• Title/Summary/Keyword: depending on seasonal

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Hydrodynamic Modeling of Saemangeum Reservoir and Watershed using HSPF and EFDC (HSPF-EFDC를 이용한 새만금호와 유역의 수리 변화 모의)

  • Shin, Yu-Ri;Jung, Ji-Yeon;Choi, Jung-Hoon;Jung, Kwang Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.384-393
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    • 2012
  • Saemangeum lake is an artificial lake created by reclamation works and an estuary embankment since 2006. The sea water flows into the lake by the operation of two sluice gates, and the freshwater enters into the lake by the upper streams. For the reflection of hydrology and hydrodynamics effects in Saemangeum area, a hydrodynamics model was developed by connecting Hydrological Simulation Program with Fortran (HSPF) and Environmental Fluid Dynamic Code (EFDC). The HSPF was applied to simulate the freshwater discharge from the upper steam watershed, and the EFDC was performed to compute water flow, water temperature, and salinity based on time series from 2008 to 2009. The calibration and validation are performed to analyze horizontal and vertical gradients. The horizontal trend of model simulation results is reflected in the trend of observed data tolerably. The vertical trend is conducted an analysis of seasonal comparisons because of the limitation of vertically observed data. Water temperature reflects on the seasonal changes. Salinity has an effect on the near river input spots. The impact area of salinity is depending on the sea water distribution by gate operation, mainly.

Assessment of Performance on the Asian Dust Generation in Spring Using Hindcast Data in Asian Dust Seasonal Forecasting Model (황사장기예측자료를 이용한 봄철 황사 발생 예측 특성 분석)

  • Kang, Misun;Lee, Woojeong;Chang, Pil-Hun;Kim, Mi-Gyeong;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2022
  • This study investigated the prediction skill of the Asian dust seasonal forecasting model (GloSea5-ADAM) on the Asian dust and meteorological variables related to the dust generation for the period of 1991~2016. Additionally, we evaluated the prediction skill of those variables depending on the combination of the initial dates in the sub-seasonal scale for the dust source region affecting South Korea. The Asian dust and meteorological variables (10 m wind speed, 1.5 m relative humidity, and 1.5 m air temperature) from GloSea5-ADAM were compared to that from Synoptic observation and European Centre for medium range weather forecasts reanalysis v5, respectively, based on Mean Bias Error (MBE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Anomaly Correlation Coefficient (ACC) as evaluation criteria. In general, the Asian dust and meteorological variables in the source region showed high ACC in the prediction scale within one month. For all variables, the use of the initial dates closest to the prediction month led to the best performances based on MBE, RMSE, and ACC, and the performances could be improved by adjusting the number of ensembles considering the combination of the initial date. ACC was as high as 0.4 in Spring when using the closest two initial dates. In particular, the GloSea5-ADAM shows the best performance of Asian dust generation with an ACC of 0.60 in the occurrence frequency of Asian dust in March when using the closest initial dates for initial conditions.

Comparative Evaluation for Seasonal CO2 Flows Tracked by GOSAT in Northeast Asia (GOSAT으로 추적된 동북아시아 이산화탄소 유동방향의 계절별 비교평가)

  • Choi, Jin Ho;Um, Jung-Sup
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2012
  • This study intends to evaluate the seasonal flow direction of carbon dioxide in Northeast Asia by using GOSAT, the first Greenhouse Observing SATellite, in an attempt to overcome costly, laborious and time consuming ground observation which has been frequently pointed out in existing studies. For this purpose, missing values were supplemented by applying the Kriging interpolation and the overall flow direction of carbon dioxide was determined through anisotoropy semi-variogram. As a result, it was found that the overall spatial distribution of carbon dioxide in Northeast Asia varies depending on the latitude, and that carbon dioxide mainly flows southeast or east in spring, autumn and winter, but northeast or north in summer. Similar to the flow of monsoons in Northeast Asia, these results show that carbon dioxide flows mainly from the west to the east, which proves that carbon dioxide discharged from China is influencing even the Korean Peninsula and Japan. However, as the flow of carbon dioxide varies depending on a variety of factors such as artificial sources, plant respiration, and the absorption and discharge of the ocean, follow-up studies are requested to evaluate such variables and the correlations.

