• Title/Summary/Keyword: drought damage

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Satellite-based Drought Forecasting: Research Trends, Challenges, and Future Directions

  • Son, Bokyung;Im, Jungho;Park, Sumin;Lee, Jaese
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.815-831
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    • 2021
  • Drought forecasting is crucial to minimize the damage to food security and water resources caused by drought. Satellite-based drought research has been conducted since 1980s, which includes drought monitoring, assessment, and prediction. Unlike numerous studies on drought monitoring and assessment for the past few decades, satellite-based drought forecasting has gained popularity in recent years. For successful drought forecasting, it is necessary to carefully identify the relationships between drought factors and drought conditions by drought type and lead time. This paper aims to provide an overview of recent research trends and challenges for satellite-based drought forecasts focusing on lead times. Based on the recent literature survey during the past decade, the satellite-based drought forecasting studies were divided into three groups by lead time (i.e., short-term, sub-seasonal, and seasonal) and reviewed with the characteristics of the predictors (i.e., drought factors) and predictands (i.e., drought indices). Then, three major challenges-difficulty in model generalization, model resolution and feature selection, and saturation of forecasting skill improvement-were discussed, which led to provide several future research directions of satellite-based drought forecasting.

Study on Establishment of Master Plan flor Drought Management Information System (가뭄관리정보시스템 마스터플랜수립 연구)

  • Park Jin Hyeog;Koh Deuk Koo;Lee Geun Sang;Hwang Eui Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.1481-1485
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    • 2005
  • This study aims at establishing master plan for efficient establishment of comprehensive drought management information system as non-structural drought counterplan which provides drought damage in advance. Domestic and abroad research related to drought were surveyed and analyzed through many literature and internet for systematic drought management information system. Long-term master plan for comprehensive drought management information system is divided into 3 steps. In first step, drought monitoring system including development of hydrological drought assessment index, drought outlook analysis method and GIS web based drought monitering system is established. In second step, water supply plan and guideline through water shortage danger assessment by areal characteristics is established. In third step, comprehensive management information system through export system linked to KORSIM and establishment of information shared system between each bureau related to drought. Based on this study, master plan for efficient development and application of drought management information system is proposed, it is expected to be applied as guideline for second and third step of drought management information system.

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Evaluation of Economic Damage Caused by Drought in Central Region Vietnam: A Case Study of Phu Yen Province

  • Truong, Dinh Duc;Tri, Doan Quang
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.649-657
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to study the impact of natural disasters on per capita income in Vietnam both the short and long-term, specifically impact loss of income caused by the extreme drought 2013 for agriculture, forestry and fishery in Phu Yen Province, Central Vietnam. The study valued economic damage by applying the synthetic control method (SCM), which is a statistical method to evaluate the effect of an intervention (e.g. natural disasters) in different case studies. It estimates what would have happened to the treatment group if it had not received the treatment by constructing a weighted combination of control units (e.g. control provinces). The results showed that the 2013 drought caused a decrease in income per capita, mainly in the agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector in Phu Yen. The reduced income was estimated to be VND 160,000 (1 USD = 23,500 VND (2021)) for one person per month, accounting for 11% of total income per capita and continued to affect the income 6 years later. Therefore, authorities need to invest in preventive solutions such as early and accurate warnings to help people to be more proactive in disaster prevention.

A Study on the Evaluation of Agricultural Drought Index (농업한발지수 설정에 관한 연구)

  • 안병기;김태철;정도웅
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 1988
  • This study, based on the monthly rainfall data, was carried out to determine the agricultural drought index which enables to describe the regional and seasonal drought characteristics of rice cropping system in Korea. The results obtained were summarized as follows ; 1.A new agricultural drought index (ADI) was evaluated seasonally according to the product of drought intensity and duration. This ADI is proposed as standard design criterion for irrigation planning. 2.The relationship between agricultural drought index and return periods was figured out. These diagrams could be used to estimate the seasonal drought severity of a certain year and to select design year corresponding to the specific drought frequency. 3.The regional drought characteristics were classified and those are useful to determine proper rice varieties and planting time and make drought counterplans. 4.Spring drought occurred once in 3 or 4 years and in a regional respect, rather frequently occurred in Seoul and Daegu areas than in Busan, Daejeon, Kwangju and Chuncheon areas. Summer drought occurred once in 5 years in Daegu and Busan areas and once in 7 or 8 years in other areas. 5.Sequential drought which gave severe drought damage of rice production occurred once in 20 years in Daegu area and in 10 years in Kwangju area.

