• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic prediction method

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Summarized IDA curves by the wavelet transform and bees optimization algorithm

  • Shahryari, Homayoon;Karami, M. Reza;Chiniforush, Alireza A.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.165-175
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    • 2019
  • Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA), as an accurate method to evaluate the parameters of structural performance levels, requires many non-linear time history analyses, using a set of ground motion records which are scaled to different intensity levels. Therefore, this method is very computationally demanding. In this study, a new method is presented to estimate the summarized (16%, 50%, and 84% fractiles) IDA curves of a first-mode dominated structure using discrete wavelet transform and bees optimization algorithm. This method reduces the number of required ground motion records for the prediction of the summarized IDA curves. At first, a subset of first list ground motion records is decomposed by means of discrete wavelet transform which have a low dispersion estimating the summarized IDA curves of equivalent SDOF system of the main structure. Then, the bees algorithm optimizes a series of factors for each level of detail coefficients in discrete wavelet transform. The applied factors change the frequency content of original ground motion records which the generated ground motions records can be utilized to reliably estimate the summarized IDA curves of the main structure. At the end, to evaluate the efficiency of the proposed method, the seismic behavior of a typical 3-story special steel moment frame, subjected to a set of twenty ground motion records is compared with this method.

Prediction of Aerodynamic Performance on Wind Turbines in the Far Wake (후류 영향을 고려한 풍력 발전 단지 성능 예측 연구)

  • Son, Eunkuk;Kim, Hogeon;Lee, Seungmin;Lee, Soogab
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.59.2-59.2
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    • 2011
  • Although there are many activities on the construction of wind farm to produce amount of power from the wind, in practice power productions are not as much as its expected capabilities. This is because a lack of both the prediction of wind resources and the aerodynamic analysis on turbines with far wake effects. In far wake region, there are velocity deficits and increases of the turbulence intensity which lead to the power losses of the next turbine and the increases of dynamic loadings which could reduce system's life. The analysis on power losses and the increases of fatigue loadings in the wind farm is needed to prevent these unwanted consequences. Therefore, in this study velocity deficits have been predicted and aerodynamic analysis on turbines in the far wake is carried out from these velocity profiles. Ainslie's eddy viscosity wake model is adopted to determine a wake velocity and aerodynamic analysis on wind turbines is predicted by the numerical methods such as blade element momentum theory(BEMT) and vortex lattice method(VLM). The results show that velocity recovery is more rapid in the wake region with higher turbulence intensity. Since the velocity deficit is larger when the turbine has higher thrust coefficient, there is a huge aerodynamic power loss at the downstream turbine.

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Dynamic Analysis of Francis Runners - Experiment and Numerical Simulation

  • Lais, Stefan;Liang, Quanwei;Henggeler, Urs;Weiss, Thomas;Escaler, Xavier;Egusquiza, Eduard
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2009
  • The present paper shows the results of numerical and experimental modal analyses of Francis runners, which were executed in air and in still water. In its first part this paper is focused on the numerical prediction of the model parameters by means of FEM and the validation of the FEM method. Influences of different geometries on modal parameters and frequency reduction ratio (FRR), which is the ratio of the natural frequencies in water and the corresponding natural frequencies in air, are investigated for two different runners, one prototype and one model runner. The results of the analyses indicate very good agreement between experiment and simulation. Particularly the frequency reduction ratios derived from simulation are found to agree very well with the values derived from experiment. In order to identify sensitivity of the structural properties several parameters such as material properties, different model scale and different hub geometries are numerically investigated. In its second part, a harmonic response analysis is shown for a Francis runner by applying the time dependent pressure distribution resulting from an unsteady CFD simulation to the mechanical structure. Thus, the data gained by modern CFD simulation are being fully utilized for the structural design based on life time analysis. With this new approach a more precise prediction of turbine loading and its effect on turbine life cycle is possible allowing better turbine designs to be developed.

