• Title/Summary/Keyword: diagnostic prognostic system

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Studies on the Predictability of Heavy Rainfall Using Prognostic Variables in Numerical Model (모델 예측변수들을 이용한 집중호우 예측 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Min;Jee, Joon-Beom;Min, Jae-sik;Lee, Yong-Hee;Chung, Jun-Seok;You, Cheol-Hwan
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.495-508
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    • 2016
  • In order to determine the prediction possibility of heavy rainfall, a variety of analyses was conducted by using three-dimensional data obtained from Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System (KLAPS) re-analysis data. Strong moisture convergence occurring around the time of the heavy rainfall is consistent with the results of previous studies on such continuous production. Heavy rainfall occurred in the cloud system with a thick convective clouds. The moisture convergence, temperature and potential temperature advection showed increase into the heavy rainfall occurrence area. The distribution of integrated liquid water content tended to decrease as rainfall increased and was characterized by accelerated convective instability along with increased buoyant energy. In addition, changes were noted in the various characteristics of instability indices such as K-index (KI), Showalter Stability Index (SSI), and lifted index (LI). The meteorological variables used in the analysis showed clear increases or decreases according to the changes in rainfall amount. These rapid changes as well as the meteorological variables changes are attributed to the surrounding and meteorological conditions. Thus, we verified that heavy rainfall can be predicted according to such increase, decrease, or changes. This study focused on quantitative values and change characteristics of diagnostic variables calculated by using numerical models rather than by focusing on synoptic analysis at the time of the heavy rainfall occurrence, thereby utilizing them as prognostic variables in the study of the predictability of heavy rainfall. These results can contribute to the identification of production and development mechanisms of heavy rainfall and can be used in applied research for prediction of such precipitation. In the analysis of various case studies of heavy rainfall in the future, our study result can be utilized to show the development of the prediction of severe weather.

Study for Fault Diagnosis Methodologies Using Diagnosis for Monopropellant Propulsion System (단일 추진시스템 진단을 통한 고장진단 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Chang-Hwan;Lee, Young-Jin;Ku, Kyung-Wan;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.2041_2042
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    • 2009
  • The diagnostic/prognostic problems for condition based maintenance or Prognostics and Health Management has been used. Primary objectives of diagnosis/prognosis are maximizing system availability and minimizing downtime from fault isolation through more effective troubleshooting efforts. Diagnosis aims to detect the onset of failures to improve system performance and reduce life cycle cost by reducing the failure time. The prognosis can reduce operational and support total ownership cost and improve safety of machinery and complex systems. In this Paper, a fault diagnosis methodology has been described using a monopropellant propulsion system model as a test bench.

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Diagnostics and Prognostics Based on Adaptive Time-Frequency Feature Discrimination

  • Oh, Jae-Hyuk;Kim, Chang-Gu;Cho, Young-Man
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.1537-1548
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a novel diagnostic technique for monitoring the system conditions and detecting failure modes and precursors based on wavelet-packet analysis of external noise/vibration measurements. The capability is based on extracting relevant features of noise/vibration data that best discriminate systems with different noise/vibration signatures by analyzing external measurements of noise/vibration in the time-frequency domain. By virtue of their localized nature both in time and frequency, the identified features help to reveal faults at the level of components in a mechanical system in addition to the existence of certain faults. A prima-facie case is made via application of the proposed approach to fault detection in scroll and rotary compressors, although the methods and algorithms are very general in nature. The proposed technique has successfully identified the existence of specific faults in the scroll and rotary compressors. In addition, its capability of tracking the severity of specific faults in the rotary compressors indicates that the technique has a potential to be used as a prognostic tool.

Therapeutic Strategies of the Intracranial Meningioma in Elderly Patients

  • Song, Young-Jin;Sung, Soon-Ki;Noh, Seung-Jin;Kim, Hyung-Dong
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2007
  • Objective : The apparent increase in the incidence of the intracranial meningiomas in the elderly is due in part to improved diagnostic tools and improved span of life. The authors carried out a retrospect study to validate the use of the Clinical-Radiological Grading System [CRGS] as a clinical tool to orientate surgical decision making in elderly patients and to explore prognostic factors of survival. Methods : From January 1997 to January 2006, the authors consecutively recruited and surgically treated 20 patients older than 65 years of age with radiologic findings of intracranial meningiomas and a preoperative evaluation based on the CRGS. Results : High CRGS score was associated with a higher probability of good outcome [p=0.004] and a lower probability of postoperative complications [p=0.049]. Among the different subset items of the CRGS score, larger maximum tumor diameters [$D{\geqq}4cm$] and the presence of a severe peritumoral edema were associated with incidence rate of postoperative poor outcome and complications [p<0.05]. Additionally, the critical location of the tumor was also correlated with poor outcome [p<0.05]. Conclusion : A CRGS score higher than 13 is a good prognostic indication of survival. The CRGS score is a useful and practical tool for the selection of elderly patients affected by intracranial meningiomas as surgical candidates.

