V.;Manou, Dimitra K.;Alexoudi, Maria N.;Fotopoulou, Stavroula D.;Argyroudis, Sotiris A.;Senetakis, Kostas G.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.207-232
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    • 2011
  • The development of reliable earthquake mitigation plans and seismic risk management procedures can only be based on the establishment of comprehensive earthquake hazard and loss scenarios. Two cities, Grevena (Greece) and D$\ddot{u}$zce (Turkey), were used as case studies in order to apply a comprehensive methodology for the vulnerability and loss assessment of lifelines. The methodology has the following distinctive phases: detailed inventory, identification of the typology of each component and system, evaluation of the probabilistic seismic hazard, geotechnical zonation, ground response analysis and estimation of the spatial distribution of seismic motion for different seismic scenarios, vulnerability analysis of the exposed elements at risk. Estimating adequate earthquake scenarios for different mean return periods, and selecting appropriate vulnerability functions, expected damages of the water and waste water systems in D$\ddot{u}$zce and of the roadway network and waste water system of Grevena are estimated and discussed; comparisons with observed earthquake damages are also made in the case of D$\ddot{u}$zce, proving the reliability and the efficiency of the proposed methodology. The results of the present study constitute a sound basis for the development of efficient loss scenarios for lifelines and infrastructure facilities in seismic prone areas. The first part of this paper, concerning the estimation of the seismic ground motions, has been utilized in the companion paper by Kappos et al. (2010) in the same journal.

Loss Estimation in Southeast Korea from a Scenario Earthquake using the Deterministic Method in HAZUS

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kang, Su-Young
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2009년도 정기 학술발표대회
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2009
  • Strong ground motion attenuation relationship represents a comprehensive trend of ground shakings at sites with distances from the source, geology, local soil conditions, and others. It is necessary to develop an attenuation relationship with careful considerations of characteristics of the target area for reliable seismic hazard/risk assessments. In the study, observed ground motions from the January 2007 magnitude 4.9 Odaesan earthquake and the events occurring in the Gyeongsang provinces are compared with the previously proposed ground attenuation relationships in the Korean Peninsula to select most appropriate one. In the meantime, a few strong ground motion attenuation relationships are proposed and introduced in HAZUS, which have been designed for the Western United States and the Central and Eastern United States. The selected relationship from the ones for the Korean Peninsula has been compared with attenuation relationships available in HAZUS. Then, the attenuation relation for the Western United States proposed by Sadigh et al. (1997) for the Site Class B has been selected for this study. Reliability of the assessment will be improved by using an appropriate attenuation relation. It has been used for the earthquake loss estimation of the Gyeongju area located in southeast Korea using the deterministic method in HAZUS with a scenario earthquake (M=6.7). Our preliminary estimates show 15.6% damage of houses, shelter needs for about three thousands residents, and 75 life losses in the study area for the scenario events occurring at 2 A.M. Approximately 96% of hospitals will be in normal operation in 24 hours from the proposed event. Losses related to houses will be more than 114 million US dollars. Application of the improved methodology for loss estimation in Korea will help decision makers for planning disaster responses and hazard mitigation.

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능력 스펙트럼법을 이용한 건물 지진 손실 평가 방법 (A Methodology of Seismic Damage Assessment Using Capacity Spectrum Method)

  • 변지석
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 지진으로 인하여 발생한 건물의 피해액을 보다 객관적으로 예측 평가할 수 있는 ACM(Advanced Component Method) 개발 방법에 관한 것이다. ACM은 지금까지의 재래식 손실 평가방법에 사용된 구조 기술자들의 주관적인 관점과 전문가적 견해에서 탈피하여, 지진의 크기에 따른 구조형식이 각기 다른 건물들의 내진 성글 평가 기술에 바탕을 둔 지진 손실 평가 방법이다. 그 과정을 살펴보면 먼저 선별된 전형적인 건축 구조물에 대하여 비선형 정적 내진 해석인 pushover 해석을 실행하여 그들의 건물 능력도와 각 부재의 비선형 응답을 계산한다. 지진하중은 ADRS(Acceleration-Displacement Response Spectrum)의 응답 가속도와 응답 변위의 형태로 표현하여 이를 건물 능력도와 함께 능력 스펙트럼법(Capacity Spectrum Method) 기법을 이용하여 건물의 내진 성능점을 찾는다. 또한 전체 건물을 주요 구조체인 기둥, 보, 슬래브 등과 비구조체인 비내력 벽판, 외벽 장식용 요소 등을 각각 분리하여 건물 각 부재들의 지진 응답 변위에 따른 피해율을 산출한다. 이들 각 부재들의 피해는 그 부재들의 특성에 따른 적절한 보수보강기법과 그에 따른 비용산정 모델을 이용하여 각 부재의 금전적인 피해액으로 전환한다. 마지막으로 Monte Carlo기법을 이용하여 지금까지 얻은 건물의 응답과 각 부재들의 지진에 따른 피해율, 그리고 그 부재들의 비용산정 모델을 종합하여 전체 건물의 최종의 피해율을 얻는다. 특히, 현존하는 건물에 사용된 재료와 설계 가정 하중의 가변성에 따른 건물 거동에 대한 불확실성 등을 고려하기 위하여 Latin Hypercube 추출 기법을 사용하며, 마지막으로 본 연구의 사례평가를 위하여 과거 일어났던 지진 피해정보와 손실 자료들을 바탕으로 ACM방법과 재래식 방법을 이용한 건물 손실 평가 방법을 비교 분석하였다.

