• 제목/요약/키워드: drought intensity

검색결과 99건 처리시간 0.029초

한반도와 유럽에서 발생한 폭염의 종관기후학적 특성 비교 (A Synoptic and Climatological Comparison of Record-breaking Heat Waves in Korea and Europe)

  • 김지영;이대근
    • 대기
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2008
  • Synoptic and climatological characteristics of heat waves over Korea and Europe as well as their biometeorological impacts were compared. In July of 1994, excess deaths of about 2,388 in the population of South Korea are estimated by the modified excess death calculation algorithm ofKysely (2004). The excess deaths correspond to the net mortality increase of 12.5% in July of 1994 if we compare the estimated value to the expected number of deaths in this month (i.e., about 19,171). The comparative study of heat waves in Korea and Europe shows that the record-breaking heat waves in both regions are closely associated with prolonged droughts. In particular, reduction of soil moisture, precipitation and cloud cover and enhancement of insolation during the drought periods are very likely to be related to the increase in the intensity and the duration ofheat waves. Climate models predict that the frequency, intensity, and duration of heat waves in the 21 st century will be greatly enhanced in both areas. In order to reduce the biometeorological and socioeconomic impacts due to heat waves, not only the development of heat-related mortality prediction model that can be widely applied to many climate regimes, but also studies on the climatological association between extreme temperatures and abnormal hydrological cycle are needed.

한발로 인한 벼의 이앙지연 및 수분결핍장애가 생육 및 수량에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Delayed Transplanting plus Water Stress on the Growth and Yield of the Rice Plants)

  • 권용운;소창호;권순국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.79-88
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    • 1986
  • Drought occurs most frequently and severely around transplanting season of the rice plants in Korea. Shortage of water due to drought for the paddy fields often delays transplanting, and less often the rice plants are subjected to water stress after delayed transplanting. The present study aimed at quantification of the rice crop loss due to delayed transplanting, different inten3ity of water stress, and the combined effect of delay in transplanting followed by water stress for better use of limited water for irrigation under drought. The rice variety Chucheong, a japonica, and Nampung, an indica x japonica, were grown, transplanted to 1/200 a plastic pots, and subjected to different timing of transplanting and degree of water stress under a rainfall autosersing, sliding clear plastic roof facility with completely randomized arrangement of 5 replications. The results obtained are summarized as follows: 1.Twelve days or 22 days delay in transplanting without water stress reduced rice yield by 25% and 43% in the japonica variety, and by 15% and 60% in the indica x japonica variety. 2.The 10 days or 20 days water stress developed without irrigation after drainage in the rice plants transplanted at proper time lowered the water potential at the paddy soil 10cm deep to -4 bar, and -12 bar and caused rice yield reduction by 14%, and 45% in the japonica variety and by 8%, and 50% in the indica X japonica variety. 3.The 12 days delay in transplanting and 10 days or 20 days water stress reduced rice yield by 39% and 59% in the japonica variety, and by 38% and 52% in the indica x japonica variety. The 22 days delay in transplanting plus 10 days water stress caused yield reduction by 76%, i.e. meaningless yield, in both varieties. 4.The intermittent irrigation just to wet the soil body for 10 days after 10 days water stress without irrigation increased rece yield by 12 to 16% compared to the rice plants water stessed without irrigation continuously for 20 days in both varieties respectively. 5.The above results suggest strongly 1) to transplant the rice plants at proper .time even with some water stress rather than delay for sufficient water from later rainfall, and 2) to distribute insufficient irrigation water to broader area of transplanted rice with limited irrigation for better use of limited irrigation water. A greater sensitivity of japonica variety to a moderate water stress than the indica X japonica variety during initial rooting and tillering stage was noticed. To cope with frequent drought in rice culture, firstly the lasting time of transplanting without yield reduction should be clarified by region and variety, and secondly a scheme of rational distribution of limited water should be developed by region with better knowledge on the varietal distribution of limited water should be developed by region with better knowledge on the varietal responses to varying intensity of water stress.