Prognostic and Safety Implications of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: A Real-World Observation Over 2,000 Patients

  • Chan Soon Park;Tae-Min Rhee;Hyun Jung Lee;Yeonyee E. Yoon;Jun-Bean Park;Seung-Pyo Lee;Yong-Jin Kim;Goo-Yeong Cho;In-Chang Hwang;Hyung-Kwan Kim
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • v.53 no.9
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    • pp.606-618
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    • 2023
  • Background and Objectives: The prognostic or safety implication of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RASi) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are not well established, mainly due to concerns regarding left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) obstruction aggravation. We investigated the implications of RASi in a sizable number of HCM patients. Methods: We enrolled 2,104 consecutive patients diagnosed with HCM in 2 tertiary university hospitals and followed up for five years. RASi use was defined as the administration of RASi after diagnostic confirmation of HCM. The primary and secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Results: RASi were prescribed to 762 patients (36.2%). During a median follow-up of 48.1 months, 112 patients (5.3%) died, and 94 patients (4.5%) experienced HHF. Patients using RASi had less favorable baseline characteristics than those not using RASi, such as older age, more frequent history of comorbidities, and lower ejection fraction. Nonetheless, there was no difference in clinical outcomes between patients with and without RASi use (log-rank p=0.368 for all-cause mortality and log-rank p=0.443 for HHF). In multivariable analysis, patients taking RASi showed a comparable risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.43-1.14, p=0.150) and HHF (HR, 1.03, 95% CI, 0.63-1.70, p=0.900). In the subgroup analysis, there was no significant interaction of RASi use between subgroups stratified by LVOT obstruction, left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, or maximal LV wall thickness. Conclusions: RASi use was not associated with worse clinical outcomes. It might be safely administered in patients with HCM if clinically indicated.

A Design of Automated Contingency Management and Case Study for Monopropellant Propulsion System (단일추진시스템의 ACM 설계 및 사례연구)

  • Lee, Young-Jin;Lee, Kwon-Soon;Vachtsevanos, George
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2008
  • Increasing demand for improved reliability and survivability of mission-critical systems is driving the development of health monitoring and Automated Contingency Management (ACM) systems. An ACM system is expected to adapt autonomously to fault conditions with the goal of still achieving mission objectives by allowing some degradation in system performance within permissible limits. ACM performance depends on supporting technologies like sensors and anomaly detection, diagnostic/prognostic and reasoning algorithms. This paper presents the development of a generic prototype test bench software framework for developing and validating ACM systems for advanced propulsion systems called the Propulsion ACM (PACM) Test Bench. The architecture has been implemented for a Monopropellant Propulsion System (MPS) to demonstrate the validity of the approach. A Simulink model of the MPS has been developed along with a fault injection module. It has been shown that the ACM system is capable of mitigating the failures by searching for an optimal strategy. Furthermore, the concepts of Validation and Verification (V&V) of such systems are introduced with relevant examples.

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Machine Fault Diagnosis and Prognosis: The State of The Art

  • Tung, Tran Van;Yang, Bo-Suk
    • International Journal of Fluid Machinery and Systems
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2009
  • Machine fault diagnostic and prognostic techniques have been the considerable subjects of condition-based maintenance system in the recent time due to the potential advantages that could be gained from reducing downtime, decreasing maintenance costs, and increasing machine availability. For the past few years, research on machine fault diagnosis and prognosis has been developing rapidly. These publications covered in the wide range of statistical approaches to model-based approaches. With the aim of synthesizing and providing the information of these researches for researcher's community, this paper attempts to summarize and classify the recent published techniques in diagnosis and prognosis of rotating machinery. Furthermore, it also discusses the opportunities as well as the challenges for conducting advance research in the field of machine prognosis.

