• Title/Summary/Keyword: deterioration prediction

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Development of Machine Learning Based Seismic Response Prediction Model for Shear Wall Structure considering Aging Deteriorations (경년열화를 고려한 전단벽 구조물의 기계학습 기반 지진응답 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su;Kim, Yukyung;Lee, So Yeon;Jang, Jun Su
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2024
  • Machine learning is widely applied to various engineering fields. In structural engineering area, machine learning is generally used to predict structural responses of building structures. The aging deterioration of reinforced concrete structure affects its structural behavior. Therefore, the aging deterioration of R.C. structure should be consider to exactly predict seismic responses of the structure. In this study, the machine learning based seismic response prediction model was developed. To this end, four machine learning algorithms were employed and prediction performance of each algorithm was compared. A 3-story coupled shear wall structure was selected as an example structure for numerical simulation. Artificial ground motions were generated based on domestic site characteristics. Elastic modulus, damping ratio and density were changed to considering concrete degradation due to chloride penetration and carbonation, etc. Various intensity measures were used input parameters of the training database. Performance evaluation was performed using metrics like root mean square error, mean square error, mean absolute error, and coefficient of determination. The optimization of hyperparameters was achieved through k-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. The analysis results show that neural networks and extreme gradient boosting algorithms present good prediction performance.

Prediction of Deterioration Process for Concrete Considering Combined Deterioration of Carbonation and Chlorides Ion (중성화와 염해를 고려한 콘크리트의 복합열화 예측)

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Yoon, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.902-912
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    • 2003
  • The most common deteriorating processes of concrete structures are carbonation and chloride ion ingress. Many concrete structures have been suffered from chloride ions diffusion or carbonation induced reinforcement corrosion damage and many studies have been done on it. However, those studies were confined mostly to the single deterioration of carbonation or chloride attack only, although actual environment is rather of combined conditions. In case of many in-situ concrete structures, deterioration happened more for the case of combined attack than the single case of carbonation or chloride attack. In this paper, chloride profiles of carbonated concrete is predicted by considering two layer composite model, which is based on Fick's 2nd law. From the experimental result on combined deterioration of chloride and carbonation, it was examined that high chloride concentration was built up to 3∼5 mm over depth from carbonation depth. The analytical modeling of chloride diffusion was suggested to depict the relative influence of the carbonation depth. The diffusion coefficients of carbonation concrete and uncarbonated concrete with elapsed time were considered in this modeling.

Prediction of the remaining service life of existing concrete bridges in infrastructural networks based on carbonation and chloride ingress

  • Zambon, Ivan;Vidovic, Anja;Strauss, Alfred;Matos, Jose;Friedl, Norbert
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.305-320
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    • 2018
  • The second half of the 20th century was marked with a significant raise in amount of railway bridges in Austria made of reinforced concrete. Today, many of these bridges are slowly approaching the end of their envisaged service life. Current methodology of assessment and evaluation of structural condition is based on visual inspections, which, due to its subjectivity, can lead to delayed interventions, irreparable damages and additional costs. Thus, to support engineers in the process of structural evaluation and prediction of the remaining service life, the Austrian Federal Railways (${\ddot{O}}$ BB) commissioned the formation of a concept for an anticipatory life cycle management of engineering structures. The part concerning concrete bridges consisted of forming a bridge management system (BMS) in a form of a web-based analysis tool, known as the LeCIE_tool. Contrary to most BMSs, where prediction of a condition is based on Markovian models, in the LeCIE_tool, the time-dependent deterioration mechanisms of chloride- and carbonation-induced corrosion are used as the most common deterioration processes in transportation infrastructure. Hence, the main aim of this article is to describe the background of the introduced tool, with a discussion on exposure classes and crucial parameters of chloride ingress and carbonation models. Moreover, the article presents a verification of the generated analysis tool through service life prediction on a dozen of bridges of the Austrian railway network, as well as a case study with a more detailed description and implementation of the concept applied.

Life Prediction of Hydraulic Concrete Based on Grey Residual Markov Model

  • Gong, Li;Gong, Xuelei;Liang, Ying;Zhang, Bingzong;Yang, Yiqun
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.457-469
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    • 2022
  • Hydraulic concrete buildings in the northwest of China are often subject to the combined effects of low-temperature frost damage, during drying and wetting cycles, and salt erosion, so the study of concrete deterioration prediction is of major importance. The prediction model of the relative dynamic elastic modulus (RDEM) of four different kinds of modified concrete under the special environment in the northwest of China was established using Grey residual Markov theory. Based on the available test data, modified values of the dynamic elastic modulus were obtained based on the Grey GM(1,1) model and the residual GM(1,1) model, combined with the Markov sign correction, and the dynamic elastic modulus of concrete was predicted. The computational analysis showed that the maximum relative error of the corrected dynamic elastic modulus was significantly reduced, from 1.599% to 0.270% for the BS2 group. The analysis error showed that the model was more adjusted to the concrete mixed with fly ash and mineral powder, and its calculation error was significantly lower than that of the rest of the groups. The analysis of the data for each group proved that the model could predict the loss of dynamic elastic modulus of the deterioration of the concrete effectively, as well as the number of cycles when the concrete reached the damaged state.

