• 제목/요약/키워드: drought risk

검색결과 118건 처리시간 0.026초

Barriers to Realization of Forestry Mitigation Potential in India

  • Murthy, Indu K;Prasad KV, Devi
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.405-411
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    • 2018
  • Implementation of mitigation options on land is important for realisation of the goals of the Paris Agreement to stabilize temperature at $2^{\circ}C$. In India, the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) targets include a forestry goal of creation of carbon sinks of 2.5 to 3 billion tonnes by 2030. There are however, multiple barriers to implementation of forestry mitigation options in India. They include environmental, social, financial, technological and institutional barriers. The barriers are varied not just across land categories but also for a land category depending on its regional location and distribution. In addition to these barriers is the impeding climate change that places at risk realisation of the mitigation potential as rising temperatures, drought, and fires associated with projected climate change may lead to forests becoming a weaker sink or a net carbon source before the end of the century.

Estimation of Evapotranspiration in Mongolian Grassland using Remotely Sensed and Ground data

  • Tuya, Sanjaa;Kajiwara, Koji;Honda, Yoshiaki
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of ACRS 2003 ISRS
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    • pp.292-294
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    • 2003
  • Evapotranspiration estimations are essential for monitoring drought, wild land fire risk etc. In this study, a surface energy balance method, which combines meteorological observations with spectral data derived from remote sensing measurements, was used to estimate the regional evapotranspiration in the Mongolia, a large arid and semi-arid region with heterogeneous surface conditions. The Surface Energy Balance method has been applied to Landsat+ETM and NOAA-AVHRR sensors for the estimation of evapotranspiration in the grassland of Mongolia. As a result, a daily evapotranspiration map of Mongolia was produced.

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Estimation of Water Storage in Small Agricultural Reservoir Using Sentinel-2 Satellite Imagery (Sentinel-2 위성영상을 활용한 농업용 저수지 가용수량 추정)

  • Lee, Hee-Jin;Nam, Won-Ho;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Jang, Min-Won;Hong, Eun-Mi;Kim, Taegon;Kim, Dae-Eui
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제62권6호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Reservoir storage and water level information is essential for accurate drought monitoring and prediction. In particular, the agricultural drought has increased the risk of agricultural water shortages due to regional bias in reservoirs and water supply facilities, which are major water supply facilities for agricultural water. Therefore, it is important to evaluate the available water capacity of the reservoir, and it is necessary to determine the water surface area and water capacity. Remote sensing provides images of temporal water storage and level variations, and a combination of both measurement techniques can indicate a change in water volume. In areas of ungauged water volume, satellite remote sensing image acts as a powerful tool to measure changes in surface water level. The purpose of this study is to estimate of reservoir storage and level variations using satellite remote sensing image combined with hydrological statistical data and the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI). Water surface areas were estimated using the Sentinel-2 satellite images in Seosan, Chungcheongnam-do from 2016 to 2018. The remote sensing-based reservoir storage estimation algorithm from this study is general and transferable to applications for lakes and reservoirs. The data set can be used for improving the representation of water resources management for incorporating lakes into weather forecasting models and climate models, and hydrologic processes.

Drought Risk Analysis Considering Bivariate Drought Regional Frequency Analysis (이변량 가뭄지역빈도해석에 따른 가뭄위험분석)

  • Yoo, Ji-Young;Park, Jong-Yong;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.52-52
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    • 2011
  • 최근 지구온난화가 가속화되면서 전 세계적으로 기상재해가 급증하고 있다. 특히 강우패턴의 변화를 고려한 강수 전망 연구결과는 온실가스 농도 증가로 호우나 가뭄, 대설 등이 지역에 따라 서로 상반되는 변화를 가져올 가능성이 있으며, 우리나라의 경우도 극한강수의 발생빈도가 1990년대 후반 이래로 뚜렷하게 증가하는 경향을 보이고 있다. 현재 우리나라에서도 이러한 기후변화에 대비하기 위해 여러 가지 가뭄연구를 수행하고 있는 실정이다. 일반적으로 가뭄의 해석에는 그 목적에 따라 여러 가지 지표를 이용하여 가뭄을 정의하며, 그 중 강수 및 하천유량 등은 기상 및 수문학적 가뭄을 판단하기 위한 지표로 널리 사용되고 있다. 특히 강수의 부족은 가뭄의 주된 요인이라 할 수 있으며, 가뭄의 정량적 평가에 효과적으로 이용될 수 있다. 즉 평균수준(혹은 절단수준)을 설정하고 가뭄의 지속기간, 심도, 발생빈도 등을 정의한 후, 이를 시계열 분석하여 가뭄의 특성을 분석하는 것이다. 또한 가뭄은 지속기간과 심도를 주요 특성변수를 가지는 이변량 수문사상이므로, 이를 반영한 확률 및 통계학적 해석방법의 적용이 반드시 필요하다. 그러므로 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 가뭄특성을 가뭄지속기간과 심도의 이변량을 동시에 고려하여 지점별 가뭄빈도해석을 수행하였으며, 지역별 가뭄발생특성을 고려하여, 강우관측지점별 과거에 발생한 최대가 뭄사상에 대한 가뭄위험도를 계산하였다. 그 결과, 우리나라 지점별 미래에 연속되는 10, 50, 100, 150년에 따라 과거의 최대가뭄이 발생할 확률을 지도로 도시하여 지역적 가뭄위험도를 분석하여 가뭄위험지역을 예상하였다. 이는 우리나라 내 가뭄취약지역의 우선순위를 결정하고, 실제로 국가적인 차원에서의 장기적인 가뭄관리를 하는 데 있어, 가뭄취약지역별 차별성 있는 가뭄대응방안을 마련하는 데 있어서도 하나의 객관적 근거로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Evaluation of Agricultural Reservoirs Operation Guideline Using K-HAS and Ratio Correction Factor during Flood Season (수리·수문설계시스템 및 비율보정계수 기법을 활용한 농업용 저수지의 홍수기 운영기준 평가)

