• 제목/요약/키워드: discrete change in probability

검색결과 13건 처리시간 0.027초

The impact of artificial discrete simulation of wind field on vehicle running performance

  • Wu, Mengxue;Li, Yongle;Chen, Ning
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.169-189
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    • 2015
  • To investigate the effects of "sudden change" of wind fluctuations on vehicle running performance, which is caused by the artificial discrete simulation of wind field, a three-dimensional vehicle model is set up with multi-body dynamics theory and the vehicle dynamic responses in crosswind conditions are obtained in time domain. Based on Hilbert Huang Transform, the effects of simulation separations on time-frequency characteristics of wind field are discussed. In addition, the probability density distribution of "sudden change" of wind fluctuations is displayed, addressing the effects of simulation separation, mean wind speed and vehicle speed on the "sudden change" of wind fluctuations. The "sudden change" of vehicle dynamic responses, which is due to the discontinuity of wind fluctuations on moving vehicle, is also analyzed. With Principal Component Analysis, the comprehensive evaluation of vehicle running performance in crosswind conditions at different simulation separations of wind field is investigated. The results demonstrate that the artificial discrete simulation of wind field often causes "sudden change" in the wind fluctuations and the corresponding vehicle dynamic responses are noticeably affected. It provides a theoretical foundation for the choice of a suitable simulation separation of wind field in engineering application.

다중 이산 연속선택모형(MDCEV)을 이용한 한국 소비자의 신선육 구매 결정 요인 (The application of Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value Model on fresh meat purchase in Korea)

  • 송철호;엄진용;장익훈;최영찬
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.249-264
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    • 2017
  • Modeling the consumer demand of fresh meat requires its distinct feature which other types of food product does not have. Most of the fresh meat products are likely to be unbranded, bought on a weight basis and affected by macro shocks such as seasonality, holiday effect and the disease incidence. Furthermore, consumers tend to purchase multiple categories of fresh meat in a week. Therefore, we apply a multiple discrete/continuous model on fresh meat consumption data to study the effect of macro shocks on fresh meat sales as well as of price change. As a result shows, Each fresh meat is relatively more likely to be bought in peak season of each fresh meat compared with imported pork which is set as a 'reference category' in this analysis. For clarity of the effect of disease incidence, we perform further analysis regarding the effect of livestock disease on fresh meat purchase probability. It shows that the avian flu in 2014 has strong negative impact on the purchase probability of chicken and the foot-and-mouth disease has negative impact on the purchase probability of pork and beef for part of outbreak periods.

Bayesian Multiple Change-Point Estimation and Segmentation

  • Kim, Jaehee;Cheon, Sooyoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제20권6호
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    • pp.439-454
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    • 2013
  • This study presents a Bayesian multiple change-point detection approach to segment and classify the observations that no longer come from an initial population after a certain time. Inferences are based on the multiple change-points in a sequence of random variables where the probability distribution changes. Bayesian multiple change-point estimation is classifies each observation into a segment. We use a truncated Poisson distribution for the number of change-points and conjugate prior for the exponential family distributions. The Bayesian method can lead the unsupervised classification of discrete, continuous variables and multivariate vectors based on latent class models; therefore, the solution for change-points corresponds to the stochastic partitions of observed data. We demonstrate segmentation with real data.

DCT and DWT Based Robust Audio Watermarking Scheme for Copyright Protection

  • Deb, Kaushik;Rahman, Md. Ashikur;Sultana, Kazi Zakia;Sarker, Md. Iqbal Hasan;Chong, Ui-Pil
    • 융합신호처리학회논문지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • Digital watermarking techniques are attracting attention as a proper solution to protect copyright for multimedia data. This paper proposes a new audio watermarking method based on Discrete Cosine Transformation (DCT) and Discrete Wavelet Transformation (DWT) for copyright protection. In our proposed watermarking method, the original audio is transformed into DCT domain and divided into two parts. Synchronization code is applied on the signal in first part and 2 levels DWT domain is applied on the signal in second part. The absolute value of DWT coefficient is divided into arbitrary number of segments and calculates the energy of each segment and middle peak. Watermarks are then embedded into each middle peak. Watermarks are extracted by performing the inverse operation of watermark embedding process. Experimental results show that the hidden watermark data is robust to re-sampling, low-pass filtering, re-quantization, MP3 compression, cropping, echo addition, delay, and pitch shifting, amplitude change. Performance analysis of the proposed scheme shows low error probability rates.