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기후변화에 따른 농업생산기반시설 영향분석을 통한 정책추진 방안 연구 (Measure Improvement on Vulnerable Area based on Climate Change Impact on Agriculture Infrastructure)

  • 정경훈;송석호;정형모;오승헌;김수진;임세윤;주동혁;황세운;장민원;배승종;유승환
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to analyse climate change impact on agriculture infrastructure and propose improved measures on vulnerable areas. Recently, Climate change has resulted in damaging effects on agricultural fields through increases in drought intensity and flood risk. It is expected that this impact will increase over time. This study shows that Gyeong-gi and Chung-nam provinces are affected by drought and Gyeong-buk and Gyeong-nam provinces are affected by heavy rain. However, there are also regional variations within each province. Agricultural infrastructure affected by drought may also be affected by heavy rain. Increased damages on the infrastructure due to increased extreme weather events require preventive measures especially in vulnerable areas. In order to minimize the damage by climate change, we need to introduce a reform in the system which selects project region by analysing climate change impacts. Furthermore, impact assessment of climate change from projects such as 'water supply diversification', 'flooded farmland improvement', and 'irrigation facility reinforcement' also need to be adopted to improve the measures. The results of this study are expected to provide a foundation for establishing measures on coping with climate change in the agricultural sector.

인공강우기 기반 확률강우재현을 통한 식생유니트형 LID시스템의 우수유출지연 효과분석 (Analysis of Rainfall Runoff Delay Effect of Vegetation Unit-type LID System through Rainfall Simulator-based Probable Rainfall Recreation)

  • 김태한;박정현;최부헌
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2019
  • In a climate change environment where heat damage and drought occur during a rainy season such as in 2018, a vegetation-based LID system that enables disaster prevention as well as environment improvement is suggested in lieu of an installation-type LID system that is limited to the prevention of floods. However, the quantification of its performance as against construction cost is limited. This study aims to present an experiment environment and evaluation method on quantitative performance, which is required in order to disseminate the vegetation-based LID system. To this end, a 3rd quartile huff time distribution mass curve was generated for 20-year frequency, 60-minute probable rainfall of 68mm/hr in Cheonan, and effluent was analyzed by recreating artificial rainfall. In order to assess the reliability of the rainfall event simulator, 10 repeat tests were conducted at one-minute intervals for 20 minutes with minimum rainfall intensity of 22.29mm/hr and the maximum rainfall intensity of 140.69mm/hr from the calculated probable rainfall. Effective rainfall as against influent flow was 21.83mm/hr (sd=0.17~1.36, n=20) on average at the minimum rainfall intensity and 142.27mm/hr (sd=1.02~3.25, n=20) on average at the maximum rainfall intensity. In artificial rainfall recreation experiments repeated for three times, the most frequent quartile was found to be the third quartile, which is around 40 minutes after beginning the experiment. The peak flow was observed 70 minutes after beginning the experiment in the experiment zone and after 50 minutes in the control zone. While the control zone recorded the maximum runoff intensity of 2.26mm/min(sd=0.25) 50 minutes after beginning the experiment, the experiment zone recorded the maximum runoff intensity of 0.77mm/min (sd=0.15) 70 minutes after beginning the experiment, which is 20 minutes later than the control zone. Also, the maximum runoff intensity of the experiment zone was 79.6% lower than that of the control zone, which confirmed that vegetation unit-type LID system had rainfall runoff reduction and delay effects. Based on the above findings, the reliability of a lab-level rainfall simulator for monitoring the vegetation-based LID system was reviewed, and maximum runoff intensity reduction and runoff time delay were confirmed. As a result, the study presented a performance evaluation method that can be applied to the pre-design of the vegetation-based LID system for rainfall events on a location before construction.

분포형 수문모형과 빈도해석을 이용한 강수량별 지하수 개발가능량 산정 (Estimating Exploitable Groundwater as a Function of Precipitation Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model and Frequency Analysis)

  • 김민수;정교철;이정은;김민규
    • 지질공학
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 분포형 수문모형 SWAT-K를 사용한 함양률을 산정하고 이를 뒷받침하기 위해 유역 내에서 실제로 관측한 수문곡선 자료를 기반으로 기저유출 분리법을 이용하여 함양량 산정의 타당성을 평가하였다. 통상 지하수 개발가능량 산정 시 10년 빈도 갈수 시 강수량에 평균함양률을 곱하여 실무에 활용하고 있으나, 실제로 함양률은 강수량이 작을수록 작아지는 경향을 보이기 때문에 평균 함양률을 사용하게 되면 개발가능량이 과다 산정될 가능성이 높다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 강수량 규모를 고려한 함양량으로 함양률을 재산정하여 개발가능량을 산정하였다. 이 방법을 의왕·과천·성남시에 적용한 결과 소유역별 개발가능량은 기존 방법 대비 55.5~77.6%로 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

