• Title/Summary/Keyword: dispersion models

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CHANGE POINT TEST FOR DISPERSION PARAMETER BASED ON DISCRETELY OBSERVED SAMPLE FROM SDE MODELS

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.839-845
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we consider the cusum of squares test for the dispersion parameter in stochastic differential equation models. It is shown that the test has a limiting distribution of the sup of a Brownian bridge, unaffected by the drift parameter estimation. A simulation result is provided for illustration.

Dispersion Curves and Dispersion Characteristics Expected from Different Borehole Environments (시추공 환경변화에 따른 분산곡선 및 분산특성)

  • Zhao, Weijun;Kim, Yeong-Hwa;Kim, Jong-Man
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.329-337
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    • 2007
  • For seven NX sized borehole models constructed from physical property data for representative geology in Korea, dispersion curves were derived and compared between models having different physical parameters. By comparing and analyzing the dispersion curves obtained from different sources (monopole and dipole) and different borehole sizes (76 mm and 150 mm), dispersion characteristics in sonic log could be understood better, particularly in the case of slim hole sonic log.

Application of Thermal Discharge Dispersion Model on Cheonsu Bay (천수만 해역에서 온배수 확산모델의 적용)

  • 박영기
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.169-180
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    • 1995
  • This Daper presents effective simulation of the dispersion of thermal discharge which can be relesed at Boryong power plant. Applied numerical models are finite difference method for hydrodynamic analysis and Masch-model comprised of conditions for ambient current velocity. Application of these models is done in Cheonsu Bay Summing up the results of this study are as follows; 1. It is found that the result for measurements of temperature appears high at southwardly Songdo on flood. The reason is that tidal currents which flowed north direction were accompanied with southwardly dispersed thermal discharge. A minute Particle of thermal Plume has a tendency to dispels inward Deacheon Bay. 2. According to the results of numerical experiment, maximum distance for thermal discharge dispersion appeared 10.8 km at lower part and 8.6 km at upper part with power plant outlet as starting point. 3. Comparative the numerical simulation and Airbone Multispectral Scanner indicated that thermal discharge should be verified separative phenomena. The simulated results were compared with field data set showing good agreement. It is concluded that these model can be simulated well.

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A Field Tracer Experiment by using RI and Numerical Modelling in River (RI를 이용한 하천 현장실험 및 수치 모델링)

  • Kim, Ki Chul;Chun, Il Young;Jung, Sung Hee;Lee, Jung Lyul;Suh, Kyung Suk
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2008
  • A field tracer experiment using radioisotope was carried out to investigate the characteristics of a pollutant transport and a determination of the dispersion coefficients in a river system. The dispersion coefficients in the longitudinal and transverse directions were determined by using the measured concentration of a radioisotope. The two-dimensional numerical models were applied to calculate the flow and concentration fields at the experimental site. Several numerical simulations were performed to investigate the effects of the numerical results according to variations of the dispersion coefficients. The calculated concentrations agreed well with the measured ones.

Model Checking for Joint Modelling of Mean and Dispersion (평균과 산포의 동시 모형화에 대한 모형검토)

  • Ha, Il-Do;Lee, Woo-Dong;Cho, Geon-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.195-209
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    • 1997
  • The joint modelling of mean and dispersion in quasi-likelihood models which greatly extend the scope of generalized linear models, is required in case that the dispersion parameter, the variance component of response variables, is not constant but changes by depending on any covariates. In this paper, by using statistical package GENSTAT(release 5.3.2, 1996) which makes a easily analyze real data through this joint modelling, we mention necessities that must consider this joint modelling rather than existing mean models through model checking based on graphic methods for esterase assay data introduced by Carrol and Ruppert(1987, pp.46-47), and then study methods finding reasonable joint model of mean and dispersion for this data.

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Usage Characteristics of Publicly-Available Accidental Release Models (주요 누출사고 예측 모델의 사용 특성 비교)

  • 정수희;윤도영;김영성
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.687-696
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    • 1999
  • Characteristics of four publicly-available accidental release models, ALOHA, SLAB, HGSYSTEM, and DEGADIS, are compared. These models are world-widely used and recently recommended by the Chemical Dispersion and Consequence Assessment(CDCA) Working Group of the United States as models applicable to generally broad safety-basis documentation applicatons. Four release scenarios are assumed by referring to the usage and storage conditions of toxic substances in the field as well as the USEPA model guideline(1993). Sensitivity of impact radius by varying meteorological conditions is tested in typical and worst-case meteorological conditions. The results show that ALOHA generally gives conservative estimates and the results from HGSYSTEM are sensitive to variations in meteorological conditions.