A study on the hydro-mechanical behavior of jointed rock masses around underground excavation by using a discrete joint network modeling

  • Lee Young-Soak;Lee Seung-Do;Jue Kwang-Sue;Moon Hyun-Koo
    • 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2003
  • Discrete joint network approach has widely been used to investigate the hydraulic behavior of jointed rock masses. In general, joints will undergo deformation due to stress redistribution induced by construction of underground openings, hence joint aperture is often assumed to have a probability distribution rather than to be a constant value. In real situations, however, it is more reasonable to take into account the effect of stress change on aperture values by calculating joint deformation. In this report, a mechanical process has been developed to determine the joint opening or closure based on a statistically generated joint network model. By performing numerical analyses, some significant results on the hydro-mechanical behavior of jointed rock masses have been summarized.

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지역 및 전역 환경에 대한 세선화 기반 위상지도의 작성 (Thinning-Based Topological Map Building for Local and Global Environments)

  • 권태범;송재복
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제12권7호
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    • pp.693-699
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    • 2006
  • An accurate and compact map is essential to an autonomous mobile robot system. For navigation, it is efficient to use an occupancy grid map because the environment is represented by probability distribution. But it is difficult to apply it to the large environment since it needs a large amount of memory proportional to the environment size. As an alternative, a topological map can be used to represent it in terms of the discrete nodes with edges connecting them. It is usually constructed by the Voronoi-like graphs, but in this paper the topological map is incrementally built based on the local grid map using the thinning algorithm. This algorithm can extract only meaningful topological information by using the C-obstacle concept in real-time and is robust to the environment change, because its underlying local grid map is constructed based on the Bayesian update formula. In this paper, the position probability is defined to evaluate the quantitative reliability of the end nodes of this thinning-based topological map (TTM). The global TTM can be constructed by merging each local TTM by matching the reliable end nodes determined by the position probability. It is shown that the proposed TTM can represent the environment accurately in real-time and it is readily extended to the global TTM.

확률유한요소 해석에 의한 근접터널 안정성 분석 (Stability analysis of closely-spaced tunnel using RFEM)

  • 김상균
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.349-360
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 탄소성 유한요소해석 알고리즘과 연계한 확률장 생성기법과 근접터널 조건에서의 파괴확률을 분석하였다. 유한요소 해석을 위한 이산 확률장의 생성은 빠르고 정확하며 랜덤변수의 해상도를 자유롭게 조절할 수 있는 local average subdivision 기법을 사용하였으며 터널모델링을 위해 유한요소 크기와 형상 변화 등을 적절히 고려하여 지반물성치를 적용하는 방안을 제안하였다. 예제해석 조건에 대해 강도정수의 분산정도 및 공간상관길이에 따른 파괴확률을 파악하였으며 결정론적 안정성 해석결과 및 단일랜덤변수 해석결과와 비교하였다. 강도정수의 분산특성에 따라 강도감소기법에 의한 안전율과 단일랜덤변수 해석에 의한 파괴확률의 관계를 규명하였으며 확률유한요소 해석을 통해 공간상관길이가 파괴확률에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 통해 강도감소기법에 의한 안전율과 분산계수로부터 단일랜덤변수에 의한 파괴확률을 도출할 수 있었으며 단일랜덤변수 해석결과가 근접터널의 실제적인 파괴확률을 과소평가 할 수 있음을 파악하였다.