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Drought risk assessment considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system (지역의 사회·경제적 인자와 용수공급체계를 고려한 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Min Ji;Choi, Sijung;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.589-601
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    • 2022
  • Although drought is a natural phenomenon, its damage occurs in combination with regional physical and social factors. Especially, related to the supply and demand of various waters, drought causes great socio-economic damage. Even meteorological droughts occur with similar severity, its impact varies depending on the regional characteristics and water supply system. Therefore, this study assessed regional drought risk considering regional socio-economic factors and water supply system. Drought hazard was assessed by grading the joint drought management index (JDMI) which represents water shortage. Drought vulnerability was assessed by weighted averaging 10 socio-economic factors using Entropy, Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). Drought response capacity that represents regional water supply factors was assessed by employing Bayesian networks. Drought risk was determined by multiplying a cubic root of the hazard, vulnerability, and response capacity. For the drought hazard meaning the possibility of failure to supply water, Goesan-gun was the highest at 0.81. For the drought vulnerability, Daejeon was most vulnerable at 0.61. Considering the regional water supply system, Sejong had the lowest drought response capacity. Finally, the drought risk was the highest in Cheongju-si. This study identified the regional drought risk and vulnerable causes of drought, which is useful in preparing drought mitigation policy considering the regional characteristics in the future.

Evaluation of Regional Drought Vulnerability Assessment Based on Agricultural Water and Reservoirs (지역기반 농업용수의 가뭄재해 취약성 평가)

  • Mun, Young-Sik;Nam, Won-Ho;Jeon, Min-Gi;Kim, Han-Joong;Kang, Ku;Lee, Jung-Chul;Ha, Tae-Hyun;Lee, Kwangya
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.97-109
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    • 2020
  • Drought is one of the most influential disasters in sustainable agriculture and food security of nations. In order to preemptively respond to agricultural droughts, vulnerability assessments were conducted to predict the possibility of drought in the region, the degree of direct or indirect damage, and the ability to cope with the damage. Information on agricultural drought vulnerability status of different regions is extremely useful for implementation of long term drought management measures. The purpose of this study is to develop and implement a quantitative approach for measuring agricultural drought vulnerability at sub-district level based on agricultural water and reservoirs. To assess the vulnerability in a quantitative manner and also to deal with different physical and socioeconomic data on the occurrence of agricultural drought, we selected the appropriate factors for the assessment of agricultural drought vulnerability through preceding studies, and analyzed the meteorological and agricultural reservoir data from 2015 to 2018. Each item was weighted using AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) analysis and evaluated through the agricultural drought vulnerability estimation. The entire national vulnerability assessments showed that Ganghwa, Naju, and Damyang were the most vulnerable to agricultural droughts. As a result of analyzing spatial expression, Gyeongsang-do is relatively more vulnerable to drought than Gangwon-do and Gyeonggi-do. The results revealed that the methodology and evaluation items achieved good performance in drought response. In addition, vulnerability assessments based on agricultural reservoir are expected to contribute supporting effective drought decisions in the field of agricultural water management.