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Comparison between the Application Results of NNM and a GIS-based Decision Support System for Prediction of Ground Level SO2 Concentration in a Coastal Area

  • Park, Ok-Hyun;Seok, Min-Gwang;Sin, Ji-Young
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2009
  • A prototype GIS-based decision support system (DSS) was developed by using a database management system (DBMS), a model management system (MMS), a knowledge-based system (KBS), a graphical user interface (GUI), and a geographical information system (GIS). The method of selecting a dispersion model or a modeling scheme, originally devised by Park and Seok, was developed using our GIS-based DSS. The performances of candidate models or modeling schemes were evaluated by using a single index(statistical score) derived by applying fuzzy inference to statistical measures between the measured and predicted concentrations. The fumigation dispersion model performed better than the models such as industrial source complex short term model(ISCST) and atmospheric dispersion model system(ADMS) for the prediction of the ground level $SO_2$ (1 hr) concentration in a coastal area. However, its coincidence level between actual and calculated values was poor. The neural network models were found to improve the accuracy of predicted ground level $SO_2$ concentration significantly, compared to the fumigation models. The GIS-based DSS may serve as a useful tool for selecting the best prediction model, even for complex terrains.

Comparison of Complex Terrain Effects in the Air Dispersion Modeling at the Poryong Power Plant Site (보령화력 지역의 복잡지형이 대기확산 모델링에 미치는 영향 비교)

  • 오현선;김영성;김진영;문길주;홍욱희
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.427-437
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    • 1997
  • Complex terrain which is rather typical topographic character in Korea would greatly influence the dispersion of air pollutant. In this study, we investigated how the complex terrain in the vicinity of the coal-fired plant affects the air dispersion modeling results by using several US EPA models: SCREEN, CTSCREEN, ISCLT3, ISCST3, and RTDM. Screening analysis was followed by long-term analysis, and the plume movement over the terrain was precisely tracked for selected cases. Screening analysis revealed that the highest concentration of sulfur dioxide occurs at the downwind distance of 1.3 km under the unstable conditions with weak winds. However, this highest level of $SO_2$ could be raised by 4 times even in the presence of a hill of 170 m at a distance of 2 to 3 km. Seasonal and annual average concentrations predicted with the ISCLT3, ISCST3, and RTDM models showed a rapid incrase of $SO_2$ levels in front of the high mountains which are located more than 15 km away fromt the source. The highest concentrations predicted with ISCST3 were significantly higher than those with ISCLT3 and RTDM mainly because ISCST3 chooses simple-terrain model calculations for receptors between stack height and plume height. Although the highest levels under the stable conditions were usually found in the areas beyond 15 km or more, their absolute values were not so high due to enough dispersion effects between the source and the receptors.

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The Effects of Dispersion Parameters and Test for Equality of Dispersion Parameters in Zero-Truncated Bivariate Generalized Poisson Models (제로절단된 이변량 일반화 포아송 분포에서 산포모수의 효과 및 산포의 동일성에 대한 검정)

  • Lee, Dong-Hee;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.585-594
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    • 2010
  • This study, investigates the effects of dispersion parameters between two response variables in zero-truncated bivariate generalized Poisson distributions. A Monte Carlo study shows that the zero-truncated bivariate Poisson and negative binomial models fit poorly wherein the zero-truncated bivariate count data has heterogeneous dispersion parameters on dependent variables. In addition, we derive the score test for testing the equality of the dispersion parameters and compare its efficiency with the likelihood ratio test.

A Simple Mlodel for Dispersion in the Stable Boundary Layer

  • Sung-Dae Kang;Fuj
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 1992
  • Handling the emergency problems such as Chemobyl accident require real time prediction of pollutants dispersion. One-point real time sounding at pollutant source and simple model including turbulent-radiation process are very important to predict dispersion at real time. The stability categories obtained by one-dimensional numerical model (including PBL dynamics and radiative process) are good agreement with observational data (Golder, 1972). Therefore, the meteorological parameters (thermal, moisture and momentum fluxes; sensible and latent heat; Monin-Obukhov length and bulk Richardson number; vertical diffusion coefficient and TKE; mixing height) calculated by this model will be useful to understand the structure of stable boundary layer and to handling the emergency problems such as dangerous gasses accident. Especially, this simple model has strong merit for practical dispersion models which require turbulence process but does not takes long time to real predictions. According to the results of this model, the urban area has stronger vertical dispersion and weaker horizontal dispersion than rural area during daytime in summer season. The maximum stability class of urban area and rural area are "A" and "B" at 14 LST, respectively. After 20 LST, both urban and rural area have weak vertical dispersion, but they have strong horizontal dispersion. Generally, the urban area have larger radius of horizontal dispersion than rural area. Considering the resolution and time consuming problems of three dimensional grid model, one-dimensional model with one-point real sounding have strong merit for practical dispersion model.al dispersion model.

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