• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic causality linkages

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East Asian five stock market linkages (아시아 주식수익률의 동조화에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Heon-Yong
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.131-147
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    • 2008
  • The study examines common component existing in five Asian countries from 1991 to 2007. To do this, the daily stock market indices of Korea, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, and the Philippines were used. Using a Vector Autoregressive Model this paper analyzes causal relations and dynamic interactions between five Asian stock markets. The findings in this study indicate that level of five Asian stock markets' stock return linkages are low. First, from the statistics for pair-wise Granger causality tests, I find Granger-causal relationship between Korea and Indonesia and between Malaysia and and Indonesia. Second, from the results of response function and the statistics of variance decomposition, I find that week shocks to Korean stock market return on Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, and the Philippines stock market returns. The results indicate increased Asian stock market linkages but the level is very low. This implies that the benefits of diversification within the five Asian stock markets are still existed.

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Dynamic Linkages between Food Inflation and Its Volatility: Evidence from Sri Lankan Economy

  • MOHAMED MUSTAFA, Abdul Majeed;SIVARAJASINGHAM, Selliah
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2019
  • This study examines the dynamic linkages between food price inflation and its volatility in the context of Sri Lanka. The empirical evidence derived from the monthly data for the period from 2003M1 to 2017M12 for Sri Lanka. The relationship between inflation rate and inflation volatility has attracted more attention by theoretical and empirical macroeconomists. Empirical studies on the relationship between food inflation and food inflation variability is scarce in the literature. Food price inflation is defined as log difference of food price series. The volatility of a food price inflation is measured by conditional variance generated by the FIGARCH model. Preliminary analysis showed that food inflation is stationary series. Granger causality test reveals that food inflation seems to exert positive impact on inflation variability. We find no evidence for inflation uncertainty affecting food inflation rates. Hence, the findings of the study supports the Friedman-Ball hypothesis in both cases of consumer food price inflation and wholesale food price inflation. This implies that past information on food inflation can help improve the one-step-ahead prediction of food inflation variability but not vice versa. Our results have some important policy implications for the design of monetary policy, food policy thereby promoting macroeconomic stability.

Effects of Foreign Capital Inflow on Efficiency of Bank Industry (외국자본유입이 우리나라 은행산업의 효율성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate and analyse the relationship between efficiency of bank industry and macroeconomic variables. We employ Johansen's multivariate cointegration methodology, since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. The empirical results show that our model is stationary as well as mean-reverting. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get additional information regarding the responses of the bank spread to the shocks economic variables such as long and short term interest rates differential, banking organ liquidity, business cycle index, and foreigner's net equity investment. The results indicate that while the bank spread respond positively to liquidity and equity investment shocks and then decay very quickly.

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Dynamic Linkages : Stock Markets, Construction Industries, and Construction Firms (한국 건설주가의 동태적 국내외 연계성에 관한 실증분석)

  • You, Tae-Woo;Jang, Won-Ki
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.125-162
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates the short- and long- run relationship among Korean, U.S. and Japanese construction indices. We conducted the Johansen's cointegration tests on the hypotheses that the construction indices of three countries we related in the long-run as well as in the short-run. The test results show that there exists no long-run relationship among three countrie's construction indices. In addition, the cointegrating relation did not exist for three countrie's stock market indices and five major Korean construction firms. It fumed out that the U.S. indices Granger-causes Japanese and Korean indices. This finding implies that there may exist international diversification benefit through forming a portfolio from these indices.

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Dynamic Integration and Causal Relationships between Stock Price Indexes (주가지수간의 동태적 통합 및 인과관계 분석)

  • 김태호;박지원
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.239-252
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    • 2004
  • It is known that the domestic and the U.S. stock prices tend to move together as those markets are closely interrelated. In this study, cointegration and causal relationships among the four stock price indexes of KOSPI, KOSDAQ, DOWJONES and NASDAQ are carefully investigated for the period of declining stock prices in the long run. When all indexes move in a similar fashion, cointegration does not exist and the causal linkages between the domestic and the U.S. stock prices appear relatively complex. On the other hand, when the domestic and the V.S. stock prices move in a different manner, cointegration exists and the causal relationships appear relatively simple. NASDAQ is apparently found to lead the domestic stock market in both periods, which is consistent with the actual market situation when the If industry is under recession.