유역수문모형과 빈도해석을 이용한 충주댐 상류유역 지하수 개발가능량의 평가 (Evaluation of Potential Amount of Groundwater Development in Chungju Basin by Using Watershed Hydrologic Model and Frequency Analysis)

  • 이정은;김남원;정일문;이정우
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제41권4호
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2008
  • 지하수 함양은 수문학적으로 복잡한 프로세스로서 강우의 빈도, 강도, 지속시간, 계절적 분포 뿐 아니라 온도, 습도, 풍속과 같은 기상인자, 그리고 지하수위 상부에 존재하는 토양 및 암반층의 특성과 깊이, 지표의 지형과 식생분포 및 토지이용과도 관련된다(Memon, 1995). 이러한 지하수 함양량의 영향요소를 반영하기 위해 연속 유역수문모형인 SWAT-K를 이용하여 충주댐 상류 유역의 지하수 함양량을 계산하였다. 우리나라에서는 10년 빈도 갈수시 강수량에 함양계수를 곱하여 지역별 개발가능량을 산정한다. 본 연구에서는 빈도해석을 통한 10년 빈도 갈수시의 함양량을 추정, 이를 기존 개발가능량 값과 비교, 검토하는 방식으로 충주댐 상류유역의 지하수 개발가능량을 평가하였으며, 이같은 계산 절차를 통해 지하수 개발가능량을 산정하는 기존 절차의 문제점을 제시할 수 있었다.

농업용수 물절약 거버넌스 구축·운영 기초연구 (A Basic Study on Establishment and Operation of Agricultural Water Saving Governance)

  • 이슬기;최경숙
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2021
  • Recently, natural disasters caused by climate change have become more frequent across the world. Our country is also not exceptional, and it is urgent to come up with appropriate measures in the agricultural sector as the size and intensity of drought are becoming severe. Consequently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Food has continuously raised the need for efficient water management and governance to overcome the periodic drought. Thus, there is a need for water-saving education and water conservation governance for sustainable and efficient use of agricultural water. Governance is a cooperative mechanism involving various stakeholders, such as central, local, civil society, and businesses, to solve regional or social problems, with different definitions and concepts depending on the field or scope. In this study, we aim to present basis of a governance framework for direct water management participation involving the key agricultural water use stakeholders to imbibe the culture of water savings and conservation practices. Based on this, water-saving governance was established and operated in Gyeongju and Yeoju, in South Korea as a 'water conservation practice', while the water management status of local farmers, the reliability and importance of stakeholders, and the need for governance were investigated. The results indicate that the involvement of various stakeholders in the governance of water management yielded water-saving effects. This study provides the directions of making a framework for water-saving governance establishment and operation. It is expected that sustainable agricultural water use can be achieved in response to climate change if the governance builds and operates with agricultural water use stakeholders based on the continuous government supports.

KBDI 가뭄지수를 이용한 SSP 기후변화 시나리오하의 충청지역 백두대간 산불 잠재력 전망 (Projecting forest fire potential in the Baekdudaegan of the Chungcheong region under the SSP scenario climate change using KBDI Drought Index)