  • Jung, Hyoung-mo;Lee, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Kyounghwan;Kwak, Yeong-cheol;Choi, Eunhyuk;Yoon, Sungeun;Na, Ra;Joo, Donghyuk;Yoo, Seung-Hwan;Yoon, Gwang-sik
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • 제63권4호
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2021
  • Despite the practical limitations of calculating the amount of inflow and supply related to the operation of agricultural reservoirs, the role of agricultural reservoirs is gradually being emphasized. In particular, as interest in disaster safety has increased, the demand for preliminary measures to prepare for disasters has been rising, for instance, pre-discharging agricultural reservoirs for flood control. The aim of this study is to analyze the plans for the flood season reservoir operation considering pre-discharge period and water level limit. Accordingly, we optimized the simulation of daily storage using the ratio correction factor (RCFs) and analyzed the amount of inflow and supply using K-HAS. In addition we developed the drought determination coefficient (k) as a indicator of water availability and applied it for supplementing the risk level criteria in the Drought Crisis Response Manual. The results showed that it would be difficult to set the water level limit during the flood period in the situation of little water supply for flood control in agricultural reservoirs. Therefore, it is necessary to operate the reservoir management regulations after measures such as securing additional storage water are established in the future.

Projecting forest fire potential in the Baekdudaegan of the Chungcheong region under the SSP scenario climate change using KBDI Drought Index (KBDI 가뭄지수를 이용한 SSP 기후변화 시나리오하의 충청지역 백두대간 산불 잠재력 전망)

  • Choi, Jaeyong;Kim, Su-Jin;Jung, Huicheul;Kim, Sung-Yeol;Moon, Geon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • Recently, climate change has been regarded as a major cause of large-scale forest fires worldwide, and there is concern that more frequent and severe forest fires will occur due to the level of greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, the daily Keetch and Byram Drought Index (KBDI) of the Baekdudaegan in Chungcheong region including Sobaeksan, Songnisan, and Woraksan National Parks were calculated to assess effect of climate change on the forest fire potential- severity of annual maximum KBDI and frequency of high KBDI days. The present (2000~2019) and future KBDI(2021~2040, 2041~2060, 2081~2090) were calculated based on the meteorological observation and the ensemble regional climate model of the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios with a spatial resolution of 1-km provided by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, 6.5℃ increase and 14% precipitation increase are expected at the end of the 21st century. The severity of maximum daily KBDI increases by 48% (+50mm), and the frequency of high KBDI days (> 100 KBDI) increases more than 100 days, which means the high potential for serious forest fires. The analysis results showed that Songnisan National Park has the highest potential for forest fire risk and will continue to be high in intensity and frequency in the future. It is expected that the forest vulnerability of the Baekdudaegan in the Chungcheong region will greatly increase and the difficulty in preventing and suppressing forest fires will increase as the abundance of combustible materials increases along with climate changes.

A Study of Optimal Operation Policy using Risk Evaluation Criteria(I) (for the Daechung Multi-purpose Reservoir) (위험도 평가기준을 적용한 저수지 최적운영방안 연구(I) (대청댐을 중심으로))

  • Park, Myeong-Gi;Kim, Jae-Han;Jeong, Gwan-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2002
  • The application of conventional method for optimizing firm water supply and hydro-electric power generation has some limitation during abnormal or extreme drought periods. Hashimoto et al. (1982) suggested there risk evaluation criteria such as reliability, resilience, and vulnerability. These three criteria have been incorporated into a mixed-integer programming model for evaluating the possible performance of water- supply reservoir (Moy et al., 1986; Srinivasan et al., 1999). However, till now, these kind of researches have been conducted only for water-supply reservoir. Therefore there have been no other study for multi-purpose dam including hydro-electric power generation. This study presents an improved formulation of the previous model for evaluating a multi-purpose reservoir system operation considering water supply and hydro-electric power generation. The modified model was applied to the Daechung multi-purpose reservoir system in the Keum river basin to demonstrate the efficiency of the improved formulation.