Researches Related to Seismic Hazard Mitigation in Taiwan

  • Loh, Chin-Hsiung;Yeh, Chin-Hsun
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 1998
  • In view of the rapid development of economics and technology, perilous meteorological and geological conditions often cause natural disasters and result in severe loss of lives and properties in Taiwan. To promote multi-hazard mitigation strategies in an integrated a, pp.oach, the National Science Council established a National Science and Technology Program for Disaster Mitigation in January 1998. This program emphasizes on the implementation of research results in the National Disaster Management System. This paper describes the earthquake loss estimation methodology that is currently developed in Taiwan. Topics of potential earth science hazards (PESH) and building vulnerability analysis are described in detail.

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Seismic demand estimation of RC frame buildings based on simplified and nonlinear dynamic analyses

  • Borzi, B.;Vona, M.;Masi, A.;Pinho, R.;Pola, D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.157-179
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    • 2013
  • Vulnerability studies on the existing building stock require that a large number of buildings is analyzed to obtain statistically significant evaluations of the seismic performance. Therefore, analytical evaluation methods need to be based on simplified methodologies of analysis which can afford the treatment of a large building population with a reasonable computational effort. Simplified Pushover-Based Earthquake Loss Assessment approach (SP-BELA), where a simplified methodology to identify the structural capacity of the building through the definition of a pushover curve is adopted, was developed on these bases. Main objective of the research work presented in this paper is to validate the simplified methodology implemented in SP-BELA against the results of more sophisticated nonlinear dynamic analyses (NLDAs). The comparison is performed for RC buildings designed only to vertical loads, representative of the "as built" in Italy and in Mediterranean countries with a building stock very similar to the Italian one. In NLDAs the non linear and degrading behaviour, typical of the structures under consideration when subjected to high seismic loads, is evaluated using models able to capture, with adequate accuracy, the non linear behaviour of RC structural elements taking into account stiffness degradation, strength deterioration, and pinching effect. Results show when simplified analyses are in good agreement with NLDAs. As a consequence, unsatisfactory results from simplified analysis are pointed out to address their current applicability limits.

지진취약도를 통한 철골모멘트골조의 연간 손실 평가 (Annual Loss Probability Estimation of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames(SMRFs) using Seismic Fragility Analysis)

  • 전새미;신동현;김형준
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 2014
  • 구조물의 내용연수 동안 예상되는 지진에 대한 피해와 손실을 최소화하는 것이 내진설계의 최종적인 목표로 볼 수 있다. 이러한 목표를 만족시키기 위한 개념으로 지진하중에 대한 구조물의 손상확률을 나타내는 지진취약도를 작성하여 지진에 대한 구조물의 확률론적 성능평가를 수행한 후, 해당 지역에서 발생 가능한 지진에 대한 연간 초과확률로 표현되는 지진위험도를 활용하여 연간 손실 발생확률을 산정하는 절차를 제시한다. 본 연구는 미국 강진지역의 지진하중을 고려하여 설계된 철골모멘트골조에 대해 취약도를 정량적으로 평가하고 연간 손실 발생확률을 예측하다. 또한 HAZUS의 철골모멘트골조 대표건축물에 대한 손실 평가결과를 비교하였으며, 그 결과 HAZUS에 의한 연간손실이 보수적으로 산정됨을 알 수 있었다. 제시된 방법으로부터 해당 구조물의 내진성능 및 연간 손실 평가를 할 수 있으며, 향후 관련 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Seismic risk investigation for reinforced concrete buildings in Antalya, Turkey

  • Kepenek, Engin;Korkmaz, Kasim A.;Gencel, Ziya
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2020
  • Turkey is located in one of the most seismically active regions of in Europe. The majority of the population living in big cities are at high seismic risk due to insufficient structural resistance of the existing buildings. Such a seismic risk brings the need for a comprehensive seismic evaluation based on the risk analysis in Turkey. Determining the seismic resistance level of existing building stock against the earthquakes is the first step to reduce the damages in a possible earthquake. Recently in January 2020, the Elazig earthquake brought the importance of the issue again in the public. However, the excessive amount of building stock, labor, and resource problems made the implementation phase almost impossible and revealed the necessity to carry out alternative studies on this issue. This study aims for a detailed investigation of residential buildings in Antalya, Turkey. The approach proposed here can be considered an improved state of building survey methods previously identified in Turkey's Design Code. Antalya, Turkey's fifth most populous city, with a population over 2.5 Million, was investigated as divided into sub-regions to understand the vulnerability, and a threshold value found for the study area. In this study, 26,610 reinforced concrete buildings between 1 to 7 stories in Antalya were examined by using the rapid visual assessment method. A specific threshold value for the city of Antalya was determined with the second level examination and statistical methods carried out in the determined sub-region. With the micro zonation process, regions below the threshold value are defined as the priority areas that need to be examined in detail. The developed methodology can be easily calibrated for application in other cities and can be used to determine new threshold values for those cities.