  • 최재용;김수진;정휘철;김성열;문건수
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • Recently, climate change has been regarded as a major cause of large-scale forest fires worldwide, and there is concern that more frequent and severe forest fires will occur due to the level of greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, the daily Keetch and Byram Drought Index (KBDI) of the Baekdudaegan in Chungcheong region including Sobaeksan, Songnisan, and Woraksan National Parks were calculated to assess effect of climate change on the forest fire potential- severity of annual maximum KBDI and frequency of high KBDI days. The present (2000~2019) and future KBDI(2021~2040, 2041~2060, 2081~2090) were calculated based on the meteorological observation and the ensemble regional climate model of the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios with a spatial resolution of 1-km provided by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, 6.5℃ increase and 14% precipitation increase are expected at the end of the 21st century. The severity of maximum daily KBDI increases by 48% (+50mm), and the frequency of high KBDI days (> 100 KBDI) increases more than 100 days, which means the high potential for serious forest fires. The analysis results showed that Songnisan National Park has the highest potential for forest fire risk and will continue to be high in intensity and frequency in the future. It is expected that the forest vulnerability of the Baekdudaegan in the Chungcheong region will greatly increase and the difficulty in preventing and suppressing forest fires will increase as the abundance of combustible materials increases along with climate changes.

토양수분구배에서 굴참나무와 떡갈나무의 생육반응, 생태 지위 및 중복역 (Growth Response, Ecological Niche and Overlap between Quercus variabilis and Quercus dentata under Soil Moisture Gradient)

  • 박여빈;김의주
    • 한국환경복원기술학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2023
  • The Quercus variabilis and Quercus dentata, which are said to be relatively drought tolerant among the important genus Quercus that represent deciduous broad-leaved forests in Korea. These two species are widely distributed worldwide in Korea, Japan and China (northern, central, western and eastern subtropical regions). This study compared the ecological niche breadth and overlap according to growth response in 4 soil moisture gradients for the two species and tried to reveal degree of competition and ecological niche characteristics. The ecological niche breadth was 0.977±0.020 for Q. variabilis and 0.979±0.014 for Q. dentata, the latter being slightly wider. And they were similar in 5 traits (stem length, leaf lamina length, leaf width length, stem weight, leaf petiole weight), Q. variabilis was more dominant in 4 traits (leaves number, stem diameter, leaf area, leaf petiole length), and Q. dentata was more dominant in 7 traits (root length, shoot length, plant weight, root weight, shoot weight, leaf weight, leaf petiole weight). The ecological niche overlap for soil moisture between the two species overlapped most in plant structure-related traits and least in photosynthetic organ-related traits such as petiole length. As a result of principal component analysis, degree of competition between the two species for soil moisture was more severe when the soil moisture condition was low than high. Among the measured traits that affect the two-dimensional distribution, 8 traits (Leaves number, Shoot length, Stem length, Plant weight, Root weight, Shoot weight, Stem weight, Leaves weight) were correlated with the factor 1, and 2 traits (Leaf width length, Leaf petiole weight) were correlated with the factor 2 (r>0.5). These results show that the ecological response of the two species to soil moisture is not a few traits involved, but several traits are involved simultaneously.

회귀식에 의해 도출된 가중치가 취약성 평가에 미치는 영향 (The lnfluence of Weighting Value derived by the Regression Equation on the Result of Vulnerability Assessment)

  • 유소민;이우균;채여라;곽한빈;김문일;정래선
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.331-348
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    • 2013
  • 기후변화로 인해 우리나라는 이상기후 현상의 빈도와 강도가 증가하고 있으며, 이로 인한 재난재해 피해가 급증하고 있다. 취약성 평가는 환경적, 사회적, 경제적 요인에 취약한 지표를 분석하고, 기후변화로 인한 피해를 방지하고, 적응대책을 수립하기 위해 계속적으로 연구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 가중치 산정 방법인 회귀분석을 활용한 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 평가는 전국을 대상으로 홍수에 의한 농경지 침식/침하 취약성, 폭염에 의한 건강 취약성, 가뭄에 의한 산불 취약성 평가를 실시하였다. 이를 위해 각 부문별로 규준 별 지표를 선정한 뒤, GIS 프로그램을 통해 지표를 공간자료 형태로 구축하였다. 그 결과, 폭염에 의한 건강 취약성 평가에서는 기후적인 요인의 영향이 큰 것으로 나타났으며, 산불 취약성과 농경지 침식/침하 취약성 평가에서는 인위적인 요인의 영향이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 이후 가중치를 적용하지 않은 취약성 평가와 비교를 통하여 회귀분석의 효율성을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 회귀분석 방법이 현실적으로 기후변화 적응 대책을 수립하는데 효율성이 있다고 제시하며, 향후 취약성 평가에 활용될 가능성이 있을 것으로 기대된다.