Forecasting the Time-Series Data Converged on Time PLOT and Moving Average (Time PLOT과 이동평균 융합 시계열 데이터 예측)

  • Lee, Jun-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2015
  • It is very difficult to predict time-series data. This is because data obtained from the signal having a non-linear characteristic has an uncertainty. In this paper, By differentiating time-series data is the average of the past data under the premise that change depending on what pattern, and find the soft look of time-series change pattern. This paper also apply the probability variables to generalize time-series data having a specific data according to the reflection ratio of the differentiation. The predicted value is estimated by removing cyclic movement and seasonal fluctuation, and reflect the trend by extracting the irregular fluctuation. Predicted value has demonstrated the superiority of the proposed algorithm and compared with the best results by a simple moving average and the moving average.

An Experimental Study of the Variation of the Moisture Content of Plywood and the Change of Thermal Conductivity of Plywood According to its Moisture Content (습도 조건에 따른 합판의 함수율 변화와 함수율에 따른 합판의 열전도율 변화에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Sung;Kim, Kyung-Su;Kang, Jung-Kyoo;Yoo, Chang-hyuck
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.367-371
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    • 2018
  • Plywood is one of the important materials in LNG cargo containment systems, and, due to the characteristics of the wood, its properties vary greatly depending on the humidity conditions in the storage facility. Due to the distribution environment of plywood, there is a high probability of long-term exposure to the domestic seasonal environment. Considering an environment in which the humidity changes greatly according to the seasons in Korea and the characteristics of the wood, it is necessary to acquire data on changes in the characteristics of the plywood for accurate quality control. In this study, the moisture content of plywood was determined experimentally to reflect the seasonal environmental conditions of shipyards in Korea. A noticeable change in the thermal conductivity was confirmed experimentally.

Physicochemical Heterogeneity of the Supply Water Quality depending on Seasonal Changes in the Taejon Area, Korea (대전지역 상수도 물의 계절변화에 따른 물리화학적 불균질)

  • 이현구;이찬희;서호택
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.505-517
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    • 2000
  • This study was undertaken to provide a drinking water quality on the basis of physicochemical properties. In this study, the 25 samples of supply waters of the Taejon area were sampled twice (February and August in 1999). Hydrochemistry of the supply water belongs to the $Ca^{2+}$-${HCO_3}^{-1}$ type, whereas the supply water was characterized by the relatively significant enrichment of ${Ca}^{2+}$, ${Na}^{2+}$, ${K}^{2+}$, ${Cl}^{2+}$ ions and heavy metals compared to the original water from the Daecheong lake. Generally, the supply water has a mean values for $10.7^{\circ}C$ of temperature, 6.86 of pH, -12 mV of Eh, 88 ${\mu}S$/cm of EC and 70.379 mg/l of TDS in February, whereas the waters of the same sites in August are a slightly high temperature ($26.1^{\circ}C$), TDS (78.069 mg/l) and extremely high EC (442 ${\mu}S$/cm) value. These values are similar with physicochemical properties of the original lake water depending on the seasonal differences. Results of speciation calculation indicate that potentially toxic ions might exist mainly in the forms of free metal (${Cu}^{2+}$ or ${Zn}^{2+}$) and a small amount of ${CO_3}^{2-}$and ${OH}^{-}$in the supply water. The water seemed to be in equilibrium with kaolinite field of the normal stability diagrams for the natural water. Based on enrichment parameter of the supply water normalized by original lake water composition, the average value of those parameter can be calculated with nearly 1.00, but the those values for Cu+Zn possible source of decrepit pipe lines are 126.75 in February and 115.63 in August samples. The parameter values varied with sampling sites, however, do not exceed by chemistry of drinking water standard. Solid compounds remained on the membrane filter papers after filtration are adhered to pale yellow or yellowish brown colored dissolved solids and precipitates, which are coated by 0.02 to 0.35 mm thick per 500 ml with colloidal particles of about 1 to 2${\mu}m$ size. The particles are mainly Fe-Cu-Zn compounds and partly detected to Mn and Pb.

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Analysis of drought characteristics depending on RCP scenarios at Korea (RCP 시나리오별 한반도 가뭄특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jungho;Kim, Sangdan;Joo, Jingul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2016
  • This study implemented a comparison of SPI characteristics in terms of quantitative and spatial analysis depending on four RCP scenarios. For this purpose, we compared quantitative characteristics of drought using standard precipitation index resulted from daily precipitation data reflecting future green gas concentration scenarios, and spatial distribution field of seasonal drought occurrence frequency and its duration, was analyzed to compare drought trends depending on the RCP scenarios. As a result, we found that SPI time series was quite different from each other and correlation coefficients were lower than 0.08. Depending on the RCP scenarios, spatial distribution results showed different trends in drought severity, frequency, and duration. The biggest reason of the difference is daily precipitation data based on the different greenhouse gas concentrations, but we could not find the effect of the concentration extent on drought occurrence projection. In addition, according to the results from this study, drought analysis results using single RCP scenario may have considerable uncertainty.