A Study on the Improvement of Dynamic Characteristics of Spindle-Work System in Lathe - Focused on the Bolt Juint between Headstock and Bed - (선반주축계의 동특성 향상에 관한 연구 -주축대와 베드의 보울트 결합을 중심으로-)

  • 신용호;박태원;홍동표;정인성
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1988
  • Prediction performances by Einstein's equation of diffusivity, Peskin's model, Three-Equation model, Four-Equation model and Algebraic Stress Model, have been compared by analyzing twophase (air-solid) turbulent jet flow. Turbulent kinetic energy equation of dispersed phase was solved to investigate effects of turbulent kinetic energy on turbulent diffusivity. Turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of particles has been considered by solving turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate equation of dispersed phase and applying it to turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase. Results show that turbulent diffusivity of dispersed phase can be expressed by turbulent kinetic energy ratio between phases and prediction of turbulent kinetic energy was improved by considering turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate of dispersed phase for modelling turbulent diffusivity. This investigation also show that Algebraic Stress Model is the most promising method in analyzing gas-solid two phases turbulent flow.

Prediction and control of buildings with sensor actuators of fuzzy EB algorithm

  • Chen, Tim;Bird, Alex;Muhammad, John Mazhar;Cao, S. Bhaskara;Melvilled, Charles;Cheng, C.Y.J.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.307-315
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    • 2019
  • Building prediction and control theory have been drawing the attention of many scientists over the past few years because design and control efficiency consumes the most financial and energy. In the literature, many methods have been proposed to achieve this goal by trying different control theorems, but all of these methods face some problems in correctly solving the problem. The Evolutionary Bat (EB) Algorithm is one of the recently introduced optimization methods and providing researchers to solve different types of optimization problems. This paper applies EB to the optimization of building control design. The optimized parameter is the input to the fuzzy controller, which gives the status response as an output, which in turn changes the state of the associated actuator. The novel control criterion for guarantee of the stability of the system is also derived for the demonstration in the analysis. This systematic and simplified controller design approach is the contribution for solving complex dynamic engineering system subjected to external disturbances. The experimental results show that the method achieves effective results in the design of closed-loop system. Therefore, by establishing the stability of the closed-loop system, the behavior of the closed-loop building system can be precisely predicted and stabilized.

Migration and Energy Aware Network Traffic Prediction Method Based on LSTM in NFV Environment

  • Ying Hu;Liang Zhu;Jianwei Zhang;Zengyu Cai;Jihui Han
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.896-915
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    • 2023
  • The network function virtualization (NFV) uses virtualization technology to separate software from hardware. One of the most important challenges of NFV is the resource management of virtual network functions (VNFs). According to the dynamic nature of NFV, the resource allocation of VNFs must be changed to adapt to the variations of incoming network traffic. However, the significant delay may be happened because of the reallocation of resources. In order to balance the performance between delay and quality of service, this paper firstly made a compromise between VNF migration and energy consumption. Then, the long short-term memory (LSTM) was utilized to forecast network traffic. Also, the asymmetric loss function for LSTM (LO-LSTM) was proposed to increase the predicted value to a certain extent. Finally, an experiment was conducted to evaluate the performance of LO-LSTM. The results demonstrated that the proposed LO-LSTM can not only reduce migration times, but also make the energy consumption increment within an acceptable range.

A novel smart criterion of grey-prediction control for practical applications

  • Z.Y. Chen;Ruei-yuan Wang;Yahui Meng;Timothy Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a scalable grey predictive controller with unavoidable random delays. Grey prediction is proposed to solve problems caused by incorrect parameter selection and to eliminate the effects of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOFs) in nonlinear systems. To address the stability problem, this study develops an improved gray-predictive adaptive fuzzy controller, which can not only solve the implementation problem by determining the stability of the system, but also apply the Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) law to calculate Fuzzy change parameters. Fuzzy logic controllers manipulate robotic systems to improve their control performance. The stability is proved using Lyapunov stability theorem. In this article, the authors compare different controllers and the proposed predictive controller can significantly reduce the vibration of offshore platforms while keeping the required control force within an ideal small range. This paper presents a robust fuzzy control design that uses a model-based approach to overcome the effects of modeling errors. To guarantee the asymptotic stability of large nonlinear systems with multiple lags, the stability criterion is derived from the direct Lyapunov method. Based on this criterion and a distributed control system, a set of model-based fuzzy controllers is synthesized to stabilize large-scale nonlinear systems with multiple delays.

