• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.14-26
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• 2016

This study analyzed the correlation between the standardized precipitation index(SPI) and forest fire occurrences using monthly accumulative rainfall data since 1970 and regional fire occurrence data since 1991. To understand the relationship between the SPI and forest fire occurrences, the correlations among the SPI of nine main observatory weather stations including Seoul, number of fire occurrences, and log of fire occurrences were analyzed. We analyzed the correlation of SPI with fire occurrences in the 1990s and 2000s and found that in the 1990s, the SPI of 3 months showed high correlation in Gyeonggi, Gangwon, and Chungnam, while the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation in Chungbuk, and the SPI of 12 months showed high correlation in Gyeongnam, Gyenongbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk. In the 2000s, the SPI of 6 months showed high correlation with the fire frequency in Gyeonggi, Chungnam, Chungbuk, Jeonnam, and Jeonbuk, whereas the fire frequency in western Gangwon was highly correlated with the SPI of 3 months and, in eastern Gangwon, Gyeongnam, and Gyenongbuk, with the SPI of 1 month. In the 1990s, distinct differences in the drought condition between the SPI of 3 months and 12 months in the northern and southern regions of Korean Peninsula were found, whereas the differences in both the SPI of 1 month and 6 months were found in the Baekdudaegan region except western Gangwon since the 2000s. Therefore, this study suggests that we can develop a model to predict forest fire occurrences by applying the SPI of 1-month and 6-month data in the future.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.635-643
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• 2014

Sustaiable development yield of groundwater in Korea has been determined according to 10 year drought frequency of groundwater recharge in the standard mid-sized watershed or relatively large area of district. Therefore, the evaluation of groundwater impact in a small watershed is hard to apply. Fot this purpose, a novel approach to estimate cell based sustainable development yield of groundwater (SDYG) is suggested and applied to Gyeongju region. Cell based groundwater recharge is computed using hydrological component analysis using the SWAT-MODFLOW which is an integrated surface water-groundwater model. To estimate the potential amount of groundwater development, the existing method which uses 10 year drought frequency rainfall multiplied by recharge coefficient is adopted. Cell based SDYGs are computed and summed for 143 sub-watersheds and administrative districts. When these SDYGs are combined with groundwater usage data, the groundwater usage rate (total usage / SDYG) shows wide local variations (7.1~108.8%) which are unseen when average rate (24%) is only evaluated. Also, it is expected that additional SDYGs in any small district could be estimated.

• Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.85-98
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• 2010

The natural hazards such as droughts, floods and frost injuries, and their relationships with the social unrest phenomena such as years of famine, smallpox and revolutions during the Medieval times(AD 936~1391) in Korea are compared and analyzed based on the History of Goryeo containing astronomical weather and climate events during the Goryeo Dynasty. Among the natural hazards during the Goryeo Dynasty, the droughts with a period of 4~5 years on average are recorded most frequently. By time series analysis, the most frequency of droughts can be found in AD 286~335, AD 786~835 and AD 1261~1320 during the Ancient and Medieval times. It is suggested that three cycles of the droughts during approximately 1,500 years of the Ancient and Medieval times are recognized and they had happened with the time intervals of approximately 500 years. The frequency of droughts increased in the late Goryeo Dynasty is consistent with those of the social chaos factors such as years of famines, smallpox and revolutions. These records suggest that the natural hazard such as years of famines was one of the most important factors influencing on the collapse of the Goryeo Dynasty, agrarian country.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.154-154
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• 2022

The frequency of natural disasters, including floods and drought events, driven by climate change has increased in recent times. Investigating the climate regimes and the roles of climate variables are indispensable to forestall future climate change-related disasters. This study compares the variability of two popular and widely used climate indices i.e., the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) aridity index and the Modified De-Martonne (MDM) index to assess the trend of climate change in the Chungcheong provinces of South Korea. The trend of annual and monthly climate indices was conducted using a non-parametric Mann-Kendall test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test with daily climate data of 48 years (1978-2020) from 10 synoptic stations. The findings indicate that UNEP and MDM indices had a wet climate regime for the annual trend, with the UNEP index indicating a relatively humid trend of 60% humid, 20% semi-arid, and 10% sub-humid for the 48-years study period. However, the MDM index showed a high frequency of a severe wet climatic condition followed by the semi-arid condition. The months of July and August had the highest occurring frequency of the wet climatic condition (90%) for both UNEP and MDM indices. Comparing the two provinces, Chungnam showed a relatively wetter climatic condition using the UNEP index, while the MDM index indicated no significant regional difference in climate regime between the two provinces. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov normality test showed that all the 10 stations are normally distributed for monthly climate conditions at a 5% significant level in the two provinces except five stations for UNEP index and four stations for MDM index in the month of January.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.7
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• pp.481-491
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• 2024