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기술력평가에서 사업성수준과 기술성변수간 연관성에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Market Feasibility Levels and Technology Variables from Technology Competitiveness Assessment)

  • 성웅현
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.198-215
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    • 2004
  • Technology competitiveness evaluates environmental and engineered technology and process at both the scientific and market levels. There are increasing concerns to measure the effects of the technology variables on the potential market feasibility levels. However, there are very little empirical analysis studies on that issue. This study investigates the impacts of technology variables on the levels of market feasibility based on 230 data obtained from Korea Technology Transfer Center. As various statistical analysis, the canonical discriminant model, logit discriminant model and classification model were used and their results were compared. This study results showed that major technology variables had very significant relations to discriminate high and low categories of market feasibility. Finally, this study will help building management strategies to level up the potential market performance and also help financial Institutions to decide funds needed for small-sized technology firms.

주파수 영역에서의 Gaussian Mixture Model 기반의 동시통화 검출 연구 (Frequency Domain Double-Talk Detector Based on Gaussian Mixture Model)

  • 이규호;장준혁
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.401-407
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    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 주파수 영역에서의 가우시안 혼합 모델 (Gaussian Mixture Model, GMM) 기반의 새로운 동시통화 검출 (Double-talk Detection, DTD) 알고리즘을 제안한다. 구체적으로 주파수 영역에서의 음향학적 반향억제 (Acoustic Echo Suppression, AES)를 위한 동시 통화 검출 알고리즘을 구성하기 위해 기존의 시간 영역에서의 동시통화 검출에 사용되는 상호 상관계수를 이산 푸리에 변환을 통해 16개 채널의 주파수 영역으로 변환하였다. 이러한 주파수 영역에서의 상호 상관계수를 GMM의 보다 효과적인 구성을 위해 통계적 분류 특성에 근거하여 우수한 7개를 선별하였다. 본 논문은 이러한 특징 벡터로 패턴인식에서 우수한 성능을 보이는 GMM을 구성하였으며 원단화자만 있는 구간, 동시통화 구간, 근단 화자만 있는 구간을 우도 (Likelihood) 비교에 따라 분류함으로써 별도의 원단 화자 신호에 대한 음성 검출기 (Voice Activity Detector, VAD)의 사용 없이 잡음환경과 반향 경로 변화에서 강인한 동시통화 검출 알고리즘을 제안한다. 다양한 실험 결과 제안된 방법은 기존의 상호 상관계수를 고정된 문턱 값과 가부 비교하여 동시 통화 구간을 검출하는 hard decision 방법에 비해 검출 오류 확률 (Detection Error Probability)을 비교한 결과 우수한 성능을 보였다.

동질성 Hidden Markov Chain 모형을 이용한 일강수량 모의기법 개발 (Development of Daily Rainfall Simulation Model Based on Homogeneous Hidden Markov Chain)

  • 권현한;김태정;황석환;김태웅
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.1861-1870
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    • 2013
  • 최근 기후변화 영향으로 인해 수문변동성이 크게 증가되고 있으며 이러한 변동성을 고려하기 위한 방안으로서 강수량 모의발생 기법에 대한 중요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 복잡한 강수발생 패턴을 인지하고 강수량의 다양한 분포특성을 고려할 수 있는 혼합분포를 이용한 동질성 Hidden Markov Chain(HMM) 모형을 제안하였다. HMM 모형의 개선효과를 검증하기 위해서 기존 Markov Chain 모형과 비교 하였으며 서울관측소 및 전주관측소를 대상으로 연구를 진행하였다. 계절강수량 및 일강수량 등 다양한 시간규모에서 모형의 적합성을 평가하기 위해서 천이확률, 평균, 분산, 왜곡도 및 첨예도 등을 비교하였으며 HMM 모형이 기존 Markov Chain 모형에 비해서 개선된 모의능력을 확인할 수 있었다. 특히, HMM 모형은 극치강수량을 재현하는데 있어서 기존 Markov Chain 모형에 비해서 월등한 모의능력을 보여주었다. 이러한 점에서 장기유출량 및 확률홍수량 등을 산정하기 위한 입력자료로 활용이 충분히 가능할 것으로 판단된다.