Utilization of deep learning-based metamodel for probabilistic seismic damage analysis of railway bridges considering the geometric variation

  • Xi Song;Chunhee Cho;Joonam Park
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.469-479
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    • 2023
  • A probabilistic seismic damage analysis is an essential procedure to identify seismically vulnerable structures, prioritize the seismic retrofit, and ultimately minimize the overall seismic risk. To assess the seismic risk of multiple structures within a region, a large number of nonlinear time-history structural analyses must be conducted and studied. As a result, each assessment requires high computing resources. To overcome this limitation, we explore a deep learning-based metamodel to enable the prediction of the mean and the standard deviation of the seismic damage distribution of track-on steel-plate girder railway bridges in Korea considering the geometric variation. For machine learning training, nonlinear dynamic time-history analyses are performed to generate 800 high-fidelity datasets on the seismic response. Through intensive trial and error, the study is concentrated on developing an optimal machine learning architecture with the pre-identified variables of the physical configuration of the bridge. Additionally, the prediction performance of the proposed method is compared with a previous, well-defined, response surface model. Finally, the statistical testing results indicate that the overall performance of the deep-learning model is improved compared to the response surface model, as its errors are reduced by as much as 61%. In conclusion, the model proposed in this study can be effectively deployed for the seismic fragility and risk assessment of a region with a large number of structures.

Study on the thermal Property and Aging Prediction for Pressable Plastic Bonded Explosives through ARC(Heat-Wait-Search method) & isothermal conditions (ARC(Heat-Wait-Search method)와 isothermal 조건을 이용한 압축형 복합화약의 열적 특성 및 노화 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Sojung;Kim, Jinseuk;Kim, Seunghee;Kwon, Kuktae;Chu, Chorong;Jeon, Yeongjin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2017
  • Thermal property is one of the important characteristic in the field of energetic materials. As the energy material is released during decomposition, DSC(Differential Scanning Calorimetry) is frequently used for the thermal analysis. In case of the dynamic DSC measurements, thermal dynamic change like melting is prevented from the thermal property measurements. And due to the predicting kg scale, the conditions of the heat exchange with the environment significantly is changed. In this study, As the method to resolve the problem, we predict the thermal aging property using the AKTS thermokinetic program from DSC measurements which performed isothermal method. Predicting the thermal aging properties from ARC(Accelerating Rate Calorimetry) measurement, we compare two results.

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Damage detection in steel structures using expanded rotational component of mode shapes via linking MATLAB and OpenSees

  • Toorang, Zahra;Bahar, Omid;Elahi, Fariborz Nateghi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2022
  • When a building suffers damages under moderate to severe loading condition, its physical properties such as damping and stiffness parameters will change. There are different practical methods besides various numerical procedures that have successfully detected a range of these changes. Almost all the previous proposed methods used to work with translational components of mode shapes, probably because extracting these components is more common in vibrational tests. This study set out to investigate the influence of using both rotational and translational components of mode shapes, in detecting damages in 3-D steel structures elements. Three different sets of measured components of mode shapes are examined: translational, rotational, and also rotational/translational components in all joints. In order to validate our assumptions two different steel frames with three damage scenarios are considered. An iterative model updating program is developed in the MATLAB software that uses the OpenSees as its finite element analysis engine. Extensive analysis shows that employing rotational components results in more precise prediction of damage location and its intensity. Since measuring rotational components of mode shapes still is not very convenient, modal dynamic expansion technique is applied to generate rotational components from measured translational ones. The findings indicated that the developed model updating program is really efficient in damage detection even with generated data and considering noise effects. Moreover, methods which use rotational components of mode shapes can predict damage's location and its intensity more precisely than the ones which only work with translational data.