Study on the Conceptual Hierarchy for Seasonal Change (계절변화 개념 위계에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Sun-La;Lee, Yong Bok
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.356-367
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    • 2013
  • We study on the concept and reason of seasonal change that 164 university students have. Subsequently the concept types on the seasonal change are classified according to the characteristics and conceptual change after teaching on astronomy. All of the students were simply checked by the questionnaire of multiple choice and essay method before learning on the subjects. And then they answered to questionnaires of similar type after one semester. By the analyzed results, we classify it to three steps of hierarchical concept structure. The first step is the cosmic perspective that is related to the Earth's condition and motion. The second step is the influence of the Earth that is directly affected by the first step. The third step is observer's perspective on the Earth depending on the second step. Among the answers, the first step is prominent and second step is rare. The answers on the reason of seasonal change show some kinds of type which are 1st, 1-2nd, 1-3rd, and 1-2-3rd step. By the result, it is arranged in sequence like as 1-3rd>1st>1-2nd>1-2-3rd type. The lowest number of students was 2nd step of the Sun's altitude and duration of daytime in pre-test. However the students of 2nd step obtained more correct scientific concept on the seasonal change after learning on the subjects, and got the higher score in the post-test than in the pre-test. We found how much important the hierarchical structure on the reason of seasonal change is. As the results, second step on the learning of the Sun's altitude and duration of daytime essentially have to teach after first step. And then third step have to teach. At last, it is sure that the students can obtain the concept of seasonal change.

Dissolved Oxygen Trend in Sapgyo Stream Watershed (삽교천유역의 용존산소 추세)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2013
  • In this study, monthly and seasonal dissolved oxygen trends of 19 water quality measurement stations in Sapgyo stream watershed were analyzed using monthly dissolved oxygen (DO) data measured for 16 years (1995~2010). Mann-Kendall trend test and Sen's slope estimator were carried out for trend analysis. Furthermore, Sapgyo stream watershed was divided into four different sections (Sapgyo stream, Muhan stream, Gykgyo stream, and Sapgyo lake) and chi-square test of homogeneity for DO trend was carried out for four different sections. The study results indicated that most of water quality measurement stations showed increasing or non-significant trend of DO on a monthly and seasonal basis. The chi-square test of homogeneity for each water quality measurement station showed the statistical homogeneity in seasonal DO trend; however, the test results showed the statistical non-homogeneity in monthly DO trend for the stations located in the reservoir. Overall, the dissolved oxygen trend in each water quality measurement station showed different patterns depending on the location of each station and season.

A Comparison of Seasonal Adjustment Methods: An Application of X-13A-S Program on X-12 Filter and SEATS (X-13A-S 프로그램을 이용한 계절조정방법 분석 - X-12 필터와 SEATS 방법의 비교 -)

  • Lee, Hahn-Shik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.997-1021
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    • 2010
  • This paper compares the two most widely used seasonal adjustment methods: the X-12-ARIMA and TRAMO-SEATS procedures. The basic features of these methods are discussed and compared in both their theoretical and empirical aspects. In doing so, the X-13A-S program is used to reevaluate their applicability to Korean macroeconomic data by considering possible structural breaks in the series. The finding is that both methods provide very reliable and stable estimates of seasonal factors and seasonally adjusted data. As for the empirical comparisons, TRAMO-SEATS appears to outperform X-12-ARIMA, although the results are somewhat mixed depending on the comparison criteria used and on the series under analysis. In particular, the performance of TRAMO-SEATS turns out to compare more favorably when seasonal adjustment is carried out to each sub-samples (by taking possible structural breaks into account) than when the whole sample period is used. The result suggests that as the model-based TRAMO-SEATS has a considerable theoretical appeal, some features of TRAMO-SEATS should further be incorporated into X-12-ARIMA until a standard and integrated procedure is reached by combining the theoretical coherence of TRAMO-SEATS and the empirical usefulness of X-12-ARIMA.