Evaluation of the Quality of Case Reports of the Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research from 2013 to 2018 According to the CARE (CAse REport) Guidelines (CARE (CAse REport) 지침에 의한 한방비만학회지 증례 논문에 대한 보고의 질 평가: 2013년~2018년 증례보고를 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyung Moo;Choi, Sung Youl;Lee, Ju Ah;Song, Yun Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.144-151
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the quality of case reports of the Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research by the Case Report (CARE) guidelines. Methods: Case reports published in the Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research from January 2013 to July 2018 were searched from Oriental Medicine Advanced Searching Integrated System (OASIS). We assessed the quality of reporting based on CARE guidelines. Results: A total of 8 case reports were finally included for the assessment. There was a deviation in the sub-item reporting rate by a maximum 75% and a minimum 57.14% in case reports. The 10 sub-items mentioned below, such as 'Timeline', 'Diagnostic challenges', 'Diagnostic reasoning including other diagnoses considered', 'Prognostic characteristics', 'Changes in intervention', 'Important follow-up diagnostic evaluations and other test results', 'Intervention adherence and tolerability', 'Adverse and unanticipated events', 'Patient perspective' and 'Informed consent' were reported below 30%. Conclusions: Efforts to diversify the subject of the case study and to apply appropriate reporting guidelines are needed to improve the quality of the case report contributed to the Journal of Korean Medicine for Obesity Research.

MicroRNA-155 Expression has Prognostic Value in Patients with Non-small Cell Lung Cancer and Digestive System Carcinomas

  • Xu, Tong-Peng;Zhu, Can-Hong;Zhang, Jian;Xia, Rui;Wu, Feng-Lei;Han, Liang;Shen, Hua;Liu, Ling-Xiang;Shu, Yong-Qian
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.7085-7090
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    • 2013
  • Objective: Published data have shown that microRNAs (miRNAs) could play a potential role as diagnostic and prognostic indicators in cancers. Data for the predictive value of microRNA-155 are inconclusive. The aim of the present analysis was therefore to evaluate the role of miR-155 in prognosis for patients with a variety of carcinomas. Methods: Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and EMBASE. Data were extracted from studies comparing overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) or cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with carcinoma with higher miR-155 expression and those with lower levels. The pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of miR-155 for clinical outcome were calculated. Results: A total of 15 studies were included. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) for OS of higher miR-155 expression in cancerous tissue was 1.89 (95% CI: 1.20-2.99, P=0.006), which could markedly predict poorer survival in general cancer. For RFS/CSS, elevated miR-155 was also associated with poor prognosis of cancer (HR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.10-2.05, P=0.01). On subgroup analysis, the pooled HR for OS in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was 2.09 (95% CI: 0.68-6.41, P > 0.05), but for RFS/CSS was 1.28 (95% CI: 1.05-1.55, P=0.015), with statistical significance; the pooled HRs for OS and RFS/CSS in digestive system neoplasms were 3.04 (95% CI: 1.48-6.24, P=0.003) and 2.61 (95% CI: 1.98-3.42, P<0.05), respectively. Conclusions: The results indicated that the miR-155 expression level plays a prognostic role in patients with cancer, especially NSCLCs and digestive system carcinomas.

Cutaneous melanoma (피부흑색종)

  • Lee, Seok-Jong;Lee, Soo Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Medical Association
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    • v.61 no.11
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    • pp.662-669
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    • 2018
  • The cutaneous melanoma has been regarded as rare disease entity in Korea for long time but it shows a silent growth recently. Furthermore the management of cutaneous melanoma including staging system, surgical principle, sentinel lymph node biopsy and subsequent complete node dissection and, most importantly, immunotherapy and target therapy against cutaneous melanoma recently. The incidence of cutaneous melanoma is steadily increasing in Korea but its increase is rapid recent 2 decades to 4.3 times and should be greater soon according to the steeper increase of life expectancy. New staging system proposed by American Joint Committee on Cancer (2017) includes changes in individual TNM category and stage groups, particularly from a prognostic viewpoint. Dermoscopy has been successfully introduced in the differential diagnosis of pigmented skin lesion focusing on cutaneous melanoma by non-invasive simple diagnostic tool. Sentinel lymph node biopsy was a issue of long debate whether survival benefit is real or not. Temporary conclusion about this question is reached after two large scale studies and immediate complete node dissection should be performed in a certain situations. Most important change is drug therapy focusing on immunotherapy and target therapy. Braf- and MEK-inhibitor, immune checkpoint inhibitor and PD-1 blocker has been proved to be effective as a sole or combination regimen against advanced and/or high-risk adjuvant setting of cutaneous melanoma. In conclusion, these remarkable changes will be reviewed shortly here.