• Title/Summary/Keyword: discrete logistic model

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A Historical Review on Discrete Models of Population Changes and Illustrative Analysis Methods Using Computer Softwares (개체 수 변화에 대한 이산적 모델의 역사적 개요와 컴퓨터 소프트웨어를 이용하는 시각적 분석 방법)

  • Shim, Seong-A
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 2014
  • Species like insects and fishes have, in many cases, non-overlapping time intervals of one generation and their descendant one. So the population dynamics of such species can be formulated as discrete models. In this paper various discrete population models are introduced in chronological order. The author's investigation starts with the Malthusian model suggested in 1798, and continues through Verhulst model(the discrete logistic model), Ricker model, the Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment model, Shep-herd model, Hassell model and Sigmoid type Beverton-Holt model. We discuss the mathematical and practical significance of each model and analyze its properties. Also the stability properties of stationary solutions of the models are studied analytically and illustratively using GSP, a computer software. The visual outputs generated by GSP are compared with the analytical stability results.

Improved Exact Inference in Logistic Regression Model

  • Kim, Donguk;Kim, Sooyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.277-289
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    • 2003
  • We propose modified exact inferential methods in logistic regression model. Exact conditional distribution in logistic regression model is often highly discrete, and ordinary exact inference in logistic regression is conservative, because of the discreteness of the distribution. For the exact inference in logistic regression model we utilize the modified P-value. The modified P-value can not exceed the ordinary P-value, so the test of size $\alpha$ based on the modified P-value is less conservative. The modified exact confidence interval maintains at least a fixed confidence level but tends to be much narrower. The approach inverts results of a test with a modified P-value utilizing the test statistic and table probabilities in logistic regression model.

Application of Statistical Models for Default Probability of Loans in Mortgage Companies

  • Jung, Jin-Whan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2000
  • Three primary interests frequently raised by mortgage companies are introduced and the corresponding statistical approaches for the default probability in mortgage companies are examined. Statistical models considered in this paper are time series, logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and discrete time models. Usage of the models is illustrated using an artificially modified data set and the corresponding models are evaluated in appropriate manners.

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Estimation on Hazard Rates Change-Point Model

  • Kwang Mo Jeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.327-336
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    • 2000
  • We are mainly interested in hazard rate changes which are usually occur in survival times of manufactured products or patients. We may expect early failures with one hazard rate and next another hazard rate. For this type of data we apply a hazard rate change-point model and estimate the unkown time point to improve the model adequacy. We introduce change-point logistic model to the discrete time hazard rates. The MLEs are obtained routinely and we also explain the suggested model through a dataset of survival times.

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Performance and Cost Analysis of Supply Chain Models

  • Bause, F.;Fischer, M.;Kemper, P.;Volker, M.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we introduce a general framework for the modeling, analysis and costing of logistic networks including supply chains (SCs). The employed modeling notation, the so-called Process Chain paradigm, is specifically developed for the application field of logistic networks which includes SCs. We view SCs as discrete event dynamic systems (DEDS) and apply corresponding simulative techniques in order to derive performance measures of the Process Chain model under investigation. For this purpose Process Chain models are automatically transformed into the input language of the simulation tool HIT. Subsequently, a cost accounting model using the performance measures is applied to obtain costs which are actually subject of interest. The usefulness and applicability of the approach is illustrated by a typical supply chain example. We investigate the impact of an additional SC channel between a manufacturer and web-consumers on the overall supply chain costs.

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Simulation-based Analysis of Electric Power Consumption Efficiency for Self-Driving Roller Conveyor Systems (시뮬레이션 기반 자체 구동 롤러 컨베이어 물류시스템의 전력 효율 분석)

  • Kim, Young J.;Park, Hee N.;HAM, Won K.;Park, Sang C.
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2015
  • This paper is to analyze the efficiency of power consumption in logistic systems that are based on self-driving roller conveyors by the simulation technology. The improvement of the efficiency brings advantages for reducing greenhouse gas emission and logistics costs. A self-driving roller conveyor is operated only when products are loaded on itself. Thus, the self-driving roller conveyor systems consume less electric power than continuous-driving roller conveyor systems. In this paper, we design a DEVS (Discrete-Event based System) based simulation model and construct self-driving roller and continuous-driving roller conveyor models. For the verification and validation of the designed simulation system and conveyor models, we model a corresponding logistic model for the experimental environment and compare between the model and a real system. The main objective of this paper is to describe the power consumption advantage of self-driving roller conveyor based logistic systems using a simulation method.