Development of a Hydrological Drought Index Considering Water Availability (수자원 가용능력을 고려한 수문학적 가뭄지수의 개발)

  • Park, Min-Ji;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Choi, Young-Don;Park, Jae-Young;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2011
  • Recently natural disasters such as the frequency and intensity of drought have been increasing as a result of climate change. This study suggests a drought index, WADI (Water Availability Drought Index), that considers water availability using 6 components (water intake, groundwater level, agricultural reservoir water level, dam inflow, streamflow, and precipitation) using the Z score and data monitoring on a nationwide level. SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) was applied in coastal area. For the severe droughts of 2001 spring and 2008 autumn, the index was evaluated by comparison with reported damage areas. suggested to combine The spatial concordance rate of WADI in 2001 and 2008 for estimation of the degree of drought severity was 50 % and 24 % compared to the actual recorded data respectively.

A Preliminary Study for Vulnerability Assessment to Natural Hazards in Gyeongsangnam-do (경남 시군별 자연재해 취약성 평가 및 유형 분류)

  • Kim, Sung Jae;Kim, Yong Wan;Choi, Young Wan;Kim, Sung Min;Jang, Min Won
    • KCID journal
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2012
  • This study aimed to evaluate the vulnerability to different natural hazards such as flood, drought, and abnormal climate, and to classify the vulnerability patterns in Gyeongsangnam-do. The damage records and annual budgets during 2000 to 2009 were collected and were ranked for all twelve si-guns. Sancheong-gun and Hamyang-gun resulted in the most vulnerable to flood and drought damages, and Hadong-gun and Yangsan-si were most damaged from abnormal climate such as heavy snow and heavy wind. In addition, three clusters were classified by using Ward's method, and were interpreted. The results showed that the western areas of Gyeongsangnam-do might be more vulnerable to flood damage while drought might threaten the eastern si-guns.

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Correlation Analysis of Vegetation Index and Drought Index (식생지수와 가뭄지수의 상관성 분석)

  • Kim, Kyung Tak;Park, Jung Sool
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2006
  • Drought is an natural phenomenon which effects greatly on our society. It has various time scale and it is difficult to define the beginning and the end. So we can't aware it quickly and the damage of drought become severe. To cope with these problems, it needs to construct drought monitoring system. And it is required that the definition of drought which is objective and can be applied widely and proper drought index for drought monitoring. Meteorology and hydrology have developed drought index for drought monitoring. There are many attempt to interpret the drought using NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) or LST(Land Surface Temperature) in remote sensing. In this study, drought index and precipitation is used to find drought severity of last ten years in South Korea. NDVI and VCI is applied to perceive the state of drought. Finally, the possibility of drought monitoring and evaluating drought depth is estimated by analyzing the correlation between vegetation Index and drought index.

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Future drought assessment in the Nakdong basin in Korea under climate change impacts

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Quan, Ngo Van
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.458-458
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    • 2012
  • Climate extreme variability is a major cause of disaster such as flood and drought types occurred in Korea and its effects is also more severe damage in last decades which can be danger mature events in the future. The main aim of this study was to assess the effectives of climate change on drought for an agriculture as Nakdong basin in Korea using climate change data in the future from data of General Circulation Models (GCM) of ECHO-G, with the developing countries like Korea, the developed climate scenario of medium-high greenhouse gas emission was proposed of the SRES A2. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was applied for drought evaluation. The drought index (SPI) applied for sites in catchment and it is evaluated accordingly by current and future precipitation data, specific as determined for data from nine precipitation stations with data covering the period 1980-2009 for current and three periods 2010-2039, 2040-2069 and 2070-2099 for future; time scales of 3month were used for evaluating. The results determined drought duration, magnitude and spatial extent. The drought in catchment act intensively occurred in March, April, May and November and months of drought extreme often appeared annual in May and November; drought frequent is a non-uniform cyclic pattern in an irregular repetitive manner, but results showed drought intensity increasing in future periods. The results indicated also spatial point of view, the SPI analysis showed two of drought extents; local drought acting on one or more one of sites and entire drought as cover all of site in catchment. In addition, the meteorology drought simulation maps of spatial drought representation were carried out with GIS software to generate for some drought extreme years in study area. The method applied in this study are expected to be appropriately applicable to the evaluation of the effects of extreme hydrologic events, the results also provide useful for the drought warning and sustainable water resources management strategies and policy in agriculture basins.

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