Recent droughts make hydroelectric power generation (HPG) decreasing. Due to climate change in the future, the frequency and intensity of drought are expected to increase, which will increase uncertainty of HPG in multi-purpose dams. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the amount of HPG according to climate change scenarios and analyze the effect of drought on the amount of HPG. This study analyzed the future HPG of the Soyanggang Dam and Chungju Dam according to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Regression equations for HPG were developed based on the observed data of power generation discharge and HPG in the past provided by My Water, and future HPGs were estimated according to the SSP scenarios. The effect of drought on the amount of HPG was investigated based on the drought severity calculated using the standardized precipitation index (SPI). In this study, the future SPIs were calculated using precipitation data based on four GCM models (CanESM5, ACCESS-ESM1-5, INM-CM4-8, IPSL-CM6A) provided through the environmental big data platform. Overall results show that climate change had significant effects on the amount of HPG. In the case of Soyanggang Dam, the amount of HPG decreased in the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario the CanESM model showed a 65% reduction in 2031, and under the SSP5-8.5 scenario the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model showed a 54% reduction in 2029. In the case of Chungju Dam, under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios the average monthly HPG compared to the reference period showed a decreasing trend except for INM-CM4 model.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1991-1995
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 제반 수문학적 문제 해결을 위하여 강우사상에 대해 최대평균우량깊이-유역면적-지속기간 관계곡선의 항목 중 최대평균우량깊이를 가뭄심도의 항으로 대체한 가뭄심도-영향면적-지속기간 관계 곡선의 작성방법을 제시하고자 한다. 제주도를 포함한 우리나라 전역의 기상청 월강수량을 이용하여 SPI 가뭄지수를 산정하고 EOF 기법을 적용하여 공간정보로 축약하였다. 이후 Kriging 기법으로 $6km{\times}6km$의 해상도를 가진 SPI값으로 할당함으로써 격자기반의 가뭄지수 자료의 시간 및 공간특성을 고려할 수 있다. 이에 근거하여 주요 가뭄사상을 식별 및 분석하여 영향면적별 가뭄지수를 산정하고 이에 따라 가뭄심도-가뭄면적-가뭄지속기간 관계곡선을 도시하였다. 관계곡선 작성 결과 각 지속기간에 대하여 특정한 면적 이상에서 가뭄심도가 완만하게 감소하는 형태를 보여 공간적 국지성 및 시간적 단속성이 강한 홍수와는 시 공간적으로 다르게 거동되고 있었으며 가뭄심도의 면적에 따른 감소율은 가뭄분석시의 강우깊이의 면적에 따른 감소율과 비교하였을 때 훨씬 작은 것으로 분석되었다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1465-1469
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• 2006

수문순환 과정은 기상현상과 밀접한 관련을 가지고 서로 연관되어 있다. 이러한 연관성을 규명하여 수자원관리에 위험도를 감소시키려는 노력은 많은 분야에서 이루어지고 있으며, 주요 연구 주제가 되고 있다. 이러한 기상현상 중에서 가뭄은 여러 가지 요소가 복합되어 발생되는 것으로 알려지고 있으나 이를 설명하기에는 여전히 부족한 면이 존재한다. 가뭄을 발생시키는 몇 가지 가능한 원인으로는 E1 Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)현상으로 잘 알려져 있는 비정상적인 해수면 온도의 변화나 기후 시스템의 비선형적 거동을 들 수 있다. 특히, 기후 시스템은 대개 경년 변화(inter-annual variability) 및 10년 이상의 주기(decadal variability) 특성을 가지고 있으며 가뭄 또한 경년변화의 주기 특성을 나타내고 있는 것으로 알려지고 있다. 이러한 관점에서 수문시계열을 특정 주파수(frequency)에서 고립시킨 후, 분석이 가능한 분해방법(decomposition method)을 통해 보다 해석적으로 접근하는 것이 가능하다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 Wavelet Transform분석을 도입하였으며 통계적으로 유의한 성분을 시계열로부터 추출하여 가뭄과 기상인자와의 변동성 분석을 실시하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.827-831
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• 2009

Recently, frequency occurring flood and drought has increased the necessity of an effective water resources control and management of river flows. Therefore, the simulation of the flow distribution in natural rivers is great importance to the solution of a wide variety of practical flow problems in water resources engineering. However The serious problem facing two-dimensional hydraulic model is the treatment of wet and dry areas. The objective of this study is to investigate the wet and dry parameters that have direct relevance to model performance in situations where inundation of initially dry areas occurs. Several numerical simulations were carried out, which examined the performance of the marsh porosity method for the purpose of sensitivity analysis. Experimental channel and a variety of channel were performed for model tests. The results were compared with those of the observation data and simulation data of existing model. The RMA-2 model displayed reasonable flow distribution compare to the observation data and simulation data of existing model in dry area for application of natural river flow. As a result of this study, effectively applied marsh porosity method provide a reliable results for flow distribution of wet and dry area, it could be further developed to basis for extending to water quality and sediment transport analysis.

• Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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• v.22 no.3
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• pp.18-26
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• 2017

The increasing frequency of droughts has been increasing the necessity of utilizing subsurface dams as reliable groundwater resources in areas where it is difficult to supply adequate agricultural water using only surface water. In this study, we analyzed the current status and actual conditions of five agricultural subsurface dams as well as the effect of obtaining additional groundwater from subsurface dams operated as one aspect of the sustainable integrated water management system. Based on the construction methods and functions of each subsurface dam, the five subsurface dams are classified into three types such as those that derive water from rivers, those that prevent seawater intrusion, and those that link to a main irrigation canal. The classification is based on various conditions including topography, reservoir location, irrigation facilities, and river and alluvial deposit distributions. Agricultural groundwater upstream of subsurface dams is obtained from four to five radial collector wells. From the study, the total amount of groundwater recovered from the subsurface dam is turned out to be about 29~44% of the total irrigation water demand, which is higher than that of general agricultural groundwater of about 4.6%.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.16 no.10
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• pp.2101-2107
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• 2012

A current velocity measurement radar for a river or a stream estimates Doppler frequencies of return echoes to extract the corresponding surface velocity information. It is very important to maintain the reliability and accuracy of these velocity estimates for water resource management such as flooding or drought conditions. However, received Doppler spectra of water surface return echoes have very widely varying shapes according to different measurement environments and weather conditions. Therefore, serious problems may arise in maintaining the reliability and accuracy of velocity estimating algorithm in a radar sensor because of Doppler spectra which can have many different kind of shapes. Therefore, in this paper, an appropriate Doppler spectrum model is suggested to simulate many various Doppler spectra. This model can be very useful in validating the reliability and accuracy of surface velocity estimates.