Reliability-Based Crack Damage Assessment of Reinforced Concrete Bridges (신뢰성에 기초한 콘크리트교량의 균열손상평가)

  • 조효남;최영민;임종권;옥승범
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.334-338
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    • 1995
  • In recent years, the prediction of the deterioration rate of concrete structures has become major research interest. However, there are still many uncertain factors in the deterioration process and the relation between deterioration and durability of structures. This is mainly due to various uncertainties involved in the construction process and the environmental conditions which affect the rate of deterioration of concrete structures. In this study a limit state model in terms of random crack width due to applied dead and live loads is proposed for the assessment of crack damage of reinforced concrete structures. The AFOSM reliability method is used for the reliability evaluation of the crack durability of concrete bridges. The proposed model for crack durability of concrete bridges is applied to the Seoul interior circuit elevated expressway. The sensitivity analyses are performed for the proposed model.

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Deterioration Analysis of the Shunting Locomotive Through Precision Diagnosis Assessment : Diesel Engine & Power Transmission Parts (입환기관차의 노후도 정밀진단 : 엔진 및 동력전달장치)

  • Chung Jong-Duk;Kim Jeong-Guk;Hong Yong-Ki;Lee Dong-Hyung;Pyun Jang-Sik
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.545-550
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    • 2004
  • The deterioration of a shunting locomotive was characterized for the lifetime assessment. The locomotive has been used for shunting works in steel making processes, and in this investigation, various types of technical evaluation methods for the locomotive parts were employed to assess the current deterioration status and to provide important clue for lifetime prediction. Unlike other rolling stocks in railway applications, the diesel shunting locomotive is composed of major components such as diesel engine, transmission, gear box, brake system, electronic devices, etc. In this paper, the degree of deterioration in a diesel engine and power transmission parts has been presented based on the analysis results.

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Evaluation of correlations for prediction of onset of heat transfer deterioration for vertically upward flow of supercritical water in pipe

  • Sahu, Suresh;Vaidya, Abhijeet M.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.1100-1108
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    • 2021
  • Supercritical water has great potential as a coolant for nuclear reactor. Its use will lead to higher thermal efficiency of Rankine cycle. However, in certain conditions heat transfer may get deteriorated which may lead to undesirable high clad surface temperature. It is necessary to estimate the operating conditions in which heat transfer deterioration (HTD) will take place, so as to establish thermal margins for safe reactor operation. In the present work, the heat flux corresponding to onset of HTD for vertically upward flow of supercritical water in a pipe is obtained over a wide range of system parameters, namely pressure, mass flux, and pipe diameter. This is done by performing large number of simulations using an in-house CFD code, which is especially developed and validated for this purpose. The identification of HTD is based on observance of one or more peak/s in the computed wall temperature profile. The existing correlations for predicting the onset of HTD are compared against the results obtained by present simulations as well as available sets of experimental data. It is found that the prediction accuracy of the correlation proposed by Dongliang et al. is best among the existing correlations.

Breakage Characteristics of Ballast (도상자갈의 마모/파쇄 특성)

  • 정근영;김현기;이종득
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 1999
  • The durability of ballast plays an important role in track behaviour. To estimate the deterioration characteristics of ballast, several tests have been carried out by several scholars. The deterioration characteristics is very important factor in the behaviour of track and its life. In this paper, abrasion/breakage characteristics of ballast is studied to see the effect of physical ballast characteristics on ballast life. To reveal breakage characteristics of ballast, the ballast box test and the MTT field test were carried out. The breakage characteristics studied in this paper is applied to the ballast life prediction in various conditions, such as LA abrasion, annual tonnage, tamping number per year, etc

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Probabilistic Prediction of Structural Performance for Rational Bridge Management Policy (합리적 교량유지관리 의사결정을 위한 구조성능의 추계학적 예측)

  • Oh, Byung-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2004
  • Reasonable prediction of bridge deterioration is the most important factor in the determination of repair time or optimized maintenance policy for bridges. To accomplish these purposes, the proposed method is composed of quantitative condition assessment, Markov chains and Bayesian estimates. Example predictions of concrete slab bridges in Korea were illustrated with higher reasonability than those of existing methods such as expert opinion and visual inspection only.