A Methodology for Creating a Simulation Model for a Agent Based and Object-oriented Logistics Support System (군수지원시스템을 위한 에이전트 기반의 객체 지향 시뮬레이션 모델 아키텍처 설계 방법론)

  • Chung, Yong-H.;Hwam, Won-K.;Park, Sang-C.
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2012
  • Proposed in the paper is an agent based and object-oriented methodology to create a virtual logistics support system model. The proposed virtual logistics support system model consists of three types of objects: the logistics force agent model(static model), the military supplies transport manager model(function model), the military supplies state manager model(dynamic model). A logistic force agent model consists of two agent: main function agent and function agent. To improve the reusability and composability of a logistics force agent model, the function agent is designed to adapt to different logistics force agent configuration. A military supplies transport manager is agent that get information about supply route, make decisions based on decision variables, which are maintained by the military supplies state manager, and transport military supplies. A military supplies state manager is requested military supplies from logistics force agent, provide decision variables such as the capacity, order of priority. For the implementation of the proposed virtual logistics force agent model, this paper employs Discrete Event Systems Specification(DEVS) formalism.

A Study on the Optimal Production Using Discrete Time Bio-economic Model: A Case of the Large Purse Seine Fisheries in Korea (바이오경제모형을 이용한 최적 생산량 분석: 수산업을 중심으로)

  • Nam, Jong Oh;Choi, Jong Du;Cho, Jung Hee;Lee, Jung Sam
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.771-804
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    • 2010
  • This paper estimates optimal production of fish stock using discrete time bio-economic model to make zero profits or to maximize economic profits with maintaining sustainable resource levels under an open access and a sole owner. Particularly, this study generates optimal yields and efforts of large purse seine fisheries which catch mackerel and jack mackerel by using the logistic growth function, Cobb-Douglas production function, fisheries cost and profit functions. As a result, optimal yields of mackerel and jack mackerel under ecological equilibrium of a sole owner were approximately 172,512 tons and 16,937 tons respectively. Also, optimal fishing efforts of mackerel and jack mackerel under the same situation were about 8,508 hauls and 4,915 hauls respectively. In conclusion, the paper suggests that the large purse seine should reduce fishing efforts and increase fish stock to generate higher net present value in optimally managed fishery than that of the present large purse seine.

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Encryption-based Image Steganography Technique for Secure Medical Image Transmission During the COVID-19 Pandemic

  • Alkhliwi, Sultan
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2021
  • COVID-19 poses a major risk to global health, highlighting the importance of faster and proper diagnosis. To handle the rise in the number of patients and eliminate redundant tests, healthcare information exchange and medical data are transmitted between healthcare centres. Medical data sharing helps speed up patient treatment; consequently, exchanging healthcare data is the requirement of the present era. Since healthcare professionals share data through the internet, security remains a critical challenge, which needs to be addressed. During the COVID-19 pandemic, computed tomography (CT) and X-ray images play a vital part in the diagnosis process, constituting information that needs to be shared among hospitals. Encryption and image steganography techniques can be employed to achieve secure data transmission of COVID-19 images. This study presents a new encryption with the image steganography model for secure data transmission (EIS-SDT) for COVID-19 diagnosis. The EIS-SDT model uses a multilevel discrete wavelet transform for image decomposition and Manta Ray Foraging Optimization algorithm for optimal pixel selection. The EIS-SDT method uses a double logistic chaotic map (DLCM) is employed for secret image encryption. The application of the DLCM-based encryption procedure provides an additional level of security to the image steganography technique. An extensive simulation results analysis ensures the effective performance of the EIS-SDT model and the results are investigated under several evaluation parameters. The outcome indicates that the EIS-SDT model has outperformed the existing methods considerably.

Multi-dimension Categorical Data with Bayesian Network (베이지안 네트워크를 이용한 다차원 범주형 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Chul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.169-174
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    • 2018
  • In general, the methods of the analysis of variance(ANOVA) for the continuous data and the chi-square test for the discrete data are used for statistical analysis of the effect and the association. In multidimensional data, analysis of hierarchical structure is required and statistical linear model is adopted. The structure of the linear model requires the normality of the data. A multidimensional categorical data analysis methods are used for causal relations, interactions, and correlation analysis. In this paper, Bayesian network model using probability distribution is proposed to reduce analysis procedure and analyze interactions and causal relationships in categorical data analysis.