Remote Sensing and GIS for Earth & Environmental disasters: The Current and Future in Monitoring, Assessment, and Management (원격탐사와 GIS를 이용한 지구환경재해 관측과 관리 기술 현황)

  • Yang, Minjune;Kim, Jae-Jin;Han, Kyung-soo;Kim, Jinsoo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • 제37권6_2호
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    • pp.1785-1791
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    • 2021
  • Natural and environmental disasters are recently increasing in frequency and complexity worldwide due to the rapid expansion of overpopulation, industrialization, and urbanization. Thus, analyzing past critical events/disasters in deep and preparing for future disasters in terms of risk identification, assessment and management are imperative requirements. In this special issue, we introduce several interesting studies covering disaster risk management and observation technologies for the heat waves, particulate matters, floods, drought, and earthquake using remote sensing and GIS performed by i-SEED (School of Integrated Science for Sustainable Earth & Environmental Disaster at Pukyong National University). We expect that the results of this special issue provide comprehensive information on the risk management and damage prevention of natural and environmental disasters and offer guidance on the application to future disasters to reduce their risks and impacts.

Optimization of Multi-reservoir Operation considering Water Demand Uncertainty in the Han River Basin (수요의 불확실성을 고려한 한강수계 댐 연계 운영 최적화)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Ryu, Gwan-Hyeong;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.89-102
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    • 2010
  • Future uncertainty on water demand caused by future climate condition and water consumption leads a difficulty to determine the reservoir operation rule for supplying sufficient water to users. It is, thus, important to operate reservoirs not only for distributing enough water to users using the limited water resources but also for preventing floods and drought under the unknown future condition. In this study, the reservoir storage is determined in the first stage when future condition is unknown, and then, water distribution to users and river stream is optimized using the available water resources from the first stage decision using 2-stage stochastic linear programming (2-SLP). The objective function is to minimize the difference between target and actual water storage in reservoirs and the water shortage in users and river stream. Hedging rule defined by a precaution against severe drought by restricting outflow when reservoir storage decreases below a target, is also applied in the reservoir operation rule for improving the model applicability to the real system. The developed model is applied in a system with five reservoirs in the Han River basin, Korea to optimize the multi-reservoir system under various future water demand scenarios. Three multi-purposed dams - Chungju, Hoengseong, and Soyanggang - are considered in the model. Gwangdong and Hwacheon dams are also considered in the system due to the large capacity of the reservoirs, but they are primarily for water supply and power generation, respectively. As a result, the water demand of users and river stream are satisfied in most cases. The reservoirs are operated successfully to store enough water during the wet season for preparing the coming drought and also for reducing downstream flood risk. The developed model can provide an effective guideline of multi-reservoir operation rules in the basin.

Development and Implementation of Prototype for Intelligent Integrated Agricultural Water Management Information System and Service including Reservoirs managed by City and County (시군관리 저수지를 고려한 지능형 통합 물관리정보시스템 원형 개발 및 구현)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Kang, Seok-Man;Kim, Jin-Taek;Kim, Jeong-Dae;Kim, Hyun-Ho;Jang, Jin-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.163-174
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    • 2017
  • This study developed the prototype of the system and implemented its main functions, which is the intelligent integrated agricultural water management information system and service (IaWAMISS). The developed system was designed to be able to collect, process and analyze the agricultural water information of spatially dispersed reservoirs in whole country and spatial geographic information distributed in various systems of other organizations. The system, IaWAMISS, is also possible to provide the reproduced information services in each reservoir and space units, such as agricultural water demand and supply analysis and drought prediction, to the people, experts, and policy makers. This study defined the 6 step modules to develop the system, which are to design the components of intelligent integrated information system, to derive the utilization contents of existing systems, to design the new development elements for IaWAMISS, to design the reservoir information system can be used by managers of city and county, to designate the monitoring reservoirs managed by city and county, and finally to prepare the sharing system between organizations with the existing information systems. In order to implement the prototype of the system, this study shows the results for three important functions of the system: spatial integration of reservoirs' information, data link integration between the existing systems, and intelligent analysis program development to assist decision support for agricultural water management. For the spatial integration with the reservoir water information of the Korea Rural Community Corporation, this study get IaWAMISS to receive the real-time reservoir storage information from the measurement facility installed in the municipal management reservoir. The data link integration connecting databases of the existing systems, was implemented by integrating the meteorological information of the Korea Meteorological Administration with IaWAMISS, so that the rainfall forecast data could be derived and used. For the implementation of the intelligent analysis program, this study also showed the results of analysis and prediction of agricultural water demand and supply amount, estimation of Palmer drought index, analysis of flood risk area in typhoon course region, and analysis of the storage status of reservoirs related to each storm. This study confirmed the possibility and efficiency of an useful system development through the prototype design and implementation of IaWAMISS. By solving the preliminary 6 step modules presented in this study, it is possible not only to efficiently manage water by spatial unit, but also to provide the service of information and to enhance the relevant policy and national understanding to the people.